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Weekend Thread....Please read the staff announcement pg 104 (Solo 29.2...DP 23.3...Adrift 11.5)

By baumer, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by baumer,

Look ladies and gentlemen, this has gone on long enough.  It started with the DCEU and we didn't put the lid on that quick enough,  It made the forums unbearable for a time.  So we had to make the spoiling the well rule.     Same thing goes here.  It's not a SW bias as some have suggested.  It's that about a dozen posters have all complained about the same things.  We can't have a shit storm/blitzkrieg against one film.  There are threads for that.  We have said in the past, if you wan
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dxmatrixdt Summer Tentpole

dxmatrixdt

Posted
Posted

does anyone know if Star Wars is supposed to hold all 4,381 locations next week?  The other Star Wars films do 3 weeks.  I guess maybe you could tell if just one theater is dropping nearby. 

if there is an evidence of just one, then I can go ahead and assume (-200) for next week to get to 4,181 which is similar to the 4,161 of DP2 week 3 

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IronJimbo Global Phenomenon

IronJimbo

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56 minutes ago, mathematics movies madness said:

lol, sometimes good franchise movies get made when the producers say fuck the fans

the fans don't know what they want until they see it

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dxmatrixdt Summer Tentpole

dxmatrixdt

Posted
Posted (edited)

revised estimates to look like this + weekdays = totals after Thursday 6/7

 

Solo: Star Wars - 29.30 / 148.89 + 12.28 = 161.17

Deadpool 2 - 23.33 / 254.65 + 10.11 = 264.76

Adrift - 11.55 / 11.55 +4.97 = 16.52 

Infinity War - 10.37 / 642.87 +4.63 = 647.50

Book Club - 6.85 / 47.37 +4.49 = 51.86

Upgrade - 4.56 / 4.56 +2.10 = 6.66

Life of the Party - 3.50 / 46.34 +3.50 = 49.84

Breaking In - 2.82 / 41.35 +1.36 = 42.71

Action Point - 2.33 / 2.33 +1.17 = 3.50

Overboard - 2.02 / 45.57  +0.90 = 46.47

A Quiet Place - 1.78 / 183.53 +0.93 = 184.46

Show Dogs - 1.55 / 14.63 +0.75 = 15.38

Rampage - 0.60 / 95.09 +0.28 = 95.37

Black Panther - 0.25 / 699.13 +0.12 = 699.25

A Wrinkle in Time - 0.14 / 97.95 +0.06 = 98.01

Edited by xmathmadness
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dxmatrixdt Summer Tentpole

dxmatrixdt

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13 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

the fans don't know what they want until they see it

and when people see the movie and after its over, fans are created and non fans , especially with anticipated fan driven events you get the divisiveness appearing from media outlets and peoples expressing it by other means. 

Sci-fi stuff like mother!, Vanilla Sky, Under the Skin, Annihilation and Inception (last 5 seconds) also create fans and dislike to varying degrees per feature.

 

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dxmatrixdt Summer Tentpole

dxmatrixdt

Posted
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2 hours ago, xmathmadness said:

does anyone know if Star Wars is supposed to hold all 4,381 locations next week?  The other Star Wars films do 3 weeks.  I guess maybe you could tell if just one theater is dropping nearby. 

if there is an evidence of just one, then I can go ahead and assume (-200) for next week to get to 4,181 which is similar to the 4,161 of DP2 week 3 

assuming it does drop -1, therefore -200+, 

(new) 4,000 - Ocean's - 43.00

(-200) 4,181 - Solo - 17.00 - 178.17

(-500) 3,661 - Dead - 14.00 - 278.76

(new) 2,500 - Hereditary - 12.00

(-600) 2,970 - Infinity - 7.00 - 654.50

         3,015 - Adrift - 5.50 - 22.02

(new) 2,000 - Hotel Artemis - 5.50

(-800) 2,369 - Book - 3.50 - 55.36

        1,457 - Upgrade - 2.60 - 9.26 

(-1000) 1,511 - Life of the Party - 1.60 - 51.44

(-700) 982 - Breaking In - 1.30 - 44.01

(-600) 628 - Overboard - 0.83 - 47.30

(-1500) 827 - Show Dogs - 0.55 - 15.93

(-150) 352 - Rampage - 0.35 - 95.72

(-100) 184 - Panther - 0.14 - 699.39

(-50) 137 - Wrinkle in Time - 0.10 - 98.11

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dxmatrixdt Summer Tentpole

dxmatrixdt

Posted
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predictions are predictions, after you see the trailers, you don't know what the movies are about, what the script is, or how they will be received.  production budgets, international expectations, etc.

 

it seems if I was to go from forecasting to going on the inside to get the information, i would have to take my head out of my own ass and put it up someone elses

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RRA Box Office Gold

RRA

Posted
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4 hours ago, IronJimbo said:

the fans don't know what they want until they see it

That's the history basically behind SW, Rocky, Avatar, Avengers*, etc.

 

*="But RRA, that was a major comic IP!" Yeah but I mentioned it in reference to it kick-starting the Hollywood hunger for shared universes.

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Lordmandeep Global Phenomenon

Lordmandeep

Posted
Posted (edited)
8 hours ago, xmathmadness said:

lol, sometimes good franchise movies get made when the producers say fuck the fans

Sometimes the most successful franchise of all time is created when they realize these fans are the only reason most of these people have any real fame and fortune and prestige (MCU). 

 

 

I agree fanbases can be toxic but frankly, in a world of shared universes and franchises, the industry needs them to stay relevant. 

Edited by Lordmandeep
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