Tuesday (5/21) Numbers: John Wick 3 $6.50M | Avengers Endgame $2.90M | Pokemon: DP $2.75M

[Minnale101]

Elf is a Christmas classic 

[DeeCee]

It's 2019.

[a2k]

That EG-Elf comparison is bananas - Holiday release in 2003 vs MCU finale in CBM era. As long as we are cherry-picking and comparing apples to oranges, Elf's 5th weekend had a post-holiday crash while EG's 5th will have Mem-day boost and that will look horrid for Elf.

 

Nov 28–30	3	$21,649,842	+15.7%	3,202	-179	$6,761	$129,009,719	4
Dec 5–7	4	$8,026,797	-62.9%	3,119	-83	$2,573	$139,527,719	5

 

(I named 4 fruits in my post).

[Legion Again]

The Elf-Endgame comparison is kind of wild, but it did inspire me to look up the top adjusted 4th weekends, which was kind of fun. 

1	Avatar	Fox	$57,646,500	6.6%	3,422	$16,846	$873,809,500	12/18/09
2	Titanic	Par.	$55,779,400	4.8%	2,746	$20,314	$1,169,231,000	12/19/97
3	Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace	Fox	$45,967,600	5.9%	3,024	$15,200	$772,763,100	5/19/99
4	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$44,970,000	4.6%	4,134	$10,878	$984,928,500	12/18/15
5	Spider-Man	Sony	$44,700,300	7.1%	3,876	$11,533	$633,006,000	5/3/02
6	Jurassic Park	Uni.	$41,742,300	5.3%	2,496	$16,724	$785,335,200	6/11/93
7	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$41,159,800	5.9%	3,918	$10,506	$700,387,900	5/4/12
8	Black Panther	BV	$40,594,800	5.8%	3,942	$10,298	$694,840,800	2/16/18
9	Forrest Gump	Par.	$39,666,100	5.5%	2,117	$18,737	$715,550,500	7/6/94
10	E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial	Uni.	$39,589,600	3.5%	1,331	$29,744	$1,132,726,800	6/11/82

 

BP is the most recent movie. 3 from the last 7 years, pretty impressive.   

 

The only 2010s movie in the top 1 5th weekends adjusted is Frozen. Nothing in 6th-12th weekends, though I think Frozen is the highest 2010s movie for all of those.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Without Elf there's no Jon Favreau directing Iron Man and without Favreau there's probably no RDJ cast as Tony Stark.

 

So I guess Endgame owes its BO success to Elf then?

[Juby]

7 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

20mn is best case scenario for me. If it really go for 22.5, *870 will be back on the menu boys.gif*

 

I don't see how. Even if Endgame endure Aladdin opening and go for $23M four-day weekend, the film will be at around $804M by Monday. Infinity War added $51.2M after Memorial Day, and it had great holds during its 6th, 7th and 8th weekends (-39%, -31%, -25% respectively). Endgame will be devastated by Godzilla and X-Men, won't hold that well. Even with Labor Day expansion and the help by Spider-Man in early July, I don't see how Endgame could add more than this $51 million. $855M should be back on the menu boys, not "870".  

[nguyenkhoi282]

12 minutes ago, Juby said:

 

I don't see how. Even if Endgame endure Aladdin opening and go for $23M four-day weekend, the film will be at around $804M by Monday. Infinity War added $51.2M after Memorial Day, and it had great holds during its 6th, 7th and 8th weekends (-39%, -31%, -25% respectively). Endgame will be devastated by Godzilla and X-Men, won't hold that well. Even with Labor Day expansion and the help by Spider-Man in early July, I don't see how Endgame could add more than this $51 million. $855M should be back on the menu boys, not "870".  

He thought it was the 3-day weekend that's 22.5M. Personally, i see it topping 870M even with 18M 3-day and 23.5M 4-day, simply by "holding much better than IW in late run". It's really difficult to say exactly what competition will do, so just hope for the best.

Edited May 23, 2019 by nguyenkhoi282

[Juby]

For now, Endgame has much worse legs than Infinity War and it will face stronger competition after Memorial Day. How in the hell this can "hold much better than IW in late run"?

[IronJimbo]

21 minutes ago, Juby said:

For now, Endgame has much worse legs than Infinity War and it will face stronger competition after Memorial Day. How in the hell this can "hold much better than IW in late run"?

It can't!

[Dbui8743]

30 minutes ago, Juby said:

For now, Endgame has much worse legs than Infinity War and it will face stronger competition after Memorial Day. How in the hell this can "hold much better than IW in late run"?

People keep putting too many eggs in Endgame's basket while it has already made the almost most impressive amount of money. It has sucked all the air out of the room the first 2 weeks. Give other movies the air back.

[Maximum Avery]

2 hours ago, Juby said:

For now, Endgame has much worse legs than Infinity War and it will face stronger competition after Memorial Day. How in the hell this can "hold much better than IW in late run"?

Just watch and see how... 

 

TTVOMJ

[John Harris]

14 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

I mean, that’s cool, it’s a nice glimpse into some community history, but... being part of a group to popularize a phrase in a certain subculture doesn’t guarantee  you’ll be able to control how it’s meaning and interpretation evolve 15+ years later. Most people around here weren’t active during LotR/BOM forum days. Most of the time you see someone called a loonie nowadays, I’m quite confident that they’re oblivious to this history and mean the normal English “loonie” —  a lunatic. Someone who is crazy. An insult.       

As a linguist, I was about to type almost the same thing! Well stated.