Weekend Thread: Equalizer 2 pulls off an upset win over Mamma Mia 2 - 35.83M to 34.44M

[Barnack]

6 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

Wow, really? If that's the case then RPO definitely didn't make a profit and yeah Skyscraper won't. 

 

When your profit are smaller than the International TV revenues it is quite standard to turn in the black during year #2 and the insider made that opinion not thinking Rampage would hit the 100m bar the way it is written and well not a much bigger budget but 140m is still a bit bigger than 129m, 11m for performance like that do matter.

 

If we assume almost no ancillary market in China to make things simpler

 

Say RPO was at 175m making 582, if we remove China of the equation because of that market particularity we have a $123m (175-218*.25+China release cost) movie making 364m WW, that a movie almost trippling it's budget without a China release.

 

You could expect revenues of at least (137*.53+227*.4) * 2 = 326m, to cover 123m production, 130m world release, Spielberg bonus, etc...

 

Skyscraper, let say it does 105m in China, with again $0 after theatrical, we can look at it like a 105m movie that didn't get a release in China instead of a 129m one.

 

If if does 65m domestic and 126 intl, that way different than RPO 3x is budget WW without China, that a 105m movie making 191m worldwide, not that bad if it was not for the weak 34% dbo share, but when you are intl heavy you need to at least go a bit over 2 time your budget not under.

 

Edited July 22, 2018 by Barnack

[Maxmoser3]

I think Equalizer 2 will easily be a winner in the actuals. Mamma Mia and Equalizer will be king and queen of the dailies.

[a2k]

MM2 should fall sub-50% on Mon and show an absurd jump on Disc Tue.

[aabattery]

On 7/15/2018 at 9:03 AM, CJohn said:

Trash Sequelizer won't even open above Skyscraper. Nobody has time for Denzel looking silly with that hair while killing people. He needs to go full bald like in the first one.

On 7/15/2018 at 9:24 AM, aabattery said:

 

When The Sequelizer ends up pulling the standard 30-35M Denzel opening.

 

 

Feels dirty to desecrate those who have passed but HAH

 

 

(miss u CJohn)

[FantasticBeasts]

This is officialy the saddest day of my life...

 

At least someone tell me the overseas numbers were good.

[MrGlass2]

3 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

At least someone tell me the overseas numbers were good.

Quote

The international box office smorgasbord this weekend was led — outside China — by Universal’s new entry Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again which belted out $42.4M

...

While it won the sequel battle Stateside, Sony’s The Equalizer 2 only opened in a handful of overseas markets this weekend, but came in 30% higher than the original, grossing $3.3M in like-for-likes.

But it is a bit like comparing apples and oranges... because Mama Mia! will have much stronger legs wordwide.

[a2k]

EQ2's prod budget is only 62 according to Mojo.

 

Looks like it's set for a Rampage like run dom. Rampage had a mammoth comp in AIW in weekend 3 while EQ2 will have a smaller but still big comp in MI6 in the 2nd weekend. Around 90 dom looks very likely and can't rule out 100. Will have stronger weekdays than Rampage.

[aabattery]

Celebratory Denzel ranking:

 

Training Day

Much Ado About Nothing

Crimson Tide

Malcolm X

Fences

Roman J. Israel, Esq

The Mighty Quinn

He Got Game

The Manchurian Candidate

Unstoppable

Mo' Better Blues

American Gangster

Philadelphia

Man On Fire

Cry Freedom

Devil in a Blue Dress

The Hurricane

Inside Man

Glory

A Soldier's Story

The Equalizer II

Remember the Titans

John Q

The Equalizer

Courage Under Fire

Mississippi Masala

Out of Time

Deja Vu

The Magnificent Seven

The Taking of Pelham 123

2 Guns

The Book of Eli

Flight

The Bone Collector

Safe House

 

 

[CoolioD1]

can't be bothered by a full ranking but that's a correct top two.

[aabattery]

Just now, CoolioD1 said:

can't be bothered by a full ranking but that's a correct top two.

 

[MrGamer]

Denzel in Crimson Tide is legit underrated.

 

Great performances all-around in that movie, along with Gene Hackman and Viggo Mortensen's flattop.

 

Edited July 22, 2018 by MrGamer

[aabattery]

I am yet to find a bad Denzel performance. The man exemplifies consistency.

[ddddeeee]

8 minutes ago, aabattery said:

Celebratory Denzel ranking:

 

Training Day

Much Ado About Nothing

Second?

[aabattery]

3 minutes ago, ddddeeee said:

Second?

 

I love both but the way that Training Day's third act comes together is just...

 

[Fancyarcher]

14 minutes ago, aabattery said:

Celebratory Denzel ranking:

 

Training Day

Much Ado About Nothing

[Krissykins]

Marvel are running ads on Instagram for Ant Man and the Wasp that say: 

 

“You know he’s an Avenger now??”

 

lol. 

[raulbalarezo]

13 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Marvel are running ads on Instagram for Ant Man and the Wasp that say: 

 

“You know he’s an Avenger now??”

 

lol. 

Ok, and ? 🤔

Edited July 22, 2018 by raulbalarezo

[OdinSon2k14]

It's a trilogy folks. Sony is gonna offer Denzel a truckload to return, and you cant blame him for taking it.

[PenguinHyphy]

On 7/21/2018 at 2:39 PM, Jake Gittes said:

STBY just expanded more aggressively, which is why its been ahead. But this, its third weekend, is gonna give it about 2.6m which is the figure to which Kids and WWB only dropped in their respective fifth weekends. Afterwards, they added 6.8m and 8m respectively to their cume (WWB with the help of a late-August expansion), so if STBY follows them it'll finish at 17-18m. I think it'll come under that because its PTA is gonna drop over 50% this weekend and if theaters don't start dropping it next weekend they'll definitely be quick to do it in August.

It expanded more aggressively because its theater averages were big enough out of the gate. A $2,700 per theater average in 1,000 theaters for a limited release is nothing terrible either. The movie is not about to be dropped by a bunch of theaters, especially after three weeks and while being in the top ten, as you are suggesting. If the average were in the $1,000 range then yeah, but it is not anywhere near that low. Deadline put in there specialty report that it is playing really well in the northeast and the west, so it will probably lose some theaters in the South, but the theaters in the other coasts will offset that. $20,000,000 seems like a certainty to me, but we will see soon enough. 

[PenguinHyphy]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

EQ2's prod budget is only 62 according to Mojo.

 

Looks like it's set for a Rampage like run dom. Rampage had a mammoth comp in AIW in weekend 3 while EQ2 will have a smaller but still big comp in MI6 in the 2nd weekend. Around 90 dom looks very likely and can't rule out 100. Will have stronger weekdays than Rampage.

The movie is playing in the summer, so it will surely have better staying power than Rampage.