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Jamiem

Birds of Prey 113.4m OS 195.8m WW

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11 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

Very anemic ps in Greece.Could see it going below Shazam.There is no advertising or awareness for this.Not even a random ass poster on a bus stop or a tv spot.At least with Shazam I used to see posters all over the town.

Harley Quinn is going to do very less overseas. 

At this point I wouldn't be surprised with Domestic higher than OS just like Wondy. 

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16 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Idk, presales are looking dire right now. I'm just hoping its because of Superbowl right now but am gonna stick with my 40 mil OW prediction if Monday doesn't see a good jump.

Good reviews will make up for presales. Anything over 75%RT score is very good. 

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Birds of Prey (opening day - 6/2/20) Albany Event Cinemas, New Zealand. 3 days before release 

 

11:00am VMAX 10/185

1:30pm VMAX 12/185

4:05pm VMAX 6/185

6:25pm GC 16/40

6:40pm VMAX 18/185

9:00pm GC 2/40

9:15pm VMAX 6/185

 

Total: 70/1005 (6.97%) 

 

Comps 

 

Joker at the same point had sold 160 tickets = $555,625

 

It Chapter 2 at the same point had sold 284 tickets = $222,808

 

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood ... same point had sold 115 tickets = $499,145

 

Yeah comps are looking pretty horrendous, selling well under 100 tickets 3 days before release is not a good sign. Hopefully reviews and late marketing can kick in and ramp things up. 

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Some actual OD data out of SK, not looking pretty. Final PS were 2/3rd Shazam. OD will be about 2/3rd as well. Egg is a quite bad 82% at the moment, has been headed down from the first ratings.    
 

$3-$5M likely vs $5 for Shazam

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Birds of Prey (opening day - 6/2/20) Albany Event Cinemas, New Zealand. A little over 12 hours before release 

 

10:00am VMAX 4/133

11:00am VMAX 15/185

12:00pm 9/216

12:15pm GC 8/30

12:30pm VMAX 5/133

1:30pm VMAX 12/185

2:30pm 11/216

3:05pm VMAX 6/133

3:50pm GC 2/40

4:05pm VMAX 14/185

5:40pm VMAX 10/133

6:25pm GC 20/40

6:40pm VMAX 20/185

7:45pm 15/216

8:15pm VMAX 4/133

9:00pm GC 2/40

9:15pm VMAX 6/185

 

Total: 163/2388 (6.83%) 

 

Comps 

 

Joker at the same point had sold 446 tickets = $464,148

 

It Chapter 2 at the same point had sold 502 tickets = $293,518

 

Once Upon a Time in Hollywoodat the same point had sold 296 tickets = $451,568

 

Yeah comps are still looking horrendous, hopefully this gets great reviews and has really good walk ups tomorrow and across the weekend, because otherwise it’s going to really struggle to get over half a million for the weekend. 

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Nothing can save overseas. People don't know 3/5 of the group (trailers didn't do a good job selling them), seems like Black Mask isn't wearing his black mask most of the movie, action looks bad, and it's very teen/female oriented.

 

Domestic is still salvageable with reviews and WOM.

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BW is going to be a big hit in SK and Asia, though, because they are used to Marvel style. BoP is closer to Kick-Ass in style which is new for DC. They aren't as formula driven as Marvel and that helps some movies (Joker, Aquaman) but hurts other. People say they want novelty but deep down they want to know what to expect.

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7 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

BW is going to be a big hit in SK and Asia, though, because they are used to Marvel style. BoP is closer to Kick-Ass in style which is new for DC. They aren't as formula driven as Marvel and that helps some movies (Joker, Aquaman) but hurts other. People say they want novelty but deep down they want to know what to expect.

Marvel has a much better reputation in Asia as well. This IP is tiny in comparison to Joker which is a behemoth.

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