TOP GUN MAVERICK/MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND THREAD | 126.7M 3-Day, 160.5M 4-Day. The biggest Memorial Day opening ever! | Doctor Strange 20.5M 4-Day, Bob's Burgers 14.8M

[YM!]

44 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Finally minorities showing up for a movie

 

We know who to thank for this weekend…

[Alex SciChannel]

I think we should remember that the overrall white population in the US is around 60% so the race demo breakdown for TGM is actually pretty average porportionally speaking.

[YM!]

As for Maverick’s legs, the older audience if anything is much more of a help to legs. It’s not like a CBM where the audience shows up on OW to avoid spoilers and then legs hurt for a minute before equalizing. Would be surprised at a sub 3x multiple especially with strong WOM and summer days.

[SupermanLego]

5 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Teaser get 209M views, wasn't very far from IW for example 

 

It's bigger than both DS2 trailers as well

 

 

Just how LOTR got 210+m views....it's trailer on twitter has average views, It's trailer on YouTube has lower views than DS2 as well as likes....you can't compare it to strange who's trailer was seen in theatres rather than YouTube. I just don't see this big magical jump of nearly 50% DOM...general MCU movies sequels don't follow that trend. I predict 20-25% increase, 30% max

[Eric S'ennui]

https://deadline.com/2022/05/top-gun-maverick-tom-cruise-opening-records-global-international-box-office-1235034560/

 

Quote

SATURDAY UPDATE, Refresh for latest…: After a $24.5M Friday in 62 overseas markets, Paramount/Skydance’s Top Gun: Maverick has now grossed $64.7M through yesterday at the international box office. This portends an offshore opening weekend for the Tom Cruise-starrer at $110M+.

 

A launch at those heights would rep a Cruise career-best international start, coming in above Mission: Impossible – Fallout which did $96M in like-for-like markets.

The debut on the Joseph Kosinski-directed sequel is particularly impressive given Russia is not in the mix and that Korea doesn’t release for another month. Global audiences clearly have not lost that lovin’ feeling for Maverick, even after 36 years.

 

And records continue to be set. The UK debuted at No. 1 on Friday with $4M and a 76% market share. This is the biggest opening day for a Tom Cruise movie and also for a live-action Paramount title. The cume there, with previews rolled in, is $10M.

 

[titanic2187]

5 minutes ago, YourMother said:

As for Maverick’s legs, the older audience if anything is much more of a help to legs. It’s not like a CBM where the audience shows up on OW to avoid spoilers and then legs hurt for a minute before equalizing. Would be surprised at a sub 3x multiple especially with strong WOM and summer days.

American sniper were equally white, old and A+, but still deliver great leg.

[TwoMisfits]

9 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:

I think we should remember that the overrall white population in the US is around 60% so the race demo breakdown for TGM is actually pretty average porportionally speaking.

 

56% per Wiki - but that's totally true.  This movie is actually almost perfectly representing US demographics, which is unusual, b/c Caucasians have been the ones to most bail on movie theaters and take to streaming (probably b/c they do skew older in their demography)...

 

This is truly the most representative opening we've had in a long time, showing people are getting off the couch who haven't seen movies in years...

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_the_United_States#Race

[ThomasNicole]

11 minutes ago, SupermanLego said:

Just how LOTR got 210+m views....it's trailer on twitter has average views, It's trailer on YouTube has lower views than DS2 as well as likes....you can't compare it to strange who's trailer was seen in theatres rather than YouTube. I just don't see this big magical jump of nearly 50% DOM...general MCU movies sequels don't follow that trend. I predict 20-25% increase, 30% max

No, we tracked the teaser on the movie thread, it was pointing to the number Marvel officially gave. Unlike LOTR, to keep your example. 

 

And of course the trailers have lower total views than DS2 on YouTube, not only it's available for way more time but also the movie is already released. Thor views are more spread as well in other platforms.

 

Idk, you seems a bit in denial doubting checked trailer views etc.

 

Ragnarok sold estimated 34M tickets on US iirc, with the 2022 price ticket, it would get close to 400M already. It literally need a very small bump on tickets for L&T do +400M. 

 

That's why i said it have more chances doing +500M than less than 400M. 

 

Anyway, that's the data, i won't keep the discussion because this is not Thor thread.

Edited May 28, 2022 by ThomasNicole

[keysersoze123]

Post Trak data from Deadline. Amazing as expected. 

 

Everything is working in Top Gun 2‘s favor: It’s the widest release ever at 4,735 theaters and has 5 out of 5 stars on ComScore/Screen Engine’s PostTrak, with a 96% positive and an enormous 84% definite recommend. 

[YM!]

With Bob’s Burgers Movie this weekend, I decided to reminisce on one of my favorite songs from the series:

 

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

5 out of 5 stars on ComScore/Screen Engine’s PostTrak, with a 96% positive and an enormous 84% definite recommend. 

If Dominion underperforms, there’s a real

chance Maverick wins the summer.

[LegendaryBen]

2 minutes ago, YourMother said:

If Dominion underperforms, there’s a real

chance Maverick wins the summer.

Is there a chance Dominion finishes at sub-$400m?

Edited May 28, 2022 by LegendaryBen

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Finally minorities showing up for a movie

 

Some FRI # by demographics

 

Caucasian
Top Gun ~ $31M
No Way Home ~ $40M
DoctorStrange ~ $31M

 

Others
Top Gun ~ $21M
No Way Home ~ $81M
Doctor Strange ~ $60M

[ThomasNicole]

6 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Is there a chance Dominion finishes at sub-$400m?

It if opens lower than 140M, yes. 

 

Seems unlikely tho.

[Brainbug]

8 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Is there a chance Dominion finishes at sub-$400m?

 

Spoiler

NO

 

[YM!]

9 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Is there a chance Dominion finishes at sub-$400m?

No, if Maverick has stronger legs and Dominion is flat or slightly increases from Fallen Kingdom

[charlie Jatinder]

10 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Is there a chance Dominion finishes at sub-$400m?

Yes. Why not.

[LegendaryBen]

1 minute ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

  Hide contents

NO

 

The difference between JW3 and JWD is that this one has nearly the whole cast added from the very first JW, which may prevent it from opening below FK.

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yes. Why not.

 

You be silent.

 

2 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

The difference between JW3 and JWD is that this one has nearly the whole cast added from the very first JW, which may prevent it from opening below FK.

 

You probably mean the first JP. And btw, i am probably the last person here who needs to be convinced that Dominion will gross a lot more than Fallen KIngdom 😅

[EmpireCity]

1 hour ago, T-ReXXR said:

If those demographics don't expand outward and younger with WOM, then legs won't be nearly as amazing as some here are predicting. 

 

They are already.  Anecdotally, groups of 12-14 year olds were talking about it last night and all making plans for early next week to see it now that they are out of school.