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The Wild Eric

Weekend Box Office: Actuals (Page 55): BP $26.6M TR $23.7M ICOI $17.1M AWIT $16.3M LS $11.8M, PR crosses $100M, Jumanji crosses $400M

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48 minutes ago, The Mad Panda said:

What happens if Sherlock Gnomes opens in Home or Boss Baby fashion?  Dethroning Black Panther and becoming the top grossing movie of March?

Why would it? It's a pretty small film that's lucky to not be straight to Netflix

 

 

Fun fact: Gnomeo and Juliet holds the record for highest grossing film that grossed under 100M, at 99.967M

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56 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

WiT should do around 17m this weekend. That's a very solid second weekend hold compared to all other live action Disney family fare. WOM isn't toxic at least. 

Holds are comparable to BatB, Cinderella (2015), and Oz, which all had a smidge under 50% drops:

 

Oz: -47.9%

Cinderell0a: -48.5%

BatB: -49%

 

IF Disney hasn't overestimated it again, that is.  Still, it does look to be in the right ballpark.

 

Now in regards to 100m, Disney isn't in the habit of fudging, but it is kinda/sorta in the habit of leaving films in theaters for a long time if it wants to.  

 

I could see a scenario where they keep AWiT in a handful of theaters late into the summer unless it utterly and completely self-destructs later on.  Take Cinderella (2015).  It stayed in theaters until September.  Now that was gunning for 200m, so yes it is a different situation.  But we're not talking about a huge money maker here those last four months:

 

Quote
May 15–17 12 $631,608 -62.4% 641 -393 $985 $197,231,159 10
May 22–24 15 $413,952 -34.5% 356 -285 $1,163 $197,856,398 11
May 22–25 15 $556,356 -11.9% 356 -285 $1,563 $197,998,802 11
May 29–31 19 $242,908 -41.3% 249 -107 $976 $198,350,753 12
Jun 5–7 20 $303,470 +24.9% 302 +53 $1,005 $198,782,354 13
Jun 12–14 18 $261,863 -13.7% 270 -32 $970 $199,280,075 14
Jun 19–21 17 $344,535 +31.6% 275 +5 $1,253 $199,833,128 15
Jun 26–28 19 $261,264 -24.2% 235 -40 $1,112 $200,286,777 16
Jul 3–5 30 $115,169 -55.9% 175 -60 $658 $200,587,758 17
Jul 10–12 38 $59,506 -48.3% 127 -48 $469 $200,743,973 18
Jul 17–19 40 $47,983 -19.4% 104 -23 $461 $200,849,342 19
Jul 24–26 46 $29,052 -39.5% 70 -34 $415 $200,924,161 20
Jul 31–Aug 2 43 $36,624 +26.1% 64 -6 $572 $200,985,782 21
Aug 7–9 58 $17,336 -52.7% 52 -12 $333 $201,031,891 22
Aug 14–16 60 $16,406 -5.4% 45 -7 $365 $201,063,228 23
Aug 21–23 66 $11,485 -30.0% 35 -10 $328 $201,084,951 24
Aug 28–30 60 $16,460 +43.3% 34 -1 $484 $201,108,150 25
Sep 4–6 70 $13,266 -19.4% 30 -4 $442 $201,129,476 26
Sep 4–7 61 $20,005 +21.5% 30 -4 $667 $201,136,215 26
Sep 11–13 77 $8,103 -38.9% 26 -4 $312 $201,148,159 27

Even after it hit 200m, it still was in theaters inching along.

 

So I'm not going to quite bury AWiT's 100m possibility, if only because it is exactly the type of kid/young girl friendly movie that can find a niche and burrow there for a while in some theaters, even as it does a pittance.

Edited by Porthos
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1 hour ago, AJG said:

 

That movie looks plain as hell. Some rich kid is struggling to come out to his uber-millennial buddies... that’s it.

 

I was really surprised when @WrathOfHan made his LS>TFIOS club because i could not tell you what on Earth was supposed to be the films hook in the trailers.

What is TFIOS? 

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13 minutes ago, Green245 said:

I love this forum. But sometimes I wish the site came with an acronym users guide. Especially for new posters.

 

 

It has a built in one - say for TA or TDK, just hasnt been updated in a while

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2 hours ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Like it was going to go up and do 45mil last weekend? Why do this to yourself?

I'm not doing anything to myself....I haven't seen the movie and doubt I'd like it so nothing vested there.  But it has been beating TR on MT.com, is a family movie and should have decent Sat/Sun after a Friday that was better than what I expected so... I'm making a semi-bold prediction which is what we do here?

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