Weekend Thread (10/14-16) | Weekend Estimates: Halloween Ends 40.05, Smile 12.6, Lyle 7.3, Woman King 3.7, Amsterdam 2.8

[Cooper Legion]

9 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:

If smile will be around 11.75 mln this weekend and halloween ends 42 mln, then next weekend smile will be around 7 mln so halloween would have to fall more than 80 percent to finish below smile. It's not certain but its possible, who could predict this last month.

Thinking 13-13.5 smile falls to ~10M and Halloween falling to 9-10

[redfirebird2008]

6 hours ago, fmpro said:

You have Kills on HBO Max in the states?

Yes, it’s on HBO Max for streaming. But I watched it on one of the HBO TV channels through my cable provider. 

[CJohn]

Smile is king. Give me a 100M+ DOM total.

[filmlover]

A $40-42M opening means it's probably not even hitting $80M if the legs are like the previous movie. At least it's going to make plenty of money so I highly doubt the studio is complaining. 

 

Wonder how Till is doing at its 16 theaters.

[Flopped]

Curious how Tar expanded. 

[Cooper Legion]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

A $40-42M opening means it's probably not even hitting $80M if the legs are like the previous movie. At least it's going to make plenty of money so I highly doubt the studio is complaining. 

 

Wonder how Till is doing at its 16 theaters.

80 is toast, 70 is in question

[Flopped]

Is Ticket to Paradise gonna bomb in the US? I noticed the predictions were lowered. 

 

Doing well internally, $68,380,289 heading into the weekend 😲

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Flopped said:

Is Ticket to Paradise gonna bomb in the US? I noticed the predictions were lowered. 

 

Doing well internally, $68,380,289 heading into the weekend 😲

It should open around the lower-to-mid teens. Personally always thought it was going to be more of a "staying power" movie than an actual opening weekend breakout (meaning there's still a chance it makes more in total than whatever Halloween will end up with at this point ).

[Eric Prime]

5 minutes ago, Flopped said:

Is Ticket to Paradise gonna bomb in the US? I noticed the predictions were lowered. 

 

Doing well internally, $68,380,289 heading into the weekend 😲

Sales seem pretty soft in Philly, at least when I did a quick scan yesterday. I guess Americans just have a comedy problem? But I also acknowledge this isn't a pre-sales driven film, we should get a clearer picture on Monday, blah blah blah. Hopefully it does well of course.

[Flopped]

10 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It should open around the lower-to-mid teens. Personally always thought it was going to be more of a "staying power" movie than an actual opening weekend breakout (meaning there's still a chance it makes more in total than whatever Halloween will end up with at this point ).

It also should have been an August release. Late October is weird for this. 

[Mr Terrific]

Ends vs. Morbius domestic?

[filmlover]

Quote

On the limited side of the box office, United Artists Releasing’s Till grossed $96K yesterday at 16 theaters in five markets for what looks to be a $229K first weekend or $14,3K theater average.

Box Office: ‘Halloween Ends’ Opening To $43M – Deadline

[Krissykins]

$20.2m for Ends, so I’ll gusss $41.2m for the weekend. 
 

-30% Saturday

-50% Sunday 

[Flopped]

Yeah this will struggle 

 

 

[filmlover]

53 minutes ago, Flopped said:

Curious how Tar expanded. 

From Deadline:

 

Quote

Focus Features’ expansion of Tar from four to 36 theaters in 13 markets saw $110K on Friday for a what is turning out to be a $360k second weekend or $10K a theater. Good numbers, I hear in NYC, LA, San Francisco, Toronto and Chicago.

 

[WayneBorg]

1	N	Halloween Ends	Universal	$20,210,000			3,901	$5,181	$20,210,000	1
2	(1)	Smile	Paramount Pi…	$3,730,000	+145%	-31%	3,612	$1,033	$62,497,899	15
3	(2)	Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile	Sony Pictures	$2,000,000	+202%	-45%	4,350	$460	$17,357,353	8
4	(4)	The Woman King	Sony Pictures	$1,000,000	+169%	-25%	2,565	$390	$57,046,217	29
5	(3)	Amsterdam	20th Century…	$888,000	+98%	-66%	3,005	$296	$9,956,234	8
-	(8)	Barbarian	20th Century…	$406,000	+112%	-36%	1,805	$225	$37,956,777	36
-	(7)	Bros	Universal	$290,000	+49%	-57%	2,201	$132	$10,205,735	15
-	(-)	Top Gun: Maverick	Paramount Pi…	$200,000	+128%	-11%	902	$222	$715,270,567	141
-	(-)	TÁR	Focus Features	$110,000	+811%	+67%	36	$3,056	$334,846	8
-	(-)	See How They Run	Searchlight …	$99,000	+96%	-19%	525	$189	$9,109,420	29
-	(-)	Minions: The Rise of Gru	Universal	$97,000	+89%	-23%	1,215	$80	$368,033,300	106
-	(-)	Running The Bases	UP2U Films	$12,000	+89%	-30%	142	$85	$1,419,996	29

[WayneBorg]

 

[filmlover]

A decent start for Till. PTA is gonna be similar to what Green Book ($12,817 from 25 theaters) and The Hate U Give ($14,223 from 36 theaters) did on their limited opening weekends. Hopefully it expands well.

 

TAR's expansion indicates it unsurprisingly won't have much crossover appeal beyond metropolitan areas. I imagine it'll find a much bigger audience once it's available on streaming.

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Yes, it’s on HBO Max for streaming. But I watched it on one of the HBO TV channels through my cable provider. 

Not in my region 😑

[TwoMisfits]

Weekend BO only jumping to $82.3M with the $40M OW...Deadline...

 

"Total ticket sales are at an estimated $82.3M, which is off 24% from the same weekend a year ago which grossed $108.9M."