stripe Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 7.1M is solid, but unsurprising. Kind of expected drop (-36%), slightly better than Guardians 2 (37.8%). Possible scenarios: If Thursday drops 10% (same as MOM) - 6.4M If Thursday drops 5% (same as GotG2) - 6.75M Friday increase should be between 110-130%. So 13.5M - 15.5M range. Saturday increase should be between 55-70%. So 21M - 26.3M range. Sunday drop should be between 25-35%. So 13.7M - 19.7M range. Minimum. 48M Maximum. 61.5M Middle ground. 55M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 (edited) Fan movies bring out toxic thoughts if you go against the grain. See my taste in movies over my DnD thoughts just last month:). There is nothing wrong with saying GOTG 3 was gonna open low - it did. And it did take a great movie to even save its open, when folks were $175M+ and over Dr Strange Mom right before presale start. Like we have all those posts. And some of them from early Feb were mine, when I said about equal to MoM DOM. I mean, if looked at that way, $80M (as the farthest range number) was a MUCH closer guess than $175M+ for the open - and $105M was only $14M away...so you know what they say about stones and glass houses... Edited May 11, 2023 by TwoMisfits 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
screambaby Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 1 hour ago, Krissykins said: If GOTG3 actually managed to open to more than its predecessor, I don’t think we’d have as many people playing defence. That’s when people get upset or annoyed. Especially with these kind of films. But the film is doing well. Not as big as some assumed when it was dated and then not as bad as we assumed during tracking. 100 percent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: Fan movies bring out toxic thoughts if you go against the grain. See my taste in movies over my DnD thoughts just last month:). There is nothing wrong with saying GOTG 3 was gonna open low - it did. And it did take a great movie to even save its open, when folks were $175M+ and over Dr Strange Mom right before presale start. Like we have all those posts. And some of them from early Feb were mine, when I said about equal to MoM DOM. I mean, if looked at that way, $80M (as the farthest range number) was a MUCH closer guess than $175M+ for the open - and $105M was only $14M away...so you know what they say about stones and glass houses... Great post! In particular the highlighted parts but the post in general sums it up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpiderByte Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 5 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said: I am told Fast X is better than last three but it does end abruptly Hopefully it's not like Desolation of Smaug where they basically cut the ending of the movie off and stitch it to the beginning of the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ringedmortality Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 This is the best thread I’ve read here in a long time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 1 hour ago, SpiderByte said: Hopefully it's not like Desolation of Smaug where they basically cut the ending of the movie off and stitch it to the beginning of the next one. This was my first thought. Not a smart decision by Peter Jackson. Also Matrix Reloaded ending was so abrupt and unsatisfying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 $7.0M WED 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ringedmortality Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 That good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joyous Legion Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 It’s ERC, so quite possibly rounded a bit. Could be 7.2, could be 6.9 (less likely). Either way it’s a nice hold from Mon (~-20%) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeQ Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 (edited) 10 minutes ago, ringedmortality said: That good? Well, if it follows GOTG Vol. 2 daily pattern from a $7M Wednesday into the weekend, it will make about $60.8M (-48.7%). A very strong drop, if so (would be one of the best drops for a $100M+ opener). But it remains to be seen if it will follow that pattern. Peace, Mike Edited May 11, 2023 by MikeQ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thajdikt Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 Great for Vol 3, happy to see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Austin Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 4 hours ago, THUNDER BIRD said: Call him/her on their bluff. 7 is the pinnacle of this franchise, they aren't going better. I would argue 5 was the peak and 6&7 just built off that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 47 minutes ago, Legions of the Galaxy said: It’s ERC, so quite possibly rounded a bit. Could be 7.2, could be 6.9 (less likely). Either way it’s a nice hold from Mon (~-20%) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheFlatLannister Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 12 hours ago, DisposedData said: Reddit turned on Empire and Jatinder like crazy this week, so I'm not surprised he turned all his attention to them with this lol. Well, r/boxoffice has become very anti-marvel/CBM so encouraging data is seen as “fanboyism” it’s a clown show over there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrPink Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 6.9 would be nice imo 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 All websites using a consensus-research model (based on upvotes/downvotes systems) eventually become clown shows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 Reddit amateurs turning on boxoffice experts cause they didn't like the experts' numbers. How typically Reddit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted May 11, 2023 Share Posted May 11, 2023 15 minutes ago, MrPink said: 6.9 would be nice imo Yes. Though 3.4+3.5 would be better. It’s the best Grande song. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
