kayumanggi Posted December 10, 2022 Share Posted December 10, 2022 Here are my TOP 20 without the grosses: February ANT-MAN AND THE WASP: QUANTUMANIA March SHAZAM! FURY OF THE GODS JOHN WICK III April THE SUPER MARIO BROS. MOVIE May GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY III FAST X THE LITTLE MERMAID June SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE TRANSFORMERS: RISE OF THE BEASTS THE FLASH ELEMENTAL INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY July MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - DEAD RECKONING I BARBIE THE MARVELS August BLUE BEETLE November DUNE II THE HUNGER GAMES: THE BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES WISH December AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM Almost on the list: CREED III DUNGEONS & DRAGONS: HONOR AMONG THIEVES OPPENHEIMER THE MEG: THE TRENCH KRAVEN THE HUNTER TROLLS III WONKA 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mickiland16 Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 10 Biggest Movies of 2023 Ranked by Box Office Earnings Potential Their list: 1. Fast X - $1.2 Billion 2. The Little Mermaid - $1 Billion 3. Guardians of the Galaxy 3 - $900 Million 4. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - $800 Million 5. The Marvels - $820 Million 6. Super Mario Bros Movie - $800 Million 7. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania - $775 Million 8. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts - $700 Million 9. Mission Impossible 7 - $695 Million 10. The Flash - $650 Million. I think MI7 will be higher than what they say also Indiana Jones should appear here. But outside of it this is a fair list to me although I don't see Fast X making The Fate of the Furious numbers I think it'll be closer to $1 billion 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 11 minutes ago, Mickiland16 said: 10 Biggest Movies of 2023 Ranked by Box Office Earnings Potential Their list: 1. Fast X - $1.2 Billion 2. The Little Mermaid - $1 Billion 3. Guardians of the Galaxy 3 - $900 Million 4. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - $800 Million 5. The Marvels - $820 Million 6. Super Mario Bros Movie - $800 Million 7. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania - $775 Million 8. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts - $700 Million 9. Mission Impossible 7 - $695 Million 10. The Flash - $650 Million. I think MI7 will be higher than what they say also Indiana Jones should appear here. But outside of it this is a fair list to me although I don't see Fast X making The Fate of the Furious numbers I think it'll be closer to $1 billion Knock $250-350M off of Fast X. Little Mermaid seems fine GOTG3 seems fine Aquaman 2 seems fine Knock $100-150M off The Marvels Super Mario seems fine Knock $100-150M off Ant-Man 3 Knock $50-100M off Transformers Add $50-100M to MI7 Knick $50-100M off The Flash Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 Dungeons and Dragons needs to move away from Mario. That movie is gonna be a juggernaut 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 15 minutes ago, Pinacolada said: Dungeons and Dragons needs to move away from Mario. That movie is gonna be a juggernaut I feel like Dungeons & Dragons is a flop in waiting no matter where it opens tbh. Only surprisingly good reviews could save it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juby Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 7 hours ago, Mickiland16 said: 10 Biggest Movies of 2023 Ranked by Box Office Earnings Potential Their list: 1. Fast X - $1.2 Billion 2. The Little Mermaid - $1 Billion 3. Guardians of the Galaxy 3 - $900 Million 4. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - $800 Million 5. The Marvels - $820 Million 6. Super Mario Bros Movie - $800 Million 7. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania - $775 Million 8. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts - $700 Million 9. Mission Impossible 7 - $695 Million 10. The Flash - $650 Million. I think MI7 will be higher than what they say also Indiana Jones should appear here. But outside of it this is a fair list to me although I don't see Fast X making The Fate of the Furious numbers I think it'll be closer to $1 billion The worst predictions ever. Ever! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted December 12, 2022 Share Posted December 12, 2022 8 hours ago, filmlover said: I feel like Dungeons & Dragons is a flop in waiting no matter where it opens tbh. Only surprisingly good reviews could save it. I dont think it's a guaranteed flop in waiting, but I definitely think it has a ceiling. Around $400m WW in my guess, that's including if it's good. With a budget of let's say $150m (if it's 175m or 200m... oh boy), I think it can get close to $400m and be a decent enough performance. But I think it's gonna need some help with good reviews (I can see this being in the 70% range on RT, I think it looks fun and I think I trust the team behind it) and a good release date. And the date they currently have I think is bad. I feel like Mario is kinda going after that same crowd is gonna be a huge hit. I think the better spot for this would be April 21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Top 10 Domestic: 1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 ($460M) 2. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom ($405M) 3. Indiana Jones 5 ($380M) 4. Mission Impossible - Dead Reckoning (also $380M) 5. Spider Man: Across the Spider-Verse ($318M) 6. The Marvels ($279M) 7. Ant-Man and the Wasp - Quantumania ($271M) 8. The Little Mermaid ($269M) 9. Super Mario Bros ($268M) 10. The Flash ($258M) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted December 14, 2022 Share Posted December 14, 2022 Top 10 Worldwide: 1. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom ($1.445B w/China and $955B w/o China) 2. Mission Impossible - Dead Reckoning ($1.04B assuming China release) 3. Indiana Jones 5 ($1B) 4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 ($900M) 5. Fast X ($855M) 6. The Little Mermaid ($759M) 7. The Flash ($728M) 8. Meg 2: The Trench ($712M w/ China) 9. Super Mario Bros ($698M) 10. The Marvels ($664M) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Starphanluke Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 I know I'm biased, but I still think y'all are pretty wildly under-estimating Transformers. That trailer generated a LOT of buzz (more than Guardians or Indy, which dropped on the *same day*), and massive trailer views. While trailer views don't always translate to BO receipts, it's at least promising. It also really took off on TikTok which, as you know, can really elevate stuff. It just hit me that the kids who grew up on the original 2007 movie are now entering an age to be a big demographic for movies like this. I think nostalgia could help it, too. If the movie can get a release in China, I absolutely think $800m is in play. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted December 16, 2022 Share Posted December 16, 2022 53 minutes ago, Starphanluke said: I know I'm biased, but I still think y'all are pretty wildly under-estimating Transformers. That trailer generated a LOT of buzz (more than Guardians or Indy, which dropped on the *same day*), and massive trailer views. While trailer views don't always translate to BO receipts, it's at least promising. It also really took off on TikTok which, as you know, can really elevate stuff. It just hit me that the kids who grew up on the original 2007 movie are now entering an age to be a big demographic for movies like this. I think nostalgia could help it, too. If the movie can get a release in China, I absolutely think $800m is in play. I very much agree. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Quinn Posted December 16, 2022 Author Share Posted December 16, 2022 https://deadline.com/2022/12/global-box-office-projection-2023-29-billion-analysts-1235200843/ Quote Taking a look ahead to 2023, Gower Street Analytics is projecting global box office to hit $29B, repping a 12% gain on 2022 should this year remain on track for approximately $25.8B. The London-based firm estimates 2022 receipts stood at $23.6B as of December 10. If this early projection holds, Gower says it would suggest the industry will need to wait until at least 2024 to see a full return to pre-pandemic global levels. Its 2023 forecast is still 27% behind the average of the last three pre-pandemic years (2017-2019) at current exchange rates (this would rise to 30% compared to historic rates). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poweranimals Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 (edited) On 12/16/2022 at 8:02 AM, Eric The Last Airbender said: https://deadline.com/2022/12/global-box-office-projection-2023-29-billion-analysts-1235200843/ And it's probably not gonna recover because people have way more options now with streaming. Obviously there will be some exceptions, but pretty much everything disappointed this year and I think a lot of that is people would rather just stay home and watch whatever is available on the multiple streaming platforms. Edited December 18, 2022 by poweranimals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Movie theaters are like linear TV. Still around, still huge, but declining in user base every year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 June is so damn crowded. I'm predicting that one of those moves forward or pushed back. And until we get a Flash trailer, I'm not even sure its making its release. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 I'm still hopeful that 2023 can bring the box office back to pre-COVID levels, especially with a promising slate of movies. May through July in particular is looking guaranteed to be a very busy three month stretch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayumanggi Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 13 minutes ago, filmlover said: I'm still hopeful that 2023 can bring the box office back to pre-COVID levels, especially with a promising slate of movies. May through July in particular is looking guaranteed to be a very busy three month stretch. https://www.screendaily.com/news/global-box-office-will-still-fall-short-of-pre-pandemic-levels-in-2023-says-analyst-gower-street/5177528.article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 16 minutes ago, filmlover said: I'm still hopeful that 2023 can bring the box office back to pre-COVID levels, especially with a promising slate of movies. May through July in particular is looking guaranteed to be a very busy three month stretch. Expect it to be up from 2022, but no more than that. The market still needs more time to fully stabilize. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AniNate Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 The early months look rather unremarkable to me, though maybe might still be an improvement over last year. Hopefully the US will avoid any more huge covid waves and this can really be the first "normal" year since 2019. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JWR Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 8 minutes ago, AniNate said: The early months look rather unremarkable to me, though maybe might still be an improvement over last year. Hopefully the US will avoid any more huge covid waves and this can really be the first "normal" year since 2019. I fully expect January to February to be slow but with steady surges (I.E. M3GAN, Knock at the Cabin, Ant-Man, Scream 6, Shazam). Then things will pick up a bit in April before things get busy in May and June. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...