Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - JW: $60.91M - I2: 46.42M - Sicario: $19.00M - Uncle Drew: $15.24M

[La Binoche]

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

Sicario debuting with around $20M makes me wonder how much it would've made had Blunt returned, especially coming off of A Quiet Place.

Wonderful actress but no one saw AQP b/c of cast. 

[La Binoche]

15 minutes ago, mathemetrics said:

adjusted #s for inflation for basketball movies

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/genres/chart/?id=basketball.htm&sort=opengross&order=DESC&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

1	1	Space Jam	WB	$186,568,500	2,650	$57,050,100	2,650	11/15/96
2	3	Coach Carter	Par.	$96,122,700	2,574	$34,557,900	2,524	1/14/05
3	2	White Men Can't Jump	Fox	$168,309,600	1,929	$32,470,800	1,923	3/27/92
4	8	Blue Chips	Par.	$50,556,800	1,980	$22,184,700	1,980	2/18/94
5	12	Semi-Pro	NL	$42,712,300	3,121	$19,232,300	3,121	2/29/08
6	4	Like Mike	Fox	$81,088,500	2,436	$19,202,000	2,410	7/3/02
7	7	Glory Road	BV	$59,641,300	2,397	$19,011,900	2,222	1/13/06
8	6	Eddie	BV	$65,046,700	2,000	$16,666,200	1,989	5/31/96
9	13	He Got Game	BV	$42,124,000	1,414	$14,864,300	1,319	5/1/98
10	9	Love & Basketball	NL	$46,666,100	1,245	$13,832,100	1,237	4/21/00

White Men Cant Jump is a masterpiece. 

[dxmatrixdt]

any historical evidence to support the theory that Uncle Drew will play like a family film and have stronger Sat/Sun #s?

[aabattery]

Just now, mathemetrics said:

any historical evidence to support the theory that Uncle Drew will play like a family film and have stronger Sat/Sun #s?

 

Uncle Drew old. Got them Book Club legs inbound.

[dxmatrixdt]

Hotel Artemis has been out three weeks.  It finally saw $/theater averages go up on the weekdays.

2018/06/15	15	$281,177	+15%	2,299	$122	$5,094,696	8
2018/06/16	14	$376,777	+34%	2,299	$164	$5,471,473	9
2018/06/17	13	$350,155	-7%	2,299	$152	$5,821,628	10
2018/06/18	12	$175,019	-50%	2,299	$76	$5,996,647	11
2018/06/19	12	$214,739	+23%	2,299	$93	$6,211,386	12
2018/06/20	12	$168,060	-22%	2,299	$73	$6,379,446	13
2018/06/21	14	$106,528	-37%	2,299	$46	$6,485,974	14
2018/06/22	-	$18,974	-82%	163	$116	$6,504,948	15
2018/06/23	-	$29,765	+57%	163	$183	$6,534,713	16
2018/06/24	-	$22,815	-23%	163	$140	$6,557,528	17
2018/06/25	-	$14,377	-37%	163	$88	$6,571,905	18
2018/06/26	-	$18,533	+29%	163	$114	$6,590,438	19
2018/06/27	-	$16,847	-9%	163	$103	$6,607,285	20
2018/06/28	-	$12,498	-26%	163	$77	$6,619,783	21

 

 

I'm forecasting $522 3-day weekend avg., +19% over last week.

 

That would put the weekend at $20,880, -70.8% last weekend, and $6,640,663.  

 

after that, it would only need $26,003 more to reach $6,666,666.  

[dxmatrixdt]

Show Dogs also was up in the PTA over week to week weekdays, and I am predicting this weekends PTA to be up +13% over last weeks despite a theater count bump this week of +11 too.

 

Show Dogs - $576 (+13%) $84,096 (+22%) - 17.440

 

Ready Player One looks on course to maintain last weekends PTA as it drops only 24 locations.

Ready Player One - $585 (----) $80,730 (-15%) - 136.968

[Lestranger]

Wind River >>> Sicario > Hell 

[TwoMisfits]

31 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

White Men Cant Jump is a masterpiece. 

I will admit that was the 1st (and only) R rated movie I snuck into (as a very underaged teen).  I wasn't even close to the right age, but I was with a group of also underaged male friends and the employee just sighed after calling me out and then let us all in...and that movie was worth it!:)  Of course, I was so freaked out by almost getting punted that I didn't sneak into another movie before I was solidly "of age":)...

 

Funny enough, years later, I was with another group of male friends in my early 20s (back when I was in the military) and I again got carded for an R rated movie (this movie didn't stick out b/c I was more shocked than scared like I was the 1st time:)...yeah, I didn't live that one down in my group for awhile...although I guess as you get older, it's better to look young, so there's my silver lining...

 

 

 

 

Edited June 30, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[dxmatrixdt]

A Wrinkle in Time should loose another 41% of its attendance average this weekend and make $540.

A Wrinkle in Time - $540 (-41%) $31,320 (-62%) - 100.461

 

I've got Black Panther bringing in the same attendance as Ready Player One which is looking to make par with last weekend.

Black Panther - $585 (-11%) $46,800 (-38%) - 699.832

 

 

So far,

Show Dogs - $576 (+13%) $84,096 (+22%) - 17.440

Ready Player $585 (-------) $80,730 (-15%) - 136.968

Black Panther $585 (-11%) $46,800 (-38%) - 699.832

Wrinkle/Time $540 (-41%) $31,320 (-62%) - 100.461

Hotel Artemis $522 (+19%) $20,880 (-71%) - 6.641

[That One Girl]

UNCLE DREW (2018)

[Maxmoser3]

I’m calling B- on Sicario

[dxmatrixdt]

Upgrade only lost 5 locations in its fifth weekend, going from 101 theaters to 96.

 

Jun 1–3	6	$4,670,905	-	1,457	-	$3,206	$4,670,905	1
Jun 8–10	9	$2,384,415	-49.0%	1,458	+1	$1,635	$9,346,020	2
Jun 15–17	16	$518,330	-78.3%	646	-812	$802	$11,078,295	3
Jun 22–24	28	$94,240	-81.8%	101	-545	$933	$11,482,640	4

 

It took an unfortunate tumble in its second weekend and I think that is the reason why they mercilessly cut it the weekend after.  BH Tilt so far has had fair minimal advertising through social media and targeted/scouted theaters where they try to optimize the best results in the shortest amount of time.  I bet in this scenario, with the way they are handling marketing, etc., they might have not seen much net gain if they invested in a big weekend #3.  Upgrade could essentially stay flat in its 5th weekend in 96 theaters by increasing its PTA up five percent to $982.

 

BH TILT

Spoiler

1	Upgrade	BH Tilt	$11,541,210	1,458	$4,670,905	1,457	6/1/18
2	The Darkness	BH Tilt	$10,753,574	1,769	$4,950,859	1,755	5/13/16
3	The Belko Experiment	BH Tilt	$10,166,820	1,341	$4,137,230	1,341	3/17/17
4	The Green Inferno	BH Tilt	$7,192,291	1,543	$3,520,626	1,540	9/25/15
5	Birth of the Dragon	BH Tilt	$6,901,965	1,633	$2,702,430	1,618	8/25/17
6	Lowriders	BH Tilt	$6,303,560	365	$2,403,885	295	5/12/17
7	Incarnate	BH Tilt	$4,799,774	1,737	$2,534,884	1,737	12/2/16
8	Sleight	BH Tilt	$3,986,245	591	$1,701,785	565	4/28/17
9	The Resurrection of Gavin Stone	BH Tilt	$2,303,792	890	$1,206,771	890	1/20/17

 

Look for Unfriended: The Dark Web to be BH Tilts reigning champion in a few weeks.  The first sequel after nine original films 

[Mojoguy]

Also is Incredibles winning this weekend?

Wait for the Friday numbers.

[baumer]

JW will win this weekend and it won't be close.

[That One Girl]

Higher than I expected, I thought it'd fall into the C range

 

SICARIO: DAY OF THE SOLDADO (2018)

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, That One Guy said:

Higher than I expected, I thought it'd fall into the C range

 

SICARIO: DAY OF THE SOLDADO (2018)

The first movie got an A-, which is hella impressive for a film as dark as that one was.

[That One Girl]

Just now, filmlover said:

The first movie got an A-, which is hella impressive for a film as dark as that one was.

 

well tbf Sicario is also really good and Sicario 2 is really bad.

[Empire]

Just saw Sicario 2 and it was okay at best. 

[Curtis1986]

Uncle Drew was funny and fun. Not shocked at its cinamascore

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, La Binoche said:

Wonderful actress but no one saw AQP b/c of cast. 

Not sure how reliable those cinemascore card are, how reliable reason given by people to see a movie are and obviously first nights will be overpacked by fans if they exist but:

https://deadline.com/2018/04/a-quiet-place-blockers-ready-player-one-weekend-box-office-1202359716/

Those under 18 (14% per CinemaScore) and those under 25 (37%) gave A Quiet Place an A-. Krasinski (31%) and Blunt (21%) fans loved the movie as well with an A-

 

Those are not particularly low rating specially for the size of the OW (nor particularly high either, it was an acclaimed horror view strong high concept hook and marketing).

 

Previous Sicario had a 55% male over 25 audience, maybe that will give some clue.