Official Oct 5 to Oct 7 Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Venom - 80M (205M WW OW); A Star is Born - 42.6M

[sfran43]

Venom just keeps on winning!

 

[kitik]

6 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

Now they're screwing with ASIB's numbers.

 

It's like WB didn't even know themselves whether they were counting the Tuesday and Wednesday previews or not, and it confused them so much it screwed up their numbers all weekend long.

[Pinacolada]

The day to day drops for Venom weren't that bad were they? -18.9% both Saturday and Sunday. Pretty standard for CB movies? I know Suicide Squad dropped -40% one of its opening days 

Edited October 8, 2018 by Pinacolada

[VENOM]

2 hours ago, sfran43 said:

Venom just keeps on winning!

 

So many sales so little time 

[filmlover]

1 hour ago, Pinacolada said:

The day to day drops for Venom weren't that bad were they? -18.9% both Saturday and Sunday. Pretty standard for CB movies? I know Suicide Squad dropped -40% one of its opening days 

That movie opened in early August so it made sense there was extreme frontloading there.

[Barnack]

2 hours ago, kitik said:

Why didn't this catch on overseas?

 

That a really good question, was the book mostly an american phenomenon ?

 

With how leggy it got domestic maybe the book popularity is just a small possible part of the reason anyway, there is that part of that phenomenon, general audience (and me) are really sheepish, if something is popular it get a lot of people that go see it just because it is popular creating some chaos by market.

 

The little difference between a virtuous circle that make a movie perceived as a success and thus get a lot of people to see it versus the other way around is maybe not that big.

 

Comedies / Rom-Com without a international movie star can do that, Trainwreck, The big Sick even The Proposal went over 50% dom, so it is not out of the norm like an space action movie.

Edited October 8, 2018 by Barnack

[TwoMisfits]

Can I point out this is a good weekend for BOT...after the Thursday night previews, when all the experts were saying mid-$50s still for Venom (and then mid-$60s late Friday afternoon), many posters were saying the $10M Thursday pointed to a minimum $70M+ weekend at the get go...and it turned out we were right...

 

 

[kitik]

35 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Can I point out this is a good weekend for BOT

 

 

 

no one got banned?

[DAJK]

Come on guys we only need a few more posts to get this thread to 50 pages

[MattW]

Strong weekend, $176.6m, highest total for any october weekend.  Even adjusting for inflation you have to go all the way back to 2003 to get a weekend that's bigger (Oct 24-26, Scary Movie 3's opening adjusts to $74m).

[MrGlass2]

53 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Come on guys we only need a few more posts to get this thread to 50 pages

When the box office is far more impressive than the box office discussion.

 

[MrGlass2]

5 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Can I point out this is a good weekend for BOT...

Yes... Or at least it's better than the discussion in the last week where a few people predicted (hoped?) Venom #2 for the weekend.

[raulbalarezo]

So what numbers can we expect from Venom and ASIB for Monday ?

Edited October 9, 2018 by raulbalarezo

[boxofficeth]

Is ASIB over Gone Girl realistic? Or shall we expect the leg of CRA? 

[Barnack]

16 minutes ago, boxofficeth said:

Is ASIB over Gone Girl realistic? Or shall we expect the leg of CRA? 

Not sure about the question, considering CRA (around 6.75x) had better legs than Gone Girl (4.5x) (well CRA had a Wednesday start so it is not really fair)

Edited October 9, 2018 by Barnack

[MattW]

41 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

So what numbers can we expect from Venom and ASIB for Monday ?

Venom I think might be around $9m. Not sure for ASIB

[aabattery]

Great numbers. A pettier version of me would @ some of the "Tom Hardy isn't A-List" peeps

[a2k]

600 ww for Venom looks likely even with below average legs,

 

Current Markets (Dom + OS) 207 ow * 2.40 multi = 497

Japan 10

France 10

China 90

 

497 + 10 + 10 + 90 = 607

 

650 is alive too while going over Ant-Man and the Wasp seems like a good target.

 

 

Edited October 9, 2018 by a2k

[KP1025]

5 minutes ago, a2k said:

600 ww for Venom looks likely even with below average legs,

 

Current Markets (Dom + OS) 207 ow * 2.40 multi = 497

Japan 10

France 10

China 90

 

497 + 10 + 10 + 90 = 607

 

650 is alive too while going over Ant-Man and the Wasp seems like a good target.

 

 

 

Impressive for a solo origin CBM, especially one outside the MCU.

[AndyK]

7 hours ago, TwoMisfits said:

Can I point out this is a good weekend for BOT...after the Thursday night previews, when all the experts were saying mid-$50s still for Venom (and then mid-$60s late Friday afternoon), many posters were saying the $10M Thursday pointed to a minimum $70M+ weekend at the get go...and it turned out we were right...

 

 

and yet we have seen $11M thursday previews produce a $100m+ OW.