Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!

[AndyK]

How did Deadlone get their estimate so wrong?

 

Do they just pull numbers out if their asses?

[ZeeSoh]

7 minutes ago, AndyK said:

How did Deadlone get their estimate so wrong?

 

Do they just pull numbers out if their asses?

When deadline puts out numbers early in the day, around noon, they are estimating themselves much like us and we can be wildly wrong too. Although they are usually not too much off from actuals. Perhaps this being a holiday weekend threw them off

[Maxmoser3]

Actuals increase? 

[miketheavenger]

23 hours ago, Sam said:

I have learnt over the years I’ve been on here that a good 90% of posts that started with “mark my words” ended with nonsense.

I can confirm that I'm guilty of this

 

People are already throwing around a 3x for WW being "very likely". Just like with the movie's OW, you're just setting yourselves up for disappointment. This is not making 300m, mark my words. Not trying to sound like a hater, I HOPE I'm wrong and if I am, I'll be the first one to admit it, but right now I'm feeling pretty confident that this will top out at 280-285m.

[ZeeSoh]

A Bad Moms Christmas grossed $11.47M this weekend. 12-Day total stands at $39.83M.#BadMomsChristmas #BoxOffice @STXEnt @BadMoms

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) November 13, 2017

Daddy's Home 2 debuted with $29.65M this weekend.#DaddysHome2 #BoxOffice @ParamountPics @DaddysHome

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) November 13, 2017

Lady Bird grossed $1.20M this weekend from 37 locations. Total gross stands at $1.73M.#LadyBird #BoxOffice @A24 @LadyBirdMovie

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) November 13, 2017

Murder on the Orient Express debuted with $28.68M this weekend.#OrientExpressMovie #BoxOffice @20thcenturyfox @MOTOEmovie

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) November 13, 2017

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri grossed $322K this weekend from 4 locations in NY/LA.#ThreeBillboards #BoxOffice @foxsearchlight @3Billboards

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) November 13, 2017

[WrathOfHan]

Daddy's Home beat MOTOE  

 

[MovieMan89]

Blade Runner has held a lot better than I thought it would honestly. Never though it would touch 3x but might  just make it. 

[Brainbug]

11 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

I can confirm that I'm guilty of this

 

People are already throwing around a 3x for WW being "very likely". Just like with the movie's OW, you're just setting yourselves up for disappointment. This is not making 300m, mark my words. Not trying to sound like a hater, I HOPE I'm wrong and if I am, I'll be the first one to admit it, but right now I'm feeling pretty confident that this will top out at 280-285m.

 

Thats the beautiful and at the same time funny thing about box office: The vast majority of films, especially blockbusters perform well within the expactation of most people. But any film of any genre can just suddenly explode (or implode ), which makes predictions - as reasonable as they may seem - always tricky.

[MovieMan89]

16 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

I can confirm that I'm guilty of this

 

People are already throwing around a 3x for WW being "very likely". Just like with the movie's OW, you're just setting yourselves up for disappointment. This is not making 300m, mark my words. Not trying to sound like a hater, I HOPE I'm wrong and if I am, I'll be the first one to admit it, but right now I'm feeling pretty confident that this will top out at 280-285m.

To be fair to you, your prediction of like a 2.8x multi was infinitely more realistic at the time than the multi that happened in reality. 

Edited November 13, 2017 by MovieMan89

[Ms Lady Hawk]

Thor went up from estimates. It made 57 million, see The Numbers

[MovieMan89]

Just now, Diana Prince said:

Thor went up from estimates. It made 57 million, see The Numbers

300 is officially locked I'd say. Think it lands anywhere between 315-340.

[Finnick]

EVEN BETTER WITH ACTUALS: $57,078306M

Daily breakdown

2017/11/10	1	$18,361,360	+161%	4,080	$4,500	$173,351,067	8
2017/11/11	1	$23,744,122	+29%	4,080	$5,820	$197,095,189	9
2017/11/12	1	$14,972,824	-37%	4,080	$3,670	$212,068,013	10

 

 

 

Edited November 13, 2017 by Finnick

[ZeeSoh]

Thor with a 53% drop from last weekend!!! I guessed it will be at 210 by Sunday last week and seems I was right (slightly under)

Thor: Ragnarok grossed $57.08M this weekend. 10-Day total stands at $212.07M.#ThorRagnarok #BoxOffice @MarvelStudios @thorofficial

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) November 13, 2017

Edited November 13, 2017 by ZeeSoh

[Sam]

That’s a great Sunday drop for Thor, better than DS off of a greater Sat bump too.

 

Very good 2nd weekend number.

Edited November 13, 2017 by Sam

[ZattMurdock]

 

 

[Goffe]

How likely is MOTOE to have good wom?

[WrathOfHan]

7 minutes ago, Goffe said:

How likely is MOTOE to have good wom?

50/50 chance IMO. The audience score is weak at 62%, and it only got a B Cinemascore. However, adult oriented movies can be pretty leggy despite reviews and WOM.

[JB33]

Loving that number for THOR: RAGNAROK! I was greedily hoping Deadline would somehow be right about their $60M+ predictions but by normal Marvel standards this is a fantastic drop nonetheless.

[dxmatrixdt]

lol, Sunday held up wayyy better than I anticipated.  I believe I got everything wrong this weekend!

[Gopher]

Doctor Strange legs from here take Ragnarok to 318m. Dark World legs take it to 306m. I'm willing to bet it's going to dip a bit higher than Strange next weekend (closer to 60%) and hold better over thanksgiving and through Last Jedi. The key will be if it can hang onto more theaters over Xmas than Strange, and its grosses might be just large enough.