The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[PrinceRico]

9 minutes ago, TMP said:

Anyone who saw the first trailer for rise of the beasts would tell you it would mega bomb. A big appeal of the series is cutting edge vfx, but they somehow look significantly worse than 2007. Feel like the bad reviews will only further hurt the ow

Would not be shocked if this got better reviews. The director is pretty good and getting Michael Bay out of the directors chair is a good thing. 

[Maggie]

1 minute ago, PrinceRico said:

Would not be shocked if this got better reviews. The director is pretty good and getting Michael Bay out of the directors chair is a good thing. 

ViewerAnon said the movie is bad

[BadOlCatSylvester]

3 minutes ago, Maggie said:

ViewerAnon said the movie is bad

No, he said that while people didn't exactly love it, it's still a fine movie.

[John Marston]

8 minutes ago, PrinceRico said:

Would not be shocked if this got better reviews. The director is pretty good and getting Michael Bay out of the directors chair is a good thing. 

 

Michael Bay is why the earlier movies did well. People got tired of it but it wouldn’t have been as initially successful without the crazy action he provided 

[TwoMisfits]

To get back on tracking...

 

My 2 locals have preset The Boogeyman and have only allocated one screen each for presales.  So, don't think high for this opener, since I expect Spidey to get the big expansion during the week before open, not this movie...so if it's got 1 now, it's probably only gonna ever have 1 for OW...

[jedijake]

1 hour ago, Maggie said:

Has this been posted? TLM tracking is increasing

 

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/spider-man-across-spider-verse-box-office-tracking-1235485329/

Are they talking about the 3-day or 4-day opening for TLM?

[Jonwo]

54 minutes ago, Mulder said:

This right here is the big issue. Baffling to me that after Bumblebee instead of keeping it basic and doubling down on this being a full reboot, they're doing a 50/50 "Maybe it is, maybe it isn't" movie that's also stuffed to the brim with Beast Wars and Unicron instead of a simple 80s-set Autobots vs Decepticons story like Bumblebee set up.

 

I think Hasbro and Paramount need to figure out how to make Transformers relevant again. They clearly can let creatives play with their IP with success like with D&D but others like GI Joe just flounder. 

 

 

[PrinceRico]

19 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

Michael Bay is why the earlier movies did well. People got tired of it but it wouldn’t have been as initially successful without the crazy action he provided 

He is the reason why the earlier movie said so well, however, he’s also the reason why the later movies did not. This franchise needed a new director after Dark of the Moon. Seems like Bat is best when he is making smaller films like Bad Boys, The Rock  and Ambulance.

[Maggie]

25 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Are they talking about the 3-day or 4-day opening for TLM?

I think it's for the 4 day opening

[el sid]

Book Club: The Next Chapter had today for today 31 sold tickets (with showtimes in 5 of my 7 theaters).
Comps (both counted on Thursday for Thursday): 80 for Brady had 161 sold tickets
and Ticket to Paradise had 153 sold tickets.

And for tomorrow Book Club had also 31 sold tickets (again with showtimes in 5 theaters).
Comps (all counted on Thursday for Friday): Cry Macho (4.3M OW) had 58 sold tickets,
The Good Liar (5.6M) had 102 sold tickets.
80 for Brady (12.7M) had 193 sold tickets
and Ticket to Paradise (16.5M) had 179 sold tickets.

Well, on the one hand the presales in my theaters are really bad. OTOH the predecessor made 13.6M OW. It should for sure have better walk-ups than Cry Macho, maybe on par with 80 for Brady. But 80 for Brady had 6x the presales of Book Club: The Next Chapter.
So 5-10M OW would be my guess.

Fool's Paradise had today for today 65 sold tickets (with showtimes in 4 theaters). Not so bad.
Comp: House Party had also on Thursday for Thursday 71 sold tickets also in 4 theaters.

And for Friday Fool's Paradise had 39 sold tickets (again with showtimes in 4 theaters).
Comps (all counted on Thursday for Friday): House Party (4M OW) had 64 sold tickets in 4 theaters,
Easter Sunday (5.4M) had 297 sold tickets in 7 theaters
and Massive Talent (7.1M) had 440 sold tickets in 7 theaters.

Idk how many locations it gets so I don't say a number but of course it won't be a competitor.

[el sid]

Fast X counted today for Thursday, May 18 - 7 days to go.

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 193 (2 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 160 (9 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 16 (2 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 7 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 46 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 285 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 492 (20 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.199.
Comps (all three films counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): Angel Has Fallen (1.5M from previews) had 199 sold tickets,
BT (4.6M) had 879 sold tickets,
I don't have a fitting F9 comp but Hobbs & Shaw (5.8M) had 1.194 sold tickets. Which means Fast X is already slightly in front with 4 days left to increase the margin, not bad at all. I think Fast X will at least reach 1.500 tickets by Monday and I hope for more.
And Uncharted (3.7M) had with 9 days left 658 sold tickets

[kayumanggi]

 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 5/10/2023 at 4:15 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION
 

FAST X

 

THURSDAY

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
143	1703	28556	5.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

101

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

 

SELLOUTS

0

ATP - $13.62

 

 

COMPS

T-8

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

(0.267x) ~$4.8M THUR

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

FAST X

 

THURSDAY

T-7

 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
143	1776	28556	6.2%

^{*Numbers taken as of 4:30PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

73

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

ATP - $13.62

 

 

COMPS

T-7

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

(0.284x) ~$5.1M THUR

 

Pace is okay. Still waiting for the final push

[poweranimals]

Edit: Never mind.

Edited May 11, 2023 by poweranimals

[Goldenhour36]

Does anyone know how Road Rally Racers doing? My guess is that it's probably going to do King's Daughter Numbers or at least cross $1M at the bare minimum.

[Eric Quinn]

3 hours ago, Shawn said:

$70m total is more likely than $70m opening, IMHO.

 

Final range will be around 30-40m OW at the most when it goes up tomorrow. I'm concerned this will have a Shazam 2/Morbius/Dark Phoenix/MIB International/Terminator: Dark Fate kind of run being sandwiched between Spider-Verse, The Flash, and lesser extent Indy.

[tonytr87]

2 hours ago, PrinceRico said:

Would not be shocked if this got better reviews. The director is pretty good and getting Michael Bay out of the directors chair is a good thing. 

 

This guy clearly doesn't now visual effects. 

[PrinceRico]

8 minutes ago, tonytr87 said:

 

This guy clearly doesn't now visual effects. 

As long as he knows how to direct and interesting story and actors then he he already off to a good start. Age of Extinction and The Last Knight did so much damage that anything will be better at this point.

[TheFlatLannister]

On 5/10/2023 at 3:10 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

THURSDAY

T-22

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
119	2421	25449	9.5%

*Numbers taken as of 3:00pm EST

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

144

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

4

 

SELLOUTS

0

ATP - $13.45

 

 

 

COMPS

T-22

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

(0.519x) ~$9.4M THUR

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

 

THURSDAY

T-21

 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
119	2544	25449	9.9%

*Numbers taken as of 5:00pm EST

 

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

123

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

ATP - $13.45

 

 

COMPS

T-21

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

(0.542x) ~$9.8M THUR

 

Strong pace continues 

[TheFlatLannister]

4 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Transformer: Rise of the beast

 

THURSDAY incl EA 

 

T-27 *First 24 hours

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
99	458	9344	4.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

ATP: $14.90

 

COMPS

T-27

 

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

(0.114x) ~$2.1M THUR

 

Little Mermaid

(0.297x) 

 

EA is actually doing pretty well so far (205 seats sold out of 1678 seats) 

But anemic start for Thursday in both allocations and PS 

 

 

!EDIT: I found a script error which skipped over an entire chain so here are the updated first 24 hours numbers!

 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Transformer: Rise of the beast

 

THURSDAY incl EA 

 

T-27 *First 24 hours

 

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
99	809	19578	4.1%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

ATP: $14.90

 

 

COMPS

T-27

 

GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL 3 

(0.202x) ~$3.6M THUR

 

 

Little Mermaid

(0.525x)