The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Porthos]

48 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

  

 

So close, yet so far

 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/24/2023 at 6:49 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	131	22768	0.58%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-14

 

(0.577x) of Strays

~$476k THUR Previews

 

(0.322x) of TMNT

~$1.24M THUR Previews

 

(0.248x) of Blue Beetle

~$819k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $845k

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	143	22768	0.63%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

13

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-13

 

(0.466x) of Strays

~$384k THUR Previews

 

(1.051x) of Ruby Gilman

~$762k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $573k

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/24/2023 at 6:44 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	411	30629	1.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

11

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-7

 

(0.268x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$1.88M THUR Previews

 

(0.231x) of Fast X

~$1.74M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.81M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	461	30629	1.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

50

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-6

 

(0.288x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.02M THUR Previews

 

(0.252x) of Fast X

~$1.89M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.96M

 

Yeah, I would say this is going over $2M previews.

[TheFlatLannister]

Unofficial Friday numbers (From Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville sample)

 

Gran Turismo 70% increase from Thursday ~2.5M true FRI

Edited August 25, 2023 by TheFlatLannister

[charlie Jatinder]

5 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Cinema Day US Showtimes Sample

 

Barbie: 16,991 (3,170 TC)

Gran Turismo: 16,263 (3,211 TC)

Blue Beetle: 15,130 (3,290 TC)

Strays: 13,110 (2,859 TC)

Ninja Turtles: 12,057 (2,731 TC)

Oppenheimer: 9,105 (2,499 TC)

Meg 2: 8,343 (2,413 TC)

Retribution: 8,305 (1,707 TC)

The Hill: 6,106 (1,508 TC)

Haunted Mansion: 3,737 (1,409 TC)

Golda: 3,589 (800 TC)

Sound of Freedom: 3,249 (1,301 TC)

The Little Mermaid: 3,038 (1,444 TC)

Super Mario: 3,004 (1,343 TC)

Talk to Me: 2,982 (1,157 TC)

Mission: Impossible: 2,797 (1,466 TC)

Jurassic Park 3D: 2,659 (1,159 TC)

The Last Voyage: 1,758 (1,198 TC)

American Graffiti: 1,109 (705 TC)

 

*Not all theaters are accounted for

so the top 3 will have 20k shows each. Given 50% occupancy, they can hit $7M perhaps.

[vafrow]

On 8/25/2023 at 7:03 AM, vafrow said:

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-7, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  179

New Sales: 29

Growth from yesterday: 19%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 1.098

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.565x Blue Beetle for $1.9M

1.356x Gran Turismo* for $1.7M

 

*I'm using Jats estimate from twitter this morning of $1.25M for GT.

 

It fell against BB, which had a big jump during this period.

 

I still feel that this should have a strong finish that keeps it above $2M, but we'll see how things go.

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-6, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  228

New Sales: 49

Growth from yesterday: 27%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 1.399

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.669x Blue Beetle for $2.2M

1.562x Gran Turismo for $2.2M

 

Good bounceback from yesterday. Part of the jump on GT is updating the Thursday preview number, but, still, 29% daily growth this far out is impressive.

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-6	Jax	5	46	15	98	8,308	1.18%
		Phx	6	32	6	75	6,700	1.12%
		Ral	7	37	10	79	5,967	1.32%
	Total		18	115	31	252	20,975	1.20%

 

Equalizer 3 T-6 comps 

 - John Wick 4 - missed

 - Matrix 4 - .149x (951k)

 - F9 - .242x (1.72m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .585x (2.69m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 1.97x (2.85m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - 1.06x (3.19m)

 - Creed III - .505x (2.75m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 2.86m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-5	Jax	5	46	12	110	8,308	1.32%
		Phx	6	32	7	82	6,700	1.22%
		Ral	8	43	9	88	6,981	1.26%
	Total		19	121	28	280	21,989	1.27%

 

Equalizer 3 T-5 comps 

 - Matrix 4 - missed

 - F9 - .246x (1.74m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .594x (2.73m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.01x (2.92m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - 1.07x (3.21m)

 - Creed III - .496x (2.7m)

 - Gran Turismo (Thu) - 2.39x (3.35m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 2.82m

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 8/24/2023 at 8:28 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding 3	T-14	Jax	5	13	10	10	1,351	0.74%
		Phx	6	16	14	14	1,490	0.94%
		Ral	5	13	8	8	1,527	0.52%
	Total		16	42	32	32	4,368	0.73%

 

Greek Wedding T-14 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .889x (889k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - .525x (666k)

 - Joy Ride (Total) - .696x (765k)

 - Strays (Total) - .64x (704k)

 - Barbie (Total) - .018x (410k)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Greek Wedding	T-12	Jax	5	13	5	15	1,351	1.11%
		Phx	6	16	0	16	1,490	1.07%
		Ral	6	15	0	10	1,673	0.60%
	Total		17	44	5	41	4,514	0.91%

 

Greek Wedding T-12 comps

 - Magic Mike 3 - .621x (621k)

 - 80 for Brady (Total) - missed

 - Joy Ride (Total) - .837x (920k)

 - Strays (Total) - .683x (752k)

 - Barbie (Total) - .02x (438k)

[Boxofficerules]

You think the marketing for A Haunting In Venice may hurt it? It's being marketed at a horror movie when it probably really isn't.

[CJohn]

4 hours ago, Boxofficerules said:

You think the marketing for A Haunting In Venice may hurt it? It's being marketed at a horror movie when it probably really isn't.

They are going to corn themselves into a place where the movie doesn't have an audience. Adults won't go to a horror movie and teens won't care about it either because it is not really a horror movie.

[Eric Quinn]

33 minutes ago, CJohn said:

They are going to corn themselves into a place where the movie doesn't have an audience. Adults won't go to a horror movie and teens won't care about it either because it is not really a horror movie.

I'm just baffled it even exists. What was the goal in greenlighting a third movie in a series most people don't even really like? Especially when the last film didn't even do all that well anywhere, said last film was set to be on a big decline even in a best case scenario and it's a horror movie (or is it?) that has little to do tonally with the other two movies? Was Disney/Fox really just assuming Michelle Yeoh's eventual Oscar win was going to bring people in? Did they hope this would get Kenneth Branagh to sign onto a Hulu show or something? I genuinely don't understand the goal here.

[ringedmortality]

You will all rue the day you doubted Branagh

[Eric Quinn]

3 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

You will all rue the day you doubted Branagh

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/25/2023 at 6:55 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-13

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	143	22768	0.63%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

13

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-13

 

(0.466x) of Strays

~$384k THUR Previews

 

(1.051x) of Ruby Gilman

~$762k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $573k

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING 3  

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-12

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
128	152	22768	0.67%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-12

 

(0.438x) of Strays

~$361k THUR Previews

 

(1.041x) of Ruby Gilman

~$754k THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $557k

[TheFlatLannister]

On 8/25/2023 at 7:09 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	461	30629	1.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

50

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-6

 

(0.288x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.02M THUR Previews

 

(0.252x) of Fast X

~$1.89M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.96M

 

Yeah, I would say this is going over $2M previews.

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville greater region 

 

THE EQUALIZER 3

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
174	497	30629	1.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

36

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-5

 

(0.292x) of Mi7 (TUES ONLY)

~$2.04M THUR Previews

 

(0.258x) of Fast X

~$1.94M THUR Previews

 

Comps AVG: $1.99M

[Mojoguy]

Any sellout reports for tomorrow for Cinema Day?

[filmlover]

4 hours ago, Eric the Car said:

I'm just baffled it even exists. What was the goal in greenlighting a third movie in a series most people don't even really like? Especially when the last film didn't even do all that well anywhere, said last film was set to be on a big decline even in a best case scenario and it's a horror movie (or is it?) that has little to do tonally with the other two movies? Was Disney/Fox really just assuming Michelle Yeoh's eventual Oscar win was going to bring people in? Did they hope this would get Kenneth Branagh to sign onto a Hulu show or something? I genuinely don't understand the goal here.

Nile finally arrived while COVID was still a very active presence and did pretty well in theaters considering such (it was actually the third biggest adult drama of 2022 behind Elvis and Where the Crawdads Sing), and did pretty well on streaming. It's not entirely a surprise they found a way to justify finishing a trilogy, in this day and age the numbers need to approach truly embarrassing levels for a franchise to be scrapped.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

7 hours ago, Eric the Car said:

I'm just baffled it even exists. What was the goal in greenlighting a third movie in a series most people don't even really like? Especially when the last film didn't even do all that well anywhere, said last film was set to be on a big decline even in a best case scenario and it's a horror movie (or is it?) that has little to do tonally with the other two movies? Was Disney/Fox really just assuming Michelle Yeoh's eventual Oscar win was going to bring people in? Did they hope this would get Kenneth Branagh to sign onto a Hulu show or something? I genuinely don't understand the goal here.

My guess is wanting to sustain a working relationship with talent like Branagh was the reason why it was greenlit. They might be giving him what they want so that he'll be motivated to helm a big Disney blockbuster in the near future, as I imagine Artemis Fowl soured him on the studio. The reason why it's getting a theatrical release instead of being dumped on Hulu like 95% of Fox's slate after the merger is most likely because of the streaming bubble popping last year. With those losing priority, they figured that if they had to make the movie they might as well get some revenue for it instead of it being lost in the sea of competing digital content.

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-6, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  228

New Sales: 49

Growth from yesterday: 27%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 1.399

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.669x Blue Beetle for $2.2M

1.562x Gran Turismo for $2.2M

 

Good bounceback from yesterday. Part of the jump on GT is updating the Thursday preview number, but, still, 29% daily growth this far out is impressive.

 

Equalizer 3, Thursday previews T-5, southern Ontario

 

Total sales:  285

New Sales: 57

Growth from yesterday: 25%

Theatre Count:  51

Showtimes:  163

Tickets per showtime: 1.748

Coverage Radius: 143km

Estimated population coverage: 8-10M

Theatres Tracked: MTC4

Regional comp

0.675x Blue Beetle for $2.2M

1.629x Gran Turismo for $2.3M

 

Another solid day. Slight growth against both comps.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 8/26/2023 at 7:50 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-5	Jax	5	46	12	110	8,308	1.32%
		Phx	6	32	7	82	6,700	1.22%
		Ral	8	43	9	88	6,981	1.26%
	Total		19	121	28	280	21,989	1.27%

 

Equalizer 3 T-5 comps 

 - Matrix 4 - missed

 - F9 - .246x (1.74m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .594x (2.73m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.01x (2.92m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - 1.07x (3.21m)

 - Creed III - .496x (2.7m)

 - Gran Turismo (Thu) - 2.39x (3.35m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 2.82m

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Equalizer 3	T-4	Jax	5	46	18	128	8,308	1.54%
		Phx	6	32	4	86	6,700	1.28%
		Ral	8	43	19	107	6,981	1.53%
	Total		19	121	41	321	21,989	1.46%

 

Equalizer 3 T-4 comps 

 - Matrix 4 - missed

 - F9 - .259x (1.84m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .611x (2.81m)

 - Knock at the Cabin - 2.21x (3.21m)

 - Black Phone (Total) - missed

 - Creed III - missed

 - Gran Turismo (Thu) - 2.61x (3.65m)

 

Size adjusted avg - 2.81m

 

Biggest jump of all the comps.  I'm guessing the next couple of days will be big for this and Greek Wedding, with so many new trailer views during NCD