CaptainJackSparrow Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 I’m predicting over 1 billion OS, would not be surprised at over 2 billion. You guys? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seduh Posted July 27, 2018 Share Posted July 27, 2018 we need to see the trailer before and it must be good. It has huge potential but it need to be as good or better as the Jungle Book. The problem is that The Lion King is such an amazing movie that it will be compared to it so if it's just ok it may be seen as a bad movie. i hope Disney do it right. If its amazing this can be one of the biggest movies of all time adjusted to inflation. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PanaMovie Posted November 22, 2018 Share Posted November 22, 2018 This will KILL IT next year! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 1 billion overseas seems a certainty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Apparently, reception to the trailer is very good in China. Over $1 billion OS seems likely, but how much higher can it go? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 (edited) TJB was 430 OS-Ch-Japan BATB was 563 OS-Ch-Japan TLK 750 OS-Ch-Japan 285 Ch + 65 Japan = 350 Ch+Japan (Gavin said in the China thread that if TLK gets a summer release there, 2000 Yuan is possible. That's 288 using today's ER.) 750 + 350 = 1100 OS Edited November 24, 2018 by a2k I am flip-flopping Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Japan is a total wildcard. The live-action remakes have ranged from the Jungle Book (¥2.21 billion) to Beauty and the Beast (¥12.40 billion). Hopefully, the Lion King can hit the upper end of this range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 4 hours ago, KP1025 said: Japan is a total wildcard. The live-action remakes have ranged from the Jungle Book (¥2.21 billion) to Beauty and the Beast (¥12.40 billion). Hopefully, the Lion King can hit the upper end of this range. If TJB didn’t outright flop in Japan...it would have gone over $1B WW. What were the japanese audience thinking? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KP1025 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 22 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said: If TJB didn’t outright flop in Japan...it would have gone over $1B WW. What were the japanese audience thinking? I was very surprised by how low its gross was too. From what I understand, it faced strong competition from Secret Life of Pets and Your Name that summer. Also, the film didn't appeal to women or families as much. The Lion King seems like it will be cuter and more musically inclined than the Jungle Book, so I think that will help with its appeal in Japan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taruseth Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 I feel like this could go either way, like be just another film, or it could be totally crazy. As I think what it gross in China could be just $40M or $300M. Same goes for Japan, it could either gross just around TJB or B&tB. In the UK, if the pound doesn't lose too much value over the next year it could be pretty impressive. Germany could go either way too, the other live actions films were big, but I kinda hope that TLK could be nearly as big as TFA. So in the end, I guess it could got over 1.3B OS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 Been a long time since this thread got used. I'm trying to shore up my club (TLK over Titanic worldwide) and was curious what everyone thought for the major OS markets? Below is what I'm hoping for, but would appreciate some insight from the experts in the regions listed and in markets I'm not familiar with (Argentina, Malaysia, Taiwan, Philippines, etc etc) China -- $300m UK -- $100m France -- $75m Germany -- $70m Japan -- $60m Mexico -- $50m Brazil -- $45m South Korea -- $45m Australia -- $45m Russia -- $35m India -- $30m Italy -- $30m Spain -- $30m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: Been a long time since this thread got used. I'm trying to shore up my club (TLK over Titanic worldwide) and was curious what everyone thought for the major OS markets? Below is what I'm hoping for, but would appreciate some insight from the experts in the regions listed and in markets I'm not familiar with (Argentina, Malaysia, Taiwan, Philippines, etc etc) China -- $300m OK UK -- $100m OK France -- $75m really optimistic Germany -- $70m really optimistic Japan -- $60m too low Mexico -- $50m nope Brazil -- $45m possible South Korea -- $45m OK Australia -- $45m OK Russia -- $35m India -- $30m something like 35-40M Italy -- $30m OK Spain -- $30m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: Yea I'm least confident about France and Germany, but I'm hoping for a Star Wars like performance there (TLJ did $147m combined). I know the original Lion King is massive in Europe. Japan was the big wildcard for me. That market is hard to gauge. Maybe harder than China. I could see it doing $50m or $150m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 So this movie has a better chance to unseat Titanic ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: So this movie has a better chance to unseat Titanic ? In my opinion, it has the best chance of any movie this year. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 Argentina could do 12-15m if ER manage to not collapse again at some point between now and LK run (highly unlikely if I'm being honest). That would require 3m admissions and top ten of all time but last year both Coco and Incredibles 2 did it and TLK has a Winter Holidays release date which basically guarantees it will be a huge hit. If you want to get really optimistic 17-20m can happen with over 4m admissions but that's way more hard and I have 0 faith in the ER 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 Just now, salvador-232 said: Argentina could do 12-15m if ER manage to not collapse again at some point between now and LK run (highly unlikely if I'm being honest). That would require 3m admissions and top ten of all time but last year both Coco and Incredibles 2 did it and TLK has a Winter Holidays release date which basically guarantees it will be a huge hit. If you want to get really optimistic 17-20m can happen with over 4m admissions but that's way more hard and I have 0 faith in the ER Thanks for the analysis. I know essentially very little about perception of TLK in Latin America, or how steady ER is (though I know it does fluctuate a bit.) A quick look tells me it has dropped quite a bit since Incredibles 2, and it would take $600m lc to get to $15m USD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salvador-232 Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 1 minute ago, VenomXXR said: Thanks for the analysis. I know essentially very little about perception of TLK in Latin America, or how steady ER is (though I know it does fluctuate a bit.) A quick look tells me it has dropped quite a bit since Incredibles 2, and it would take $600m lc to get to $15m USD. Argentina is a very special case in that's it has had very high inflation and the ER had been in a steady decline for years. However, until 2017 the inflation of tickets prices compensated the constant fall of the ER. That changed last year when the local currency depreciated at 2x the inflation rate and now Argentina is much smaller in dollars. Furthermore, monetary policies of the Argentinean Central Bank make very hard for the inflation to catch up with ER. Argentina economy right now is in crisis and the ER is very unstable and any political or commodity circumstances could make it to collapse again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 16, 2019 Share Posted March 16, 2019 India, more likely $20mn. Though it's unlikely but TJB numbers won't surprise me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
