filmlover Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 Well, good for Andrew Garfield that he's now going to Netflix's other big Actor push behind Cumberbatch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nghtvsn Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 (edited) I just finished Tick Tick Boom and damn it was so good. I didn't know his story. I was familiar with Rent passingly but to learn a bit about how his story began was a pleasure. I would put this up for BP, BD, BA no question. It was so well done and it was memorable in multiple ways. I caught Power of the Dog a few days ago. I thought it was very authentically made for the time period. Cumberbatch was excellent in the film. I actually liked all the mains. Dunst was good but her characters gets kind of disappeared the last third of the film. I didn't think it was amazing or something I'd watch again but it was well acted, beautifully shot and a nice story. I watched House of Gucci in theatre and it was okay. Gaga was good. I thought everybody was fine really but it's not that memorable or rewatchable to me. Other than learning about the fall of Gucci and the most powerful scene being Pacino's I don't think it's going to win much. Edited December 8, 2021 by nghtvsn proof reading 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 I honestly love how spicy this awards season is shaping up right now. A good chunk of the pre-season contenders we thought were gonna be surefire contenders are on shaky ground now. Not gonna lie, it's genuinely kind of exciting. Makes me curious to see what the Academy ends up going for this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeFangrl Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 AFI MOVIES OF THE YEAR CODA DON’T LOOK UP DUNE KING RICHARD LICORICE PIZZA NIGHTMARE ALLEY THE POWER OF THE DOG tick, tick… BOOM! THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH WEST SIDE STORY AFI SPECIAL AWARD BELFAST SUMMER OF SOUL (…OR, WHEN THE REVOLUTION COULD NOT BE TELEVISED https://www.afi.com/news/announcing-2021-afi-awards-honorees/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozymandias Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 lmao @ Don't Look Up making it on there, its gonna finish around 50% on RT. Serious case of shameless celebrity worship and pandering there, what a joke. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted December 9, 2021 Share Posted December 9, 2021 Power of the Dog is very good but I don't see it winning Picture. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 9, 2021 Share Posted December 9, 2021 21 hours ago, Ozymandias said: lmao @ Don't Look Up making it on there, its gonna finish around 50% on RT. Serious case of shameless celebrity worship and pandering there, what a joke. Don't be shocked if Meryl Streep suddenly show up in the supporting actress race Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoxOfficeFangrl Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 (edited) Variety with the hard-hitting reporting... Tl:dr AMPAS voters have historically been fine with actresses going full frontal in movies but men, not so much. Apparently, only Viggo Mortensen seems to have escaped the curse in recent years. I would be surprised by a Cumberbatch Oscar snub at this point, but if it happens, there's a reason. Good news for a Big Willie Style win? Edited December 10, 2021 by BoxOfficeFangrl Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 Golden Globe predictions since they're going to be messily announced over a statement Monday: DRAMA: Being the Ricardos Belfast Dune King Richard Power of the Dog (alt: Nightmare Alley. CODA) DRAMA ACTOR: Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley Benedict Cumberbatch, Power of the Dog Will Smith, King Richard Denzel Washington, Macbeth (alt: Joaquin Phoenix, Cmon Cmon) DRAMA ACTRESS: Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers Lady Gaga, House of Gucci Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos Kristen Stewart, Spencer (alt: Jessica Chastain, Tammy Faye. Jennifer Hudson, Respect) COMEDY/MUSICAL: Cyrano Don't Look Up Licorice Pizza Tick Tick Boom West Side Story (alt: In the Heights) COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR: Leonardo DiCaprio, Don't Look Up Peter Dinklage, Cyrano Ansel Elgort, West Side Story Andrew Garfield, Tick Tick Boom Anthony Ramos, In the Heights (alt: Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen) COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTRESS: Haley Bennett, Cyrano Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza Jennifer Lawrence, Don't Look Up Renate Reinsve, The Worst Person in the World Rachel Zegler, West Side Story SUPPORTING ACTOR: Robin DeJesus, Tick Tick Boom Jamie Dornan, Belfast Ciaran Hinds, Belfast Jared Leto, House of Gucci Kodi Smit-McPhee, Power of the Dog (alt: Troy Kotsur, CODA. Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza. Ben Affleck, The Last Duel/Tender Bar. JK Simmons, Being the Ricardos) SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Caitriona Balfe, Belfast Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley Ariana DeBose, West Side Story Kirsten Dunst, Power of the Dog Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard (alt: Rita Moreno, West Side Story) DIRECTOR: Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza Kenneth Branagh, Belfast Jane Campion, Power of the Dog Steven Spielberg, West Side Story Denis Villeneuve, Dune (alt: Lin Manuel Miranda, Tick Tick Boom- I can see a scenario he knocks out PTA, sadly) SCREENPLAY: Being the Ricardos Belfast Licorice Pizza Power of the Dog West Side Story (alt: The Lost Daughter) SCORE: Dune The French Dispatch The Last Duel Power of the Dog Spencer (alt: Being the Ricardos. Nightmare Alley) SONG: Don't Look Up Encanto Harder They Fall King Richard No Time To Die (alt: Belfast. Respect) FOREIGN: Drive My Car The Hand of God A Hero Titane Worst Person in the World (alt: Flee. Compartment No 6) ANIMATED: Encanto Luca Mitchells vs the Machines Sing 2 Vivo (alt: Raya and the Last Dragon. Flee. Belle.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 5 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: COMEDY/MUSICAL ACTOR: (alt: Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen) This would be such a HFPA thing to do that I hope it happens just to prove they've learned nothing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 11, 2021 Share Posted December 11, 2021 1. The Power of the Dog 2. Belfast 3. Dune 4. West Side Story 5. King Richard 6. Licorice Pizza 7. tick, tick...BOOM! 8. Nightmare Alley 9. CODA 10. Being the Ricardos Alt: Don't Look Up Director: 1. Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog 2. Denis Villeneuve, Dune 3. Steven Spielberg, West Side Story 4. Kenneth Branagh, Belfast 5. Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza Alt: Lin Manuel Miranda, tick, tick...BOOM! Actor: 1. Andrew Garfield, tick, tick...BOOM! 2. Will Smith, King Richard 3. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog 4. Peter Dinklage, Cyrano 5. Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth Alt: Leonardo DiCaprio, Don't Look Up Actress: 1. Kristen Stewart, Spencer 2. Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos 3. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter 4. Rachel Zegler, West Side Story 5. Lady Gaga, House of Gucci Alt: Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers Supporting Actor: 1. Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog 2. Jamie Dornan, Belfast 3. Ciaran Hinds, Belfast 4. Troy Kotsur, CODA 5. Jared Leto, House of Gucci Alt: Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza Supporting Actress: 1. Anjanue Ellis, King Richard 2. Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog 3. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story 4. Caitriona Balfe, Belfast 5. Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley Alt: Marlee Matlin, CODA Original Screenplay: 1. Belfast 2. Licorice Pizza 3. Being the Ricardos 4. King Richard 5. Don't Look Up Alt: C'mon C'mon Adapted Screenplay: 1. The Power of the Dog 2. The Lost Daughter 3. Dune 4. CODA 5. tick, tick...BOOM! Alt: West Side Story 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Critics Choice nominees: BEST PICTURE Belfast CODA Don’t Look Up Dune King Richard Licorice Pizza Nightmare Alley The Power of the Dog tick, tick…Boom! West Side Story BEST ACTOR Nicolas Cage – Pig Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog Peter Dinklage – Cyrano Andrew Garfield – tick, tick…Boom! Will Smith – King Richard Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth BEST ACTRESS Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter Lady Gaga – House of Gucci Alana Haim – Licorice Pizza Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos Kristen Stewart – Spencer BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Jamie Dornan – Belfast Ciarán Hinds – Belfast Troy Kotsur – CODA Jared Leto – House of Gucci J.K. Simmons – Being the Ricardos Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Caitríona Balfe – Belfast Ariana DeBose – West Side Story Ann Dowd – Mass Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard Rita Moreno – West Side Story BEST YOUNG ACTOR/ACTRESS Jude Hill – Belfast Cooper Hoffman – Licorice Pizza Emilia Jones – CODA Woody Norman – C’mon C’mon Saniyya Sidney – King Richard Rachel Zegler – West Side Story BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE Belfast Don’t Look Up The Harder They Fall Licorice Pizza The Power of the Dog West Side Story BEST DIRECTOR Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza Kenneth Branagh – Belfast Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog Guillermo del Toro – Nightmare Alley Steven Spielberg – West Side Story Denis Villeneuve – Dune BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza Zach Baylin – King Richard Kenneth Branagh – Belfast Adam McKay, David Sirota – Don’t Look Up Aaron Sorkin – Being the Ricardos BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter Siân Heder – CODA Tony Kushner – West Side Story Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve, Eric Roth – Dune BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Bruno Delbonnel – The Tragedy of Macbeth Greig Fraser – Dune Janusz Kaminski – West Side Story Dan Laustsen – Nightmare Alley Ari Wegner – The Power of the Dog Haris Zambarloukos – Belfast BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Jim Clay, Claire Nia Richards – Belfast Tamara Deverell, Shane Vieau – Nightmare Alley Adam Stockhausen, Rena DeAngelo – The French Dispatch Adam Stockhausen, Rena DeAngelo – West Side Story Patrice Vermette, Zsuzsanna Sipos – Dune BEST EDITING Sarah Broshar and Michael Kahn – West Side Story Úna Ní Dhonghaíle – Belfast Andy Jurgensen – Licorice Pizza Peter Sciberras – The Power of the Dog Joe Walker – Dune BEST COSTUME DESIGN Jenny Beavan – Cruella Luis Sequeira – Nightmare Alley Paul Tazewell – West Side Story Jacqueline West, Robert Morgan – Dune Janty Yates – House of Gucci BEST HAIR AND MAKEUP Cruella Dune The Eyes of Tammy Faye House of Gucci Nightmare Alley BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Dune The Matrix Resurrections Nightmare Alley No Time to Die Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings BEST COMEDY Barb & Star Go to Vista Del Mar Don’t Look Up Free Guy The French Dispatch Licorice Pizza BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Encanto Flee Luca The Mitchells vs the Machines Raya and the Last Dragon BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM A Hero Drive My Car Flee The Hand of God The Worst Person in the World BEST SONG Be Alive – King Richard Dos Oruguitas – Encanto Guns Go Bang – The Harder They Fall Just Look Up – Don’t Look Up No Time to Die – No Time to Die BEST SCORE Nicholas Britell – Don’t Look Up Jonny Greenwood – The Power of the Dog Jonny Greenwood – Spencer Nathan Johnson – Nightmare Alley Hans Zimmer – Dune Critics Choice Awards 2022 Film Nominations Nominees List – The Hollywood Reporter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Post critics update (ignoring Globes for obvious reasons) PICTURE: 1. Belfast 2. West Side Story 3. Power of the Dog 4. Licorice Pizza 5. Dune 6. King Richard 7. Don't Look Up 8. Tick Tick Boom 9. CODA ---- 10th spot is complicated. I don't think Nightmare Alley will get in by skin of teeth without any above the line nominations. It's also a genre dark thriller without amazing reviews and likely mediocre box office. Macbeth has underperformed but still time for it to turn around. Gucci has only shown up for acting despite being one of the most widely seen films. ALT: Drive My Car DIRECTOR: 1. Kenneth Branagh, Belfast 2. Jane Campion, Power of the Dog 3. Steven Spielberg, West Side Story 4. Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza 5. Denis Villeneuve, Dune ACTOR: 1. Will Smith, King Richard 2. Benedict Cumberbatch, Power of the Dog 3. Andrew Garfield, Tick Tick Boom 4. Denzel Washington, Macbeth 5. Peter Dinklage, Cyrano ALT: Leonardo DiCaprio, Don't Look Up ACTRESS: 1. Kristen Stewart, Spencer 2. Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos 3. Lady Gaga, House of Gucci 4. Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter 5. Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza ALT: Rachel Zegler, West Side Story (not buying Chastain with that film. She will be Globe/SAG snub) SUPPORTING ACTOR: 1. Troy Kotsur, CODA 2. Kodi Smit-McPhee, Power of the Dog 3. Ciaran Hinds, Belfast 4. Jamie Dornan, Belfast 5. Jared Leto, House of Gucci ALT: Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza SUPPORTING ACTRESS: 1. Ariana DeBose, West Side Story 2. Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard 3. Caitriona Balfe, Belfast 4. Kirsten Dunst, Power of the Dog 5. Rita Moreno, West Side Story ALT: Judi Dench, Belfast ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: 1. Belfast 2. Licorice Pizza 3. Don't Look Up 4. King Richard ---- Uh. Cmon Cmon has missed everything. Not buying Sorkin here for a weak reviewed film since it's missing BP. That leaves A Hero (NBR) or French Dispatch pulling a Buster Scruggs type nom. ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: 1. Power of the Dog 2. West Side Story 3. CODA 4. The Lost Daughter 5. Dune ALT: Drive My Car CINEMATOGRAPHY: West Side Story. Dune. Macbeth. Power of the Dog. Belfast. (Cmon Cmon/Nightmare Alley) PRODUCTION: West Side Story. Dune. Macbeth. Nightmare Alley. The French Dispatch. (Belfast) COSTUME: West Side Story. Dune. Cruella. Spencer. Gucci. (French Dispatch) EDITING: West Side Story. Dune. Belfast. Power of the Dog. Licorice Pizza. (Tick Tick Boom) SCORE: Dune. Power of the Dog. Spencer. French Dispatch. Don't Look Up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Dune chance at the Oscar look so much promising with this level of industry support. On the other hand, I don't think Don't Iook up is this solid as it seem at the Oscar. The buzz is at the height right now but when all the fuzz gone, people will realise its mediocrity. Especially Oscar this year is latter than usual. Not to mention Netflix generally has problem retaining attention to their Oscar candidate. 55% RT score is just too much to overcome. Not even Vice, BR, or Joker sinks that low. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 (edited) Leto is so ridiculous in House of Gucci that I kind of want him to get nominated just for the lolz (he also was ridiculous in The Little Things, which he was also almost nominated for, but at least he gave that completely lifeless movie some energy it badly needed). And if not, well...third time's the charm with MORBIUS! Edited December 13, 2021 by filmlover Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BestPicturePlutoNash Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: Dune chance at the Oscar look so much promising with this level of industry support. On the other hand, I don't think Don't Iook up is this solid as it seem at the Oscar. The buzz is at the height right now but when all the fuzz gone, people will realise its mediocrity. Especially Oscar this year is latter than usual. Not to mention Netflix generally has problem retaining attention to their Oscar candidate. 55% RT score is just too much to overcome. Not even Vice, BR, or Joker sinks that low. Don't Look Up is an awful movie but it has already made NBR + AFI + Critics Choice. It will make SAG and WGA. Editing Guild, as well. With the lineup consisting of 10 films, it lucked out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 33 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said: Don't Look Up is an awful movie but it has already made NBR + AFI + Critics Choice. It will make SAG and WGA. Editing Guild, as well. With the lineup consisting of 10 films, it lucked out Probably further evidence that A must 10 BP nominees is a terrible idea. I will prefer some random foreign language film to get that spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Don't Look Up will probably end up in the Best Picture roster for the same reason Vice did: being a much-hyped star-studded movie that's had buzz ever since it was announced despite no one actually caring about the movie itself (really, aside from the afterglow nom of it all and the closest competition for the last spot being Timothee Chalamet in a no1curr movie, how did Sam Rockwell manage a nomination for that nothing performance). Guess the only hope for the Academy to fall out of love with him is if he inflicts a Cats-style atomic bomb upon the world. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Also, depending how LP gross after expansion . I am feeling better for LP ultimate win with this group of candidates. Sure, box office maybe a non-factor in a pandemic year but a good box office certainly a bonus and differentiate itself from the rest of the competition. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 My BP predictions ALMOST LOCKED TOP 5 1. Belfast - the British contender 2. Power of the Dog - the critics darling contender, part 1 3. West Side Story - the prestige connection with old cinema 4. Dune - the respected hit 5. Licorice Pizza - the critics darling contender, part 2 SOLID CHANCES 6. King Richard (best actor heat + biopic+ great reviews. But lukewarm BO and momentum fading) 7. CODA (a small film sneaking NBR + Globes + Critics Choice? Growing chances for a surprise, I would be surprised with a snub) WEAKER POSITION (1 OR 2 MIGHT/WILL MISS) 8. Nightmare Alley (no globe + not stellar reviews + possible backlash... but late December release + many possible tech noms + respected cast/director. Probable default nominee) 9. Don't Look Up (weak reactions... But chat is there and has its fans. It also hit with precursors) 10. Tick tick... Boom (another musical in BP race would be strange, but it's also a biopic. Best actor's heat and a way to recognize Lin Manuel Miranda's momentum) STILL IN THE RUN FIGHTING FOR ATTENTION 11. Tragedy of Macbeth (strange this isn't geting more love given the reviews, but attention can increase) 12. Parallel Mothers (Almodovar is loved in US. This is the foreign film with an easiest road to BP nom) 13. The Last Duel (expecting a surge, but House of Gucci might split the attention of Scott's supporters) 14. Being the Ricardos (missed some important precursors, but still not out of the race) 15. Cyrano (if audience support this heavily) 16. French Dispatch (solid support from Wes Anderson's fans) A MIRACLE Spencer C'mon C'mon A Hero Red Rocket House of Gucci Passing Titane 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
