Halloween Weekend Thread (10/28-30) | Weekend Estimates: Adam 27.7, Paradise 10, Devil 7, Smile 5, Ends 3.8

[Nikostar]

Wonder if the Rock will thank his fans for the 60+ drop this weekend 

[Eric S'ennui]

 

[filmlover]

-

(3)

Smile

Paramount Pi…

$1,585,000

+145%

-39%

3,221

$492

$88,922,230

29

 

-	(-)	The Banshees of Inisherin	Searchlight …	$210,000	+1,652%	+210%	59	$3,559	$460,760	8
-	(-)	Amsterdam	20th Century…	$69,000	-22%	-73%	535	$129	$14,431,784	22
-	(-)	Barbarian	20th Century…	$66,000	+63%	-62%	465	$142	$40,410,610	50
-	(-)	The Bad Guys	Universal	$45,000			1,478	$30	$96,758,440	190

 

-

N

Armageddon Time

Focus Features

$35,000

6

$5,833

$35,000

1

[filmlover]

Banshees second weekend looking to have a higher PTA than TAR's second weekend in 23 more theaters. Seems like a good sign for its big expansion next weekend.

 

Armageddon Time looks headed for a $14-15K PTA. Not a great sign for its wide expansion next weekend, but for a movie without any real awards buzz and seems like a hard sell in general, probably the best it was going to do.

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

Never mind Smile, looking at the type, promotion and nature of Barbarian as a horror film versus Halloween it is utterly insane that Barbarian is going to finish with, like, 70% of Halloween Ends' Box Office.

 

Bad Guys return shows weird dynamics, because it feels like the movie has been almost talked into it. Clearly is just a placeholder, but why not - after such encouraging figures recently for foreign language films, low key films and Terrifier - just take a couple of punts on films.

 

Ticket To Paradise....HA! Clever but cynical counter programming. To describe Clooney and Roberts as "sleepwalking" in that film is to underestimate how animated some sleepwalkers are. Literally might has well have paid for them to go on a lavish holiday and just filmed them. The three youngsters just get absolutely hosed in that film, nothing to work with especially Billie Lourd. But it shows star power still has a place. 

 

And to reiterate what I said before.....Banshees is a decade defining film. It will only grow. It will hit the occasional wall of "BuT MUh noThing HAppEns!!!" cynicism, but it is a bit of a crowdpleaser in addition to being an existential masterpiece.

Edited October 29, 2022 by Ipickthiswhiterose

[XXR vs XXR]

@Legion By Night T2 only 5% over last Friday. Probably not clearing $2M this weekend. 

[Legion Again]

Just now, XXXVIIR said:

@Legion By Night T2 only 5% over last Friday. Probably not clearing $2M this weekend. 

Yeah ripperino

[M37]

18 minutes ago, XXXVIIR said:

@Legion By Night T2 only 5% over last Friday. Probably not clearing $2M this weekend. 

Having the weekday numbers showing a w/w decline would have helped in that regard (as would an accurate theater count rather than the 1000 Numbers listed). Looks like it peaked last weekend, expansion is only softening the blow 

[Eric S'ennui]

https://deadline.com/2022/10/black-adam-super-83m-first-week-eyes-27m-2nd-frame-prey-for-the-devil-previews-box-office-1235157235/

 

Quote

Saturday estimates:

1.) Black Adam (NL) 4,402 theaters, Fri $7.5M (-72%) 3-day $25M (-63%)/Total $108.4M/Wk 2

2.) Ticket to Paradise (Uni) 3,692 (+149) theaters, Fri $3.1M (-51%), 3-day $10.36M (-37%)/Total $34M/Wk 2
Great hold here for this older female skewing title.

3.) Prey for the Devil (LG) 2,980 theaters, Fri $2.8M, 3-day $7M, Wk 1

4.) Smile (Par) 3,221 (-75) theaters, Fri $1.58M (-39%), 3-day $5.02M (-41%),total  $92.3M/Wk 5

5.) Halloween Ends (Uni) 3,419 (-482) theaters, Fri $1.14M (-55%), 3-day $3.77M (-53%)/Total: $60.2M/ Wk 3

6.) Till (UAR) 2,058 (+1,954) theaters, Fri $1.037M (+712%), 3-day $2.8M (+670%)/Total $3.6M/Wk 3

7.) Lyle, Lyle Crocodile (Sony) 3,135 (-401) theaters, Fri $715k (-38%), 3-day $2.65M (-38%)/Total: $32.3M/Wk 4

8.) Terrifier 2 (Iconic) 1,550 (+795) theaters, Fri $575,5K (+5%), 3-day $1.87M (+6%), Total $7.7M/Wk 4

9.) Coldplay Music of Spheres Live (TRAF) 833 theaters, Fri $673K, 3-day $1.38M/Wk 1

10.) The Woman King (Sony) 1,446 (-412) theaters Fri $300K (-42%), 3-day $1.05M (-44%) /Total $64.5M/Wk 7

 

Notable:

Tar (Focus) 1,087 theaters (+946), Fri $340K (+113%), 3-day $1M (+100%), Total $2.46M/Wk 4

Banshees of Inisherin (Sea) 59 (+55) theaters, Fri $210K (+211%), 3-day $400K (+117%)/Total
$650.76K/Wk 2

 

[filmnerdjamie]

1 hour ago, Nikostar said:

Wonder if the Rock will thank his fans for the 60+ drop this weekend 

 

He smelled what the general public was cooking. Mixed word of mouth.

[John Marston]

I think generic superhero movies are in trouble. People will no longer shell out for just a standard good guy vs bad guy film

[Nikostar]

6 minutes ago, John Marston said:

I think generic superhero movies are in trouble. People will no longer shell out for just a standard good guy vs bad guy film

Yes they will. They are just waiting for one that is actually good. 

[filmlover]

Quote

United Artists Releasing’s third weekend expansion of Till at 2,058 locations notched an A+ CinemaScore and 91% positive on PostTrak, mostly women at 61%; with $1.03M yesterday, and $2.8M for the weekend and a running total of $3.6M for the Eon Production. Black moviegoers gave Till 94% on PostTrak. Much older audience here at 84% over 25, 63% over 35 and close to have over 45 with 27% over 55. Diversity demos were 38% Caucasian, 42% Black, 11% Latino and Hispanic and 9% Asian/other. Till saw most of its box office coming from the Southeast, Northeast and Midwest. 

Box Office: ‘Black Adam’ Dwayne Johnson Movie Eyes $25M 2nd Week – Deadline

[Torontofan]

9 minutes ago, Nikostar said:

Yes they will. They are just waiting for one that is actually good. 

 

 

Looking at it the only one to do above expectations was No waye Home. 

[TigerPaw]

1 hour ago, Nikostar said:

Wonder if the Rock will thank his fans for the 60+ drop this weekend 

It is Halloween weekend; none of us were expecting sub 60% to be honest.

 

 

[Maggie]

Banshees of Inisherin (Sea) 59 (+55) theaters, Fri $210K (+211%), 3-day $400K 

 

Why so low for the three day if Friday is over 200k?

[excel1]

29 minutes ago, John Marston said:

I think generic superhero movies are in trouble. People will no longer shell out for just a standard good guy vs bad guy film

 

For sure. There needs to be a novel hook. In my humble opinion, every superhero films sans NWH and Shang-Chi has disappointed to an extent since Covid began.

[filmnerdjamie]

Can't blame it all on Halloween weekend. It's an annual fallback/argument when a film drops considerably.

 

They could have easily released Black Adam two weeks ago instead or at the start of the month, as several posters pointed out in recent weeks.

[filmlover]

Black Adam's drop is about as good as expected given that it was naturally frontloaded last weekend and WOM seems average/unenthusiastic at best. We'll see how well it survives the Black Panther onslaught in two weeks (next weekend should see kind holds across the board with nothing truly of note coming out).

[TigerPaw]

2 minutes ago, filmnerdjamie said:

Can't blame it all on Halloween weekend. It's an annual fallback/argument when a film drops considerably.

 

They could have easily released Black Adam two weeks ago instead or at the start of the month, as several posters pointed out in recent weeks.

Yeah; WB should have released earlier without a doubt.

Legs will be cut short by BPWF as well; and i don't expect next weekend's hold to be strong as people are anticipating BPWF the following week.