The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[el sid]

First the Monday numbers of Abigail from yesterday. Tuesday numbers soon.

 

Abigail had, counted yesterday for Thursday, 171 sold tickets. Solid.

Doing best in the AMC Metreon in San Francisco (the sales in San Francisco, LA and NY are pretty much on par). Poor sales so far in the AMC Sunset Place in Miami.

 

Comps (all films counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday): The Invitation (775k from previews) had 96 sold tickets  = 1.4M.

Prey for the Devil (660k) had 115 = 1M.

M3gan (2.75M) had 274 = 1.7M.

The First Omen (725k) had 82 = 1.5M.

[The Last Voyage of the Demeter (750k) had 151 sold tickets in 6 theaters (so far no shows in the AMC in NY) = 600k, a pretty big divergence.]

Average (without Demeter): 1.4M.

Average (with Demeter): 1.25M.

Edited April 16 by el sid

[ThomasNicole]

Furiosa presales start on May 7 here in Brazil. 
 

Normally starts here the same day or right after US presales start, so it seems like it’ll be a relatively short cycle.

[el sid]

Abigail, counted today for Thursday, had 204 sold tickets.

Up so-so 19% since yesterday.

 

Comps (both counted on Tuesday of the release week for Thursday, I have way more comps tomorrow again): The Last Voyage of the Demeter (750k from previews) had still in only 6 theaters 153 sold tickets. Abigail has today in the same 6 theaters 126 sold tickets = 600k.

And M3gan (2.75M) had 341 = 1.65M.

 

With only 2 comps today of course I have to take both into account.

Average: 1.1M.

For some adjustment: Prey for the Devil (660k) had on Wednesday, so 1 day later, 140 sold tickets and The Pope's Exorcist (850k) had also on Wednesday 176 sold tickets = 1M plus 1 day left for Abigail to increase the margin. So I'm very confident that it will stay on average above 1M tomorrow and probably also on Thursday.

[Belakor]

This year has been abismal for the industry, we are almost at the middle of the year and the BO total is not even 2 billion.

[HowSway]

57 minutes ago, Belakor said:

This year has been abismal for the industry, we are almost at the middle of the year and the BO total is not even 2 billion.

We're barely a quarter of the way through the year...

[AniNate]

Still ahead of the rolling 2022/2023, but if nothing breaks out we'll probably be falling behind sometime in May. Obviously the strikes had an impact, but the second half of the year does look a lot meatier.

[AJG]

Does anyone have any idea how the release of the conclusion to 2023’s biggest hit film ‘Rebel Moon’ will affect this weekends box office?

[Box Office Hit]

 

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	41	23	114	4304	2.65

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		46	3	40.35
MTC1:		74	11	64.91
Alamo:		24	3	21.05
Other chains:		16	9	14.04

 

Comps:

0.22x Civil War: $630k

0.41x Monkey Man: $570k

0.93x The Beekeeper: ??*

0.48x Argylle: $815k (17 theaters)

1.5x Ferrari: $645k (17 theaters)

0.93x Iron Claw: $625k (17 theaters)

Napoleon (TUE): Missed

 

Average: $655k

 

*Did we ever find out how much the beekeeper did in just Thursday vs. EA?

 

Abigail (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 24 theaters	57	24	103	7412	1.39

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		22	2	21.36
MTC1:		58	17	56.31
Alamo:		22	3	21.36
Other chains:		23	4	22.33

 

Comps:

2.45x First Omen: $1.78 Million

1.86x Immaculate: $1.02 Million (17 theaters)

1.21x Imaginary: $880k (17 theaters)

1.05x Lisa Frankenstein: $730k (17 theaters)

0.88x Thanksgiving: $885k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $1.06 Million

 

Discreetly having a good last few days, keeps rising against comps!

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	52	41	155	5853	2.65

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		55	9	35.48
MTC1:		98	24	63.23
Alamo:		28	4	18.06
Other chains:		29	13	18.71

 

Comps:

0.25x Civil War: $630k

0.5x Monkey Man: $720k

0.9x The Beekeeper: ??*

0.49x Argylle: $840k (17 theaters)

1.49x Ferrari: $640k (17 theaters)

0.98x Iron Claw: $655k (17 theaters)

0.25x Napoleon (TUE): $750k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $705k

 

Keeps slowly rising but its base point is so low I don't think it matters much  

 

Abigail (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	69	30	133	9517	1.4

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		28	6	21.05
MTC1:		70	12	52.63
Alamo:		27	5	20.3
Other chains:		36	13	27.07

 

Comps:

1.99x First Omen: $1.44 Million

Immaculate: Missed

1.29x Imaginary: $935k (17 theaters)

Lisa Frankenstein: Missed

0.82x Thanksgiving: $825k (17 theaters)

 

Average: $1.07 Million

 

Thinking around a million for this one for now.

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Spy x Family Code: White (T-3):

Day: T-3	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 22 theaters	52	32	312	5654	5.52

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		96	16	30.77
MTC1:		129	18	41.35
Alamo:		0	0	0
Other chains:		183	14	58.65

 

Comps:

0.56x Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: $1 Million (17 theaters)

0.42x Dragon Ball Superhero: $1.69 Million (12 theaters)

 

Average: $1.34 Million

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Spy x Family Code: White (T-2):

Day: T-2	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 25 theaters	66	22	334	7174	4.66

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		95	-1	28.44
MTC1:		141	12	42.22
Alamo:		1	1	0.3
Other chains:		192	9	57.49

 

Comps:

Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba: Missed

0.37x Dragon Ball Superhero: $1.48 Million (12 theaters)

 

Also thinking around a million for this one right now

[Cmasterclay]

Probably just enough combined volume in the three releases to keep this weekend from being a total disaster.

[ringedmortality]

6 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

1.99x First Omen: $1.44 Million

 

👀

[abracadabra1998]

16 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

 

👀

That had such a small release window that makes it so that comp will likely keep going down as the others keep going up. Guessing they somewhat converge at around 1 million

[keysersoze123]

Abigail MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 7975/215247 134951.99 1344 shows

Friday - 7401/405967 120543.70 2508 shows

 

Sold just over 1600 tickets today for previews and 1800+ for friday. Probably looking at 1m ish previews and mid teens OW.  

[keysersoze123]

The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare MTC1

Previews(T-2) - 7027/120427 121282.69 923 shows  +1719

Friday - 8604/296883 143249.24 2194 shows +2399

 

Its show count is low but its pace is higher than Abigail. That said I am expecting final day sales for Abigail to be higher looking at the genre. That said at least at MTC1 its going to be close. With around 500K gross from early shows and probably around 1m thursday, its also looking at low to mid teens OW. 

[keysersoze123]

Challengers MTC1

Early Shows(04-22) -  10009/59743 212865.41 249 shows 

Previews - 6995/227709 142617.23 1297 shows

Friday - 5707/357727 112547.81 2009 shows

 

Strong early show sales and looking at previews/Friday, its looking at 20m OW. 

[JustLurking]

20M OW for Challengers would be really solid.

[emoviefan]

Things looking not so bad after all for this weekend and next weekend's movies it seems.

Edited April 17 by emoviefan

[vafrow]

23 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

The Fall Guy, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-17, Thursday previews and Wednesday EA

 

Total Sales: 11

New Sales since T-20: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 12

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.9

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 10/6

Late Evening: 1/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

 

Dolby: 8/6

IMAX: 0/4

4DX: 3/2

 

EA sales

Total: 38

Showtimes: 6

Theatres: 5

 

Comps (Previews only, no EA)

1.222x Wonka for $4.3M

0.333x GB:FE for $1.6M

 

Comps (includes EA)

5.444x Wonka for $19.1M

1.485x GB:FE for $7.0M

 

After some progress the day before, fairly quiet today. Zero sales for previews, slight bump on EA.

 

 

The Fall Guy, Western GTA (Southern Ontario), T-16, Thursday previews and Wednesday EA

 

Total Sales: 11

New Sales since T-20: 0

Growth: 0%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 12

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 0.9

Ticket premium in effect: Yes

 

Sales by timing (sales/showtimes)

Early Evening: 10/6

Late Evening: 1/6

 

Sales by format (sales/showtimes)

 

Dolby: 8/6

IMAX: 0/4

4DX: 3/2

 

EA sales

Total: 38

Showtimes: 6

Theatres: 5

 

Comps (Previews only, no EA)

1.000x Wonka for $3.5M

0.314x GB:FE for $1.5M

 

Comps (includes EA)

4.454x Wonka for $15.6M

1.400x GB:FE for $6.6M

 

A zero sales day after sales spiked a bit a few days ago. I think it lends support to the idea that the SNL appearance did it's job. But with reviews out and now a big public relations win, they're also running out of trigger events to jump sales.

 

I expect a full court press over these next few weeks though. 

[el sid]

And a little addendum from yesterday - not too important because I didn't have many comps and again The Last Voyage of the Demeter was a big outlier. New numbers (Thursday and Friday) in a few hours.

 

Abigail had, counted yesterday for Friday, 169 sold tickets. Also a quite solid number.

 

Comps (all 4 films counted on Tuesday for Friday): Candyman (7.2M true Friday, the movie had big jumps till Wednesday and Thursday back then) had 276 sold tickets = 4.55M.

M3gan (8.95M) had 356 = 4.2M.

Demeter (1.85M) had 177 sold tickets (Abigail has in the same 6 theaters 115) = 1.2M.

And Malignant (2M first day (no previews?)) had 125 sold tickets = 2.7M.

Average: 3.15M true Friday for Abigail.

 

Edited April 17 by el sid