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Eric Duncan

2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion

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4 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Why would you do this unless you like losing clubs?

Clubs are supposed to be daring, aren’t they? Besides, 2023 is so crowded at this point that it’s anyone’s guess which one will come out on top. The boring answer would be something like Guardians of the Galaxy or even Indiana Jones. 

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Oh this already up. My top ten be like

  1. GoTG Vol. 3 - $550M
  2. Indiana Jones 5 - $400M (This makes no sense to me and before TGM I probably would have put it in like $200Ms but may be America still wanna watch it)
  3. Quantumania - $350M (Depending on how apparent tie up with Kang Dynasty is could be way more)
  4. Across the Spider Verse - $350M
  5. Marvels - $350M (more clarity near release)
  6. The Little Mermaid - $300M (Could be real big or could be just this)
  7. M:I 7 - $300M
  8. Blade - $300M (People seems excited, my personal hype ain't close)
  9. Aquaman 2 - $275M
  10. Flash - $250M (IDK may be)
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Updated Domestic Top 10 Prediction
 

  1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 - $480M
  2. The Little Mermaid - $405M
  3. Indiana Jones 5 - $380M
  4. The Marvels - $355M 
  5. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Pt. 1 - $330M 
  6. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania - $320M
  7. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - $305M 
  8. Blade - $290M 
  9. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse - $275M 
  10. The Flash - $240M 

 

**I expect at least 2 of these predictions to not actually make the top 10 and be replaced by something unexpected. Maybe Dune 2? Maybe Elemental? Fast X? Transformers: ROTB? Wonka? Mario? Hunger Games spin-off? 

 

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Domestic

  1. Guardians 3 - $500M
  2. Indiana Jones 5 - $450M
  3. The Little Mermaid - $435M
  4. Aquaman 2 - $350M
  5. The Marvels - $345M
  6. Dead Reckoning - $325M
  7. Mario - $315M
  8. Ant-Man 3 - $300M
  9. The Flash - $255M
  10. Barbie - $250M

Dune 2, Blade and Migration seem locked for 200M. Elemental, SpiderVerse 2, Dungeons, Blue Beetle and Wonka all have solid chances for 200M.

Edited by YM!
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Some Worldwide predictions:

 

Kraven The Hunter : 325M
Ant-Man Quantumania : 865M (If good)
Dungeons & Dragons : 368M
Haunted Mansion : 375M
John Wick 4 : 445M
Super Mario : 756M
GOTG Vol.3 : 1.1B (If good)
Fast X : 855M
The Little Mermaid : 780M
Across the Spider-Verse : 630M
Transformers Rise of the Beasts : 600M
Elemental : 410M (If good) 
The Flash : 768M
Indy 5 : 900M (If good)
Insidious 5 : 187M
Mussion Impossible DR Part 1 : 1B (YEP)
Barbie : 410M
Oppenheimer : 535M
The Marvels : 800M (If good)
The Meg 2 : 385M
Blue Beetle : 430M
Madame Web : 280M
The Exorcist : 300M (YEP)
Blade : 750M (If good)
Dune Part 2 : 815M
 

 

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37 minutes ago, YM! said:

Domestic

  1. Guardians 3 - $500M
  2. Indiana Jones 5 - $450M
  3. The Little Mermaid - $435M
  4. Aquaman 2 - $350M
  5. The Marvels - $345M
  6. Dead Reckoning - $325M
  7. Mario - $315M
  8. Ant-Man 3 - $300M
  9. The Flash - $255M
  10. Barbie - $250M

Dune 2, Blade and Migration seem locked for 200M. Elemental, SpiderVerse 2, Dungeons, Blue Beetle and Wonka all have solid chances for 200M.

WW:

 

  1. Indiana Jones 5 - $1.3B
  2. The Little Mermaid - $1.25B
  3. Guardians 3 - $1.15B
  4. Aquaman 2 - $1B
  5. Dead Reckoning - $925M
  6. Fast X - $875M
  7. The Marvels - $850M
  8. Mario - $825M
  9. Quantumania - $800M
  10. Dune Part 2 - $685M
  11. Hunger Games: Songbirds and Snakes - $680M
  12. The Flash - $675M
  13. Blade - $650M
  14. Wonka - $600M
  15. Migration - $525M
  16. Blue Beetle - $510M
  17. Dungeons - $500M
  18. Elemental - $500M
  19. SpiderVerse 2 - $450M
  20. Oppenheimer - $420M
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Screw it, full top 10:

 

1. Indiana Jones 5: 455M

2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: 430M

3. Little Mermaid: 340M

4. Ant-Man 3: 325M

5. The Marvels: 305M

6. Dune Part Two: 300M (fuck y'all)

7. Barbie: 300M

8. Mario: 280M

9. Blade: 275M

10. Across the Spider-Verse: 250M

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