fabiopazzo2 Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 20M?? Tragic drop if it happen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Agafin Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 1 minute ago, fabiopazzo2 said: 20M?? Tragic drop if it happen Well, $20m would be bad but $25m wouldn't. My reasoning is this: Captain Marvel was at $127m after 3 days and ended up with about $303m for the weekend so it added $176m on Sat and Sun. We know that Saturday is on average bigger than Sunday overseas (obviously it varies by country but I can't find any country where CM made more on Sun than on Sat). So overseas Sat was probably $95m to $100m while Sunday was $75m to $80m. As such in order to do $30m on Monday, it's Sunday to Monday drop should be around 60-63%. In its two biggest markets, China and South Korea, the drop was 70% and 80% respectively so the rest of OS would need sub 55% drops to counter those which is very difficult without Summer weekdays or holidays. So while $30m isn't impossible, it's very difficult and we should be satisfied with $25m imo. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 when are we going to know the number? I expect over 30M. I was right about over 10M dom Monday with over 11M when I saw 10.8M estimate and it happened. There's no reason for CM to drop to only 20M Monday not even with China collapse. other markets are strong. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMan7 Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 Why are there all these doom and gloomers in here. This doing 1.3 billie folks, how it gets there is irrelevant. 😎 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 15 minutes ago, DMan7 said: Why are there all these doom and gloomers in here. This doing 1.3 billie folks, how it gets there is irrelevant. 😎 Good luck with that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 3 hours ago, Agafin said: $30m Monday would be a very good drop. I actually can't see that happening based on how it has performed so far, Somewhere between $20m and $25m seems more probable. Nailed it 1 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said: Nailed it So, is $22.4M OS Monday a good one? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 (edited) 18 minutes ago, UserHN said: So, is $22.4M OS Monday a good one? Pretty standard, considering China drop. Not great or bad. Still on course to 1B Edited March 12, 2019 by ThomasNicole Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XO21 Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 Basically it'll match Spidey Homecoming total minus China by the end of the week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, XO21 said: Basically it'll match Spidey Homecoming total minus China by the end of the week. So SMH didn't open day and date with China? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XO21 Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 (edited) 1 minute ago, Valonqar said: So SMH didn't open day and date with China? Nope it opened in September in China 😅 Edited March 12, 2019 by XO21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 Just now, XO21 said: Nope it opened in September in China 😅 lol that's a long wait and probably not as good release time anyway. is that due to blackout on Hollywood movies? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XO21 Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Valonqar said: lol that's a long wait and probably not as good release time anyway. is that due to blackout on Hollywood movies? Yep...also Dunkirk,SMH and Apes opened one week apart from each other which hurt their legs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RthDeadWov Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 I had been going for 1.135b WW 4 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted March 12, 2019 Share Posted March 12, 2019 (edited) 3 minutes ago, Rthmar-vell said: I had been going for 1.135b WW ha FLOP (still you do ? bc you said had ) Edited March 12, 2019 by john2000 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted March 13, 2019 Share Posted March 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: crossed $500,000,000 worldwide. 524mn Approx. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted March 13, 2019 Share Posted March 13, 2019 (edited) 51 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said: 524mn Approx. So looking like a $20M OS Tue? Would that be considered good? Edited March 13, 2019 by UserHN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 13, 2019 Share Posted March 13, 2019 11 minutes ago, UserHN said: So looking like a $20M OS Tue? Would that be considered good? The problem I have a bit with you so pushing for interpretation is, I think its a bit too much, and, a bit too much work for the others in the meaning: We do have year per year during different days e.g. carnival, Eastern, ... Certain holidays do not have a fixed date. Than we have different months' general situation, like a Christmas movie might not be that successful during a heat wave in summer (or the opposite), there are patterns per months, but see flexible dates for certain holidays,... and e.g. Christmas western version not at the same time as eastern version,... Not a lot of data for certain genre-months combinations .... Its not that long that we even get workday numbers, and usually only for the big blockbusters, only for a time into its run = there isn't that much data to be sure in my POV 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...