The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[filmlover]

19 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

It's going to end up opening with a mediocre $30M isn't it? The worst outcome with no hilarious meltdowns.

Falling from a $53M opening to a $30M one over the course of two movies is bad no matter how you look at it. The headlines won't be pretty.

[Brainbug]

Shazam 2 under M3gans OW would be ... something.

[John Marston]

38 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:

It's going to end up opening with a mediocre $30M isn't it? The worst outcome with no hilarious meltdowns.

 

'

um 30m would be less than Morbius. A terrible result in every way

[CJohn]

24 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Falling from a $53M opening to a $30M one over the course of two movies is bad no matter how you look at it. The headlines won't be pretty.

The trades have the knifes ready for Shazam, the DCEU and the entire super-hero genre.

[Tinalera]

Didn't get a chance to post this yesterday

 

Shazam2

Thurs March 16 and Fri Mar 17 (t-2)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

 

Toronto	Thurs	4	32	188	4072	4260	0.0441
	Fri	3	41	201	9551	9752	0.0206
Montreal		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
	Thurs	3	15	112	3672	3784	0.0295
	Fri	4	33	104	8497	8601	0.0120

[charlie Jatinder]

Looks like should be able to hit $30M. Not good, but not out of ordinary for non-MCU sequel to drop.

[Issac Newton]

10 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Looks like should be able to hit $30M. Not good, but not out of ordinary for non-MCU sequel to drop.

[Dragoncaine]

13 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Looks like should be able to hit $30M. Not good, but not out of ordinary for non-MCU sequel to drop.

Sad that we have to look at $30m as a relief now. I'm really curious how audiences respond to this movie in the U.S., from a PostTrak and CS perspective. I'm penciling in A- but wouldn't be surprised by a B+.

[GOGODanca]

Its gonna have a lower domestic and WW opening weekend than Morbius, thats a catastrophic failure no matter how you slice it

[stripe]

5 minutes ago, GOGODanca said:

Its gonna have a lower domestic and WW opening weekend than Morbius, thats a catastrophic failure no matter how you slice it

 

It will outgross Morbius DOM and WW though. Small victories are still victories

[efialtes76]

57 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Falling from a $53M opening to a $30M one over the course of two movies is bad no matter how you look at it. The headlines won't be pretty.

AIW dropped from $116M to $26M...

[filmlover]

Just now, efialtes76 said:

AIW dropped from $116M to $26M...

Yes, and? Losing a significant portion of your audience is never good news for any franchise.

[Pinacolada]

Do we believe WB that the budget is just $100m? The initial reports were $125m. There's a lot of big bullshit destruction in it judging from the trailers

[Tinalera]

Shazam 2

Thur Mar 16 and Fri Mar 17 (t-1)

Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and Newfoundland Canada

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
NS	Thurs	4	14	126	3692	3818	0.0330
	Fri	4	23	73	5911	5984	0.0121
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
NB	Thurs	4	7	36	1916	1952	0.0184
	Fri	3	11	6	2808	2814	0.0021
NFLD	Thurs	1	6	40	1377	1417	0.0290
	Fri	1	5	14	2807	2827	0.0049

 

 

Canada wide (final count)

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouve	Thurs	3	18	78	3829	3907	0.0199
Calgary	Thurs	3	24	34	4596	4630	0.0073
Toronto	Thurs	4	32	188	4072	4260	0.0441
Montreal	Thurs	3	15	112	3672	3784	0.0295
NS	Thurs	4	14	126	3692	3818	0.0330
NB	Thurs	4	7	36	1916	1952	0.0184
NFLD	Thurs	1	6	40	1377	1417	0.0290
Thurs	Total	22	116	614	23154	23768	0.0258
Vancouve	Fri	3	22	130	4876	5006	0.0259
Calgary	Fri	3	22	54	4833	4887	0.0110
Toronto	Fri	3	41	201	9551	9752	0.0206
Montreal	Fri	4	33	104	8497	8601	0.0120
NS	Fri	4	23	73	5911	5984	0.0121
NB	Fri	3	11	6	2808	2814	0.0021
NFLD	Fri	1	5	14	2807	2827	0.0049
Friday	Total	21	157	582	39283	39871	0.0145

[charlie Jatinder]

29 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

AIW dropped from $116M to $26M...

Why look any further than DCEU?

 

TSS 26 from 130ish SS.

 

Evey DCEU sequel has dropped big

 

BvS to JL - 160ish to 90ish

WW to WW84 - 100 to 12 (right?)

SS to TSS - 130 ish to 25 ish

Shazam

 

Look out Aquaman 

 

 

 

[Issac Newton]

Weekend Box Office Forecast: Shazam! Fury of the Gods Paces for a Soft $24M+ Strike in Debut, Studio Expects $35M

[Issac Newton]

Pre-Sales Update

 

For a measuring stick, "Fury of the Gods‘ FRI Pre-Sales are currently trending close to 15% behind the pace of Thursday. Weigh that against Black Adam‘s 17%, which started previews one hour later at 4 PM THU Last OCT. Overall sales, though, are well behind Adam‘s volume by a sharp +60% from THU and FRI combined in independent sampling.

[GOGODanca]

Imagine if WBD is wrong about the flash and it doesn't end up setting the world on fire box office wise, then they are really fucked

[vafrow]

1 hour ago, Tinalera said:

Didn't get a chance to post this yesterday

 

Shazam2

Thurs March 16 and Fri Mar 17 (t-2)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

 

Toronto	Thurs	4	32	188	4072	4260	0.0441
	Fri	3	41	201	9551	9752	0.0206
Montreal		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
	Thurs	3	15	112	3672	3784	0.0295
	Fri	4	33	104	8497	8601	0.0120

 

Are you looking at urban theatres?

 

I'm in the suburbs of the GTA, and sales are much higher. My 8 screen theatre has over 100 tickets sold today for Shazam across three showings. About 13% of seats sold.

 

Friday has about the same tickets sold, but 8 showings, because another screen was added, and because that only released Tuesday evening, it's barely sold any tickets.

 

Other theatres around me are similar. I'm in a family oriented suburb though, and, we may be seeing differences in the type of market.

 

 

[efialtes76]

32 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Why look any further than DCEU?

 

TSS 26 from 130ish SS.

 

Evey DCEU sequel has dropped big

 

BvS to JL - 160ish to 90ish

WW to WW84 - 100 to 12 (right?)

SS to TSS - 130 ish to 25 ish

Shazam

 

Look out Aquaman 

 

 

 

WW84 was released at the worst of the pandemic.

Itsn't a fair comparison.

Edited March 16, 2023 by efialtes76