The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Inceptionzq]

On 6/17/2022 at 3:18 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Thor Love and Thunder Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-20 Thursday(158 showings): 9925(+566)/24113 ATP: $15.27

0.741x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (26.67M)

1.39x Batman Day 4 (24.50M)

0.423x NWH Day 4 (21.16M)

 

T-21 Friday(215 showings): 7301(+506)/32768 ATP: $15.36

0.700x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (38.30M)

1.08x Batman Day 4 (37.90M)

0.378x NWH Day 4 (27.17M)

 

T-22 Saturday(223 showings): 6596(+567)/34207 ATP: $14.67

0.636x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (36.80M)

1.16x Batman Day 4 (50.26M)

0.380x NWH Day 4 (28.07M)

 

T-23 Sunday(205 showings): 3208(+344)/31606 ATP: $14.23

0.757x Doctor Strange MoM Day 4 (29.46)

1.40x Batman Day 4 (47.78M)

0.402x NWH Day 4 (25.78M)

 

Yeah seems to have been a fluke yesterday or something was wrong with some showings(though there seemed to be no noticeable errors when I checked the data). 

Thor Love and Thunder Alamo Drafthouse [6 days of sales]

 

T-14 Thursday(168 showings): 11312(+1387)/24270 ATP: $15.20

0.707x Doctor Strange MoM T-14 (25.46M) [+1334]

0.482x NWH T-14 (24.12M)

 

T-15 Friday(230 showings): 9109(+1808)/33499 ATP: $15.31

0.653x Doctor Strange MoM T-15 (35.74M) [+1973]

0.471x NWH T-15 (33.90M)

 

T-16 Saturday(239 showings): 8258(+1662)/34589 ATP: $14.65

0.571x Doctor Strange MoM T-16 (33.01M) [+2290]

0.475x NWH T-16 (35.14M)

 

T-17 Sunday(220 showings): 4496(+1288)/32457 ATP: $14.24

0.653x Doctor Strange MoM T-17 (25.41M) [+1432]

0.563x NWH T-17 (36.13M)

[katnisscinnaplex]

8 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	T-0	Jax	6	23	56	179	2,416	7.41%
		Phx	7	26	150	303	3,479	8.71%
		Ral	7	17	41	194	1,842	10.53%
	Total		20	66	247	676	7,737	8.74%
Elvis	T-0	Jax	7	33	66	376	5,349	7.03%
		Phx	7	24	152	399	2,800	14.25%
		Ral	8	21	75	378	2,146	17.61%
	Total		22	78	293	1,153	10,295	11.20%

 

Black Phone (Thu) T-0 comps

 - Candyman - 1.31x (2.48m)

 - Firestarter - 4.57x (1.71m)

 - Resident Evil (Tue) - 2.22x (2.08m)

 - Halloween Kills - .373x (1.81m)

 - Antlers - 5.73x (2.12x)

 - X - 3.03x (1.33m)

 - Men - 4.48x (1.89m)

 

Bumping up to 1.8m for Thursday; with EA it should be easily above 2m

 

Elvis (Thu) T-0 comps

 - Dear Evan Hansen - 5.91x (3.55m)

 - F9 - .377x (2.68m)

 - Ghostbusters - .643x (2.67m)

 - Lost City (Thu) - 1.68x (4.2m)

 - Father Stu - 5.17x (2.84m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Black Phone	1-Hr	Jax	6	23	182	361	2,416	14.94%
		Phx	7	26	150	453	3,479	13.02%
		Ral	7	17	143	337	1,842	18.30%
	Total		20	66	475	1,151	7,737	14.88%
Elvis	1-Hr	Jax	7	33	180	556	5,349	10.39%
		Phx	7	25	116	515	2,880	17.88%
		Ral	8	21	147	525	2,146	24.46%
	Total		22	79	443	1,596	10,375	15.38%

 

Black Phone (Thu) T-1 hr comps

 - Candyman - 1.24x (2.35m)

 - Firestarter - 5.12x (1.92m)

 - Resident Evil (Tue) - 3.05x (2.85m)

 - Halloween Kills - .462x (2.24m)

 - Antlers - 6.06x (2.24x)

 - X - 3.36x (1.48m)

 - Men - 4.92x (2.08m)

All horror movies - 2.56m

All R movies - 2.24m

All movies - 2.28m

 

Alright, I'm on the over 2m true Thursday train.  I'll put my prediction at 2.2m without EA

 

Elvis (Thu) T-1 hr comps

 - Dear Evan Hansen - 6.54x (3.92m)

 - F9 - .416x (2.95m)

 - Ghostbusters - .669x (2.78m)

 - Lost City (Thu) - 1.59x (3.98m)

 - Father Stu - 5.52x (3.04m)

All PG-13 movies - 3.21m

All drama movies - 2.76m

All movies - 3.16m

 

Just realized I didn't give a prediction this morning.  Should be able to get 3m without EA

[XXR & Friends]

Can’t do a full comp post but I ran my numbers and The Black Phone comped against my other R rated horror films in the $18-21M range this weekend. I have zero good comps for Elvis but it hit $43M against The Lost City, for whatever that’s worth.

[Old Spice]

SLC Cinemark Sugarhouse Preview Night update for Elvis and Black Phone, 4:15 MST.

 

Elvis

Total tix sold 95/278 34.2%

109% of Ghostbusters ($4.9)

114% of Uncharted ($4.2)

144% of Lost City ($4.68)

26% of Dominion ($4.68)

 

Looking solid for Elvis. I'm going with a $3.8 preview night as this theater may skew a bit older than most of the Salt Lake Valley, but I'm also expecting tons of walk ups over the weekend, so let's say 3.8/43.5.

 

Black Phone is doing alright, 30/144 (20.8%). Halloween Kills comp is $1.62, Morbius, $2.48. Don't have any particular feel for this one, but anecdotally the awareness level here seems pretty high.

[Eric is Quiet]

17 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

The Black Phone Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	49	735	6890	7.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 246

 

Comp

4.933x of The Forever Purge T-1 (6.56M)

2.871x of Escape Room 2 T-1 (3.44M)

2.795x of Old T-1 (4.19M)

0.418x of Halloween Kills T-1 (2.03M)

0.526x of Scream T-1 (1.84M)

The Black Phone Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	49	1331	6890	19.32%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 596

 

Comp

1.818x of The Forever Purge (2.42M)

2.303x of Escape Room 2 (2.76M)

1.558x of Old (2.34M)

0.463x of Halloween Kills (2.24M)

0.612x of Scream (2.14M)

 

Huh...I guess the 2M range is what to expect?

[Eric is Quiet]

17 hours ago, Eric Presley said:

Elvis Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	737	9263	7.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 94

 

Comp

3.509x of Dear Evan Hansen T-1 (2.81M)

0.320x of No Time to Die T-1 (2.01M)

2.014x of House of Gucci T-1 (2.62M)

2.792x of West Side Story T-1 (2.23M)

2.813x of Death on the Nile T-1 (3.09M)

3.275x of Dog T-1 (4.13M)

0.952x of The Lost City T-1 (3.09M)

0.429x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-1 (2.57M)

0.178x of Top Gun 2 T-1 (3.43M)

0.131x of Jurassic World 3 T-1 (2.36M)

Elvis Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	1074	9263	11.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 337

 

Comp

3.431x of Dear Evan Hansen (2.74M)

0.369x of No Time to Die (2.32M)

1.787x of House of Gucci (2.32M)

2.782x of West Side Story (2.22M)

2.804x of Death on the Nile (3.08M)

3.891x of Dog (4.9M)

1.051x of The Lost City (3.41M)

0.456x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (2.73M)

0.209x of Top Gun 2 (4.02M)

0.171x of Jurassic World 3 (3.07M)

 

Some of you may be concerned, but also note that Elvis was likely to underindex due to demographi issues. I think it should still get into the 3M range.

[Krissykins]

$2m and $3m plus would be great preview starts for the new releases.

 

They both just went certified fresh on RT as well, with scores in the 80’s. 

[Alex SciChannel]

2 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

-huge-66-foot-wide-screen-outdoor-screen-coming-to-cary-in-july/

 

Another theater just opened in the Raleigh area. Not planning on tracking it (mainly because each showtime has FIVE reserved areas I'd have to check!), but just noting that it may affect comps.  The article states July 1st opening, but there are showtimes with sales for today.

Cary coming in for the win

[Alex SciChannel]

Rank	Film (Distributor)	Weekend Gross	Total Gross	% Change	Week #
1	Elvis (Warner Bros.)	$36.5 M	$36.5 M	NEW	1
2	Top Gun: Maverick (Paramount)	$35.5 M	$526.7 M	-21%	5
3	Jurassic World Dominion (Universal)	$29.0 M	$305.2 M	-51%	3
4	The Black Phone (Universal)	$22.5 M	$22.5 M	NEW	1
5	Lightyear (Disney)	$22.0 M	$93.2 M	-57%	2
6	Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (Disney)	$2.4 M	$409.9 M	-46%	8

 

http://www.boxofficereport.com/predictions/predictions20220623.html

[Ronin46]

Box Office Report predictions

 

Elvis 36.5

Top Gun 35.5

Jurassic 29

Black Phone 22.5

LY 22

 

[Jonwo]

It really is Battle of the Toms this weekend. 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Elvis had decent walk-ups tonight at Cinemark. I think it should still overperform.. which it needs to do because tons of walkouts at my showing lol

[Cheddar Please]

Any updates on the holdovers?

[Eric is Quiet]

12 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Elvis had decent walk-ups tonight at Cinemark. I think it should still overperform.. which it needs to do because tons of walkouts at my showing lol

I'm assuming those walkouts was when they learned Stitch wouldn't show up.

[Hilpkioy]

19 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Elvis had decent walk-ups tonight at Cinemark. I think it should still overperform.. which it needs to do because tons of walkouts at my showing lol

Was it too long? or too Baz Luhrman-ish

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

2 minutes ago, Hilpkioy said:

Was it too long? or too Baz Luhrman-ish

It's the Baziest movie Baz ever Bazzed. Its like if Romeo and Juliet's prologue was 160 minutes long. I think basic audiences who made Bohemian Rhapsody a hit and expecting a traditional Elvis biopic... well, let's just say they're likely not expecting Doja Cat on the soundtrack

[ThomasNicole]

8 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

It's the Baziest movie Baz ever Bazzed. Its like if Romeo and Juliet's prologue was 160 minutes long. I think basic audiences who made Bohemian Rhapsody a hit and expecting a traditional Elvis biopic... well, let's just say they're likely not expecting Doja Cat on the soundtrack

And did you like the movie? 

 

This description sounds like a future cult classic to me 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

6 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

And did you like the movie? 

 

This description sounds like a future cult classic to me 

I wouldn't necessarily defend it as a good movie. The third act is a drag, framing the movie around Hanks is both vague and contradictory, and the film offers no meaningful insight/depth into Elvis. It's a very shapeless and shallow script. But as a visual experience and showcase for Elvis the performer, it's unmatched. The sound is loud, full of plenty of giddy editing techniques such as split screens, it's breathlessly paced for the first 2/3, and Butler truly throws himself into the role, even if it gives him nothing to play other than a showman

 

If you like Baz (Moulin, Romeo and Juliet, and Gatsby especially), you'll like this

Edited June 24, 2022 by BestPicturePlutoNash

[ZackM]

 

Thor: Love and Thunder Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-14 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	10	15	13	6,298
Seats Added	0	651	1,487	2,107	1,094,306
Seats Sold	4,844	4,623	4,143	4,859	181,069
6/23/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	438	6,336	199,538	1,098,551	18.16%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	0	9	71	267	531
ATP
$17.19

[XXR & Friends]

27 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I wouldn't necessarily defend it as a good movie. The third act is a drag, framing the movie around Hanks is both vague and contradictory, and the film offers no meaningful insight/depth into Elvis. It's a very shapeless and shallow script. But as a visual experience and showcase for Elvis the performer, it's unmatched. The sound is loud, full of plenty of giddy editing techniques such as split screens, it's breathlessly paced for the first 2/3, and Butler truly throws himself into the role, even if it gives him nothing to play other than a showman

 

If you like Baz (Moulin, Romeo and Juliet, and Gatsby especially), you'll like this

 

Sounds like a B+ Cinemascore...