New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think double digit day is possible. Let us see how things go. 

Idk, that would be pretty insane if it pulls that far ahead of A1s post holiday dailies already given such a similar third weekend. 

[Firepower]

What would 12 mln Tuesday mean?

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, Firepower said:

What would 12 mln Tuesday mean?

I guess that most kids are all still out of school? But adults aren’t off though, so 12m would once again signal WOM is going nuts. 

[Firepower]

5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I guess that most kids are all still out of school? But adults aren’t off though, so 12m would once again signal WOM is going nuts. 

It's gonna be really interesting. If holds are strong, I don't think Ant-Man is gonna have a serious impact in mid February, it's just not that type of movie that would crush everything around it.

Edited January 3, 2023 by Firepower

[interiorgatordecorator]

1 minute ago, Firepower said:

It's gonna be really interesting. If holds are strong, I don't think Ant-Man is gonna have a serious impact in mid February, it's just not that type of movie that would crush everything around it.

 

speaking about that

any idea of how much money ant man 2 made in imax? if its not much I can see avatar 2 regaining some a week after

[shruth]

12 minutes ago, Firepower said:

What would 12 mln Tuesday mean?

if that happens then ill give 700m a 20% chance. But no shot it's hitting 12, look for 9 thats a great number in itself. 

[Dragoncaine]

18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think double digit day is possible. Let us see how things go. 

Are you seeing potential for a double-digit day from the theaters you usually track? Obviously things could go either way at this point in the day, but that'd be pretty reassuring.

[Gkalaitza]

18 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

Day	Day of Week	Avatar	Avatar 2	A2 +/-	Gain/Loss
1	Friday	$26,752,099	$53,200,270	$26,448,171
2	Saturday	$52,281,135	$97,528,157	$45,247,022	$18,798,851
3	Sunday	$77,025,481	$134,100,226	$57,074,745	$11,827,723
4	Monday	$83,411,301	$150,357,304	$66,946,003	$9,871,258
5	Tuesday	$109,497,762	$168,646,208	$59,148,446	-$7,797,557
6	Wednesday	$125,943,053	$183,049,646	$57,106,593	-$2,041,853
7	Thursday	$137,094,051	$197,681,686	$60,587,635	$3,481,042
8	Friday	$160,189,097	$216,970,827	$56,781,730	-$3,805,905
9	Saturday	$188,463,503	$231,840,115	$43,376,612	-$13,405,118
10	Sunday	$212,711,184	$261,019,906	$48,308,722	$4,932,110
11	Monday	$232,129,323	$293,290,336	$61,161,013	$12,852,291
12	Tuesday	$250,419,951	$317,418,839	$66,998,888	$5,837,875
13	Wednesday	$268,886,074	$338,000,853	$69,114,779	$2,115,891
14	Thursday	$283,624,210	$358,117,914	$74,493,704	$5,378,925
15	Friday	$308,898,218	$382,954,749	$74,056,531	-$437,173
16	Saturday	$334,733,769	$401,007,908	$66,274,139	-$7,782,392
17	Sunday	$352,114,898	$425,527,069	$73,412,171	$7,138,032
18	Monday	$360,209,452	$446,938,691	$86,729,239	$13,317,068

 

Okay, I whipped this up because I can easily look at the +/- column and know how far ahead A2 is currently, and then in the gain/loss column see how much ground it is gaining or losing each day to see what trends might develop in the days and weeks ahead. 

Day	Avatar 2	Frozen 2 (477m)	+/-	R1 (532m)	+/-	NWH-200m (604m)	+/-	JW (652m)	+/-	TG:M (718m)	+/-	Avatar 1 (760m)
	Domestic est.	$515,179,936		$538,214,634	Bear case	$630,222,772	Standard case	$553,261,883		$763,839,891	Bull case	$847,236,864
	Worldwide est.	#REF!		$1,738,826,711		$2,036,080,256		$1,787,440,325		$2,467,761,227		$2,737,194,414
OW	$134,100,226	$130,263,358	$3,836,868	$155,081,681	-$20,981,455	$60,138,569	$73,961,657	$208,806,270	-$74,706,044	$126,707,459	$7,392,767	$77,025,481
4	$150,357,304	$143,034,370	$7,322,934	$172,677,831	-$22,320,527	$97,276,887	$53,080,417	$234,151,090	-$83,793,786	$160,514,980	-$10,157,676	$93,411,301
5	$168,646,208	$163,826,344	$4,819,864	$190,260,809	-$21,614,601	$128,685,544	$39,960,664	$258,493,605	-$89,847,397	$176,315,726	-$7,669,518	$109,497,762
6	$183,049,646	$187,906,890	-$4,857,244	$205,226,599	-$22,176,953	$156,531,855	$26,517,791	$278,389,075	-$95,339,429	$191,137,143	-$8,087,497	$125,943,053
7	$197,681,686	$202,867,358	-$5,185,672	$221,999,674	-$24,317,988	$185,865,477	$11,816,209	$296,211,655	-$98,529,969	$205,604,011	-$7,922,325	$137,094,051
8	$216,970,827	$236,998,272	-$20,027,445	$244,859,930	-$27,889,103	$205,520,983	$11,449,844	$325,326,090	-$108,355,263	$230,610,828	-$13,640,001	$160,189,097
9	$231,840,115	$269,362,239	-$37,522,124	$260,168,438	-$28,328,323	$237,130,732	-$5,290,617	$364,438,555	-$132,598,440	$266,618,973	-$34,778,858	$188,463,503
10	$261,019,906	$288,845,131	-$27,825,225	$286,033,442	-$25,013,536	$270,413,982	-$9,394,076	$402,800,095	-$141,780,189	$295,641,022	-$34,621,116	$212,711,184
11	$293,290,336	$292,033,026	$1,257,310	$318,119,079	-$24,828,743	$295,184,575	-$1,894,239	$414,366,320	-$121,075,984	$308,043,218	-$14,752,882	$232,129,323
12	$317,418,339	$297,369,796	$20,048,543	$340,634,691	-$23,216,352	$316,531,392	$886,947	$427,496,780	-$110,078,441	$321,808,619	-$4,390,280	$250,419,951
13	$338,000,853	$300,194,495	$37,806,358	$358,656,173	-$20,655,320	$336,859,166	$1,141,687	$436,936,980	-$98,936,127	$334,210,732	$3,790,121	$268,886,074
14	$358,117,914	$302,924,901	$55,193,013	$375,378,705	-$17,260,791	$357,577,074	$540,840	$445,840,805	-$87,722,891	$343,343,936	$14,773,978	$283,624,210
15	$382,954,749	$310,741,855		$393,603,022	-$10,648,273	$372,984,769	$9,969,980	$460,533,690	-$77,578,941	$357,550,541	$25,404,208	$308,898,218
16	$401,007,908	$326,792,387		$408,235,850	-$7,227,942	$396,097,705	$4,910,203	$483,013,980		$377,662,168	$23,345,740	$334,733,769
17	$425,527,069	$338,090,515		$424,987,707	$539,362	$413,600,664	$11,926,405	$500,373,420		$395,199,280	$30,327,789	$352,114,898
18	$446,938,691	$339,981,425		$440,901,381	$6,037,310	$421,509,396	$25,429,295	$506,899,800		$401,831,621	$45,107,070	$360,209,452

Dunno if thats where its from or if that user is here but someone on reddit did it with a bunch of comps. 

 

[keysersoze123]

Just now, Dragoncaine said:

Are you seeing potential for a double-digit day from the theaters you usually track? Obviously things could go either way at this point in the day, but that'd be pretty reassuring.

Too many unknowns at this point. Discount tuesdays are very difficult to track as I expect MTC ratios to go up. I dont see that much discounting happening in big markets except 25% off for matinees. But smaller markets do sell tickets at flat rate the whole day. Let us wait and see. But Its going to hold very well for sure. its not going to drop "hard" post holidays like SW or MCU movies. 

[Flamengo81]

So, guys...

Weekdays thread already up or no?

[interiorgatordecorator]

1 minute ago, Flamengo81 said:

So, guys...

Weekdays thread already up or no?

 

wait till someone feels a bit more confident about their tuesday projection

[Deep Wang]

@Gkalaitza No, I just made it myself. 

[Eric the Minion]

8 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

So, guys...

Weekdays thread already up or no?

Until we get a confirmed number from the press or one of our Asgards (Charlie, RTH), we have to wait.

[CaptNathanBrittles]

39 minutes ago, Firepower said:

What would 12 mln Tuesday mean?

 

It would break THE INCREDIBLES 2's record for Best 3rd Tuesday ($10.2m).

[grey ghost]

Only 73 pages on its 3rd weekend?

 

Way of the Flop.

[Elessar]

Whatever happens, it surely is a fun ride. In terms of forum engagement, this is defintely an event.  

 

And i love the fact that it still has a shot at the domestic yearly crown, albeit a small one, imho.

[Dragoncaine]

4 minutes ago, CaptNathanBrittles said:

 

It would break THE INCREDIBLES 2's record for Best 3rd Tuesday ($10.2m).

That would be awesome, but it feels like a long shot today after two back-to-back holiday weekends. Do you know what the 2nd best third Tuesday is? Are these metrics easily searchable on BOP or BOM or somewhere?

[Fanboy]

12 minutes ago, Dragoncaine said:

That would be awesome, but it feels like a long shot today after two back-to-back holiday weekends. Do you know what the 2nd best third Tuesday is? Are these metrics easily searchable on BOP or BOM or somewhere?

From The Numbers: 

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/domestic/all-movies/day/3rd-tuesday

Has a good shot at #2, top 4 is basically locked. 

[AJG]

Off-Topic but Renner lives

 

He looks fucked up though.

[Flamengo81]

25 minutes ago, AJG said:

He looks fucked up though.

It could be the amount of medicines he is taking during all this proccess. Probably is going to have some "sequela", but I hope is nothing too serious.