Valonqar Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Stars are lining up for TROS. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Just now, Valonqar said: Stars are lining up for TROS. Star Wars stans will get their revenge Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Or Spies in Disguise and Frozen are better "kid" movies to split off gross from Jumanji 2 than Coco (wrong season) and Ferdinand (just didn't "catch the fancy") were... The 2 animated movies might get the money, not the live action:)... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 This movie's predecessor and The Greatest Showman opened on the same day two years ago and the former made more than double the latter (which itself still ended up making an insane amount of money) and yet the latter seems to have lasted in the public conscious longer (the power of a catchy soundtrack, probably). If a sequel to The Greatest Showman had been put on the fast track to a Holiday 2019 release I bet the audience retention for it would've been a whole lot better than what this is looking to see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 (edited) 6 minutes ago, Alli said: Star Wars stans will get their revenge Jumanji 2/3 Under TROS in China? Edited December 6, 2019 by Valonqar 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 On 12/3/2019 at 8:00 PM, Arendelle Legion said: I think it could go a lot lower if the reception was medium-bad. 180 DOM (36*5 or 40*4.5, something to that effect with current tracking, presale, and calendar should be quite possible if not even lower) 50 China (POTUS currently saying 35-40 for OW, give it some weak PS growth and bad Maoyan for 30*1.67 or so) 220 OS-C (same DOM:OS-C ratio as you have) I hope this doesn’t turn out prophetic, but so far the China portion at least is very on point. Even an overestimate. And DOM still looks reasonable to me as well as the DOM:OS-C ratio 😬 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damien Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 The first movie wasn't really big in China to begin with and didn't have great WOM. We still don't know how this will behave in other markets. Maybe Frozen stole the family audience that drove the 1st ones box office. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 1 minute ago, Arendelle Legion said: I hope this doesn’t turn out prophetic, but so far the China portion at least is very on point. Even an overestimate. And DOM still looks reasonable to me as well as the DOM:OS-C ratio 😬 Gimme 165/490 ww Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 I can't say I would be surprised if this goes sub-$200 million DOM and under $500 million WW. Many sequels this year have had truly drastic drops from their predecessor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Jumanji is going to definitely make use of the 400m curse unlike Frozen and Catching Fire, proving once again that the exception is not the rule. Just didnt expect to go into the week before release doubting 250m. Hopefully stateside we are wrong and its still big because the Christmas season itself seems bland overall with people worried about J2 and Sw9 eating everything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 12 minutes ago, narniadis said: Jumanji is going to definitely make use of the 400m curse unlike Frozen and Catching Fire, proving once again that the exception is not the rule. Just didnt expect to go into the week before release doubting 250m. Hopefully stateside we are wrong and its still big because the Christmas season itself seems bland overall with people worried about J2 and Sw9 eating everything. It's actually a competitive Christmas for family dollars tbh. Not only this and Star Wars but also Spies in Disguise, Cats, Little Women (the latter two will act as family movies on some level given their PG ratings and musical/family-friendly natures), and even Frozen still hanging around. Luckily this is the time of year that can accommodate multiple movies aiming for similar audiences. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Horror of Lucas Films Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 2 hours ago, filmlover said: This movie's predecessor and The Greatest Showman opened on the same day two years ago and the former made more than double the latter (which itself still ended up making an insane amount of money) and yet the latter seems to have lasted in the public conscious longer (the power of a catchy soundtrack, probably). If a sequel to The Greatest Showman had been put on the fast track to a Holiday 2019 release I bet the audience retention for it would've been a whole lot better than what this is looking to see. Far easier to have a bette retention when you're dealing with a $175m hit instead of a $400m+ smash hit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Horror of Lucas Films Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 2 hours ago, Valonqar said: Stars are lining up for TROS. $175m-$200m LMFAO. That low end would be tragical. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ViewerAnon Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE benefitted a lot from nostalgia for the Robin Williams movie, then surprised everyone by being really fun. THE NEXT LEVEL is "just" a comedy sequel, and apparently not a terribly good one. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyK Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 This is on in my local cinema already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 We should have guessed something was off when the poster released 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 this is probably going to make only 400m worldwide at this point Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alli Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 16 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: this is probably going to make only 400m worldwide at this point What a twist!!! Seriously, the very likely underperformance is just nuts. What went wrong? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrGlass2 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 What is it with some people positively drooling at the idea that J3 will bomb, and... 12 hours ago, cdsacken said: Sub 500 ww it is. 1 hour ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: this is probably going to make only 400m worldwide at this point That's based on what? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 33 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said: What is it with some people positively drooling at the idea that J3 will bomb, and... That's based on what? China performance for one - its going to be lucky to get to J2's OW in total if it doesn't sprout unusual China legs, so lack of growth in the booming market and rather lack of growth / buzz and sales in every other capacity. Still hoping it gets to 500m WW myself but unless something pops next week unlike what presales indicate (and tracking for that matter) its gonna behave more like It 2 than Guardians of the Galaxy 2 that all being said, 400m WW or less seems unfathomable, even with poor performances elsewhere. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...