4-day Weekend Thread: 5-day numbers per BOM - TLJ 99.0M, J:WTTJ 55.4M, PP3 26.4M, TGS 14.4M, F 10.1M, C 8.2M, D 7.7M and an incredible $5,480,000 for Father Figures

[filmlover]

Just now, Sam said:

Great for Father Figures! 

 

Now, how about Matt Damon? 

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:

That 3 day number seems to imply $29M didn't hold...does anyone know?

 

Bet Disney is estimating 50% or more drop on Sunday. 

[Ezen Baklattan]

I think we’re gonna see some glorious recovery this coming week - Pitch Perfect 3 was naturally a bit frontloaded, but I can see something like this:

 

The Last Jedi - 66m

Jumanji - 35m

Pitch Perfect 3 - 17m

Greatest Showman - 11m

Ferdinand - 10.3m

Coco - 7.5m

All The Money in The World - 6.7m

Downsizing - 6m

Darkest Hour - 5.4m

The Shape of Water - 3.9m

[jb007]

2 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

That 3 day number seems to imply $29M didn't hold...does anyone know?

29.178 Sat  per the numbers

[Lordmandeep]

It did 107% of RO this weekend, will be at par Monday and about 20-30% till Jan 2nd.

 

So far I am not seeing 700 million final gross unless it stays flat next weekend. 

Edited December 24, 2017 by Lordmandeep

[bamajagala]

1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:

That 3 day number seems to imply $29M didn't hold...does anyone know?

 

1 minute ago, TwoMisfits said:

 

It's a low estimate from Disney, if 29 is true. I think a lot of folks are underestimating the next couple days and next week. But that's understandable considering the last week's performance

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, The Shape of Pasta said:

I think we’re gonna see some glorious recovery this coming week - Pitch Perfect 3 was naturally a bit frontloaded, but I can see something like this:

 

The Last Jedi - 66m

Jumanji - 35m

Pitch Perfect 3 - 17m

Greatest Showman - 11m

Ferdinand - 10.3m

Coco - 7.5m

All The Money in The World - 6.7m

Downsizing - 6m

Darkest Hour - 5.4m

The Shape of Water - 3.9m

Indeed. Most people will have more time for movies after tomorrow. 

[a2k]

how is the international hold in comparison? 700 os-china possible?

 

[MCKillswitch123]

33 minutes ago, CJohn said:

And you haven't seen the portuguese number yet, the movie fucking imploded here  Jumanji slayed, tho.

 

Just like the last seasons of Ídolos and Factor X, this talent show (or movie based on talent show stuff) went off the rails in the ratings

[redfirebird2008]

3 minutes ago, jb007 said:

29.178 Sat  per the numbers

 

Assuming Friday/Saturday both stay the same with actuals, it needs about 45% Sunday drop to finish right at $70m for 3-day weekend. 

[MrPink]

5 minutes ago, Sam said:

Great for Father Figures! 

 

Now, how about Matt Damon? 

 

Let us all remember that random cameo aside, The Great Wall will be his highest grossing film of the year

[jb007]

Just now, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Assuming Friday/Saturday both stay the same with actuals, it needs about 45% Sunday drop to finish right at $70m for 3-day weekend. 

Currently Disney is projecting a 50% drop with 14.6

[filmlover]

*insert Anna Kendrick "Yikes" gif again*

[bamajagala]

4 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Bet Disney is estimating 50% or more drop on Sunday. 

I don't think it's happening based on my theater checks, more like 40% (17m) even though most dropped 50% in 2006. More like a 70-72 3 day and 102-104 4 day. We'll see

[hw64]

Lower than Avatar already in the second weekend.

Edited December 24, 2017 by hw64

[redfirebird2008]

1 minute ago, jb007 said:

Currently Disney is projecting a 50% drop with 14.6

 

Very reasonable. Could do better or worse. 2006 had some movies drop well over 55%. Star Wars has done pretty well on Christmas Eve compared to other movies in 2015/2016, so we will see how it goes. 

[weresweresweres]

 

12.5 Friday, 14,5 mln Saturday, and 17 mln weekend

[John Marston]

ss Budget* Week # 1 1 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $68,486,000 -68.9% 4,232 - $16,183 $365,088,356 - 2 2 N Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle Sony $34,000,000 - 3,765 - $9,031 $50,605,967 $90 1 3 N Pitch Perfect 3 Uni. $20,451,000 - 3,447 - $5,933 $20,451,000 $45 1 4 N The Greatest Showman Fox $8,600,000 - 3,006 - $2,861 $13,198,731 $84 1 5 2 Ferdinand Fox $7,050,000 -47.4% 3,630 +9 $1,942 $26,532,884 $111 2 6 3 Coco BV $5,208,000 -47.7% 2,111 -1,044 $2,467 $161,327,128 - 5 7 N Downsizing Par. $4,600,000 - 2,668 - $1,724 $4,600,000 $68 1 8 16 Darkest Hour Focus $4,105,000 +384.4% 806 +722 $5,093 $6,957,077 - 5 9 N Father Figures WB $3,200,000 - 2,902 - $1,103 $3,200,000 - 1 10 12 The Shape of Water FoxS $3,050,000 +78.3% 726 +568 $4,201 $7,615,665 - 4 11 4 Wonder LGF $2,000,000 -61.7% 1,130 -1,917 $1,770 $114,957,750 - 6 12 11 The Star Sony $1,375,000 -20.6% 1,106 -830 $1,243 $38,466,925 $20 6 13 5 Justice League WB $1,055,000 -75.5% 1,101 -1,601 $958 $222,678,455 - 6 14 10 Lady Bird A24 $1,005,627 -52.1% 402 -545 $2,502 $28,306,445 - 8 15 8 The Disaster Artist A24 $907,247 -66.6% 517 -493 $1,755 $15,717,648 - 4 16 6 Daddy's Home 2 Par. $900,000 -76.4% 1,073 -1,420 $839 $99,175,556 $69 7 17 17 Call Me by Your Name SPC $850,736 +74.9% 114 +84 $7,463 $3,138,537 - 5 18 7 Thor: Ragnarok BV $814,000 -74.0% 701 -1,194 $1,161 $309,104,758 $180 8 19 9 Murder on the Orient Express (2017) Fox $500,000 -80.2% 447 -1,476 $1,119 $99,221,983 $55 7 21 13 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri FoxS $495,000 -68.8% 307 -637 $1,612 $22,710,619 - 7 20 N The Post Fox $495,000 - 9 - $55,000 $495,000 $50 1 22 21 I, Tonya Neon $445,694 +160.2% 37 +32 $12,046 $1,098,844 - 3 23 20 The Man Who Invented Christmas BST $125,785 -54.6% 146 -173 $862 $5,397,937 - 5 24 28 The Florida Project A24 $39,104 -29.6% 43 -23 $909 $5,205,190 - 12 25 N Hostiles ENTMP $26,000 - 3 - $8,667 $26,000 - 1 26 N Happy End SPC $23,800 - 33 - $721 $23,800 - 1 27 42 Marshall ORF $11,419 -32.5% 58 -13 $197 $9,448,966 $12 11 28 47 Faces Places Cohen $2,155 -81.4% 6 -3 $359 $582,273 - 12 29 29 My Friend Dahmer FR $1,100 -97.4% 3 -37 $367 $1,289,452 - 8 TOTAL (29 MOVIES): $169,822,667 -38.9% 34,529 +671 $4,918
<<Last Weekend <Last Year	View Index: By Year | By Weekend

[redfirebird2008]

3 minutes ago, bamajagala said:

I don't think it's happening based on my theater checks, more like 40% (17m) even though most dropped 50% in 2006. More like a 70-72 3 day and 102-104 4 day. We'll see

 

40% is best case scenario. Disney’s 50% projection is very reasonable. Some movies dropped 55-60% in 2006. 

[MyMovieCanBeatUpYourMovie]

I think the big drops for TLJ are far less important in terms of what it means for IX.  Disney is already bringing back Abrams, so there's really nothing they need to course-correct on there.  He's likely going to deliver exactly the film they want.

 

But the fact that they just announced they're going to hand Rian Johnson a billion dollars to make a new trilogy meant to kick off a new corner of the franchise, one not dependent on nostalgia for or links to the OT, makes it a much more fascinating conversation.

 

I'm sure when they made that decision, it was with the assurance they were about to release a film that both critics and audiences were going to go insane for. 

 

These drops suggest that the latter might not necessarily be the case to the overwhelming degree they were expecting.  So, do they alter their plans in any way?