RealLyre Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) nvm Edited February 7, 2020 by RealLyre nvm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: Hooooly shit, 7.8M 2-day cume https://deadline.com/2020/02/birds-of-prey-opening-weekend-warner-bros-dc-global-international-box-office-coronavirus-1202853998/ Deadline So these are the same markets that Shazam had 15.7 million? Also, I like how beating Terminator Dark Fate by 4% is supposed to be some kind of accomplishment. Edited February 7, 2020 by Menor 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 I watched Joker again and he talked about Birds of Prey's box office numbers: 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YSLDC Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Shazam's Wed-Thur to Weekend multi minus China will bring Birds Of Prey to... $35M overseas this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Firepower Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 2 times less than Shazam?! Wtf?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 18 minutes ago, Menor said: So these are the same markets that Shazam had 15.7 million? Also, I like how beating Terminator Dark Fate by 4% is supposed to be some kind of accomplishment. Everything I've seen so far says that they both opened everywhere except Japan. Italy was Wed for Shazam and Thurs for Birds, but a Wed opening there would just take the 7.8 to like 7.95 or something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 14 minutes ago, YSLDC said: Shazam's Wed-Thur to Weekend multi minus China will bring Birds Of Prey to... $35M overseas this weekend. so 70M-80M WW opening? I know final gross will be above 200M WW but at this point I have no idea how much higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 5 minutes ago, RealLyre said: so 70M-80M WW opening? I know final gross will be above 200M WW but at this point I have no idea how much higher. 70M start with Shazam multiplier put you at 186M I think. But easy to imagine a much better multiplier for this, with the holiday weekend, no Avenger movie being released, etc... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 15 minutes ago, RealLyre said: so 70M-80M WW opening? I know final gross will be above 200M WW but at this point I have no idea how much higher. Do you though? I mean, I think it’s very likely at least... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RealLyre Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 27 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: Do you though? I mean, I think it’s very likely at least... movies targeted at female audiences tend to have better legs than not. I can see a 110/90 finish atm. but don't quote me on this 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 Doin’ a little more prep work for tomorrow’s data. Shazam had 13M Fri for a 56.3M FSS, x4.33 Shazam was more family/kid oriented though, saw some nice Sat boosts in a lot of markets iirc as a result. I suspect Birds will be <4x F:FSS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnack Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 12 minutes ago, RealLyre said: movies targeted at female audiences tend to have better legs than not. I can see a 110/90 finish atm. but don't quote me on this Is it because they tend to be less often hyped franchise movie, when they do they tend to have quite similar legs, horror for example tend to be a female targeted genre that is usually frontloaded. Pitch perfect 2 did 183.7 from a 69 start, Mamma Mia 2 120.6 from a 35m start in the heat of good week days summer (and that mixed old audience good legs with woman), twilight sequels had some of the worst legs of that era of blockbuster. Will see the first audience polling do not indicate that it is specially playing female heavy either (around the usual high 50% male to low 40% female for the first thursday shows). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 200m ww looks unlikely. It’s not doing well in any market. How is it going to get there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XO21 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 9 hours ago, Menor said: So these are the same markets that Shazam had 15.7 million? Also, I like how beating Terminator Dark Fate by 4% is supposed to be some kind of accomplishment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 9 minutes ago, John Marston said: 200m ww looks unlikely. It’s not doing well in any market. How is it going to get there? I mean, 33x2.75 for 90 DOM+ 5M J+ 105 OS-C-J gets there. A 2.6x should be totally reasonable for an OS-J multi, so that takes a 40M OS 5-day=32M OS FSS=~8M OS Fri, which is still -39% from Shazam. So, it doesn’t look that hard to me, though it could also miss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
newbie BO buff Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 About 12 hours ago I was thinking it would finish $97M DOM, $218M global. Now I think it's generous. Maybe it's my 5/10 rating of the movie talking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stephanos13 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Birds of Prey grossed an estimated $10.3M internationally on Friday. International total stands at $18.1M, global total stands at $31.1M.#BirdsOfPrey #BoxOffice @wbpictures @birdsofpreywb — BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) February 8, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 (edited) 4 minutes ago, sfran43 said: 18 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said: Doin’ a little more prep work for tomorrow’s data. Shazam had 13M Fri for a 56.3M FSS, x4.33 Shazam was more family/kid oriented though, saw some nice Sat boosts in a lot of markets iirc as a result. I suspect Birds will be <4x F:FSS Maybe call that a 40M FSS? Bit lower? Something like 33 DOM+47 OS=80M WW OW or so. Total should be targeting the 90+130M (including Japan) =220M range or so, at an initial glance. Edited February 8, 2020 by Arendelle Legion 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 So $45m or something by Sunday night? $110m total or so seems like the end result. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin4125 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 (edited) 11 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: Maybe call that a 40M FSS? Bit lower? Something like 33 DOM+47 OS=80M WW OW or so. Total should be targeting the 90+130M (including Japan) =220M range or so, at an initial glance. Sounds right. Shazam actually fell from 15.7 Wed+Thur to 14.5 OS-CH on Friday. BOP went from 7.8 to 10.3. It seems due to the R-rating and female-skewing nature it got a Friday bump. However, I would assume that Shazam had more pronounced jumps on Sat-Sun, so its a bit hard to tell where BOP will end up, could be as high as a 50m OS opening. In any case, especially since it seems BOP is less reliant on fast-burn EM markets, I think its more or less a lock to cross 200m WW. Thats not much of a consolation prize, especially since the budget is at least 100m To clarify that last statement, it seems everyone is using the cali tax credit webpage to figure BOP's budget. On that site, BOP has a budget of 84.5m after its tax break. However, that is NOT the budget number. On that same page, Captain Marvel's budget is listed at 118m net. The figures do not take into account post-production. While yes, Captain Marvel had higher post-production costs, BOP DID NOT have 0 post-production costs. Most likely post was about 1/3 of that of Cap M, which still gets BOP to 100m budget (Deadline cited 84.5m but noted many industry sources said BOP's budget was much higher, that's because it was). Still, if BOP can get to 250m, I think itll minimize losses Edited February 8, 2020 by Justin4125 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
