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Grebacio

Weekdays (June 26 - 30) | Spiderverse 2.78M, Flash 1.66M, Feelings 1.65M

By Grebacio, in Numbers and Data

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ZattMurdock Global Phenomenon

ZattMurdock

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, AniNate said:

I think in the very likely scenario Spiderverse is delayed Panda can just take that movie's spot and both should be fine.

There is absolutely no way that Beyond Spider-Verse doesn’t get delayed. It’s a matter of when they announce it and by how much. We could end up only getting the sequel by 2025 or even later, but I think Sony is hoping that it goes for their recently announced Spider-Man related November 8th 2024 release date, but even that doesn’t look feasible.

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RamblinRed Box Office Gold

RamblinRed

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Posted

Elemental vs SM is going to be fun to watch over the long Holiday. SM losing some PLF's could be the difference.

 

IMO Flash is looking at a 60+% drop with that lost theater count. 

 

Looked at a couple of drive-ins. Flash is pretty much getting wiped out. One drive-in with multiple screens kept Transformers in a double bill with AtSV but dropped Flash - it has Indy with The Boogeyman as the double feature.

 

Another drive in has Indy with GotG3 as the double feature. That drive-in also had Elemental and TLM as a double feature. 

 

 

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IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son Box Office Gold

IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son

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Idk how useful this is since it's obvious Elemental is going to have good legs, it's just we can't tell whether it's gonna be 4x, 5x, 6x or more. However pencilling in a ~$2.5M Thursday gives a $30.5M second week and a -35% drop which is the lowest out of all 36 digital animated movies released in June/July that opened to $10M+ (it's actually 38 but I removed a couple that had weird first weeks that didn't include the OW like Ice Age 3). This, along with the total lack of competition until TMNT makes me think we're in for a pretty leggy run that should have a higher multiplier than every movie on this list.

 

Release Date Film 2nd week drop Multiplier
Jun 16, 2023 Elemental -35% ???
Jun 19, 2015 Inside Out -37% 3.94
Jun 8, 2012 Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted -38% 3.59
Jul 9, 2010 Despicable Me -40% 4.06
Jun 6, 2008 Kung Fu Panda -40% 3.58
Jun 8, 2007 Surf’s Up -40% 3.34
Jul 18, 2014 Planes: Fire and Rescue -41% 3.38
Jun 9, 2006 Cars -42% 3.58
Jun 22, 2012 Brave -42% 3.58
Jul 13, 2018 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation -42% 3.8
Jun 7, 2019 The Secret Life of Pets 2 -42% 3.41
Jun 21, 2013 Monsters University -43% 3.26
Jun 2, 2017 Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie -43% 3.1
Jul 21, 2006 Monster House -43% 3.32
Jun 13, 2014 How to Train Your Dragon 2 -44% 3.58
Jul 22, 2016 Ice Age: Collision Course -44% 3
Jun 17, 2016 Finding Dory -45% 3.6
Jun 29, 2007 Ratatouille -45% 4.39
Jun 18, 2010 Toy Story 3 -46% 3.76
Jul 28, 2017 The Emoji Movie -46% 3.51
Jul 2, 2021 The Boss Baby: Family Business -47% 3.58
Jun 21, 2019 Toy Story 4 -48% 3.59
Jul 8, 2016 The Secret Life of Pets -48% 3.53
Jun 27, 2008 WALL-E -48% 3.55
Jul 29, 2022 DC League of Super Pets -49% 4.07
Jun 16, 2017 Cars 3 -51% 2.85
Jul 27, 2018 Teen Titans Go! To The Movies -51% 2.86
Jul 13, 2012 Ice Age: Continental Drift -52% 3.46
Jun 30, 2017 Despicable Me 3 -53% 3.65
Jun 24, 2011 Cars 2 -53% 2.89
Jun 15, 2018 Incredibles 2 -54% 3.33
Jul 1, 2022 Minions: The Rise of Gru -56% 3.45
Jul 10, 2015 Minions -56% 2.9
Jun 17, 2022 Lightyear -61% 2.34
Jul 27, 2007 The Simpsons Movie -63% 2.47
Jul 11, 2001 Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within -63% 2.82

 

 

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Bobzaruni Indie Sensation

Bobzaruni

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

 

Idk how useful this is since it's obvious Elemental is going to have good legs, it's just we can't tell whether it's gonna be 4x, 5x, 6x or more. However pencilling in a ~$2.5M Thursday gives a $30.5M second week and a -35% drop which is the lowest out of all 36 digital animated movies released in June/July that opened to $10M+ (it's actually 38 but I removed a couple that had weird first weeks that didn't include the OW like Ice Age 3). This, along with the total lack of competition until TMNT makes me think we're in for a pretty leggy run that should have a higher multiplier than every movie on this list.

 

Release Date Film 2nd week drop Multiplier
Jun 16, 2023 Elemental -35% ???
Jun 19, 2015 Inside Out -37% 3.94
Jun 8, 2012 Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted -38% 3.59
Jul 9, 2010 Despicable Me -40% 4.06
Jun 6, 2008 Kung Fu Panda -40% 3.58
Jun 8, 2007 Surf’s Up -40% 3.34
Jul 18, 2014 Planes: Fire and Rescue -41% 3.38
Jun 9, 2006 Cars -42% 3.58
Jun 22, 2012 Brave -42% 3.58
Jul 13, 2018 Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation -42% 3.8
Jun 7, 2019 The Secret Life of Pets 2 -42% 3.41
Jun 21, 2013 Monsters University -43% 3.26
Jun 2, 2017 Captain Underpants: The First Epic Movie -43% 3.1
Jul 21, 2006 Monster House -43% 3.32
Jun 13, 2014 How to Train Your Dragon 2 -44% 3.58
Jul 22, 2016 Ice Age: Collision Course -44% 3
Jun 17, 2016 Finding Dory -45% 3.6
Jun 29, 2007 Ratatouille -45% 4.39
Jun 18, 2010 Toy Story 3 -46% 3.76
Jul 28, 2017 The Emoji Movie -46% 3.51
Jul 2, 2021 The Boss Baby: Family Business -47% 3.58
Jun 21, 2019 Toy Story 4 -48% 3.59
Jul 8, 2016 The Secret Life of Pets -48% 3.53
Jun 27, 2008 WALL-E -48% 3.55
Jul 29, 2022 DC League of Super Pets -49% 4.07
Jun 16, 2017 Cars 3 -51% 2.85
Jul 27, 2018 Teen Titans Go! To The Movies -51% 2.86
Jul 13, 2012 Ice Age: Continental Drift -52% 3.46
Jun 30, 2017 Despicable Me 3 -53% 3.65
Jun 24, 2011 Cars 2 -53% 2.89
Jun 15, 2018 Incredibles 2 -54% 3.33
Jul 1, 2022 Minions: The Rise of Gru -56% 3.45
Jul 10, 2015 Minions -56% 2.9
Jun 17, 2022 Lightyear -61% 2.34
Jul 27, 2007 The Simpsons Movie -63% 2.47
Jul 11, 2001 Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within -63% 2.82

 

 

honestly, if it does that, I can 4x to 5x

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Eric Lasagna Global Phenomenon

Eric Lasagna

Posted
Posted

Heads up as always that the Top 100 Warner Bros. Movies countdown is still accepting submissions. You have until July 4 @ 11:59 PM to submit your final lists to me through DMs. Even if you are unfamiliar with this iconic studio, missing out on a golden opportunity like this, to celebrate one of the greatest movie studios ever, is something you will totally regret. So please try to send something in before the long weekend is over.

 

 

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Valonqar Global Phenomenon

Valonqar

Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

 

 

Time to tinker my derby... I think GOTG3, Flash and (Boogeyman) get bigger drops than expected

 

Last time I checked it was expected to drop 80%. How low it can possibly go? :rofl:

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Grebacio Box Office Gold

Grebacio

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Posted
4 hours ago, Bob Train said:

Elio will be massacred by the competition on it's date. Disney needs to move it to MLK weekend quick. KFP4 should also move to February.

Beyond the Spiderverse will likely get delayed and either Elio or KFP4 will take the spot

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