Blankments Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 @WrathOfHan where’s don’t look up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 Leo Denzel and Will Smith all nominated in the same year = $$$$$$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeFangrl Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Looks like The Discourse is starting to turn on Licorice Pizza...there's anger at the age gap ("Reverse the genders and everyone would be making Woody Allen jokes!") and also a recurring Asian caricature, apparently. Nice... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Best to get over the discourse now. In 2 weeks, the discourse cycle will focus on Ansel Elgort and West Side Story. After that? Maybe some hit pieces against Nightmare Alley or Macbeth. Something to do with Joel Coen working with Scott Rudin, probably 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 2021 Sunset Circle Awards Nominations (An early precursor!) Spoiler BEST FILM Being The Ricardos Belfast CODA Cyrano Dune Don't Look Up The French Dispatch King Richard The Power Of The Dog SpencerBEST DIRECTOR Kenneth Branagh - Belfast Jane Campion - The Power Of The Dog Pablo Larraín - Spencer Denis Villeneuve - Dune Joe Wright - CyranoBEST ACTRESS Jessica Chastain - The Eyes of Tammy Faye Olivia Colman - The Lost Daughter Jennifer Hudson - Respect Nicole Kidman - Being The Ricardos Kristen Stewart - SpencerBEST ACTOR Leonardo DiCaprio - Don't Look Up Peter Dinklage - Cyrano Adam Driver - Annette Andrew Garfield - Tick, Tick...Boom! Will Smith - King RichardBEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Jon Bernthal - King Richard Jamie Dornan - Belfast Shazad Latif - Profile Kodi Smit-McPhee - The Power Of The Dog Jeffrey Wright - The French DispatchBEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Caitríona Balfe - Belfast Haley Bennett - Cyrano Aunjanue Ellis - King Richard Rebecca Ferguson - Dune Marlee Matlin - CODABEST ENSEMBLE Being The Ricardos CODA Don't Look Up Dune The French DispatchBEST SCREENPLAY Being The Ricardos Belfast Cyrano Don't Look Up SpencerBEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Dune The French Dispatch The Power Of The Dog Spencer The Tragedy Of MacbethBEST SCORE C'mon C'mon – Aaron & Bryce Dessner Don't Look Up – Nicholas Britell Dune – Hans Zimmer The French Dispatch – Alexandre Desplat Spencer – Jonny GreenwoodBEST SCENE-STEALER Ben Affleck - The Last Duel Sharon Duncan-Brewster - Dune Chris Evans - Don't Look Up Sally Hawkins - Spencer Channing Tatum - Free GuyBEST HORROR FILM A Quiet Place Part II Candyman Lamb The Night House Psycho GoremanBEST FAMILY FILM Clifford The Big Red Dog Cruella Free Guy Ghostbusters: Afterlife The Mitchells vs. The MachinesFIVE FIRE DIRECTORS David Bruckner - The Night House Nia DaCosta - Candyman Joanna Hogg - The Souvenir Part II Lin-Manuel Miranda - Tick, Tick...Boom! Tim Sutton - Funny Face Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Killing time on Thanksgiving while waiting for next round of food prep (thanks Lions-Bears!) so final predictions before WSS/Nightmare Alley and precursors. Best Picture Being the Ricardos Belfast Coda Don't Look Up Dune The French Dispatch King Richard Licorice Pizza Nightmare Alley The Power of the Dog First one out: Tragedy of MacBeth WINNER: King Richard Best Actor Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog Leonardo DiCaprio, Don't Look Up Andrew Garfield, Tick Tick Boom Will Smith, King Richard Denzel Washington, Tragedy of MacBeth First one out: Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos WINNER: Will Smith, King Richard Best Actress Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza Jennifer Hudson, Respect Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos Kristen Stewart, Spencer First one out: Lady Gaga, House of Gucci WINNER: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos Best Supporting Actor Jon Berthnal, King Richard Jamie Dornan, Belfast Ciaran Hinds, Belfast Kodi Smit-Mcphee, Power of the Dog Jeffrey Wright, The French Dispatch First one out: Jared Leto, House of Gucci WINNER: Jamie Dornan, Belfast Best Supporting Actress Catriona Balfe, Belfast Judi Dench, Belfast Kirsten Dunst, Power of the Dog Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard Marlee Matlin, Coda First one out: Meryl Streep, Don't Look Up WINNER; Catriona Balfe, Belfast Best Director Kenneth Branagh, Belfast Jane Campion, Power of the Dog Reinaldo Marcus Green, King Richard Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza Dennis Villeneuve, Dune First one out: Adam McKay, Don't Look Up WINNER: Jane Campion, Power of the Dog 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joel M Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 I'm just not buying King Richard as a real contender for anything other than Will Smith anymore. It's the one movie that having a surprising boxoffice run in a sea of struggling awards friendly films would have catapulted it from just an actor play to all around contender status. But that didn't happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Everything will have terrible box office so maybe King Richard won't be too held back. The audience reception seems good enough to compensate for it. I'd predict a Will Smith win and noms for Picture and Supporting Actress, at least. Green seems like the type of director who gets snubbed for a surprise choice and Screenplay will have a lot of choices that will appeal to the voters As of now for winners i'd say: Picture: Belfast (I've made my doubts about the film public but it's still frontrunner and probably consensus) Director: Branagh, Belfast (Campion is widely predicted but if Belfast wins BP, it should win Director since it's Black and White and Branagh hasn't won before. This isn't Green Book. And Campion's work isn' Cuaron for Roma level. I think it'll be the critic film that comes up short) Actor: Smith, King Richard Actress: Kidman, Being the Ricardos (Stewart is frontrunner but I'm getting the feeling Kidman in a big baity biopic film about Hollywood by Sorkin gets the edge over an artsy film like Spencer) Supporting Actor: Hinds, Belfast (Toughest category to call. Dornan is probably the favorite but Hinds has a more emotional and awards friendly role... I'll take the bet. Bradley Cooper could be a surprise despite the cameo because his raves and his scene is supposedly a standout) Supporting Actress: Balfe, Belfast (I feel good about this one) Adapted Screenplay: Power of the Dog (Campion's consolation prize unless Nightmare Alley hits strong) Original Screenplay: Belfast vs Licorice Pizza (Screenplay has become a consolation spot for hip choices and PTA fits that but Belfast is still. the overall frontrunner. We'll see) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 With NBR Awards and Gothams soon... NBR Best Film: King Richard (Licorice Pizza or Cmon Cmon) Best Director: Villeneuve, Dune (PTA, Licorice Pizza) Best Actor: Simon Rex, Red Rocket (Smith, King Richard or Phoenix, Cmon Cmon) Best Actress: Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos (Colman, The Lost Daughter) Best Supporting Actor: Ben Affleck, The Tender Bar (Cooper, Licorice Pizza) Best Supporting Actress: Cait Bale, Belfast (Ellis for King Richard; Kathryn Hunter, Macbeth or Matlin, Coda?) Best Ensemble: King Richard (Don't Look Up) Best Breakthrough: Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza (Woody Norman, Cmon Cmon) Best Original Screenplay: C'mon C'mon (Licorice Pizza) Best Adapted Screenplay: Power of the Dog (Macbeth or The Lost Daughter) Top 10: CODA. Cmon Cmon. Dune. The Last Duel. Licorice Pizza. Macbeth. Power of the Dog. Red Rocket. The Tender Bar. West Side Story. (They like very male-skewing old boomer movies and studio films as well as A24. A lot. They're not fans of female driven contenders) Gotham Awards: Feature: The Green Knight Documentary: Flee International: The Worst Person in the World Breakthrough Director: The Lost Daughter Screenplay: The Card Counter (spread the wealth around) Lead Performance: Simon Rex, Red Rocket Supporting Performance: Ruth Negga, Passing Breakthrough Performer: Emilia Jones, CODA or Rachel Sennott, Shiva Baby Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 Golden Globes: What’s Drama and Whats’s Comedy/Musical I like sorting the two categories in order to anticipate which lead performers would be able to go where. Drama Being the Ricardos Belfast C’mon C’mon Dune The Eyes of Tammy Faye House of Gucci Jockey (for Clifton Collins Jr.?) King Richard The Last Duel The Lost Daughter Mass Nightmare Alley Parallel Mothers The Power of the Dog Respect (I think song numbers are diegetic?) Spencer The Tragedy of Macbeth Comedy/Musical Cinderella (for Camilla Cabello?) CODA Cruella (for Emma Stone?) Cyrano Dear Evan Hansen Don’t Look Up In the Heights Licorice Pizza tick, tick… Boom! West Side Story The Worst Person in the World (for Reinsve?) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 Those look spot-on. Tammy Faye is campy with some musical numbers so I wonder if it ends up Comedy? But it's still a biopic so probably not. I haven't seen Cmon Cmon but 20th Century Women went Comedy. Not sure what Beginners did Weak year for Comedy/Musical. Maybe they nominate Free Guy? They nominated Deadpool and Ryan Reynolds. Jodie Comer could happen, I guess Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 34 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: Those look spot-on. Tammy Faye is campy with some musical numbers so I wonder if it ends up Comedy? But it's still a biopic so probably not. I haven't seen Cmon Cmon but 20th Century Women went Comedy. Not sure what Beginners did Weak year for Comedy/Musical. Maybe they nominate Free Guy? They nominated Deadpool and Ryan Reynolds. Jodie Comer could happen, I guess It is worth noting that Rocketman and Taron Edgerton were campaigned in Comedy/Musical in 2019 despite the film being more dramatic in nature; but the musical numbers were more surreal than just performances. Tammy Faye and C’mon C’mon do sound like on-the-cuff films that could be comedy due to the reasons you mentioned; that would certainly cause both the drama and comedy races to be even more interesting! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 NBR got delayed to Dec 2nd to give voters time to watch West Side Story and Nightmare Alley. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Now that I've seen Licorice Pizza, Bradley Cooper can definitely get in with limited screentime. His scenes had the loudest reactions from my audience by a wide margin 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Starting to believe in West Side Story a bit, not to reduce a legend's death to awards speculation but it went from from "movie without much reason to exist" to "welcomed appreciation of a legend with alot of goodwill behind it" very quickly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 (edited) My BP predictions in order of likeliness ALMOST LOCKED 1. Belfast 2. King Richard 3. Power of the Dog 4. Dune GREAT CHANCES 5. Being the Ricardos 6. Licorice Pizza 7. Don't Look Up UNSEEN BUT WOULDN'T BET AGAINST IT 8. West Side Story 9. Nightmare Alley FIGHTING FOR THE LAST SPOT 10. Tragedy of Macbeth (great reviews, but buzz seems soft) 11. The Last Duel (expecting a surge, but will be enough?) 12. Parallel Mothers (auteur's prestige might help, but too many auteurs in the mix) 13. CODA (praised, but too little?) 14. Spencer (solid biopic & star vehicle, but overshadowed by Being the Ricardos) 15. Cyrano (praised, but weird) Edited November 29, 2021 by stripe 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Yeah so it looks like West Side Story might have a real shot at this thing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 It's almost crazy to think that this would be Steven Spielberg's first nomination for Best Director since Lincoln. That's a solid narrative for being allowed back into the ring this awards season! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Director is very competitive this year: PTA, Branagh, Campion, GDT (if Nightmare Alley delivers), McKay, Spielberg, Villeneuve 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 The Lost Daughter dominated the Gothams winning Feature, Actress (Colman), Screenplay and Debut Feature Troy Kotsur from CODA won Supporting Performance, I think he's a sleeper Oscar nominee Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
