Weekend Thread | Estimates: Barbarian 10M, Brahmastra 4.4, Bullet Train 3.25, TGM 3.2, Pets 2.8

[M37]

10 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Could Elvis actually finish in the top 10 for 2022? Black Panther and Avatar are the only remaining releases that are 100% locked to finish with a higher total than the $152-153M it's looking to stop at.

It could, but I would put Black Adam slightly ahead, and Strange World will likely have far better legs than Encanto, not being shoved out the door for Christmas, so that’s another possibility (but I would take the under)

[Grebacio]

7 minutes ago, M37 said:

It could, but I would put Black Adam slightly ahead, and Strange World will likely have far better legs than Encanto, not being shoved out the door for Christmas, so that’s another possibility (but I would take the under)

I would also add Puss into the equation

[Valonqar]

And I wouldn't sleep on Whitney Houston movie either. They are releasing it for Xmas, could perform like The Greatest Showman.

[Issac Newton]

The estimated audience for Barbarian was 58% male and 61% ages 25+.

 

Overseas, the film debuted in only seven markets (primarily smaller Latin American territories) to only $0.5M

[M37]

18 minutes ago, Grebacio said:

I would also add Puss into the equation

Legitimately forgot about it, absolutely, more likely than SW, given lack of family product to compete with. Might even make a run at $200+

[Krissykins]

11 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

The estimated audience for Barbarian was 58% male and 61% ages 25+.

 

Overseas, the film debuted in only seven markets (primarily smaller Latin American territories) to only $0.5M

They really need to set release dates, nothing for the UK yet and I’m seriously jealous! 
 

 

A nice surprise to see Barbarian opening up with $10m and at #1. It always seemed like a dump and didn’t seem to be marketed as much. 
 

Hoping that The Woman King breaks out next weekend. 

[Chaz]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

Elvis passed the $150M domestic mark after grossing an estimated $500K this weekend (from 1,104 locations). Estimated total domestic gross stands at $150.29M.#ElvisMovie #BoxOffice @warnerbros @ElvisMovie pic.twitter.com/QsUrbrDsVi

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) September 11, 2022

So happy about this! I truly loved this movie, especially seeing it with my elderly parents who also loved it. 

[Kalo]

35 minutes ago, Chaz said:

So happy about this! I truly loved this movie, especially seeing it with my elderly parents who also loved it. 

 

Yeah I took my mom to see it, who is 70 and she really liked it. it was very good film. 

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

1 hour ago, M37 said:

But will those audiences rush out for OW? 

Don't Worry Darling aims younger so yes. And it's already having fan event and early IMAX screenings

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Non-IP top 10 update:

 

1. Nope- 122m (165.3m WW per TheNumbers)

2. Free Guy- 121.6m (331.5m WW)

3. The Lost City- 105.3m (190.8m WW)

4. Everything Everywhere All At Once- 69.9m (100.8m per TheNumbers)

5. Dog- 61.7m (84.8m WW)

6. Tenet- 58.5m (365.2m WW)

7. The Northman- 34.2m (69.6m WW)

8. Beast- 29.3m (52.9m WW per TheNumbers)

9. Nobody- 27.5m (57.5m WW)

10. Unhinged- 20.8m (44.3m WW)

 

Soon to enter:

The Invitation- 18.8m (25.1m WW)

[CJohn]

The Woman King cost 50M so it would be important if it could clear a 20M OW.

Edited September 11, 2022 by CJohn

[CJohn]

3 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Non-IP top 10 update:

 

1. Nope- 122m (165.3m WW per TheNumbers)

2. Free Guy- 121.6m (331.5m WW)

3. The Lost City- 105.3m (190.8m WW)

4. Everything Everywhere All At Once- 69.9m (100.8m per TheNumbers)

5. Dog- 61.7m (84.8m WW)

6. Tenet- 58.5m (365.2m WW)

7. The Northman- 34.2m (69.6m WW)

8. Beast- 29.3m (52.9m WW per TheNumbers)

9. Nobody- 27.5m (57.5m WW)

10. Unhinged- 20.8m (44.3m WW)

 

Soon to enter:

The Invitation- 18.8m (25.1m WW)

That WW total for Tenet gets more impressive by every day that passes. 305M+ OS in freaking August/September 2020. If only America could have shown up to push it to 100M DOM. Oh well.

Edited September 11, 2022 by CJohn

[grim22]

4 minutes ago, CJohn said:

That WW total for Tenet gets more impressive by every day that passes. 305M+ OS in freaking August/September 2020. If only America could have shown up to push it to 100M DOM. Oh well.

Tenet pretty much never released in a lot of states. Theaters were in dire straits in 2020, the only segment which literally got no support from the government (for fear of "supporting Hollywood" backlash despite Hollywood having more unions and employees than most other professions) and from the studios. Studios throwing theaters under the bus is still inexplicable, if only they had actually all sat down together, maybe the past 2 months of nothingness wouldn't have happened.

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, grim22 said:

Tenet pretty much never released in a lot of states. Theaters were in dire straits in 2020, the only segment which literally got no support from the government (for fear of "supporting Hollywood" backlash despite Hollywood having more unions and employees than most other professions) and from the studios. Studios throwing theaters under the bus is still inexplicable, if only they had actually all sat down together, maybe the past 2 months of nothingness wouldn't have happened.

I remember Tenet and After 2 were released here in back to back weekends. For a short moment, it felt like the old days with shows sold out (50% was the max for each show at that point) and big lines for concessions.

[grim22]

2 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I remember Tenet and After 2 were released here in back to back weekends. For a short moment, it felt like the old days with shows sold out (50% was the max for each show at that point) and big lines for concessions.

I still feel that sometime in maybe September 2020 the studios and theaters should have sat down together and worked out a release schedule starting from December 2020 onwards to space out releases in a logical way to keep a string of movies coming out to help theaters and the studios themselves.

 

Could have also prevented the VFX logjam.

Edited September 11, 2022 by grim22

[scabab]

I'm a bit confused.

 

Forbes is saying DBS Super Hero had a $800,000 weekend for $36.7 million total.

 

But then Box Office Report is saying it had a weekend of $900,000 but a $36.55 million total.

 

Which is it? How can the weekend be higher but the overall total be lower.

[CJohn]

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

I still feel that sometime in maybe September 2020 the studios and theaters should have sat down together and worked out a release schedule starting from December 2020 onwards to space out releases in a logical way to keep a string of movies coming out to help theaters and the studios themselves.

 

Could have also prevented the VFX logjam.

Instead every studio went crazy and started to throw everything to their own streaming service, leaving theaters to die.

 

Nowadays I am starting to think that was a really bad idea. Theaters should have been protected. But everyone prefered INFINITE GROWTH for their streaming service.

[Krissykins]

3 hours ago, Chaz said:

So happy about this! I truly loved this movie, especially seeing it with my elderly parents who also loved it. 

I’ve yet to meet someone in real life who didn’t enjoy Elvis. 
 

Parents, aunts, uncles, brother, cousins, nieces, colleagues, friends. Everyone I know that’s seen it enjoyed it. Explains the 5x multiplier. 

[Issac Newton]

Rank	Film	Distributor	Weekend Gross	Locations	Location Average	%Change	Total Gross	TG ÷ OW	Week
1	Barbarian	Disney / 20th Century	$10,000,000	2,340	$4,274	NEW	$10,000,000	1.000	1
2	Brahmastra Part One: Shiva	Disney / Star Studios	$4,400,000	810	$5,432	NEW	$4,400,000	1.000	1
3	Bullet Train	Sony / Columbia	$3,250,000	3,056	$1,063	-43.8%	$92,543,738	3.082	6
4	Top Gun: Maverick	Paramount	$3,170,000	3,005	$1,055	-47.3%	$705,650,344	5.569	16
5	DC League of Super-Pets	Warner Bros.	$2,835,000	3,043	$932	-43.7%	$85,421,285	3.713	7
6	The Invitation	Sony / Screen Gems	$2,620,000	3,117	$841	-46.3%	$18,845,563	2.769	3
7	Lifemark	Fathom Events	$2,212,288	1,531	$1,445	NEW	$2,212,288	1.000	1
8	Beast	Universal	$1,800,000	2,793	$644	-55.3%	$29,375,780	2.538	4
9	Minions: The Rise of Gru	Universal	$1,650,000	2,274	$726	-53.0%	$362,331,415	3.386	11
10	Spider-Man: No Way Home (re-issue)	Sony / Columbia	$1,300,000	3,215	$404	-75.9%	$8,555,385	1.583	2
11	Where the Crawdads Sing	Sony / Columbia	$1,200,000	1,990	$603	-41.5%	$87,588,924	5.077	9
12	Thor: Love and Thunder	Disney	$1,000,000	1,850	$541	-62.6%	$342,270,791	2.374	10
	Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero	Crunchyroll	$900,000	1,550	$581	-63.0%	$36,550,000	1.730	4
	Nope	Universal	$830,000	1,142	$727	-52.6%	$122,007,805	2.750	8
	Medieval	The Avenue	$810,000	1,311	$618	NEW	$810,000	1.000	1
	Jaws (re-issue)	Universal	$620,000	1,246	$498	-76.5%	$4,506,420	1.708	2
	Elvis	Warner Bros.	$500,000	1,104	$453	-55.0%	$150,287,493	4.815	12
	Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul.	Focus	$365,000	1,870	$195	-74.3%	$2,399,225	1.686	2
	Gigi & Nate	Roadside	$341,765	1,220	$280	-65.5%	$1,893,618	1.912	2
	Orphan: First Kill	Paramount	$300,000	428	$701	-59.2%	$5,082,460	2.922	4
	Breaking	Bleecker Street	$225,754	616	$366	-66.3%	$2,646,465	2.684	3
	Jurassic World Dominion	Universal	$156,000	448	$348	-67.2%	$375,858,130	2.591	14
	Fall	Lionsgate	$155,000	267	$581	-46.4%	$6,708,832	2.671	5
	Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris	Focus	$113,000	341	$331	-25.8%	$10,167,715	5.206	9
	The Black Phone	Universal	$100,000	185	$541	-59.1%	$89,651,845	3.793	12
	Unfavorable Odds	Atlas Distribution	$58,184	445	$131	NEW	$58,184	1.000	1
	Emily the Criminal	Roadside	$50,760	101	$503	-44.2%	$2,079,424	3.108	5
	Easter Sunday	Universal / DreamWorks	$50,000	135	$370	-71.1%	$12,970,050	2.381	6

[Cap]

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