New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!

[IronJimbo]

Just now, Elessar said:

 

What are you trying to say here?

That Rogue One COMP is dead

[Elessar]

1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:

That Rogue One COMP is dead

 

Unless something unprecedented happens on SAT and SUN i think there's consensus that R1 is pretty much toast.

[charlie Jatinder]

16 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

NWH 3rd Weekend: $56m

NWH Post 3rd Weekend Gross: $191m

 

Avatar 3rd Weekend: $68m

Avatar Post 3rd Weekend Gross: $397m

way I like to look this period is dates and not days. 30 Dec-1 Jan

 

NWH - $59M, after that ~$200M
Avatar 1 - $58M, after that ~$440M

TFA - $85M, after that ~$250M

 

A2 will do $65M+, probably $225-250M after Jan 1.

[IronJimbo]

10 minutes ago, Elessar said:

 

Unless something unprecedented happens on SAT and SUN i think there's consensus that R1 is pretty much toast.

 

Ah yeah but the "it might make $600m if it's lucky" crew need to get aboard the new programming.

Top Gun Maverick Domestic is the first target

[Alex SciChannel]

3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

6.2

Huh, only a +8.2% increase compared to A2's +11.3% to +13.6%. Puss in Boots often had higher increases than Avatar so this is a break from the trend if this holds.

 

Hopefully estimates today end up as 6.45M or higher

Edited December 31, 2022 by Alex SciChannel

[THUNDER BIRD]

https://twitter.com/GFRobot/status/1607883040130469893?t=G6y0ZG6u6NERK0-MTcL-Tw&s=19

 

Surely people aren't this stupid 

Edited December 31, 2022 by THUNDER BIRD

[THUNDER BIRD]

https://twitter.com/GFRobot/status/1608189374310805504?t=1FsF0QhpIHcmgYBgzdGCJg&s=19

Oh, the person went even better

[Alex SciChannel]

2 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

https://twitter.com/GFRobot/status/1607883040130469893?t=G6y0ZG6u6NERK0-MTcL-Tw&s=19

 

Surely people aren't this stupid 

Watching these people break down increases my life span.

[M37]

57 minutes ago, Elessar said:

There must be a reason why movies fell much less in the beginning of 2022.

Yes: COVID/Omicron 

 

The holiday numbers were a little soft last year due to the massive outbreak, keeping a lot of people home, and delaying a good share of demand until later. I would be extremely hesitant to use 2021 holiday/2022 Jan/Feb as a roadmap for projecting forward this year 

[THUNDER BIRD]

2 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:

Watching these people break down increases my life span.

More breakdown are coming 

 

When Avatar crosses Top Gun Maverick 

 

When Avatar crosses 2 Billion

 

And when the headlines read Avatar crosses Infinity War & Force Awakens and who knows, even Titanic. 

[Elessar]

2 minutes ago, M37 said:

Yes: COVID/Omicron 

 

maybe

[Mr Roark]

IF it will top Titanic than Titanic will reclaim 3rd spot with the upcoming re-release.

That would be cool, Cameron plays in a league of his own.

[stuart360]

14 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

https://twitter.com/GFRobot/status/1607883040130469893?t=G6y0ZG6u6NERK0-MTcL-Tw&s=19

 

Surely people aren't this stupid 

 

11 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

https://twitter.com/GFRobot/status/1608189374310805504?t=1FsF0QhpIHcmgYBgzdGCJg&s=19

Oh, the person went even better

Pretty sure one of his vids showed up on my youtube feed. He's a hater, and one of those that onl;y sees things from his perspective, so he's super puzzled why the film is doing so well.

[THUNDER BIRD]

4 minutes ago, Mr Roark said:

IF it will top Titanic than Titanic will reclaim 3rd spot with the upcoming re-release.

That would be cool, Cameron plays in a league of his own.

And then Avatar 2 will re-release in China after everything goes Normal.

[stuart360]

Starting to think i should of stuck to my orig 750mil US/ 2.5-3bil WW total.

 

Got caught up in the nagativity around here. And fair play to Brother Ironjimbo, he stuck to his guns through all this.

Edited December 31, 2022 by stuart360

[dignam]

22 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

https://twitter.com/GFRobot/status/1607883040130469893?t=G6y0ZG6u6NERK0-MTcL-Tw&s=19

 

Surely people aren't this stupid 

Clickbaiter, nuff said. 

 

 

[AJG]

8 minutes ago, stuart360 said:

 

Pretty sure one of his vids showed up on my youtube feed. He's a hater, and one of those that onl;y sees things from his perspective, so he's super puzzled why the film is doing so well.

 

He may have a point.

 

How do we know for certain A2's current box office isn't part of a global, tax-dodging money laundering scheme?

[Mr Roark]

Can we stick with Boxoffice stuff instead of fueling off-topic bullshit?

[Alex SciChannel]

5 minutes ago, Mr Roark said:

Can we stick with Boxoffice stuff instead of fueling off-topic bullshit?

Technically it's box office related. 

[IronJimbo]

11 minutes ago, stuart360 said:

Starting to think i should of stuck to my orig 750mil US/ 2.5-3bil WW total.

 

Got caught up in the nagativity around here. And fair play to Brother Ironjimbo, he stuck to his guns through all this.

Don't worry about it, it's difficult to survive through negativity.

It was almost like it was an advanced tactic to overinflate projections of the opening weekend so that when it came in at $135m mentally you already think A2 is in a bad spot.

The most similair movie to A2 box office wise will be the first Avatar, I don't know why that's so hard for people to see.

It's a sequel? Well not really is it. There's a big difference between a sequel to a 13yo movie that has been out of the spotlight intentionally, and the fifth movie from the same franchise in one year and #35 of the total franchise.

It's very possible that the only day that Avatar 1 is above A2 in dailies from now is today and tomorrow because of New Years Eve + New Years Day. A2 can simply from now just make more than A1 every single day until the end of it's run.

People will tell you that's impossible, why? Because they refuse to see