The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

That should be good for 20 for Black Phone. Last July, Old had 1.5 Thursday and 16.8. Candyman in August had 1.9 for 22.4m OW. And this was of course during delta.

 

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

18 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-2	Jax	6	18	57	100	2,169	4.61%
		Phx	6	16	49	110	2,456	4.48%
		Ral	7	17	57	110	1,842	5.97%
	Total		19	51	163	320	6,467	4.95%
Black Phone (EA)	T-1	Jax	1	1	5	7	194	3.61%
		Ral	2	2	20	39	306	12.75%
	Total		3	3	25	46	500	9.20%
Elvis	T-2	Jax	7	30	105	265	5,059	5.24%
		Phx	6	19	95	217	2,325	9.33%
		Ral	8	19	126	261	1,983	13.16%
	Total		21	68	326	743	9,367	7.93%
Elvis (EA)	T-0	Jax	1	1	57	151	205	73.66%
	Total		1	1	57	151	205	73.66%
Minions 2	T-9	Jax	7	103	27	111	16,894	0.66%
		Phx	6	66	18	122	12,191	1.00%
		Ral	8	52	26	145	6,699	2.16%
	Total		21	221	71	378	35,784	1.06%
Nope	T-30	Jax	7	51	3	43	8,591	0.50%
		Phx	6	20	11	73	4,344	1.68%
		Ral	8	25	3	52	3,411	1.52%
	Total		21	96	17	168	16,346	1.03%
Thor 4	T-16	Jax	7	112	233	1,453	17,265	8.42%
		Phx	6	111	129	1,818	18,041	10.08%
		Ral	8	63	166	1,632	8,326	19.60%
	Total		21	286	528	4,903	43,632	11.24%

 

*All new sales since Saturday morning*

 

Black Phone (Thu) T-2 comps

 - Candyman - 1.57x (2.98m)

 - Firestarter - 3.6x (1.35m)

 - Resident Evil (Tue) - 2.3x (2.15m)

 - Halloween Kills - .288x (1.39m)

 

Elvis (Thu) T-2 comps

 - Dear Evan Hansen - 6.82x (4.09m)

 - F9 - .429x (3.05m)

 - Ghostbusters - .681x (2.83m)

 - Lost City - 2.13x (5.32m)

 

Minions 2 T-9 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .797x (3.97m)

 - FB3 - .418x (2.51m)

 - Ghostbusters (Thu) - missed

 - Shang-Chi - .387x (3.41m)

 

Nope T-30 comp

 - JW-D - .1x (1.81m)

 

It's something I guess

 

Thor 4 T-16 comps

 - Dr. Strange 2 - .517x (18.61m)

 - Batman - missed

 - No Way Home - .348x (17.38m)

 - Black Widow - 2.86x (37.76m)

 - JW3 - 2.022x (36.39m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-1	Jax	6	21	23	123	2,314	5.32%
		Phx	6	22	43	153	3,157	4.85%
		Ral	7	17	43	153	1,842	8.31%
	Total		19	60	109	429	7,313	5.87%
Black Phone (EA)	T-0	Jax	1	1	9	16	194	8.25%
		Ral	2	2	14	53	306	17.32%
	Total		3	3	23	69	500	13.80%
Elvis	T-1	Jax	7	33	45	310	5,349	5.80%
		Phx	6	21	30	247	2,571	9.61%
		Ral	8	20	42	303	2,031	14.92%
	Total		21	74	117	860	9,951	8.64%
Elvis (EA)	T-0	Jax	1	1	151	151	205	73.66%
	Total		1	1	151	151	205	73.66%
Minions 2	T-8	Jax	7	104	8	119	17,171	0.69%
		Phx	6	66	6	128	12,191	1.05%
		Ral	8	59	8	153	7,630	2.01%
	Total		21	229	22	400	36,992	1.08%
Nope	T-29	Jax	7	51	1	44	8,591	0.51%
		Phx	6	20	0	73	4,344	1.68%
		Ral	8	25	2	54	3,411	1.58%
	Total		21	96	3	171	16,346	1.05%
Thor 4	T-15	Jax	7	112	25	1,478	17,265	8.56%
		Phx	6	111	46	1,894	18,041	10.50%
		Ral	8	63	46	1,678	8,326	20.15%
	Total		21	286	117	5,050	43,632	11.57%

 

Black Phone (Thu) T-1 comps

 - Candyman - 1.46x (2.77m)

 - Firestarter - 3.87x (1.45m)

 - Resident Evil (Tue) - 2.33x (2.18m)

 - Halloween Kills - .304x (1.47m)

 - Antlers - 5.88x (2.17x)

 - X - 3.15x (1.39m)

 - Men - 3.33x (1.41m)

 

Looks like two different ranges it could be in.  I'd lean towards the 1.45m range for true Thursday at this point.

 

Elvis (Thu) T-1 comps

 - Dear Evan Hansen - 5.93x (3.56m)

 - F9 - .394x (2.8m)

 - Ghostbusters - .614x (2.55m)

 - Lost City (Thu) - 1.78x (4.45m)

 - Father Stu - 6.28x (3.45m)

 

Minions 2 T-8 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .778x (3.88m)

 - FB3 - .384x (2.31m)

 - Ghostbusters (Thu) - .73x (3.03m)

 - Shang-Chi - .368x (3.24m)

 

Nope T-29 comp

 - JW-D - .1x (1.79m)

 

It's something I guess

 

Thor 4 T-15 comps

 - Dr. Strange 2 - .522x (18.79m)

 - Batman (Thu) - 1.81x (31.86m)

 - No Way Home - .324x (16.21m)

 - Black Widow - 2.82x (37.24m)

 - JW3 - 2.03x (36.49m)

[Tinalera]

Minions

SW/Toronto Ontario t-9

	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	17	86	186	23798	23984	0.0077
Fri	15	84	247	22353	22600	0.0109

 

Note for record 2 additional theatres and 18 shows added for Thurs

 

No comps until Thurs when I'll have some direct ones to Lightyear

 

 

 

Edited June 22, 2022 by Tinalera
added T-9

[keysersoze123]

Elvis MTC1 Thursday Previews - 23098/217631 364984.92 1516 shows

Elvis MTC1 Friday - 30809/452094 434694.31 3224 shows

 

Elvis previews grew just 3.5K over 24 hours and friday around 6K. Now I am thinking 3 million previews with early shows and OW in 30-33m range. I hope walkups take it higher. 

Edited June 22, 2022 by keysersoze123

[EmpireCity]

WB just put out a perfect trailer to drive sales and get a whole lot of people interested in this, especially older people.  I would expect it helps with a bump this week.  

[filmlover]

My showing for Elvis this weekend is already 2/3 full in a bigger auditorium. Definitely seems as if a breakout of sorts is likely.

[Borobudur]

So the summer is largely supported by older moviegoers?

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

 

[ringedmortality]

I read a thing that said Zaslav wanted the Food Network to do Elvis related stuff to promote it. Anyone know if that happened.

[Jake Lockley]

36 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

 

My gut is telling me it'll blow past this.

[ThatWaluigiDude]

1 hour ago, Borobudur said:

So the summer is largely supported by older moviegoers?

It happened. Boomers defeated MCU-fans.

[titanic2187]

45 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

 

I hope we can have another round of >$150m weekend. So far June has made over $700m. Another round of above $150m weekend would mean June is closing in to $1bn finish total, something that haven't happened since pandemic. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[keysersoze123]

Thor Love and Thunder MTC2 previews -  89947/521022 1282437.73 3267 shows..

 

Its doing worse than MTC1 when it comes to comps with DS2. That said there is a catalyst later this week and hopefully it picks up. 

[M37]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Elvis MTC1 Thursday Previews - 23098/217631 364984.92 1516 shows

Elvis MTC1 Friday - 30809/452094 434694.31 3224 shows

 

Elvis previews grew just 3.5K over 24 hours and friday around 6K. Now I am thinking 3 million previews with early shows and OW in 30-33m range. I hope walkups take it higher. 

Yeah, had a feeling this was going to go way of NTTD, with older audience draw not following typical sales pattern, a much smaller last week ramp-up (especially from T-4 onwards - more on that soon …)

 

Your range for Th & weekend is essentially what I’ve been eyeing for a while, glad to know I’m not taking crazy pills 

Edited June 22, 2022 by M37

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

51 minutes ago, M37 said:

Yeah, had a feeling this was going to go way of NTTD, with older audience draw not following typical sales pattern, a much smaller last week ramp-up (especially from T-4 onwards - more on that soon …)

 

Your range for Th & weekend is essentially what I’ve been eyeing for a while, glad to know I’m not taking crazy pills 

You still dying on the under 30 hill?

[M37]

23 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

You still dying on the under 30 hill?

I think low to mid $30s is probably the most likely outcome, under $30 possible, and a real chance TGM takes top spot this weekend again

 

… but as I said in other thread, I don’t have any stake in the outcome here, so not dying on any hill, but rather didn’t understand why that comment seemed to cause such an uproar given the data in hand. But we’ll find out the answer soon enough 

Edited June 22, 2022 by M37

[filmlover]

I was going to say anything over Rocketman's launch would be an automatic win but apparently the budget for this is more than twice as much as that movie was and the overseas prospects are probably more dicey (is Elvis really that much of an icon outside the US?) so however much it makes here to ensure profitability the better.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Final Elvis presales (the fan event was yesterday and nearly sold out the Dolby)

 

Thursday:

Cinemark (23)

510 (6), 820 (0), 9 (3) = (9)

XD: 610 (13), 950 (1) = (14)

AMC: (54)

DOLBY: 5 (40)

705 (14)

 

Friday:

Cinemark: (49)

11 (17), 240 (1), 620 (16), 10 (2) = (36)

XD: 310 (9), 650 (4) = (13)

AMC (140)

DOLBY: 235 (11), 635 (88) = (99)

105 (6), 145 (0), 305 (29), 505 (4), 705 (0), 905 (2) = (41)

 

Not sure what comp to use, but just throwing Lost City final PS day in:

 

CINEMARK THURSDAY (12)

4 XD (3), 650 XD (6), 940 XD (0)

430 (0), 730 (3), 850 (0)

CINEMARK FRIDAY (6)

12 (0), 3 (0), 6 (2), 9 (0)

1 XD (0), 4 XD (2), 7 XD (2), 10 XD (0)

 

18 tickets sold at Cinemark between Thursday+Friday

 

LOST CITY

AMC THURSDAY (57)

4pm DOLBY (9), 710 DOLBY (46)

430 (0), 750 (2)

AMC FRIDAY (65)

4pm DOLBY (6), 710 DOLBY (54), 10 DOLBY (3)

430 (2),750 (0)

 

This week of Elvis compared to last (June 15):

THURSDAY 

CINEMARK (7)

510 (4), 9 (3)

AMC (18)

DOLBY: 5 (15)

705 (3)

 

FRIDAY

CINEMARK (6)

11 (0), 240 (1), 620 (5), 10 (0)

AMC (62)

305 (24), 705 (6) = (30)

DOLBY: 635 (32)

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Black Phone final PS

 

Thursday

Cinemark: (17)

5 (5), 740 (10), 945 (0), 1020 (2)

AMC: (15)

5 (6), 750 (9)

 

I think low20s still

[John Marston]

Elvis doing well would be amazing since people who actually grew up with Elvis music would be like 80