THE SUPER MARIO BROS MOVIE WEEKEND THREAD

[ThomasNicole]

Insane for Mario, shouldn´t have a problem to be the highest movie of the year 

 

Those 700M DOM discussion maybe should slow down a bit since it didn´t opened with 220-225M, i think the goal here is surpassing Incredibles 2, i think 3x multiplier from it´s 5-day OW is reasonable but not locked 

 

INT number are less insane than DOM but still amazing, which some big countries left like Japan, i think 800-900M is the goal here

 

If everything goes right, Mario can finish with 1.5B WW and the biggest animation ever title

Edited April 9, 2023 by ThomasNicole

[Jonwo]

1 hour ago, Jayhawk the Hutt said:

INT numbers were good as well. Should do over 100m WW

The MGM deal is benefiting WB in terms of OS. I suspect they won't make a huge amount from Air but I don't think that matters too much.

 

 

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

4 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

i think 3x multiplier from it´s 5-day OW is reasonable but not locked 

 

It's possible but is it reasonable? Incredibles 2 only managed 2.6x its first 5 and that's with summer days. Frozen 2 hit 2.9x but it had Thanksgiving and Christmas to help. 

[ThomasNicole]

9 minutes ago, XXR Metro Boomin said:

 

It's possible but is it reasonable? Incredibles 2 only managed 2.6x its first 5 and that's with summer days. Frozen 2 hit 2.9x but it had Thanksgiving and Christmas to help. 

The lack of competition along with amazing WOM can do the trick 

 

But yeah i can easily see the 525 - 550M range tbh, i think surpassing I2 is the best scenario, let´s hope it can do it since i doubt any other movie can reach this 

 

I think Indy 5 have the potential to +500M but that will depend of a lot of factors going in the right direction

[MovieMan89]

20 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Insane for Mario, shouldn´t have a problem to be the highest movie of the year 

 

Those 700M DOM discussion maybe should slow down a bit since it didn´t opened with 220-225M, i think the goal here is surpassing Incredibles 2, i think 3x multiplier from it´s 5-day OW is reasonable but not locked 

 

INT number are less insane than DOM but still amazing, which some big countries left like Japan, i think 800-900M is the goal here

 

If everything goes right, Mario can finish with 1.5B WW and the biggest animation ever title

Agree 700 is still a pipe (buh dum dum) dream for now. Next weekend may change all that, we’ll see. Would be shocked if it doesn’t beat I2 DOM though. Jurassic World may be a super accurate comp point for the DOM run, like some others have mentioned. 
 

WW, I’m eyeing $1.6 or so atm, but if Japan does explode maybe it can even go over $1.8.

Edited April 9, 2023 by MovieMan89

[M37]

20 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

even further back the last time a Universal movie won the year domestic was the Jim Carrey Grinch

 

Worldwide it was the original Jurassic Park.

Technically Jurassic World edged out TFA in calendar 2015, but the latter of course made another $300M plus in 2016. Also JW would have been the top grosser in every year from 2010-2018 … except the one in which it was released, against the top domestic earner of all time. Some bad luck there 

But also JW is Universal’s only Top 3 domestic finish since Grinch in 2000

 

[cdsacken]

28 minutes ago, XXR Metro Boomin said:

 

It's possible but is it reasonable? Incredibles 2 only managed 2.6x its first 5 and that's with summer days. Frozen 2 hit 2.9x but it had Thanksgiving and Christmas to help. 

im just gonna say it. 450m domestic would be INCREDIBLE. More is just icing on the cake

[TwoMisfits]

So, we watched Mario.

 

The kids LOVED it!  I liked it a lot.  The spouse...ummm...hated it.  We were teasing that we had the critic in the family.  Now, to be fair, he started his critique by saying "it was better than Detective Pikachu" and we said "but you gave that an F". and he said "yup, and this was a D."  He also said he felt like the movie creators had a checklist they were literally ticking off to make this movie.

 

And yet, I thought everything he hated was great.  I LOVED Bowser.  I LOVED the game elements.  I LOVED the simple story and the desire not to overstay its welcome (a 27 second epilogue in a kids' movie - THANK YOU!).  For grades

 

Me - B+/B

Spouse - D

Oldest girl - A

2nd girl - A-

Oldest boy - A+

Youngest boy - B+

 

Note to self - leave the spouse home for the next video game movie and/or the next Illumination movie (I had forgotten after his back-to-back hate for Sonic and Pikachu that I did not take him to Uncharted or Minions 2:)...

[kayumanggi]

Top Studio Every Year Since 2001 (domestic)

 

2001 | Warner Bros. | $317,575,550 | HARRY POTTER AND THE SORCERER'S STONE

2002 | Sony | $403,706,375 | SPIDER-MAN

2003 | New Line | $377,027,325 | THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

2004 | Dreamworks | $441,226,247 | SHREK II

2005 | Fox | $380,270,577 | STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH

2006 | Disney | $423,315,812 | PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MAN'S CHEST

2007 | Sony | $336,530,303 | SPIDER-MAN III

2008 | Warner Bros. | $533,345,358 | THE DARK KNIGHT

2009 | Fox | $749,766,139 | AVATAR

2010 | Disney | $415,004,880 | TOY STORY III

2011 | Warner Bros. | $381,011,219 | HARRY POTTER: THE DEATHLY HALLOWS II

2012 | Disney | $623,357,910 | THE AVENGERS

2013 | Lionsgate | $424,668,047 | THE HUNGER GAMES: CATCHING FIRE

2014 | Warner Bros. | $350,126,372 | AMERICAN SNIPER

2015 | Disney | $936,662,225 | STAR WARS: EPISODE VII - THE FORCE AWAKENS

2016 | Disney | $532,177,324 | ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY

2017 | Disney | $620,181,382 | STAR WARS: EPISODE VIII - THE LAST JEDI

2018 | Disney | $700,059,566 | BLACK PANTHER

2019 | Disney | $858,373,000 | AVENGERS: ENDGAME

2020 | Sony | $206,305,244 | BAD BOYS FOR LIFE

2021 | Sony | $804,793,477 | SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME

2022 | Paramount | $718,732,821 | TOP GUN: MAVERICK

2023 | ???

 

 

[RichWS]

Incredible weekend etc., but I don't see it getting to 600. It would need truly exceptional WOM (which I don't really sense) and the 5-day holiday opening likely burned off a lot of demand. If you adjust to $11.75, here's the animated flicks post-2000 that landed between 500-600m (I only adjust the original gross, no re-releases). 

1. Frozen - 579.2
2. Toy Story 4 - 556.8
3. Shrek - 555.7
4. Shrek the Third - 551.2
5. Despicable Me 2 - 532.0
6. Monsters, Inc. - 531.2
7. Secret Life of Pets - 500.4

I'd wager it ends in the 510-530 range, right around DM2 and Pets.

Edited April 9, 2023 by RichWS

[Jonwo]

It's amazing that American Sniper was such a huge hit although I think it's cheating slightly to say it was the highest grossing 2014 film when the majority of the money was made in 2015.

[KP1025]

2 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

Top Studio Every Year Since 2001 (domestic)

 

2001 | Warner Bros. | $317,575,550 | HARRY POTTER AND THE SORCERER'S STONE

2002 | Sony | $403,706,375 | SPIDER-MAN

2003 | New Line | $377,027,325 | THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

2004 | Dreamworks | $441,226,247 | SHREK II

2005 | Fox | $380,270,577 | STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH

2006 | Disney | $423,315,812 | PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MAN'S CHEST

2007 | Sony | $336,530,303 | SPIDER-MAN III

2008 | Warner Bros. | $533,345,358 | THE DARK KNIGHT

2009 | Fox | $749,766,139 | AVATAR

2010 | Disney | $415,004,880 | TOY STORY III

2011 | Warner Bros. | $381,011,219 | HARRY POTTER: THE DEATHLY HALLOWS II

2012 | Disney | $623,357,910 | THE AVENGERS

2013 | Lionsgate | $424,668,047 | THE HUNGER GAMES: CATCHING FIRE

2014 | Warner Bros. | $350,126,372 | AMERICAN SNIPER

2015 | Disney | $936,662,225 | STAR WARS: EPISODE VII - THE FORCE AWAKENS

2016 | Disney | $532,177,324 | ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY

2017 | Disney | $620,181,382 | STAR WARS: EPISODE VIII - THE LAST JEDI

2018 | Disney | $700,059,566 | BLACK PANTHER

2019 | Disney | $858,373,000 | AVENGERS: ENDGAME

2020 | Sony | $206,305,244 | BAD BOYS FOR LIFE

2021 | Sony | $804,793,477 | SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME

2022 | Paramount | $718,732,821 | TOP GUN: MAVERICK

2023 | ???

 

 

 

Wow, Universal really deserves this win.

[Mulder]

8 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

Top Studio Every Year Since 2001 (domestic)

 

2001 | Warner Bros. | $317,575,550 | HARRY POTTER AND THE SORCERER'S STONE

2002 | Sony | $403,706,375 | SPIDER-MAN

2003 | New Line | $377,027,325 | THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE RETURN OF THE KING

2004 | Dreamworks | $441,226,247 | SHREK II

2005 | Fox | $380,270,577 | STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH

2006 | Disney | $423,315,812 | PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MAN'S CHEST

2007 | Sony | $336,530,303 | SPIDER-MAN III

2008 | Warner Bros. | $533,345,358 | THE DARK KNIGHT

2009 | Fox | $749,766,139 | AVATAR

2010 | Disney | $415,004,880 | TOY STORY III

2011 | Warner Bros. | $381,011,219 | HARRY POTTER: THE DEATHLY HALLOWS II

2012 | Disney | $623,357,910 | THE AVENGERS

2013 | Lionsgate | $424,668,047 | THE HUNGER GAMES: CATCHING FIRE

2014 | Warner Bros. | $350,126,372 | AMERICAN SNIPER

2015 | Disney | $936,662,225 | STAR WARS: EPISODE VII - THE FORCE AWAKENS

2016 | Disney | $532,177,324 | ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY

2017 | Disney | $620,181,382 | STAR WARS: EPISODE VIII - THE LAST JEDI

2018 | Disney | $700,059,566 | BLACK PANTHER

2019 | Disney | $858,373,000 | AVENGERS: ENDGAME

2020 | Sony | $206,305,244 | BAD BOYS FOR LIFE

2021 | Sony | $804,793,477 | SPIDER-MAN: NO WAY HOME

2022 | Paramount | $718,732,821 | TOP GUN: MAVERICK

2023 | ???

 

 

Man that Disney domination from 2015-2019 is absolutely insane.

[MovieMan89]

7 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

It's amazing that American Sniper was such a huge hit although I think it's cheating slightly to say it was the highest grossing 2014 film when the majority of the money was made in 2015.

AS should practically be stricken from all BO convo bc the release was just so unconventional it’s hardly a fair comp to any other film that has grossed hundreds of millions this century. 

[DisposedData]

Disney is taking forever to release estimates

[Jonwo]

Interesting that neither Paramount or Universal had won a year in quite some time even though both have had very successful films in the various decades.

 

 

[screambaby]

42 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

So, we watched Mario.

 

The kids LOVED it!  I liked it a lot.  The spouse...ummm...hated it.  We were teasing that we had the critic in the family.  Now, to be fair, he started his critique by saying "it was better than Detective Pikachu" and we said "but you gave that an F". and he said "yup, and this was a D."  He also said he felt like the movie creators had a checklist they were literally ticking off to make this movie.

 

And yet, I thought everything he hated was great.  I LOVED Bowser.  I LOVED the game elements.  I LOVED the simple story and the desire not to overstay its welcome (a 27 second epilogue in a kids' movie - THANK YOU!).  For grades

 

Me - B+/B

Spouse - D

Oldest girl - A

2nd girl - A-

Oldest boy - A+

Youngest boy - B+

 

Note to self - leave the spouse home for the next video game movie and/or the next Illumination movie (I had forgotten after his back-to-back hate for Sonic and Pikachu that I did not take him to Uncharted or Minions 2:)...

Yes they were making a checklist...that's what makaes successful movies

[screambaby]

9 minutes ago, DisposedData said:

Disney is taking forever to release estimates

Estimates on what lulz

 

[interiorgatordecorator]

how many imaxes will suzume get next weekend? doubt any any theater owner would like to part with Mario, but who knows what the contract says

[screambaby]

Need variety international numbers. Box office mojos scream international totals not updated from last week and were wrong then anyways.

Edited April 9, 2023 by screambaby