Weekend Thread (6/3-5) | Top Gun 2 drops 29% for 90M. The smallest second weekend drop ever for a 100M+ opener!

[Valonqar]

Amazing for TGM, will likely go up with actuals. 

 

MOM has stabilized.

 

EEAAO is now offically the biggest A24 movie, passed 60M.

 

Under the radar but The Northman isn't a terrible flop. It was at 33.9M dom and 67M WW last week. So better than expected and already over TLD and TGK combined. It's the ridiculous budget that drags it down. 

Edited June 5, 2022 by Valonqar

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Assuming the movie make $47m next week, TGM will be at around 385m by the end of 3rd weekend. That is 3X legs already with more holidays to come such as Independence Day and father day where both holidays are perfect day to see TGM.

Father's day is not a holiday but we have Juneteenth coming up and so monday 6/20 is a holiday. So 2 long weekends coming 2 weeks after one another will be huge benefit to all the movies but WOM monsters tend to amp up the best. I am thinking 600m domestic is happening. 

[titanic2187]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

Father's day is not a holiday but we have Juneteenth coming up and so monday 6/20 is a holiday. So 2 long weekends coming 2 weeks after one another will be huge benefit to all the movies but WOM monsters tend to amp up the best. I am thinking 600m domestic is happening. 

Ya but father day provide bump to those father-friendly movie like a holiday, not to mention this year the June 19 Monday  will boost the number further. 

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

Father's day is not a holiday but we have Juneteenth coming up and so monday 6/20 is a holiday. So 2 long weekends coming 2 weeks after one another will be huge benefit to all the movies but WOM monsters tend to amp up the best. I am thinking 600m domestic is happening. 

 

Fathers Day could be HUGE. Top Gun, Dominion and even Lightyear to an extent are excellent Dads movies.

[Eric Prime]

6 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

You guys get paid? I thought it was like being a reddit mod

No we're not paid. I don't think "staff member" means I'm being paid.

[ThomasNicole]

Top Gun is probably locked to 1B at this point 

 

It need only 450M OS (maybe even less), and it's nearly 260M already with excellent holds everywhere

[JohnnyGossamer]

3 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Father's day is not a holiday but we have Juneteenth coming up and so monday 6/20 is a holiday. So 2 long weekends coming 2 weeks after one another will be huge benefit to all the movies but WOM monsters tend to amp up the best. I am thinking 600m domestic is happening. 

While not a holiday, Father's Day Sunday always inflates numbers a good deal for dad flicks.

[charlie Jatinder]

36m Sunday 

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

Fathers Day could be HUGE. Top Gun, Dominion and even Lightyear to an extent are excellent Dads movies.

I agree. it will boost BO. That still does not make it a holiday 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

36m Sunday 

Oh wait. This won't work today, will it?

[ringedmortality]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

36m Sunday 

Is this another prank

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

36m Sunday 

you are doing it again :-(

[Valonqar]

3 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Top Gun is probably locked to 1B at this point 

 

It need only 450M OS (maybe even less), and it's nearly 260M already with excellent holds everywhere

 

do we have OS number this weekend? Also, when does it open in Korea which should be big?

[JohnnyGossamer]

8 minutes ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:

 

Fathers Day could be HUGE. Top Gun, Dominion and even Lightyear to an extent are excellent Dads movies.

Yup. Juneteenth is now a legit holiday for corporations too. That's observed 6/20 this year. Dude's way off. Hold's will be awesome that weekend. He's gonna be like this when realizes all of this.

Edited June 5, 2022 by JohnnyGossamer

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

you are doing it again 😞

I have to do it. 

[JohnnyGossamer]

8 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

Ya but father day provide bump to those father-friendly movie like a holiday, not to mention this year the June 19 Monday  will boost the number further. 

this

[EmpireCity]

24 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Par estimates -30% SUN hold.

 

As an early preview for the BOT crew here, the early Sunday numbers are indicating that $30m is pretty safe for today.  Let's see where the day takes us, but that would make for around a $91m weekend.  

[Brainbug]

 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

Does anyone think Top Gun: Maverick might have an outside chance of outgrossing James Cameron’s Titanic, DOM-wise? If the weekends gets better & better for Top Gun 2?

[superduperm]

20 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

Date	Rank	Gross	%YD	%LW	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
May 26, 2022	P	$19,300,000			0		$19,300,000
May 27, 2022	1	$52,012,661			4,735	$10,985	$52,012,661	1
May 28, 2022	1	$38,017,701	-27%		4,735	$8,029	$90,030,362	2
May 29, 2022	1	$36,677,097	-4%		4,735	$7,746	$126,707,459	3
May 30, 2022	1	$33,807,521	-8%		4,735	$7,140	$160,514,980	4
May 31, 2022	1	$15,800,746	-53%		4,735	$3,337	$176,315,726	5
Jun 1, 2022	1	$14,821,417	-6%		4,735	$3,130	$191,137,143	6
Jun 2, 2022	1	$14,466,868	-2%		4,735	$3,055	$205,604,011	7
Jun 3, 2022	1	$25,000,000	+73%	-52%	4,751	$5,262	$230,604,011	8
Jun 4, 2022	-	$35,800,000	+43%	-6%	4,751	$7,535	$266,404,011	9
Jun 5, 2022	1	$25,200,000	-30%	-31%	4,751	$5,304	$291,604,011	10

That’s great news, then! This is probably worst-case scenario for actuals.