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Eric is Anxious

2022 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

By Eric is Anxious, in Box Office Discussion

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Top 5 of 2022 - DOM

1. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 
   $520-550m
2. Lightyear 
   $490-510m

 

On 10/29/2021 at 2:48 PM, VenomXXR said:

 

I'm telling ya [Lightyear] is going over $500m domestic.

 

On 10/27/2021 at 4:15 PM, VenomXXR said:

I’m considering a bold club…

 

Lightyear > All other films domestically, 2022

 

On 10/27/2021 at 5:16 PM, VenomXXR said:

Aiigghhttt I'm gonna do it. Won't make the club yet though but soooooon....

 

YiBe40t.png YiBe40t.png YiBe40t.png 

 

====

 

Okay, I know you have them close, but, really.  If you're gonna create a Lightyear Uber Alles club, really should stick to it elsewhere on the board. ;)

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Napoleon Summer Tentpole

Napoleon

Posted
Posted

Avatar 2 - 1.7b

Aquaman 2 - 850m

Jurassic World 3 - 800m

The Batman - 800m

Doctor Strange 2 - 750m

Black Panther 2 - 700m

Thor 4 - 650m

Captain Marvel 2 - 600m

Mission Impossible 7 - 600m

Transformers - 600m

Indiana Jones 5 - 500m

The Flash - 450m

Morbius - 450m

Ligthyear - 400m

Minions 2 - 400m

Fantastic Beasts 3 - 400m

Uncharted - 375m

Top Gun 2 - 350m

Spiderverse 2 - 300m

Black Adam - 250m

Sonic 2 - 180m

Halloween Ends - 150m

Scream 5 - 80m

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Ronin46 Box Office Gold

Ronin46

Posted
Posted
17 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

Avatar 2 - 1.7b

Aquaman 2 - 850m

Jurassic World 3 - 800m

The Batman - 800m

Doctor Strange 2 - 750m

Black Panther 2 - 700m

Thor 4 - 650m

Captain Marvel 2 - 600m

Mission Impossible 7 - 600m

Transformers - 600m

Indiana Jones 5 - 500m

The Flash - 450m

Morbius - 450m

Ligthyear - 400m

Minions 2 - 400m

Fantastic Beasts 3 - 400m

Uncharted - 375m

Top Gun 2 - 350m

Spiderverse 2 - 300m

Black Adam - 250m

Sonic 2 - 180m

Halloween Ends - 150m

Scream 5 - 80m

 

Morbius and Uncharted will outgross Top Gun2 and Lightyear?

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XXR & Friends Global Phenomenon

XXR & Friends

Posted
Posted
21 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

Avatar 2 - 1.7b

Aquaman 2 - 850m

Jurassic World 3 - 800m

The Batman - 800m

Doctor Strange 2 - 750m

Black Panther 2 - 700m

Thor 4 - 650m

Captain Marvel 2 - 600m

Mission Impossible 7 - 600m

Transformers - 600m

Indiana Jones 5 - 500m

The Flash - 450m

Morbius - 450m

Ligthyear - 400m

Minions 2 - 400m

Fantastic Beasts 3 - 400m

Uncharted - 375m

Top Gun 2 - 350m

Spiderverse 2 - 300m

Black Adam - 250m

Sonic 2 - 180m

Halloween Ends - 150m

Scream 5 - 80m

 

No MCU film will make over $750m? Morbius over Lightyear? Uncharted over Black Adam? Oh, and Indy 5 has moved to 2023.

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Eric is Anxious Global Phenomenon

Eric is Anxious

Posted
  • Author
Posted

I mean older audiences and family audiences still aren't truly back yet. And yeah, it could change in 2022, but it still won't happen overnight, so it'll probably be a long process. Not that crazy to be down on those films.

 

But yeah, doubting Papa Feige is a fool's errand, even if Eternals underperforms.

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Saul Goodman Box Office Gold

Saul Goodman

Posted
Posted (edited)

Worldwide

1. Avatar 2
2. Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness
3. Thor: Love and Thunder
4. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
5. Jurassic World
6. Aquaman 2
7. Lightyear
9. The Batman
10. Mission Impossible 7

I do think #1 domestic will be close between BP2 and Avatar 2.

Edited by Saul Goodman
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Napoleon Summer Tentpole

Napoleon

Posted
Posted
17 hours ago, Ronin46 said:

 

Morbius and Uncharted will outgross Top Gun2 and Lightyear?

 

17 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

 

No MCU film will make over $750m? Morbius over Lightyear? Uncharted over Black Adam? Oh, and Indy 5 has moved to 2023.

My box office predicting is based only on feelings so don’t take it seriously, I’m not good at this like a lot of members of BOT are (those estimates they do on the tracking thread blow my mind). I just wanted to participate in this thread and see if I can get anything right.
 

Though I will revise my Marvel numbers because I was taking into account they wouldn’t be released in China but now thinking clearly it doesn’t make much sense to expect that.

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Jak Ryan Drake Campbell Straight-to-DVD

Jak Ryan Drake Campbell

Posted
Posted (edited)
WW
 
Avatar 2 - 1.7b
Jurassic World 3 - 950m
Aquaman 2 - 780m
Black Panther 2 - 740m
Doctor Strange 2 - 630m
Mission Impossible 7 - 700m
The Batman - 650m
Fantastic Beasts 3 - 520m
 
 
 
I see Avatar and Jurassic World 3 largely dominating the year 2022.
 
Regarding the others, a lot of surprises in my opinion. I don't see Batman performing that much, on the other hand MI7 should score higher than the last Bond. I expect a lot from Fantastic Beasts 3 especially in the Worldwide.
We will see.
Edited by Jak Ryan Drake Campbell
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WorkingonaName Box Office Gold

WorkingonaName

Posted
Posted

 

 

1. Avatar 2: 1.5B

 

2. Super Mario Bros: 1.2B

 

3. The Batman: 1.2B

 

4. Thor: Love And Thunder: 1.2B

 

5. DS In The MOM: 1.1B

 

6. Jurassic World: Dominion: 1.1B

 

7. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: 1B

 

8. Wakanda Forever: 850M

 

9. Mission Impossible 8: 800M

 

10.  Lightyear: 800M

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Maggie Box Office Gold

Maggie

Posted
Posted
On 11/9/2021 at 8:58 AM, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Really wish somehow MI7 gets to that $1 Billion mark.

Not happening. It's going to Par + after 45 days.

 

I agree with lab276 above, it will be hard for movies to make a billion next year. The usual suspects are Marvel, Aquaman 2, Jurassic World: D  and Avatar. Can't see anything else even approaching the 1B mark

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