AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

[Sunny Max]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

~900mn

Bro ... $305 Million in 2 Days .. So You Mean $600 Million in Remaining 3 Days From OS ...

 

i Dont Think So .. 

[john2000]

3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

~900mn

 so 1.2 billion  ww ? if so then endgame can really challenge avatar ? 

[cdsacken]

Calling it now UK does 55+ million this weekend. Infinity war 41.45 and it wasn't expected to explode here. Frankly if Saturday is monstrous as I think near 60 is possible.

[gfb]

 

Turkey

 

Endgame OD (thursday): 352,089 admissions/6,082,094 lc/1,022,200 USD estimated

Infinity War OD (friday): 244,363 admissions/3,777,551 lc/935,037 USD  estimated.

 

%44, %61, %9 increases respectively despite like Spain, switching OD to a thursday from a friday. 

 

Beat Thursday OD record by %44.5 (belonged to highest grossing film in Turkey previously) in admissions and by %120 in lc, beat OD record in lc by %20 which Infinity War is at #5 all time and only other Thursday OD on the list is that highest grossing film ever at #9, became #4 all time in admissions of OD which has no other Thursday ODs in the top 10 and no Infinity War. 

 

Looks like it'll be the 5th foreign film to pass 2 million admissions (AIW was 1,909,967 anyway at #5 all time) and might have a shot at Avatar's 2,482,991 admissions to snatch the #4th place. Won't reach top 3. Should be the #1 all time in local currency as well, AIW was #3. But won't even get half of Avatar's 17.5m USD cume even though it'll beat it in lc. And including local films, AIW was at #64 all time by admissions, Endgame should be locked into top 50. Turkey box office is dominated by local films for the uninitiated, #1 admissions of foreign releases makes it to #26 all time when including local films.  

 

Insane numbers for a small market.

 

20 hours ago, salvador-232 said:

 

Turkey currency also has been devaluated by 43% in the last year, but I don't know the market, maybe it can overtake that ( I don't think so but maybe?) 

 

I was going to say %43 is a bit much because TRY/USD tanked after a few days of Infinity War like Brazil and the rest of its gross was affected. But TRY/USD started to tank again for Endgame's OW now so that might be the right percentage. 

 

I thought Endgame matching Infinity War's USD cume would be a big overperformance but then its Thursday OD went ahead and almost increased %10 over Infinity War's friday OD in freaking USD despite all the exchange rate drop and I don't know what to tell you anymore. Deadpool is relatively strong in Turkey and was tough competition for AIW. For Endgame, John Wick 3 will do good business but Pika is a wildcard. I can see it being a flop or a success both. That will affect Endgame legs. No big local film releases during this time, they release in the winter season. Will see if it can really match Infinity War USD cume or even beat it. Both look very possible right now, but it's just OD numbers. 

 

Thing is, Turkey won't add really much from AIW  due to tanked TRY/USD but AIW admissions/lc for Endgame would meant a few million decrease for Endgame WW total (which doesn't matter tbf) but now this overperformance would cover for those lost millions even if it does not add meaningfully to Endgame's WW gross by increasing over AIW. 

Edited April 26, 2019 by gfb

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, Sunny Max said:

Bro ... $305 Million in 2 Days .. So You Mean $600 Million in Remaining 3 Days From OS ...

 

i Dont Think So .. 

china will add 100 million alone and some more things to keep in mind its weekend and the movie didnt release in all the countries yet in fact many left 

[Sunny Max]

1 minute ago, john2000 said:

china will add 100 million alone and some more things to keep in mind its weekend and the movie didnt release in all the countries yet in fact many left 

Yeah Its Possible ... i Have Calculated Now .. Ok Thnxx

[john2000]

Just now, Sunny Max said:

Yeah Its Possible ... i Have Calculated Now .. Ok Thnxx

[Legion Again]

16 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

~900mn

Okay, I have a confession.   

 

I underestimated it again. I never learn

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said:

Okay, I have a confession.   

 

I underestimated it again. I never learn

We all think we can overestimate Endgame,

 

We are all wrong.

[HouseOfTheSun]

Looks like your Iron man 3 Mark is becoming very real very quickly @Thanos Legion

[cdsacken]

1.25 OW WW 2.8 total. That's a good test for over estimating

[bladels]

Trying to book a good IMAX seat for this movie in Vietnam is a dead end.

Might have to wait 2 weeks to watch it on IMAX

[HouseOfTheSun]

Just now, bladels said:

Trying to book a good IMAX seat for this movie in Vietnam is a dead end.

Might have to wait 2 weeks to watch it on IMAX

Bring a bean bag and squat on the stairs

[salvador-232]

24 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

We all think we can overestimate Endgame,

 

We are all wrong.

I overestimated it 

[pepsa]

@Charlie Jatinder For SK you can add $8.2m Friday, $13m sat, $11m Sunday to your charts (sat and sunday are est but should be close).

 

So that would be SK FSS => $32.2m

[Legion Again]

Been thinking about that 12 days to 2B thing some more. Outside chance it’s another underestimate.

[pepsa]

10 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Been thinking about that 12 days to 2B thing some more. Outside chance it’s another underestimate.

Yeah I have been doing the math on it and with china holiday and DOM going big it seems pretty safe tbh.

[Muzdt]

	AEG	CM	FB2	JW2	AIW	BP	TLJ
T	45,229	21,707	10,569	18,494	25,650	14,359	9,747
T+1	35,635	19,518	12,890	21,773	22,762	13,250	10,091
T+2	37,301	24,694	20,278	35,916	26,538	14,198	13,699
T+3		39,832	19,007	36,336	42,070	13,226	13,137
T+4		37,165			43,099	13,541
T+5						13,062
	118,165	142,916	62,744	112,519	160,119	81,636	46,674

[Legion Again]

9 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Yeah I have been doing the math on it and with china holiday and DOM going big it seems pretty safe tbh.

By underestimate I mean there’s an outside shot I went too slow and it comes in at 11. Again, not willing to predict that yet, but wtf.

[charlie Jatinder]

I was wondering today, it don't even need great legs to reach Avatar.

 

I mean, think.

 

It will do 1.25 Billie in weekend. Holidays in weekdays, China alone can add $110mn plus. Then USA doing similar amount and another 225-250mn in rest. That will be $1.7-1.73 Billion in one week.

 

Say it drop, 60% worldwide - china, that's about $450mn + $90mn Week 2 China. $2.3 Billie at end of 2 Weeks.

 

Post that it will need $450mn Approx for Avatar, which can be done as in

       

 

	USA	China	Rest	WW	Change
Week 0		157	148	305
Week 1	425	310	700	1435
Week 2	175	90	285	550	-61.67%
Week 3	85	35	130	250	-54.55%
Week 4	43	15	60	118	-52.80%
Week 5	30	5	25	60	-49.15%
Week 6	18	2	15	35	-41.67%
Week 7	12		10	22	-37.14%
Rest	20		15	35
Total	808	614	1388	2810