The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[AniNate]

Yeah it's been looking pretty impressive for a bit. Sony might've underestimated demand making it a one screening only thing.

 

That Alien rerelease in two weeks looks to be selling pretty well too

[filmlover]

I imagine Sony will add additional days if this ends up really successful. FWIW sales for the other two Maguire movies the next two weeks are also looking pretty strong as well (3 being impressive considering it's admittedly always been less beloved than the first two). They might as well had made these full-blown releases instead of one day things, or at least given one full week to each.

[filmlover]

Also I notice a bunch of theaters tomorrow will be showing Interview with the Vampire (not entirely random given this year is its 30th anniversary). Kirsten Dunst at all stages of her life across movie screens this week lol go her.

[AniNate]

13 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I imagine Sony will add additional days if this ends up really successful. FWIW sales for the other two Maguire movies the next two weeks are also looking pretty strong as well (3 being impressive considering it's admittedly always been less beloved than the first two). They might as well had made these full-blown releases instead of one day things, or at least given one full week to each.

 

I do suspect the Garfield movies won't have nearly as much demand, lol

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, AniNate said:

 

I do suspect the Garfield movies won't have nearly as much demand, lol

Those have actually sold a fairly decent amount of seats so far too and they're three/four weeks away. The generation that's been growing up on the Holland films in theaters that weren't around (or were barely alive) when the Maguire movies were originally released were probably also too young to see the Garfield movies on the big screen when they were brand new movies as well (the second will be a decade old in a few weeks). 

Edited April 15 by filmlover

[katnisscinnaplex]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Don't know if anyone else has been tracking it but Spider-Man '02 tonight is selling like crazy from what I'm seeing, to the point where theaters have been adding additional shows. Hopefully Sony reports the numbers for these re-releases because it should hit at least $1M today.

 

I've been keeping an eye on showtimes.  It's currently sitting at ~930 shows for today.  I hadn't really looked at tracking it since comps would be weird for something like this.  Here's where things stand in my regions.

 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Spider-Man 2002 (Re)	T-0	Jax	1	3	177	177	257	68.87%
		Phx	1	1	31	31	49	63.27%
		Ral	1	4	137	137	200	68.50%
	Total		3	8	345	345	506	68.18%

 

Comp Buckets

All CBM movies - 1.01m

All action movies - 1.36m

All PG-13 movies - 1.41m

All EA shows - 1.1m

All movies - 1.52m

 

All said, I think 1m - 1.25m would be a good target

[VanillaSkies]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

I imagine Sony will add additional days if this ends up really successful. FWIW sales for the other two Maguire movies the next two weeks are also looking pretty strong as well (3 being impressive considering it's admittedly always been less beloved than the first two). They might as well had made these full-blown releases instead of one day things, or at least given one full week to each.

They already have. 
Looking at AMC’s in NY, it has showings listed Mon-Thu this week at most the major theatres there. 

[Eric the Minion]

Quorum Updates

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes T-25: 62.22% Awareness

Deadpool & Wolverine T-102: 46.14%

Trap T-109: 12.3%

Joker: Folie a Deux T-172: 46.61%

Terrifier 3 T-193: 22.8%

 

Abigail T-4: 35% Awareness

Final Awareness: 39% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M

Horror Awareness: 87% chance of 10M, 62% chance of 20M

 

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare T-4: 21.39% Awareness

Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

 

Challengers T-11: 26.47% Awareness

Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

 

Unsung Hero T-11: 15.54% Awareness

Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

 

IF T-32: 41.71% Awareness

T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 96% chance of 20M, 87% chance of 30M, 61% chance of 40M, 39% chance of 50M, 35% chance of 60M

Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 100M

[el sid]

Ungentlemanly Warfare, counted today for Thursday had 129 sold tickets (in 6 theaters, the small AMC in Texas is missing).

 

Comps: Operation Fortune (220k from previews) had on Wednesday for Thursday = 2 days left for TMoUW to increase the margin) 96 sold tickets.

1917 (3.25M) finally (= on Thursday for Thursday, 3 days left for TMoUW to come closer) had 879 sold tickets.

Midway (925k) also finally had 300 sold tickets for Thursday. I doubt that TMoUW will reach that number but it should have over 200 sold tickets which would mean ca. ~ 600-700k from previews.

And Amsterdam (550k) had on Monday of the release week for Thursday 184 sold tickets = 400k.

Very rough average: 500k+ (as always without EA).

[kayumanggi]

 

[Tinalera]

The Fall Guy

Thurs May 2 Fri May 3 (no wed show) (T-18)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

 

Toronto	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	4	13	29	3159	3188	0.0090
Fri	4	24	70	6045	6115	0.0114
Montreal	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	2	4	6	1128	1134	0.0052
Fri	2	8	9	2265	2274	0.0039

[abracadabra1998]

On 4/12/2024 at 10:20 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

Minnesota Previews:

 

Challengers (T-13, Day 1):

Day: T-13, T-10	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 18 theaters	59	29	29	9383	0.31
Monday April 22 EA: 13 theaters	13	87	87	2640	3.3
TOTALS:	72	116	116	12023	0.96

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		22	22	75.86
MTC1:		23	23	79.31
Alamo:		4	4	13.79
Other chains:		2	2	6.9

 

Day 1 Comps (Including EA):

0.92x Civil War (w/ EA): $2.96 Million* (17 theaters)

 

*Using reported $2.9 Million + $325k estimated EA numbers

 

This was a very strong start locally, obviously carried by the EA but a good sign of local interest. I will have better comps at T-11.

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Challengers (T-11):

Day: T-11, T-8	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 19 theaters	61	7	36	9549	0.38
Monday April 22 EA: 14 theaters	14	45	132	2899	4.55
TOTALS:	75	52	168	12448	1.35

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		27	5	75
MTC1:		26	3	72.22
Alamo:		4	0	11.11
Other chains:		6	4	16.67

 

Thursday Comps:

0.18x Civil War (THU): $520k

0.22x The Creator (THU): $300k

 

EA Comps:

1.36x Civil War EA: $440k

0.16x Dune Part 2 (T-7 EA): $320k

0.25x MI7 (T-6 EA): $500k

 

THU + EA Comp:

0.6x Mean Girls: $1.96 Million

 

These numbers are from yesterday, I was just too lazy to post them. When you separate the EA and the Thursday numbers... not a pretty picture. Really hoping this picks up from here

 

[abracadabra1998]

On 4/11/2024 at 10:31 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Fall Guy (T-21):

Day: T-21, T-20	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	75	10	104	13674	0.76
Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters	23	9	111	5090	2.18
TOTALS:	98	19	215	18764	1.15

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		87	8	83.65
MTC1:		73	1	70.19
Alamo:		16	3	15.38
Other chains:		15	6	14.42

*Chart for Thursday sales only

 

Comps (combined EA + THU):

2.79x Monkey Man: $3.91 Million

1.17x Ghostbusters Afterlife: $5.49 Million (17 theaters)

1.03x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.61 Million (17 theaters)

0.23x MI7 (w/ EA): $2.09 Million (12 theaters)

 

Gonna start having some better comps from now on, but the release window is always going to be messy here.

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-28):

Day: T-28, T-27	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	98	28	85	17196	0.49
Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters	23	43	138	5146	2.68
TOTALS:	121	71	223	22342	1

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		81	24	95.29
MTC1:		57	6	67.06
Alamo:		12	6	14.12
Other chains:		16	16	18.82

*Chart for Thursday sales only

 

Comps:

1.24x Fall Guy: ???

0.23x Oppy: $2.43 Million (12 theaters)

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Fall Guy (T-18):

Day: T-18, T-17	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	75	8	112	13674	0.82
Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters	23	6	117	5090	2.3
TOTALS:	98	14	229	18764	1.22

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		94	7	83.93
MTC1:		77	4	68.75
Alamo:		18	2	16.07
Other chains:		17	2	15.18

 

Comps (combined EA + THU):

2.16x Monkey Man: $3.02 Million (17 theaters)

0.84x Ghostbusters Afterlife: $3.93 Million (17 theaters)

1x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.52 Million (17 theaters)

0.96x TMNT: $5.26 Million (17 theaters)

MI7 (w/ EA): Missed

 

Bottom of the U curve this week most likely. The TMNT will be going down substantially next update as that had not been on sale for super long.

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-25):

Day: T-25, T-24	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	98	13	98	17196	0.57
Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters	23	17	155	5146	3.01
TOTALS:	121	30	253	22342	1.13

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		90	9	91.84
MTC1:		65	8	66.33
Alamo:		15	3	15.31
Other chains:		18	2	18.37

 

Comps (THU + EA combined):

1.29x Fall Guy: ???

0.3x Oppy: $3.12 Million (17 theaters)

[TheFlatLannister]

On 4/13/2024 at 7:57 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

CHALLENGERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-12

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
310	375	58195	0.64%

^{*numbers taken as of 5:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

89

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-12

(0.309x) of Civil War $895K

 

Pretty big increase today

FLORIDA 

 

CHALLENGERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
319	475	59986	0.79%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

53

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

9

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-10

(0.360x) of Civil War $1.04M

Edited April 16 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

FLORIDA 

 

KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES

 

 

Thursday 

 

T-24

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
496	1534	100529	1.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-24

(0.403x) of Dune 2 $3.75M

Edited April 16 by TheFlatLannister

[VanillaSkies]

6 hours ago, kayumanggi said:

 

Well, this will be interesting 😅

[Flip]

3 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Fall Guy (T-18):

Day: T-18, T-17	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	75	8	112	13674	0.82
Wednesday May 1 EA: 18 theaters	23	6	117	5090	2.3
TOTALS:	98	14	229	18764	1.22

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		94	7	83.93
MTC1:		77	4	68.75
Alamo:		18	2	16.07
Other chains:		17	2	15.18

 

Comps (combined EA + THU):

2.16x Monkey Man: $3.02 Million (17 theaters)

0.84x Ghostbusters Afterlife: $3.93 Million (17 theaters)

1x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.52 Million (17 theaters)

0.96x TMNT: $5.26 Million (17 theaters)

MI7 (w/ EA): Missed

 

Bottom of the U curve this week most likely. The TMNT will be going down substantially next update as that had not been on sale for super long.

 

Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (T-25):

Day: T-25, T-24	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 25 theaters	98	13	98	17196	0.57
Wednesday May 8 EA: 19 theaters	23	17	155	5146	3.01
TOTALS:	121	30	253	22342	1.13

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		90	9	91.84
MTC1:		65	8	66.33
Alamo:		15	3	15.31
Other chains:		18	2	18.37

 

Comps (THU + EA combined):

1.29x Fall Guy: ???

0.3x Oppy: $3.12 Million (17 theaters)

disappointing that Fall Guy didn't grow too well as Gosling was on SNL and it was promo'd big on UFC 300

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	38	33	91	4032	2.26

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		43	13	47.25
MTC1:		63	22	69.23
Alamo:		21	4	23.08
Other chains:		7	7	7.69

 

Comps:

0.21x Civil War: $600k

0.43x Monkey Man: $595k

0.45x Argylle: $760k (17 theaters)

0.87x Iron Claw: $580k

0.23x Napoleon (TUE): $680k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $645k

 

Hoping that this will rise now that EA is out of the way but not really holding my breath

 

Abigail (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	56	29	79	7250	1.09

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		20	8	25.32
MTC1:		41	14	51.9
Alamo:		19	2	24.05
Other chains:		19	13	24.05

 

Comps:

1.98x First Omen: $1.43 Million

1.19x Imaginary: $860k (17 theaters)

0.92x Lisa Frankenstein: $645k (17 theaters)

0.73x Thanksgiving: $735k (17 theaters)

 

Not really doing much

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	41	23	114	4304	2.65

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		46	3	40.35
MTC1:		74	11	64.91
Alamo:		24	3	21.05
Other chains:		16	9	14.04

 

Comps:

0.22x Civil War: $630k

0.41x Monkey Man: $570k

0.93x The Beekeeper: ??*

0.48x Argylle: $815k (17 theaters)

1.5x Ferrari: $645k (17 theaters)

0.93x Iron Claw: $625k (17 theaters)

Napoleon (TUE): Missed

 

Average: $655k

 

*Did we ever find out how much the beekeeper did in just Thursday vs. EA?

 

Abigail (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	57	24	103	7412	1.39

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		22	2	21.36
MTC1:		58	17	56.31
Alamo:		22	3	21.36
Other chains:		23	4	22.33

 

Comps:

2.45x First Omen: $1.78 Million

1.86x Immaculate: $1.02 Million (17 theaters)

1.21x Imaginary: $880k (17 theaters)

1.05x Lisa Frankenstein: $730k (17 theaters)

0.88x Thanksgiving: $885k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $1.06 Million

 

Discreetly having a good last few days, keeps rising against comps!

[emoviefan]

8 minutes ago, Flip said:

disappointing that Fall Guy didn't grow too well as Gosling was on SNL and it was promo'd big on UFC 300

Still feel this will be a late presale/walkup movie.  Hopefully. It does not seem like the type of movie that people need to get tickets for early. 

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

Minnesota Previews:

 

Spy x Family Code: White (T-4):

Day: T-4	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 22 theaters	48	280	280	5163	5.42

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		80	80	28.57
MTC1:		111	111	39.64
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		169	169	60.36

 

Comps:

0.58x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1.04 Million (17 theaters)

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Spy x Family Code: White (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 22 theaters	52	32	312	5654	5.52

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		96	16	30.77
MTC1:		129	18	41.35
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		183	14	58.65

 

Comps:

0.56x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1 Million (17 theaters)

0.42x Dragon Ball Superhero: $1.69 Million (12 theaters)

 

Average: $1.34 Million