GUARDIANS OF THE GALAXY VOL. 3 WEEKEND THREAD

[John Marston]

3 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

OS performance so far is not behaving like a typical sequel, Fast X impact is reasonable tho

isn’t it taking advantage of holidays in many overseas markets?

[BadOlCatSylvester]

6 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Superhero movies outside of Spider-Man/Batman might have to start slashing budgets by 50 million or more 

The new DC regime should definitely consider doing so for a couple of years until audiences have regained confidence in the genre.

[Issac Newton]

 

 

 

[kayumanggi]

 

[kayumanggi]

GOTG made 86.3M in China. I hope VOL. 3 at least matches that.

[ThomasNicole]

11 minutes ago, John Marston said:

isn’t it taking advantage of holidays in many overseas markets?

A few, but the jumps are still way better than usual.

 

It was in the path for 120M few days ago but it’s increasing 10M each day and now trying +160 (and honestly depending on SAT i bet it can get closer to 170). 
 

Holidays alone in some countries don’t justify opening 50M above tracking, WOM does. Unless Fast X impact is extremelly hard, second weekend should be big and will recover after Fast X impact on 3rd weekend. Anything from 430 to 480M for Guardians are reasonable with ~170M opening and this WOM.
 

Still, i wouldn’t say 800M is likely (but is possible, it depends if WOM will have a similar effect DOM). 750M seems the goal for me tho.

Edited May 6, 2023 by ThomasNicole

[filmlover]

Guardians number basically falls under "it is what it is" territory: a notable drop-off from the previous movie but not as rough as it appeared to be weeks ago. As I mentioned in the tracking thread days ago I never understood the expectations that it would grow from the last one.

 

Too bad to see big drops across the board (along with a pathetic but expected small opening from the counterprogramming attempt) but that's what happens when one movie takes up most of the oxygen in the marketplace. Get ready for another 3 months of feast or famine.

[John Marston]

yeah the way holdovers are acting anytime something that opens moderately big opens is not good. Spider-Verse for example is going to be hit hard by nonstop competition. 

[fmpro]

17 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

 

More like 290 mill WW

[fabiopazzo2]

Im glad to see many people said GotgVol3 is one of The best MCU movie ever made 

[thajdikt]

This movie held up well on rewatch, think it has good rewatch value. Def one of the best from the MCU and in the genre in general. 

[Issac Newton]

 

 

 

[robertman2]

2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

 

Imagine being forced to watch Quantumania before you can watch GOTG

[Krissykins]

34 minutes ago, John Marston said:

yeah the way holdovers are acting anytime something that opens moderately big opens is not good. Spider-Verse for example is going to be hit hard by nonstop competition. 

The March films had big second weekend drops because they were back to back, before most of them eventually stabilised.
 

I think this summer will be the same. We’ll be seeing a lot of -60% second weekend drops as they’ll all be one week wonders on PLFs. 

[grey ghost]

1 hour ago, grim22 said:

If Gunn wasn't fired and Guardians 3 was the first movie post Endgame as planned (and of course Covid), this movie should have been an easy 200M opener.

 

One variable is how the firing of Gunn (pun unintended) brought the cast closer together and gave Gunn some creative motivation since he had something to prove.

 

He didn't just want a paycheck. He wanted redemption. So he probably made a better movie.

[grey ghost]

1 hour ago, Cap said:

I am flying back to LA In November to see it with my friend (and force @Plain Old Tele to come with).

 

I would think @Plain Old Tele was more of a Dune 2 guy.

 

Well I hope you guys have fun.

[TheFlatLannister]

11 hours ago, WorkingonaName said:

1. Dune 2: $750M

2. The Marvels: $500M

3. Hunger Games: $450M

I don't see Dune increasing by 85%+ 

 

Maybe $550M-600M

[DisposedData]

6 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

I don't see Dune increasing by 85%+ 

 

Maybe $550M-600M

It had a day and date release. I think it's in for a big increase for sure.

[grey ghost]

I gotta say. Forcing Captain Marvel to be the leader in Endgame would've been a huge mistake.

 

The fans were attached to RDJ because he carried the franchise since day one and has tons of charisma.

 

I wasn't against Brie having a bigger role but every major character needed some limelight. There wasn't alot of time to spare.

[thajdikt]

1 minute ago, DisposedData said:

It had a day and date release. I think it's in for a big increase for sure.

Many OS markets were released 1 month before day and date release. Increase is coming but 750M would be insane. It´s losing PFL´s after one week, and after that the schedule is packed. I´m thinking more like 600M