The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Tinalera]

Equalizer 3

Thurs Aug 31 and fri aug 1

Vancouver and Calgary AB

 

Vancouver	Thurs	3	15	19	2092	2111	0.0090
	Fri	3	10	8	1783	1791	0.0044
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	15	18	2884	2902	0.0062
	Fri	2	15	15	3022	3037	0.0049

[Hilts]

Weekend Box Office Forecast: GRAN TURISMO Aims to Lead the Pack During 2023’s National Cinema Day Frame - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com)

 

Film	Studio	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, August 27	Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Gran Turismo	Sony Pictures	$17,400,000	$17,400,000	~3,800	NEW
Barbie	Warner Bros. Pictures	$15,800,000	$593,700,000	~3,900	-25%
Blue Beetle	Warner Bros. Pictures	$12,400,000	$46,700,000	~3,871	-50%
Oppenheimer	Universal Pictures	$8,000,000	$299,200,000	~3,200	-25%
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem	Paramount Pictures	$7,500,000	$99,800,000	~3,300	-12%
Strays	Universal Pictures	$4,800,000	$16,300,000	~3,223	-42%
Meg 2: The Trench	Warner Bros. Pictures	$4,400,000	$73,600,000	~3,000	-35%
Haunted Mansion	Walt Disney Pictures	$2,600,000	$62,800,000	~1,800	-14%
Talk to Me	A24	$2,300,000	$41,500,000	~1,500	-27%
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One	Paramount Pictures	$2,100,000	$168,100,000	~1,800	-23%

 

It looks like some substantial Sunday increases projected here, and MI7 gaining back some theatres (any IMAX?)... let's see how it all plays out.

 

Variety even lower than Deadline for GT - Box Office: Gran Turismo to Open Soft Against Blue Beetle, Barbie - Variety

 

Quote

Sony’s racing drama “Gran Turismo” is driving to a sluggish $10 million to $12 million in its first weekend of release.

 

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Gran Turismo (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 19 theaters	91	38	128	15239	0.85

 

Comps:

0.36x Blue Beetle- $1.18 Million

0.46x Haunted Mansion (Just Thursday)- $1.41 Million

 

Bunch of new shows and a few new theaters, and great jumps today versus both comps. Let's hope it keeps up the momentum

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

Gran Turismo (T-1):

Day: T-1	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 19 theaters	92	15	143	14920	0.95

*One IMAX showing in a theater displayed as sold out when it is for sure not, so I might be missing a few seats

 

Growth Rate (%):
1-Day:	11.72
3-Day:	95.89

 

Comps (1-day and 3-day growth rates in parentheses):

0.31x Blue Beetle- $1.02 Million (28%, 95%)

0.34x Haunted Mansion (Just Thursday)- $1.07 Million (47%, 115%)

 

Even despite the asterisk, this is a dreadful update. Other updates don't seem as bad, so I'll attribute this down to regional weirdness. No T-1 hour update tomorrow from me sadly, teachers are back in schools

[ThatWaluigiDude]

36 minutes ago, Hilts said:

Weekend Box Office Forecast: GRAN TURISMO Aims to Lead the Pack During 2023’s National Cinema Day Frame - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com)

 

Film	Studio	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, August 27	Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
Gran Turismo	Sony Pictures	$17,400,000	$17,400,000	~3,800	NEW
Barbie	Warner Bros. Pictures	$15,800,000	$593,700,000	~3,900	-25%
Blue Beetle	Warner Bros. Pictures	$12,400,000	$46,700,000	~3,871	-50%
Oppenheimer	Universal Pictures	$8,000,000	$299,200,000	~3,200	-25%
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem	Paramount Pictures	$7,500,000	$99,800,000	~3,300	-12%
Strays	Universal Pictures	$4,800,000	$16,300,000	~3,223	-42%
Meg 2: The Trench	Warner Bros. Pictures	$4,400,000	$73,600,000	~3,000	-35%
Haunted Mansion	Walt Disney Pictures	$2,600,000	$62,800,000	~1,800	-14%
Talk to Me	A24	$2,300,000	$41,500,000	~1,500	-27%
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One	Paramount Pictures	$2,100,000	$168,100,000	~1,800	-23%

 

It looks like some substantial Sunday increases projected here, and MI7 gaining back some theatres (any IMAX?)... let's see how it all plays out.

 

Variety even lower than Deadline for GT - Box Office: Gran Turismo to Open Soft Against Blue Beetle, Barbie - Variety

 

 

Variety looks so pessimistic...for everyone not just GT. Wonder why they expect so little for the Cinema Day?

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-16

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
126	61	22395	0.27%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-16

 

(0.295x) of Strays

~$243k THUR Previews

 

(0.163x) of TMNT

~$626k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $434k

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-15

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
126	105	22395	0.47%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

44

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-15

 

(0.488x) of Strays

~$402k THUR Previews

 

(0.275x) of TMNT

~$1.06M THUR Previews

 

(0.205x) of Blue Beetle

~$678k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $713k

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	381	30629	1.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

32

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-9

 

(0.315x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.20M THUR Previews

 

(0.238x) of Fast X

~$1.78M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.99M

 

Another good day. Increased against both comps. 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-8

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	400	30629	1.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

19

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-8

 

(0.318x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.22M THUR Previews

 

(0.235x) of Fast X

~$1.76M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.99M

 

No increase in comps today 

[Bob Train]

 

Exp4ndables erasure smh

Edited August 23, 2023 by Bob Train

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

Gran Turismo 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-2

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
173	519	31596	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

50

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-2

 

(0.208x) of Fast X

~$1.56M THUR Previews

 

(0.246x) of Mi7 (only TUES)

~$1.72M THUR Previews

 

(0.424x) of Blue Beetle

~$1.40M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.56M

 

Sticking with $1.5M previews for now. Overall, meh growth today. 

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

Gran Turismo 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-1

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	594	31768	1.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

75

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

1

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-1

(0.200x) of Fast X

~$1.50M THUR Previews

 

(0.259x) of Mi7 (only TUES)

~$1.81M THUR Previews

 

(0.391x) of Blue Beetle

~$1.29M THUR Previews

 

(0.891x) of Meg 2

~$2.85M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.87M

 

Comps pointing to $1.8M Thursdays previews + whatever it made during EA. Going with $1.5M-$2M for now. 

 

Edited August 23, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[misterpepp]

The Good Mother tickets on sale tomorrow. Should be getting at least a few hundred locations, I think?

[vafrow]

On 8/23/2023 at 7:19 AM, vafrow said:

 

Gran Turismo, southern Ontario, Thursday previews, T-2

 

Total sales: 447

New sales: 109

Growth from yesterday: 32%

Theatre Count: 50

Showtimes: 177

Ticket per showtime: 2.53

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

 

Regional comps

0.594x of Blue Beetle for $2.0M

 

Local comps regionally adjusted

 

0.1201x Fast X for $0.9M

0.291x T:ROTB for $2.6M

I transposed the local compa incorrectly yesterday, so they were on the wrong line.

 

Another good day with things trending up. I'd say $2.0-$2.5M for true Thursday.

 

Gran Turismo, southern Ontario, Thursday previews, T-1

 

Total sales: 705

New sales: 258

Growth from yesterday: 58%

Theatre Count: 50

Showtimes: 177

Ticket per showtime: 3.98

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

 

Regional comps

0.607x of Blue Beetle for $2.0M

 

Local comps regionally adjusted

 

0.157x Fast X for $1.2M

0.362x T:ROTB for $3.2M

 

It stayed pace with Blue Beetles good final day regionally, which is a good sigh. Still showing $2.0M , and, I think it stays in +/- $0.2M range for true Thursday.

 

Edited August 24, 2023 by vafrow

[vafrow]

22 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-9, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  117

New Sales: 19

Growth from yesterday: 19%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 0.718

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.619x Blue Beetle for $2.0M

 

Good steady growth, but, also growing at this stage versus a CBM should be the expectation. Still, if it can continue to improve, it feels like $2.5M is a reasonable target here.

 

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-8, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  150

New Sales: 33

Growth from yesterday: 28%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 0.920

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.679x Blue Beetle for $2.2M

 

Continues to be steady. With how it's improving steadily, I think $2.5M-$3.0M is the target range.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Golda	T-1	Jax	3	9	29	29	435	6.67%
		Phx	1	3	5	5	123	4.07%
		Ral	4	12	13	13	930	1.40%
	Total		8	24	47	47	1,488	3.16%
Golda (EA)	T-0	Jax	2	4	2	106	366	28.96%
		Phx	2	4	2	35	364	9.62%
		Ral	4	6	6	52	531	9.79%
	Total		8	14	10	193	1,261	15.31%
Gran Turismo	T-1	Jax	5	54	8	79	8,586	0.92%
		Phx	6	45	14	85	8,230	1.03%
		Ral	8	32	22	96	4,487	2.14%
	Total		19	131	44	260	21,303	1.22%
Jurassic 3D	T-1	Jax	4	11	5	24	797	3.01%
		Phx	4	9	6	31	1,154	2.69%
	Total		9	21	11	55	1,951	2.82%
Retribution	T-1	Jax	5	10	8	10	704	1.42%
		Phx	4	9	1	5	746	0.67%
		Ral	7	14	5	12	1,072	1.12%
	Total		16	33	14	27	2,522	1.07%
The Hill	T-1	Jax	4	8	0	11	508	2.17%
		Phx	3	7	0	2	495	0.40%
		Ral	5	10	0	7	770	0.91%
	Total		12	25	0	20	1,773	1.13%

 

GT T-1 comps

 - F9 - .119x (846k)

 - MI:7 - .171x (1.09m)

 - Haunted Mansion - .348x (1.01m)

 - Turtles - .354x (1.36m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .563x (1.52m)

 - Lost City - .538x (1.35m)

 - Free Guy - .644x (1.42m)

 - Meg 2 - .568x (1.82m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 1.78m

 

GT pace chart:

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Gran Turismo	111.38%	68.29%	61.54%	20.37%
F9: The Fast Saga	75.75%	22.24%	16.27%	26.07%
M:I 7	58.27%	31.32%	20.00%	20.81%
Haunted Mansion	78.52%	32.46%	19.79%	20.65%
Turtles	58.06%	33.76%	22.73%	25.00%
Jungle Cruise	126.47%	24.02%	31.61%	40.85%
Lost City	101.25%	16.67%	20.00%	38.40%
Free Guy	45.32%	42.45%		15.10%
Meg 2	143.62%	62.23%		53.18%

 

Looking for around +42% tomorrow to keep in line with the ~1.4m avg.

 

Golda (Tot) T-1 comps

 - Respect (Tot) - .566x (368k)

 - Downton (Tot) - .206x (370k)

These two comps were really EA heavy as well so this is a likely outcome.

 - House of Gucci - .661x (860k)

 

The Hill T-1 comps

 - The Outfit - .769x

 - 12 Mighty Orphans - .571x

 - She Said - .667x (107k)

 - Stillwater - .426x (119k)

 

Retribution T-1 comps

 - Blacklight - .771x (174k)

 - Copshop - missed

 - Memory - .9x

 - The Protege - .482x

 

Jurassic Park T-1 comps

 - Titanic - .261x

 - Return of the King - missed

 - ET - .902x

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Golda	T-0	Jax	3	9	4	33	435	7.59%
		Phx	2	5	5	10	275	3.64%
		Ral	4	12	9	22	930	2.37%
	Total		9	26	18	65	1,640	3.96%
Gran Turismo	T-0	Jax	5	54	16	95	8,586	1.11%
		Phx	6	45	15	100	8,230	1.22%
		Ral	8	30	21	117	4,305	2.72%
	Total		19	129	52	312	21,121	1.48%
Jurassic 3D	T-0	Jax	5	14	9	33	1,133	2.91%
		Phx	4	9	-1	30	1,154	2.60%
	Total		10	24	8	63	2,287	2.75%
Retribution	T-0	Jax	5	10	5	15	704	2.13%
		Phx	5	11	4	9	838	1.07%
		Ral	7	14	8	20	1,072	1.87%
	Total		17	35	17	44	2,614	1.68%
The Hill	T-0	Jax	4	8	0	11	508	2.17%
		Phx	3	7	0	2	495	0.40%
		Ral	5	10	5	12	770	1.56%
	Total		12	25	5	25	1,773	1.41%

 

GT T-0 comps

 - F9 - .102x (725k)

 - MI:7 - .138x (882k)

 - Haunted Mansion - .312x (904k)

 - Turtles - .274x (1.06m)

 - Jungle Cruise - .457x (1.24m)

 - Lost City - .455x (1.14m)

 - Free Guy - .545x (1.2m)

 - Meg 2 - .463x (1.48m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 1.55m

Growth model forecast - 927k

 

GT pace chart:

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Gran Turismo	95.00%	35.00%	81.73%	20.00%
F9: The Fast Saga	111.12%	28.04%	17.08%	40.17%
M:I 7	103.41%	34.50%	23.32%	48.85%
Haunted Mansion	101.41%	33.00%	22.22%	33.82%
Turtles	111.73%	34.45%	25.57%	54.69%
Jungle Cruise	185.36%	28.03%	29.07%	47.62%
Lost City	151.28%	25.64%	12.81%	42.03%
Free Guy	87.87%	33.44%	51.23%	41.83%
Meg 2	202.24%	52.91%		47.16%

 

Very bad day.  There's really no good reason to pay full price for this movie when you can get the discount on Sunday.   I'm thinking under 1m but rounded up so it doesn't look awful.  Or they could just report 4m and not mention the EA... that will grab the headlines...

 

Golda (Thu) T-0 comps

 - Respect (Thu) - .433x (Only have combined preview $)

 - Downton (Thu) - .109x (114k)

These two comps were really EA heavy as well so this is a likely outcome.

 - House of Gucci - .143x (186k)

 - Fabelmans - .823x (328k)

 - Spencer - .903x

 - Mrs. Harris - 1.102x

 

Growth model forecast - 233k (excluding Wednesday)

 

The Hill T-0 comps

 - The Outfit - .735x

 - 12 Mighty Orphans - .521x

 - She Said - .641x (103k)

 - Stillwater - .373x (104k)

 

Retribution T-0 comps

 - Blacklight - .815x (183k)

 - Copshop - 1.375x (172k)

 - Memory - 1.222x

 - The Protege - .629x

 

Actually had a good day respectively.  Growth model has 211k

 

Jurassic Park T-0 comps

 - Titanic - .25x

 - Return of the King - .048x (56k)

 - ET - .851x

Edited August 24, 2023 by katnisscinnaplex

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-8	Jax	5	46	13	71	8,308	0.85%
		Phx	6	32	12	58	6,700	0.87%
		Ral	7	37	16	66	5,967	1.11%
	Total		18	115	41	195	20,975	0.93%

 

Equalizer 3 T-8 comps 

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Matrix 4 - .136x (864k)

 - F9 - .217x (1.54m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .617x (2.84m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.88x (2.72m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - 1.03x (3.08m)

 - Creed III - .499x (2.72m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 2.84m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-7	Jax	5	46	12	83	8,308	1.00%
		Phx	6	32	11	69	6,700	1.03%
		Ral	7	37	3	69	5,967	1.16%
	Total		18	115	26	221	20,975	1.05%

 

Equalizer 3 T-7 comps 

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Matrix 4 - .14x (894k)

 - F9 - .229x (1.63m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .619x (2.85m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.07x (2.99m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - 1.02x (3.07m)

 - Creed III - .514x (2.8m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 2.89m

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding 3	T-14	Jax	5	13	10	10	1,351	0.74%
		Phx	6	16	14	14	1,490	0.94%
		Ral	5	13	8	8	1,527	0.52%
	Total		16	42	32	32	4,368	0.73%

 

Greek Wedding T-14 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .889x (889k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .525x (666k)

 - Joy Ride (Total) - .696x (765k)

 - Strays (Total) - .64x (704k)

 - Barbie (Total) - .018x (410k)

[el sid]

Retribution had yesterday 49 sold tickets for Thursday, now in 5 theaters.
Comps (both films counted on Wednesday for Thursday): Copshop had 34 sold tickets in 7 theaters
and Operation Fortune (3.1M OW) had 96 sold tickets.
I don't have a Wednesday Blacklight comp for Thursday.

And for Friday Retribution had yesterday 70 sold tickets, also now in 5 theaters.
A very poor jump (on Tuesday it were 61 sold tickets).
Comps (all three films counted on Wednesday for Friday): Copshop (2.3M OW) had 26 sold tickets in 7 theaters,
The Protégé (2.9M OW) had 83 sold tickets
and Operation Fortune (3.1M OW) had 98 sold tickets.
Blacklight (3.5M OW) finally had (on Thursday of the release week for Friday) 37 sold tickets in 6 theaters.

I still hope for ca. 5M OW but I was surprised how small the jump (presales for Friday) was.

[abracadabra1998]

51 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Very bad day.  There's really no good reason to pay full price for this movie when you can get the discount on Sunday.   I'm thinking under 1m but rounded up so it doesn't look awful.  Or they could just report 4m and not mention the EA... that will grab the headlines...

Good to know my update wasn’t just bad at MSP, I was tripping over it but I think your analysis is right, National Cinema Day is grabbing all the business

[el sid]

Gran Turismo counted yesterday for Thursday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 112 (3 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 100 (10 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (3 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 0 (3 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 11 (6 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 89 (6 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 75 (6 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 393.

Comps (all three films counted on Wednesday of the release week for Thursday): Ford v Ferrari (2.1M from previews) had 649 sold tickets,
BT (4.6M) had 1.238 sold tickets
and Champions (? from previews) had 29 sold tickets.

Gran Turismo will probably not have the same walk-ups as Ford v Ferrari or BT so my guess at the moment would be 1M-1.5M.
 

Gran Turismo counted yesterday for Friday:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 64 (5 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 40 (9 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 6 (7 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 5 (5 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 8 (4 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 51 (8 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 30 (8 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 204. No good Thursday-Friday ratio, looks pretty frontloaded.

Comps (all films counted on Wednesday of the release week for Friday): Uncharted (44M OW) had 982 sold tickets,
BT (30M) had 1.000 sold tickets,
Champions (5.1M OW) had 77 sold tickets,
and Ford v Ferrari (31.5M) had 914 sold tickets.
 

The presales for Thursday are quite ok but the Friday presales are worrisome. Under 20M for sure, at least at the moment. Let's see which jump it has today.

Edited August 24, 2023 by el sid

[M37]

Quote

Just wanted to give a heads up that Barbenheimer will be my last active track for a little while - going out with a bang at least! Have some things going in my personal life (nothing bad!), just need to put extra attention elsewhere. Will (probably) still be around this thread and BOT generally, but setting the spreadsheets and charts aside for the time being, only back of the napkin analysis

Well ... not quite complete, but the difficult part is in the rear view mirror. The fam may or may not be some new potential data points in one of y'all's tracking samples 🙃.

Still likely not going to be around all that much for a little while in finishing the transition

 

44 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Very bad day.  There's really no good reason to pay full price for this movie when you can get the discount on Sunday.

Agree on rationale, but also in some spot checking, Sunday/NCD sales for Gran Turismo aren't all the great either, in relation to some of the older films in same theaters/markets. Between the numerous EA shows and now NCD, demand might just be hitting a bit of a wall, spreading out rather than increasing overall

 

Overall though, NCD shaping up to fairly strong again, despite the price increase. The shift to Sunday will reduce potential, unlikely to match the ~7.5M holiday Saturday admit level of the first installment, but with theaters now adjusting to expected volume with longer operating hours and better seat allocation (hopefully), thinking a 6M+ admit / $25M grossing day is on the table. Also expecting most films to increase Sat to Sun, as demand gets pulled from Fri/Sat (& Thur) into Sunday

[filmlover]

Early Access showings for A Haunting in Venice on 9/13.

 

A Haunting in Venice Early Access Screening at an AMC Theatre near you. (amctheatres.com)

[vafrow]

51 minutes ago, M37 said:

Well ... not quite complete, but the difficult part is in the rear view mirror. The fam may or may not be some new potential data points in one of y'all's tracking samples 🙃.

Still likely not going to be around all that much for a little while in finishing the transition

 

Agree on rationale, but also in some spot checking, Sunday/NCD sales for Gran Turismo aren't all the great either, in relation to some of the older films in same theaters/markets. Between the numerous EA shows and now NCD, demand might just be hitting a bit of a wall, spreading out rather than increasing overall

 

Overall though, NCD shaping up to fairly strong again, despite the price increase. The shift to Sunday will reduce potential, unlikely to match the ~7.5M holiday Saturday admit level of the first installment, but with theaters now adjusting to expected volume with longer operating hours and better seat allocation (hopefully), thinking a 6M+ admit / $25M grossing day is on the table. Also expecting most films to increase Sat to Sun, as demand gets pulled from Fri/Sat (& Thur) into Sunday

 Happy to see you back. Trying to decipher your comment, but not quite sure, but just hope you and the fam doing well.

 

As for NCD, what I'm seeing today is that for GT, demand for NCD is very heavily weighted towards premium screening. It has the Dbox screens, and those are almost all sold out, but regular seats haven't moved much at all

 Right now, early movers are just looking to get the Dbox experience on the cheap. Take out Dbox, and GT is selling much worse than almost everything else (even at$4, no one wants to see Strays it seems).

 

Funnily enough, Barbie, despite now finally being in two dedicated screens at my local, isn't selling that great.

 

Kids films are doing well, as you'd expect. There's only one showing of MI7, which is almost sold out.