Weekend Actuals (Jun 23 - 25) | 19.00M ATSV | 18.44M ELEMENTAL | 15.14M THE FLASH | 15.00M NO HARD FEELINGS

[Flopped]

5 minutes ago, Bob Train said:

Mother! bombed, Passengers bombed, Joy bombed, Red Sparrow bombed, etc. How is Jennifer Lawrence an A-lister?

 

Some people just stay A-listers. 

Julia Roberts will always be A-list. 

 

Kate Winslet will always be A-list. 

 

Not that JLaw was ever in Julia's league of box office power or has a Titanic level film or respect on the level of Kate but still. 

 

I mean Cate Blanchett is kind of box office poison outside of franchises who has never actually carried a hit movie on her own. Still A-list. Nicole Kidman: notorious string of bombs in her career. Forever A-list. 

[XO21]

Passengers was an original sci-fi movie that did 300m worldwide. I haven't seen anyone trying since. No Hard Feelings original raunchy comedy - no comps after the pandemic. 

Edited June 24, 2023 by XO21

[THUNDER BIRD]

So what's flash looking like

[filmlover]

The fact JLaw is powering an R-rated comedy (a particular movie genre that's been in danger of going the way of the dodo for a while) to a $15M or so opening, and a projected $45-50M total, all by herself without any assistance from other actors proves that she is considered as much of a star as anyone can be in 2023. 

[John Marston]

Just now, THUNDER BIRD said:

So what's flash looking like

 

 

biggest bomb of all time

[WorkingonaName]

3 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

So what's flash looking like

Hiroshima

[Issac Newton]

WEEKEND ESTIMATES: TOO EARLY TOP 10

 

1. ELEMENTAL ($18M)

1. SPIDER-MAN ($18M)

3. NO HARD FEELINGS ($15M)

4. THE FLASH ($14.9M)

5. TRANSFORMERS ($11M)

6. THE LITTLE MERMAID ($8.6M)

7. ASTEROID CITY ($8.4M)

8. GotG3 ($3.2M)

9. THE BLACKENING ($3M)

10. THE BOOGEYMAN ($2.6M)

[Eevin]

under 14.4m and it's the biggest CBM drop of all time (-74%)

 

come onnnnnn

[cannastop]

I'm guessing Spider-Verse 2 is going to win it because of the slight edge it has on Elemental on Friday, and because of PLF shows, but it's still too early.

[M37]

10 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

This is now the 4th day in a row with a unique #1 (Flash on Tue, ATSV on Wed, Elemental on Thu, NHF on Fri)

 

Asteroid City +100% tomorrow? 

Three consecutive new #1s happens a fair amount, usually Wed/Thur/Fri, or Thu/Fri/Sat. But last time we had 4 in a row was 1/21-24/2018

• SUN - Jumaji WTJ
• MON - Den of Thieves (by like $600)
• TUE - 12 Strong
• WED - The Post (Oscar nom bump)

[JustLurking]

NHF is one of those films that get impacted more by the strike since they can't really promote them to the same level without night shows, I think the numbers are satisfactory really

 

...but no JLaw is not the biggest star in her age range lol

[Asyulus]

7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

WEEKEND ESTIMATES: TOO EARLY TOP 10

 

1. ELEMENTAL ($18M)

1. SPIDER-MAN ($18M)

3. NO HARD FEELINGS ($15M)

4. THE FLASH ($14.9M)

5. TRANSFORMERS ($11M)

6. THE LITTLE MERMAID ($8.6M)

7. ASTEROID CITY ($8.4M)

8. GotG3 ($3.2M)

9. THE BLACKENING ($3M)

10. THE BOOGEYMAN ($2.6M)

This, through I will swap 6 and 7.

[M37]

14 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

That 71K is without Canada & a lot of US. actual shows be around 80-82K. 

Right, I didn't mean to imply it was the full count ... which of course makes the average even lower

 

::insert Flash run somewhere empty/theater meme::

[M37]

12 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

So what's flash looking like

[ZeeSoh]

53 minutes ago, Flopped said:

How much of a drop is that for Flasher? 

-81.35% from OD. For comparison here are some second Friday drops for selected SH movies with 2nd weekend drops in bracket

 

Morbius - 83.3% (73.8%)

Dark Phoenix - 83% (71.5%)

Ant Man 3 - 82.1% (69.9%)

BvS - 81.6% (69.1%)

The Flash - 81.35%

Doctor Strange: MOM - 81.1% (67%)

Thor Love and Thunder - 80.2% (67.7%)

Suicide Squad - 79.8% (67.4%)

Shazam 2 - 79.7% (69%)

Fant4Stic - 78,2% (68.2%)

 

Flash will likely have a drop in the 70's rather than high 60's as compared to its neighbours above because it will not have as big of a jump on Satuday compared to many others on the list due to it being summer.

 

51 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

What are we thinking, 4.5, 6, 4 for $14.5m (-74%)?

I am thinking 4.5, 5.85, 4.56 for around 14.91m (-73%)

[MotionPictured]

4 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

NHF is one of those films that get impacted more by the strike since they can't really promote them to the same level without night shows, I think the numbers are satisfactory really

 

...but no JLaw is not the biggest star in her age range lol

 

Who is bigger?

 

I think after Creed you can maybe argue Michael B. Jordan. But of the young actresses, none of them can open a movie above $10m.

[Eevin]

does seem like audience reception *really* seems to matter post-covid for CBMs in a way that it rarely did previously. i think some folks forget that for a few years there 2.4-2.7 multiplier was the standard –– but this year we've gotten either 3x+ or sub-2x based largely on reviews

Spiderverse: ~380m off 120.7m ow (3.15x); 96 RT, 86 MC, A CS
GotG Vol. 3: ~360m off 118.4m ow (3.05x); 82 RT, 64 MC, A CS

 

Quantumania: 214.5m off 106.1m ow (2.02x); 46 RT, 48 MC, B CS

Shazam 2: 57.6m off 30.1m ow (1.91x); 49 RT, 47 MC, B+ CS
Flash: ~105m off 55m ow (1.91x); 66 RT, 56 MC, B CS

could also just be a general decline in quality in the genre post-endgame, but the lineup with cinemascore in particular feels more pertinent than ever

[WorkingonaName]

2 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

-81.35% from OD. For comparison here are some second Friday drops for selected SH movies with 2nd weekend drops in bracket

 

Morbius - 83.3% (73.8%)

Dark Phoenix - 83% (71.5%)

Ant Man 3 - 82.1% (69.9%)

BvS - 81.6% (69.1%)

The Flash - 81.35%

Doctor Strange: MOM - 81.1% (67%)

Thor Love and Thunder - 80.2% (67.7%)

Suicide Squad - 79.8% (67.4%)

Shazam 2 - 79.7% (69%)

Fant4Stic - 78,2% (68.2%)

 

Flash will likely have a drop in the 70's rather than high 60's as compared to its neighbours above because it will not have as big of a jump on Satuday compared to many others on the list due to it being summer.

 

I am thinking 4.5, 5.85, 4.56 for around 14.91m (-73%)

Fan4stic suddenly doesn't looks so bad, what a horrible past 2 years for CBMs.

[Valonqar]

9 minutes ago, M37 said:

 

 

@Asyulus called it first. 

[fabiopazzo2]

24 minutes ago, THUNDER BIRD said:

So what's flash looking like

A giant bomb