Halloween Weekend Thread | D:$15.53m HK: $8.5m NTTD: $7.82m

[ThomasNicole]

1 minute ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

 

Soho is actually very good, i was expecting a C+ too

[Legion Again]

46 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

I'm not good predicting Halloween drops.

 

With $ 5M how much Dune can make? 16-17M?

 

On 10/28/2021 at 5:33 PM, Avatar Legion said:

To end up at 16 I would be looking at about:

2.75
5

6.86

4.14

 

If Fri has a 50% drop that would be great, probably 19+ weekend!

 

[Legion Again]

Should note though that I'm not especially confident in that Sat. 

[nguyenkhoi282]

Seem like Dune won't reach 100M. 

[Krissykins]

A B+ is terrific for Last Night in Soho, I honestly didn’t know how america would react. 
 

Not surprised that Antlers is in the C’s, I’ve heard it’s very sad. 

[von Kenni]

54 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

Seem like Dune won't reach 100M. 

Nah, most likely will. Anything under 60% ($16.4m) drop is very good and leads to over $100m most likely. 60-65% ($14.35m) drop can too and depends on the 3rd weekend but over 65% drop would most likely mean sub $100m finish. IF the Friday is 5, it'll likely be sub 60%. With NTTD 2nd weekend numbers (higher competition with Halloween Kills) Dune's numbers would be 5 + 7.22 (+44.5%) + 4.46 (-38.3%) = 16.68. I'd say Sat bump is closer to 50% with daytime IMAX/PLFs and would look more like 5 + 7.5 + 4.6 = 17.1.

 

Anything above 16.4 (sub 60%) is very good. But let's see what the actual Friday is and then we'll anticipate the bumps & drops and on Monday we could relax a bit.

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

Seem like Dune won't reach 100M. 

Could be pretty tight.
4.8 (-61% weekly vs true fri)

6.7 (-51% weekly)

4 (-59% weekly)

 

15.5 (-62%), 69.4M cume 

 

2nd weekdays 5.9, 75.3M

 

3rd wknd lose imax, 7M, 82.3M

3rd weekdays 2.7M, 85M  

 

40% drops from there adds 14.55 for 99.55

[john2000]

5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

You should take a potion of hope juice from @john2000.

@Avatar Legion i dont remember giving you permission to steal my juice..................

[von Kenni]

25 minutes ago, Avatar Legion said:

Could be pretty tight.
4.8 (-61% weekly vs true fri)

6.7 (-51% weekly)

4 (-59% weekly)

 

15.5 (-62%), 69.4M cume 

 

2nd weekdays 5.9, 75.3M

 

3rd wknd lose imax, 7M, 82.3M

3rd weekdays 2.7M, 85M  

 

40% drops from there adds 14.55 for 99.55

Plausible nail-biting scenario. Closer to that 60% than 65% drop this weekend would give chance to get to 100 like with your 62% drop but the more we get under 60% the probability to reach that 100 rapidly increases. I hope Fri gets that 5 or more to keep us clearly sub 60.

[Legion Again]

Kinda hope it takes like 10 weeks to get there tbh. It's like poetry, it rhymes.

[Felipe]

 

[Felipe]

 

[von Kenni]

Gimme my Dune

[charlie Jatinder]

13 minutes ago, Felipe said:

 

Yikes. The previews felt like 0.7M itself.

[Legion Again]

Cmon, give us the number we really care about…

 

Ghostbusters.

[Felipe]

 

[SpiderByte]

Shame for Soho, I saw a preview and loved it but I get why it's not really crowd pleaser.

[John Marston]

19 minutes ago, Felipe said:

 

 

 

yikes, well at least when I see it on Tuesday I will have the theater to myself

[Gavin Feng]

Probably $1.9M previews with the correction of $0.02M real FRI.

[DC Rich]

5 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

yikes, well at least when I see it on Tuesday I will have the theater to myself

 

 

That's the spirit.  Look for the bright spot.