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Weekend Thread - Insidious 29.6M, Jumanji 37.2M, TLJ 23.7M, TGS 13.8M, PP3 10.3

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11 minutes ago, aabattery said:

If Jumanji can pass 800M WW, 2017 will be the first year where all 10 of the top films of the year (worldwide) got over that benchmark.

 

Highest-grossing films of 2017
Rank Title Distributor Worldwide gross
1 Beauty and the Beast Disney $1,263,521,126
2 The Fate of the Furious Universal $1,235,761,498
3 Star Wars: The Last Jedi Disney $1,206,728,146
4 Despicable Me 3 Universal $1,033,508,147
5 Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony Pictures $880,166,924
6 Wolf Warrior 2 United Entertainment $870,325,439
7 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 Disney $863,732,512
8 Thor: Ragnarok $850,272,569
9 Wonder Woman Warner Bros. $821,847,012
10 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales Disney $794,861,794

 

That POTC5 gross has been killing me. It got so close! 2016 was the first year where all 10 got over 700M, so it's jumped up pretty quick here. Could the top 10 next year all be above 850M?

In no particular order

 

Black Panther

Solo

 Infinity War

Incredibles 2

 Deadpool

Fallen Kingdom

Fantastic Beasts

Let's add one surprise breakout like Mary Poppins, RPO, Grinch, or something like that

And add a foreign aka Chinese film

 

I don't even think 10 will make 800M

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5 minutes ago, DAJK said:

In no particular order

 

Black Panther

Solo

 Infinity War

Incredibles 2

 Deadpool

Fallen Kingdom

Fantastic Beasts

Let's add one surprise breakout like Mary Poppins, RPO, Grinch, or something like that

And add a foreign aka Chinese film

 

I don't even think 10 will make 800M

 

Then we gotta add more random movies from China breaking out outta nowhere to pump those numbers up.

 

I could see it happening if FB: THE CRIMES OF GRINDELWALD can hold on to it's audience and increase a little bit and if Deadpool can do the same AND get a China release to put it over the edge. We'll see I guess. Lots of random stuff can happen. Doubt anyone saw Jumanji coming anywhere near 800M a month ago. Maybe some cheeky breakouts like that next year could make things interesting.

 

That being said, if 2018 can't do it I reckon 2019 will give it a run for it's money.

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Can't see Solo coming near 800 WW and DP2 is questionable. FB2 is also questionable since I could see it staying pretty flat OS but decreasing DOM. BP is certainly no lock either since OS could be as low as 300-350. Hard to say. MPR should be huge DOM, but I really have no clue about its OS prospects. I'd actually say Grinch is a pretty safe bet given Illumination's DOM and OS track record, but even with that we really only have like 4 that are safe bets. So I can't see 10 happening at all. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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1 hour ago, aabattery said:

If Jumanji can pass 800M WW, 2017 will be the first year where all 10 of the top films of the year (worldwide) got over that benchmark.

 

Highest-grossing films of 2017
Rank Title Distributor Worldwide gross
1 Beauty and the Beast Disney $1,263,521,126
2 The Fate of the Furious Universal $1,235,761,498
3 Star Wars: The Last Jedi Disney $1,206,728,146
4 Despicable Me 3 Universal $1,033,508,147
5 Spider-Man: Homecoming Sony Pictures $880,166,924
6 Wolf Warrior 2 United Entertainment $870,325,439
7 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 Disney $863,732,512
8 Thor: Ragnarok $850,272,569
9 Wonder Woman Warner Bros. $821,847,012
10 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales Disney $794,861,794

 

That POTC5 gross has been killing me. It got so close! 2016 was the first year where all 10 got over 700M, so it's jumped up pretty quick here. Could the top 10 next year all be above 850M?

 

For 10 films above 850m, 2019 is a very good bet. Disney itself will have 6 films above 850 (maybe 1b+) : AIW2, TLK, Alladin, Frozen2, SW9, TS4. And 7 if you include Captain Marvel.

Surely other studios will contribute 3-4 more above 850+.

 

Also those 6 Disney films all should be 1b+ imo. Wonder if we have 4 more above 1b that year (an Illumination animation for eg, random Chinese breakout etc).

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4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

For 10 films above 850m, 2019 is a very good bet. Disney itself will have 6 films above 850 (maybe 1b+) : AIW2, TLK, Alladin, Frozen2, SW9, TS4. And 7 if you include Captain Marvel.

Surely other studios will contribute 3-4 more above 850+.

 

Also those 6 Disney films all should be 1b+ imo. Wonder if we have 4 more above 1b that year (an Illumination animation for eg, random Chinese breakout etc).

 

Yeah, 2019 is pretty nuts. Off the top of my head, WW2 should be above 850 as well. 

 

If Wolf Warriors 3 comes out then, it could definitely do it. WW2 (not the other WW2! (Or the other WW2!)) come out 2 years after the first, so a sequel around 2019 would make sense. 

 

Maybe 2019 could shoot for 10 above 900M :jeb!:

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2 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I just want Solo to succeed because poor Ron Howard. I honestly think the guy got dealt a bad hand and he genuinely seems like a sweet guy

 

I think Ron Howard is gonna be fine. Dude's had a long, illustrious career despite directing three films based on Dan Brown books.

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9 minutes ago, DAJK said:

I just want Solo to succeed because poor Ron Howard. I honestly think the guy got dealt a bad hand and he genuinely seems like a sweet guy

He hasn't been in good form at the box office after A Beautiful Mind.

Da Vinci Code and A&D were relatively easy money-makers imo.

Nixon and Rush both did below their small budgets. Nixon barely matched it's budget ww.

 

10/28/16 Inferno Sony $34,343,574 3,576 $14,860,425 3,576 17
9/15/16 The Beatles: Eight Days a Week - The Touring Years Abr. $2,930,414 155 $785,336 85 24
12/11/15 In the Heart of the Sea WB $25,020,758 3,103 $11,053,366 3,103 20
9/20/13 Rush (2013) Uni. $26,947,624 2,308 $187,289 5 19
1/14/11 The Dilemma Uni. $48,475,290 2,943 $17,816,230 2,940 14
5/15/09 Angels & Demons Sony $133,375,846 3,527 $46,204,168 3,527 6
12/5/08 Frost/Nixon Uni. $18,622,031 1,105 $180,708 3 23
5/19/06 The Da Vinci Code Sony $217,536,138 3,757 $77,073,388 3,735 2
6/3/05 Cinderella Man Uni. $61,649,911 2,820 $18,320,205 2,812 11
11/26/03 The Missing SonR $27,011,180 2,756 $10,833,633 2,756 18
Edited by a2knet
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1 minute ago, a2knet said:

He hasn't been in good form at the box office after A Beautiful Mind.

Da Vinci Code and A&D were relatively easy money-makers imo.

Nixon and Rush both did below their small budgets. Nixon barely matched it's budget ww.

 

10/28/16 Inferno Sony $34,343,574 3,576 $14,860,425 3,576 17
9/15/16 The Beatles: Eight Days a Week - The Touring Years Abr. $2,930,414 155 $785,336 85 24
12/11/15 In the Heart of the Sea WB $25,020,758 3,103 $11,053,366 3,103 20
9/20/13 Rush (2013) Uni. $26,947,624 2,308 $187,289 5 19
1/14/11 The Dilemma Uni. $48,475,290 2,943 $17,816,230 2,940 14
5/15/09 Angels & Demons Sony $133,375,846 3,527 $46,204,168 3,527 6
12/5/08 Frost/Nixon Uni. $18,622,031 1,105 $180,708 3 23
5/19/06 The Da Vinci Code Sony $217,536,138 3,757 $77,073,388 3,735 2
6/3/05 Cinderella Man Uni. $61,649,911 2,820 $18,320,205 2,812 11
11/26/03 The Missing SonR $27,011,180 2,756 $10,833,633 2,756 18

 

Ah, but he also narrated Arrested Development.

 

It balances out.

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2 hours ago, DAJK said:

I just want Solo to succeed because poor Ron Howard. I honestly think the guy got dealt a bad hand and he genuinely seems like a sweet guy

Well, his legendary legacy as a filmmaker will not be erased if Solo doesn't work out, so, no need to worry about him right now. Although yes, I would like for him to make a good movie again.

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