Weekend Thread: Weekend estimates pg 38...BP 41.14....WIT 33.31

[fabiopazzo2]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

9.9 -.-

[XO21]

14 minutes ago, Alli said:

I think the estimated weekend drop for Red Sparrow is too severe. Friday it did the same number as American Made and that made 8.4M second weekend.

I didn’t expect the Friday bump is so weak, I think it’s under 100%..

 

edit: 82.6%

Edited March 10, 2018 by XO21

[filmlover]

Just now, titanic2187 said:

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	-	A Wrinkle in Time	BV	$10,214,000	-	-	3,980	$2,566	$10,214,000	1
2	1	Black Panther	BV	$9,972,000	+135%	-39%	3,942	$2,530	$530,851,601	22
3	-	Strangers: Prey at Night	Aviron	$4,000,000	-	-	2,464	$1,623	$4,000,000	1
4	2	Red Sparrow	Fox	$2,320,000	+83%	-61%	3,064	$757	$25,288,743	8
5	3	Game Night	WB (NL)	$2,200,000	+136%	-27%	3,061	$719	$39,340,632	15
6	4	Death Wish (2018)	MGM	$1,737,000	+102%	-59%	2,882	$603	$19,012,301	8
7	5	Peter Rabbit	Sony	$1,475,000	+138%	-30%	3,112	$474	$88,132,806	29
8	-	Gringo	STX	$977,000	-	-	2,404	$406	$977,000	1
9	-	The Hurricane Heist	ENTMP	$950,000	-	-	2,402	$396	$950,000	1
10	6	Annihilation	Par.	$870,000	+69%	-43%	1,709	$509	$23,814,514	15
11	7	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony	$660,000	+127%	-37%	2,157	$306	$395,168,020	80
12	10	The Shape of Water	FoxS	$620,000	+160%	+80%	1,552	$399	$59,213,138	99
-	9	The Greatest Showman	Fox	$485,000	+99%	-32%	952	$509	$166,185,401	80
-	8	Fifty Shades Freed	Uni.	$443,000	+61%	-58%	1,357	$326	$97,457,595	29
-	-	Thoroughbreds	Focus	$437,000	-	-	549	$796	$437,000	1
-	11	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	FoxS	$180,000	+48%	-46%	552	$326	$52,824,562	120
-	-	The Post	Fox	$77,000	+16%	-72%	278	$277	$80,908,256	78
-	-	Every Day (2018)	Orion	$73,424	-12%	-84%	615	$119	$5,777,721	15
-	-	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$60,000	+159%	-4%	246	$244	$619,277,731	85
-	-	Coco	BV	$57,000	+97%	-16%	194	$294	$208,638,333	108
-	-	Winchester	LGF	$49,000	+69%	-65%	261	$188	$24,753,023	36
-	-	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	Fox	$45,000	+38%	-61%	214	$210	$57,312,200	43
-	-	Early Man	LGF	$22,000	-49%	-73%	186	$118	$7,947,359	22
-	-	Wonder	LGF	$21,000	+12%	-17%	138	$152	$132,187,669	113
-	-	Samson	PFR	$15,000	-38%	-81%	93	$161	$4,570,929	22
-	-	Hostiles	ENTMP	$14,000	-30%	-67%	90	$156	$29,567,024	78
-	-	The Commuter	LGF	$11,000	+26%	-46%	71	$155	$36,287,734	57
-	-	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$10,000	+37%	-69%	70	$143	$315,003,103	127
-	-	La Boda de Valentina	PNT	$8,800	+67%	-61%	45	$196	$2,725,843	29

That's actually decent-ish for Thoroughbreds. Could've done worse.

[AniNate]

I hope Death of Stalin finds its way here. Loved In the Loop.

[Avatree]

-38% week-to-week drop for Samson. Not bad. 

[Avatree]

Just now, tribefan695 said:

I hope Death of Stalin finds its way here. Loved In the Loop.

Have you seen the series?

[TwoMisfits]

Just goes to show you can't tout a movie with the same movie campaign theme twice...lightning only strikes once...

 

Disney probably should have focused WAY less on the diversity message and more on a "relive the magic of the book" theme for this movie.  I mean, the book itself could have drawn from all sorts of demos - you have an award winning book read by kids for 50+ years (so you have a widely aged fanbase, just like Tolkien and Lewis and Rowling movies)...now, it's still not a done deal on where and how this ends up, but some of the ugliness that has come about b/c of the movie probably could have been avoided if the focus of the ad campaigning was on the movie to book relationship...now maybe not, b/c people are people, but they could have tried...

 

But, here's to a spring break rebound starting today.  I, for one, think Disney is at its best when it tries to make animated and live action premier material, and isn't just relying on its brand base...and I don't want them to use another excuse to say, "Well, we need Toy Story 4-6, b/c giving families a premier work isn't gonna work for our bottom line..."

[CaptainJackSparrow]

Hopefully A Wrinkle in Time has strong legs like Greatest Showman and Peter Rabbit did.

[filmlover]

Just now, CaptainJackSparrow said:

Hopefully A Wrinkle in Time has strong legs like Greatest Showman and Peter Rabbit did.

With just a B CS grade (compared to the A and A- scores that those two received), I doubt it.

[Alli]

16 minutes ago, XO21 said:

I didn’t expect the Friday bump is so weak, I think it’s under 100%..

 

edit: 82.6%

Weird. It did very good during the weekdays

[filmlover]

17 minutes ago, XO21 said:

I didn’t expect the Friday bump is so weak, I think it’s under 100%..

 

edit: 82.6%

 

Just now, Alli said:

Weird. It did very good during the weekdays

I think that's because it's skewing older, really.

[a2k]

4 hours ago, EmpireCity said:

I think they are still off on the Wrinkle number.  I am guessing it will come in closer to $10.3m for Friday

On the nose pretty much.

 

I can see sub-30 OW.

 

1.2 + 9 + 12 (+33%) + 8.3 (-31%) = 30.5

1.2 + 9 + 11 (+22%) + 7.3 (-34%) = 28.5

 

[Alli]

AWIT is The Mummy of 2018. Nothing worked for it

[CoolioD1]

death of stalin wasn't as good as in the loop. it's a fun time and surprisingly brutal in spots but i did kinda forget about it until all the articles about its US release came out this week.

[Fancyarcher]

1 minute ago, Alli said:

AWIT is The Mummy of 2018. Nothing worked for it

AWIT wasn't trying to set up a cinematic universe though. 

[Krissykins]

Thos early estimates from Deadline were so off. Up to $4m off. Morons. 

[sfran43]

 

[AniNate]

25 minutes ago, Treetanic said:

Have you seen the series?

 

No, unfortunately. Got a very extensive waiting list.

 

 

Edited March 10, 2018 by tribefan695

[Zakiyyah6]

If Wrinkle only goes up like like 25%, there is going to be no way to even remotely spin it's weekend numbers. 

[DAJK]

I'm fine with Wrinkle flopping (part cause I thought the movie was just BAD... I'll get more into that after work) but these bombs can show Disney that they can't just put out whatever and expect it to work wonders. They're top of the movie world because they mostly deliver on quality