The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Legion Again]

9 minutes ago, snarkmachine said:

Is Box Office Pro no longer doing long range tracking? They'd usually have something out about The Batman by now in pre-COVID times.

Recently it’s been more like 3 weeks out or 4 for especially huge movies, so Batman on the 4th or the 11th should be. We might get something tomorrow about Nile/Marry Me, or next week for Uncharted, but for the most part there hasn’t been much worth doing long range for.

[filmlover]

It's going to be pretty dull for the most part until Batman comes out tbh. Although I suppose Uncharted and Jackass should be fine they're going to be largely aimed at the 18-34 male demo that has been the only demo throughout the COVID era to turn out in the numbers they used to for anything that wasn't either a comic book tentpole or a horror movie.

[TalismanRing]

On 1/18/2022 at 6:25 AM, CJohn said:

The movie is already online, it dropped in the last couple of days. 

 

It's shame it's a dud critically and B.O. wise as well as being in limbo for 7 freaking years.  The Moon & The Sun won the Nebula in 1998 over Game Of Thrones -  it's a lovely novel.

 

I'm always wondering why there are so many great books that aren't adapted but then this happens or even worse the brilliant Winter’s Tale is butchered - so maybe it's for the best if they're left alone.

 

 

Edited January 21, 2022 by TalismanRing

[Porthos]

Speaking of Uncharted, showtimes are starting to trickle in, but not available for purchase.

 

4pm previews.

 

(don't think this has been mentioned yet, and a quick scan/search of this thread didn't turn up anything)

[Eric the Fall Guy]

15 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Speaking of Uncharted, showtimes are starting to trickle in, but not available for purchase.

 

4pm previews.

 

(don't think this has been mentioned yet, and a quick scan/search of this thread didn't turn up anything)

Was just about to post that too. Thank the Lord we're not back to this 3 PM bullcrap anymore.

[Legion Again]

With Batman’s runtime they gotta go for those noon previews  

[filmlover]

Just saw that Redeeming Love is directed by the same D.J. Caruso who made his name in Hollywood thrillers during the 2000s and continued through the late 2010s (the XXX sequel from 5 years ago was his last movie before this). All in favor of directors stepping outside their comfort zones and testing other genres but talk about random lol.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

I wonder what time previews will be for Batman? 6, right? They can't rollout a 3hr movie at 7 in middle of March

 

I might be wrong but I feel BVS was 5

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 1/14/2022 at 10:29 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Scream 5	3,326	85,504	77,956	7,548	0	0
Spider-Man	3,386	63,780	58,398	5,382	3,189	1,045
Sing 2	3,224	42,426	42,164	262	0	132
The 355	2,925	31,737	31,511	226	0	0
The King's Man	2,321	24,175	24,128	47	0	0
American Underdog	2,229	21,172	21,141	31	0	0
Belle	1,313	16,995	16,443	552	539	0
Matrix Resurrections	1,464	9,751	9,746	5	0	0
Venom 2	1,382	9,373	9,296	77	0	66
Ghostbusters	1,122	8,426	8,414	12	0	0
West Side Story	1,263	8,212	8,191	21	0	0
House of Gucci	1,203	7,642	7,642	0	0	0
Licorice Pizza	733	7,166	7,166	0	0	0
Encanto	507	3,351	3,351	0	0	0
Journal for Jordan	517	3,240	3,234	6	0	0
Nightmare Alley	481	2,769	2,759	10	0	0
The Tragedy of Macbeth	291	2,392	2,392	0	0	0
Bangarraju	224	1,929	1,929	0	0	0
King Richard	262	1,166	1,166	0	0	0
Parallel Mothers	50	576	576	0	0	0

 

US showtime sample 1/14/22 weekend.  Missed last week so no change numbers.  

 

Scream 5 OW shows comps

Halloween Kills - 92,661

Dune - 82,661

Candyman - 74,146

 

T-1 week

Redeeming Love - 13,519 (1,317 TC)

King's Daughter - 10,270 (815 TC)

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Scream 5	3,219	65,384	-23.53%	59,889	5,495	0	0
Spider-Man	3,192	55,910	-12.34%	51,261	4,649	1,910	718
Sing 2	3,046	37,758	-11.00%	37,527	231	0	109
King's Daughter	1,987	26,174		26,116	58	0	0
Redeeming Love	1,836	25,146		25,077	69	0	0
The 355	2,414	23,192	-26.92%	23,137	55	0	0
The King's Man	2,130	20,992	-13.17%	20,959	33	0	0
American Underdog	1,955	16,998	-19.71%	16,968	30	0	0
The Tiger Rising	801	10246		10203	43	0	0
Belle	1,207	10,009	-41.11%	9,992	17	11	0
Ghostbusters	983	7,360	-12.65%	7,349	11	0	0
West Side Story	1,071	7,124	-13.25%	7,115	9	0	0
Licorice Pizza	717	6,873	-4.09%	6,873	0	0	0
House of Gucci	892	5,486	-28.21%	5,486	0	0	0
Matrix Resurrections	824	4,981	-48.92%	4,977	4	4	0
Venom 2	592	3,716	-60.35%	3,703	13	0	13
Encanto	404	2,844	-15.13%	2,832	12	0	12
Nightmare Alley	310	1,795	-35.18%	1,777	18	0	0
Journal for Jordan	255	1,724	-46.79%	1,724	0	0	0
The Tragedy of Macbeth	230	1,666	-30.35%	1,666	0	0	0
No Time to Die	191	1,510		154	1,356	1,356	0
Parallel Mothers	105	1,115	93.58%	1,115	0	0	0

 

US showtime sample 1/21/22 weekend. 

 

Future Releases

 

T-2 week previews

Jackass Forever - 2,779 (1,845 TC)

Moonfall - 2,260 (1,111 TC)

 

T-3 week previews

Marry Me - 2,115 (1,068 TC)

 

Some Uncharted shows popping up as others have said.  Blacklight and Death on the Nile only have a couple theaters listed so far.  

[CJohn]

9 hours ago, filmlover said:

Just saw that Redeeming Love is directed by the same D.J. Caruso who made his name in Hollywood thrillers during the 2000s and continued through the late 2010s (the XXX sequel from 5 years ago was his last movie before this). All in favor of directors stepping outside their comfort zones and testing other genres but talk about random lol.

He is working for Daily Wire now.

[filmlover]

10 minutes ago, CJohn said:

He is working for Daily Wire now.

Looking forward to ignoring the inevitable Gina Carano collaboration.

[Eric the Fall Guy]

13 minutes ago, CJohn said:

He is working for Daily Wire now.

Honestly that sounds about right for Caruso's career path lol

[grim22]

10 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

 

It's shame it's a dud critically and B.O. wise as well as being in limbo for 7 freaking years.  The Moon & The Sun won the Nebula in 1998 over Game Of Thrones -  it's a lovely novel.

 

I'm always wondering why there are so many great books that aren't adapted but then this happens or even worse the brilliant Winter’s Tale is butchered - so maybe it's for the best if they're left alone.

 

 

 

A good question is if you would rather have your book butchered as one movie, or drag it out to 8 seasons where nothing makes sense by the end.

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

 

A good question is if you would rather have your book butchered as one movie, or drag it out to 8 seasons where nothing makes sense by the end.

I’d prefer either to WoT’s fate ☠️

[john2000]

1/28/2022	You Won’t Be Alone					n/a	Focus Features
2/4/2022	Jackass Forever	$23,000,000 – $33,000,000		$48,000,000 – $68,000,000		3,200	Paramount Pictures
2/4/2022	Moonfall	$8,000,000 – $15,000,000		$20,000,000 – $50,000,000		3,200	Lionsgate
2/11/2022	The Beatles: Get Back – The Rooftop Concert						Disney
2/11/2022	Death on the Nile	$14,000,000 – $19,000,000		$45,000,000 – $70,000,000			Disney / 20th Century Studios
2/11/2022	Marry Me	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000		$22,000,000 – $42,000,000			Universal Pictures
2/18/2022	Dog	$8,000,000 – $15,000,000		$30,000,000 – $65,000,000			MGM
2/18/2022	Uncharted	$25,000,000 – $40,000,000		$65,000,000 – $105,000,000

[excel1]

Cant wait for the presales reports noting The Batman's record breaking sales.

[filmlover]

Moonfall's dismal projection makes sense. Everything about it reeks of another Geostorm than another San Andreas.

[Porthos]

10 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I wonder what time previews will be for Batman? 6, right? They can't rollout a 3hr movie at 7 in middle of March

 

I might be wrong but I feel BVS was 5

 

lol.

 

4pm if you're lucky.  2pm if you're very unlucky.

 

======

 

WB has never really been that shy when it comes to pushing the envelope, IMO.  They, along with Sony, have been doing 4pm previews for some of their films as far back as at least 2018 for major releases.  2021 was a pretty mixed bag since they had so few releases that even had previews, but Joker came out in Oct 2019 and that was a 4pm'er (as was Shazam!), so...

 

Well, I mean, just cross your fingers that it isn't 3pm (or earlier), is all I am sayin'.

[Brainbug]

3 hours ago, grim22 said:

 

A good question is if you would rather have your book butchered as one movie, or drag it out to 8 seasons where nothing makes sense by the end.

 

Im still very bitter about all of this.

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

 

lol.

 

4pm if you're lucky.  2pm if you're very unlucky.

 

======

 

WB has never really been that shy when it comes to pushing the envelope, IMO.  They, along with Sony, have been doing 4pm previews for some of their films as far back as at least 2018 for major releases.  2021 was a pretty mixed bag since they had so few releases that even had previews, but Joker came out in Oct 2019 and that was a 4pm'er (as was Shazam!), so...

 

Well, I mean, just cross your fingers that it isn't 3pm (or earlier), is all I am sayin'.

How did I forget Joker was at 4