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MaxAggressor

Weekend Thread | Estimates (per DHD) ~ MR:TDC 23M, J 15.8M, H 9.8M, TGS 9.3M, TP 8.7M, 12S/DoT 7.9M, TSOW 5.7M, P2 5.5M, TLJ 4M, TBOEM 3.6M

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$9,600,000

+14.3% / $2,535
$18,000,000 / 2
$5,500,000

-42.7% / $1,452
$23,500,000 / 3

N/A
2 JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE
Sony / Columbia

3,553
$3,775,000

+237% / $1,062
$325,432,203 / 38
$7,635,000

+102.3% / $2,149
$333,067,203 / 39
$4,990,000

-34.6% / $1,404
$338,057,203 / 40

N/A
3 HOSTILES
Entertainment Studios

2,816
$3,380,000

+5221.6% / $1,200
$5,227,795 / 36
$4,015,000

+18.8% / $1,426
$9,242,795 / 37
$2,810,000

-30% / $998
$12,052,795 / 38

N/A
4 THE GREATEST SHOWMAN
Fox

2,663
$2,540,000

+185.3% / $954
$119,515,232 / 38
$4,385,000

+72.6% / $1,647
$123,900,232 / 39
$2,575,000

-41.3% / $967
$126,475,232 / 40

N/A
5 12 STRONG
Warner Bros.

3,018
$2,315,000

+123.4% / $767
$23,439,610 / 8
$3,900,000

+68.5% / $1,292
$27,339,610 / 9
$2,420,000

-37.9% / $802
$29,759,610 / 10

N/A
6 THE POST
Fox

2,640
$2,400,000

+110.2% / $909
$52,085,923 / 36
$4,100,000

+70.8% / $1,553
$56,185,923 / 37
$2,350,000

-42.7% / $890
$58,535,923 / 38

N/A
7 DEN OF THIEVES
STX Entertainment

2,432
$2,340,000

+132.7% / $962
$22,482,445 / 8
$3,760,000

+60.7% / $1,546
$26,242,445 / 9
$2,260,000

-39.9% / $929
$28,502,445 / 10

N/A
8 PADDINGTON 2
Warner Bros.

2,792
$1,150,000

+219.3% / $412
$27,600,416 / 15
$2,675,000

+132.6% / $958
$30,275,416 / 16
$1,745,000

-34.8% / $625
$32,020,416 / 17

N/A
9 THE SHAPE OF WATER
Fox Searchlight

1,854
$1,590,000

+218.8% / $858
$33,568,745 / 57
$2,495,000

+56.9% / $1,346
$36,063,745 / 58
$1,615,000

-35.3% / $871
$37,678,745 / 59

N/A
10 PADMAAVAT
Viva Pictures Distribution

324
$1,139,370

+124.6% / $3,517
$1,646,611 / 2
$1,841,628

+61.6% / $5,684
$3,488,239 / 3
$1,292,000

-29.8% / $3,988
$4,780,239 / 4

N/A
11 STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI
Buena Vista

1,745
$967,000

+86% / $554
$607,508,821 / 43
$1,962,000

+102.9% / $1,124
$609,470,821 / 44
$1,255,000

-36% / $719
$610,725,821 / 45

N/A
12 THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI
Fox Searchlight

1,457
$980,000

+174.1% / $673
$34,390,951 / 78
$1,645,000

+67.9% / $1,129
$36,035,951 / 79
$975,000

-40.7% / $669
$37,010,951 / 80

N/A
- THE COMMUTER
Lionsgate

1,811
$937,000

+97.8% / $517
$28,914,189 / 15
$1,570,000

+67.6% / $867
$30,484,189 / 16
$943,000

-39.9% / $521
$31,427,189 / 17

N/A
- DARKEST HOUR
Focus Features

1,333
$758,000

+92.9% / $569
$43,070,407 / 66
$1,251,000

+65% / $938
$44,321,407 / 67
$876,000

-30% / $657
$45,197,407 / 68

N/A
- PHANTOM THREAD
Focus Features

1,021
$808,000

+92.9% / $791
$8,539,809 / 33
$1,263,000

+56.3% / $1,237
$9,802,809 / 34
$821,000

-35% / $804
$10,623,809 / 35

N/A
- I, TONYA
Neon

960
$846,712

+145.9% / $882
$16,721,454 / 50
$1,326,670

+56.7% / $1,382
$18,048,124 / 51
$795,898

-40% / $829
$18,844,022 / 52

N/A
- INSIDIOUS: THE LAST KEY
Universal

1,901
$932,000

+167.4% / $490
$61,192,300 / 22
$1,522,000

+63.3% / $801
$62,714,300 / 23
$761,000

-50% / $400
$63,475,300 / 24

N/A
- LADY BIRD
A24

1,172
$494,340

+166.9% / $422
$40,217,432 / 85
$841,440

+70.2% / $718
$41,058,872 / 86
$589,008

-30% / $503
$41,647,880 / 87

N/A
- COCO
Buena Vista

621
$272,000

+127.1% / $438
$201,539,237 / 66
$657,000

+141.5% / $1,058
$202,196,237 / 67
$557,000

-15.2% / $897
$202,753,237 / 68

N/A
- PROUD MARY
Sony / Screen Gems

1,003
$354,000

+67.7% / $353
$18,277,868 / 15
$651,000

+83.9% / $649
$18,928,868 / 16
$360,000

-44.7% / $359
$19,288,868 / 17

N/A
- PITCH PERFECT 3
Universal

1,039
$372,000

+124.7% / $358
$101,723,130 / 36
$634,000

+70.4% / $610
$102,357,130 / 37
$317,000

-50% / $305
$102,674,130 / 38

N/A
- FERDINAND
Fox

675
$175,000

+135.3% / $259
$79,705,854 / 43
$470,000

+168.6% / $696
$80,175,854 / 44
$305,000

-35.1% / $452
$80,480,854 / 45

N/A
- MOLLY'S GAME
STX Entertainment

556
$240,000

+56.8% / $432
$25,241,433 / 33
$410,000

+70.8% / $737
$25,651,433 / 34
$250,000

-39% / $450
$25,901,433 / 35

N/A
- WONDER
Lionsgate

349
$134,000

+81.8% / $384
$130,266,440 / 71
$179,000

+33.6% / $513
$130,445,440 / 72
$117,000

-34.6% / $335
$130,562,440 / 73

N/A
- ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD
TriStar

227
$62,000

+26.5% / $273
$24,367,907 / 33
$102,000

+64.5% / $449
$24,469,907 / 34
$61,000

-40.2% / $269
$24,530,907 / 35

N/A
- MARY AND THE WITCH'S FLOWER
GKIDS

77
$27,252
(actual)
-1.8% / $354
$1,675,949 / 9
$57,808
(actual)
+112.1% / $751
$1,733,757 / 10
$52,027

-10% / $676
$1,785,784 / 11

N/A
- THOR: RAGNAROK
Buena Vista

150
$48,000

+147.4% / $320
$313,561,009 / 85
$87,000

+81.3% / $580
$313,648,009 / 86
$48,000

-44.8% / $320
$313,696,009 / 87

N/A
- GET OUT
Universal

468
$53,000

-- / $113
$175,739,870 / 148
$73,000

+37.7% / $156
$175,812,870 / 156
$44,000

-39.7% / $94
$175,856,870 / 164

N/A
- DADDY'S HOME 2
Paramount

145
$35,000

+161.7% / $241
$103,633,484 / 78
$73,000

+108.6% / $503
$103,706,484 / 79
$42,000

-42.5% / $290
$103,748,484 / 80

N/A
- THE DISASTER ARTIST
A24

84
$32,300

+67.4% / $385
$20,844,154 / 57
$42,240

+30.8% / $503
$20,886,394 / 58
$29,568

-30% / $352
$20,915,962 / 59

N/A
- DOWNSIZING
Paramount

113
$19,000

+151.8% / $168
$24,366,408 / 36
$32,000

+68.4% / $283
$24,398,408 / 37
$19,000

-40.6% / $168
$24,417,408 / 38

N/A
- THE FLORIDA PROJECT
A24

33
$15,511

+111.6% / $470
$5,616,552 / 113
$23,399

+50.9% / $709
$5,639,951 / 114
$16,379

-30% / $496
$5,656,330 / 115

N/A
- CONDORITO: LA PELICULA
Lionsgate

36
$3,400

+10.1% / $94
$423,022 / 15
$6,800

+100% / $189
$429,822 / 16
$7,300

+7.4% / $203
$437,122 / 17

N/A
- THE BREADWINNER
GKIDS

4
$503
(actual)
+1097.6% / $126
$252,176 / 71
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Jan 26–28 17 $2,164,000
(Estimate)
-20.7% 1,333 -8 $1,623 $45,197,407
(Estimate)

10

 

- DARKEST HOUR
Focus Features

1,333
$758,000

+92.9% / $569
$43,070,407 / 66
$1,251,000

+65% / $938
$44,321,407 / 67

$876,000

-30% / $657
$45,197,407 / 68

 

That darkest hour weekend figure just doesn't tally with its daily breakdown, weekend figure should be at $2.885m, up 5.7%

 

 

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1 minute ago, the beast said:

Where do you expect it to land in terms of domestic and worldwide numbers?

With NATM legs (3.55 x 6th weekend) from here on out J2 will get to 396.37 million. Let's assume it'll have a mini collapse (BP takes steam off J2's domestic BO run next month) and achieve a 3.2 multiplier after the 6th weekend, then it'll finish with 390.5 million.

 

I'm not sure about the OS figure, but 1.5 times the most recent weekend (China will cease to make a significant contribution) doesn't seem a long shot. So (1.5x17.7) gets the OS total up-to [484+26.5]=510.5 million.

 

World-wide total becomes [390.5+510.5]=801 million. It still hasn't opened in Japan yet so J2 should easily clear 900 million.

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So, TLJ 610, 1.3 Bill.  Wonder how much it has left in the tank.  But under "Jurassic World" and "Titanic" is a surprise to me, I thought it would get pass those.  So we are reaching for probably 2.75-2.8x Mutipler.  So give 'Jumani 2" it's props.  Speaking of that, "Jumanji 2" crossing 800 million is really huge, like there should be a Part 3 in the works type huge.  As for the "Maze Runner" Franchise.  Look they've been very cost effective budget wise, I think the franchise is over 700 Million now so I guess this numbers aren't that bad when you take that into account but they aren't great either.  Everything else is typical January pretty much.  

Edited by filmscholar
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I don't think that's a bad number for Maze overall. Sunday drop is a little worrying, but I think it could come near its budget domestically. OS it's probably going to do o/u 200M, so considering this is the last one anyway, Fox is still going to make a profit.

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I still think Jumanji will beat Wonder Woman:

 

Remainder of this week: 5.2M (343.3M Total)

Feb 2: 13.4M (4.2M weekdays, 360.9M Total)

Feb 9: 11.8M (3M weekdays, 375.7M Total)

Feb 16: 7.8M (4M weekdays, 387.5M Total)

Feb 23: 6.3M (2M weekdays, 395.8M Total)

Mar 2: 4M (1.3M weekdays, 401.1M Total)

Mar 9: 3.1M (900k weekdays, 405.1M Total)

Mar 16: 2.5M (700k weekdays, 408.3M Total)

Mar 23: 1.6M (500k weekdays, 410.4M Total)

Mar 30: 1.1M (300k weekdays, 411.8M Total)

Final Total: 415M (7.86x from 5 day/11.46x from 3 day)

 

Edited by WrathOfHan
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5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I still think Jumanji will beat Wonder Woman:

 

Remainder of this week: 5.2M (343.3M Total)

Feb 2: 13.4M (4.2M weekdays, 360.9M Total)

Feb 9: 11.8M (3M weekdays, 375.7M Total)

Feb 16: 7.8M (4M weekdays, 387.5M Total)

Feb 23: 6.3M (2M weekdays, 395.8M Total)

Mar 2: 4M (1.3M weekdays, 401.1M Total)

Mar 9: 3.1M (900k weekdays, 405.1M Total)

Mar 16: 2.5M (700k weekdays, 408.3M Total)

Mar 23: 1.6M (500k weekdays, 410.4M Total)

Mar 30: 1.1M (300k weekdays, 411.8M Total)

Final Total: 415M (7.86x from 5 day/11.46x from 3 day)

 

 

Dammit, stick to your guns, I want @CJohn to build a statue.

 

Also still finding it funny that 7 months after release, you've managed to find a way to be on team anti WW.

Edited by MrPink
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#JumanjiJumanji_Emoji.png has soared to an amazing $822M worldwide to date. $338M domestic & intl at $484M led by China's $72.4M. Great holds each week. Japan still to come. May head to final of about $950M. Can't rule out one billion!
 
 
Is there any real chance it crosses 1 billion?
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4 minutes ago, Apollo2xx said:
#JumanjiJumanji_Emoji.png has soared to an amazing $822M worldwide to date. $338M domestic & intl at $484M led by China's $72.4M. Great holds each week. Japan still to come. May head to final of about $950M. Can't rule out one billion!
 
 
Is there any real chance it crosses 1 billion?

Only if it breaks out in Japan.

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