The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 5/11/2024 at 7:25 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Back to Black	T-5	Jax	5	11	0	4	986	0.41%
		Phx	6	15	6	19	1,508	1.26%
		Ral	7	14	0	14	1,316	1.06%
	Total		18	40	6	37	3,810	0.97%
Back to Black (EA)	T-4	Jax	2	2	1	10	395	2.53%
		Phx	1	1	2	10	208	4.81%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	0	0.00%
	Total		4	4	3	20	603	3.32%
IF	T-5	Jax	5	22	7	94	3,641	2.58%
		Phx	7	27	6	61	4,077	1.50%
		Ral	8	33	0	45	4,751	0.95%
	Total		20	82	13	200	12,469	1.60%
The Strangers	T-5	Jax	5	11	2	23	1,110	2.07%
		Phx	6	13	4	31	1,530	2.03%
		Ral	7	14	5	33	1,368	2.41%
	Total		18	38	11	87	4,008	2.17%

 

IF T-5 adjusted comps (comps with EA)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - .223x (1.43m)

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - .344x (1.07m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .195x (959k)

 - Fall Guy (Total) - .741x (1.91m)

 - Lightyear (Total) - .331x (1.49m)

 

 

IF T-5 adjusted comps (no EA)

 - Sonic 2 (Thu) - .297x (1.52m)

 - Haunted Mansion (Thu) - .526x (1.53m)

 - TMNT (Thu) - .518x (1.76m)

 - Kung Fu Panda 4 - .559x (1.87m)

 - Fall Guy (Thu) - 1.227x (2.36m)

 - Lightyear (Thu) - .371x (1.49m)

 - Elemental - .847x (1.8m)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - 4.651x (4.44m)

 

Strangers T-5 adjusted comps

 - Insidious 5 - .455x (2.28m)

 - Talk to Me - 1.176x (1.46m)

 - Abigail - 1.81x (1.81m)

 - Evil Dead Rise - missed

 - Candyman - .829x (1.67m)

 - Black Phone (Thu) - .554x (1.47m)

 - Beast - 1.5x (1.42m)

 - Nun II - .503x (1.28m)

 - Smile (Thu) - missed

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.59m

 

Back to Black (Total) T-5 adjusted comps

 - Respect - 1.188x (818k)

 - I Wanna Dance - .333x (249k)

 - House of Gucci - .416x (573k)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Back to Black	T-3	Jax	5	11	1	5	986	0.51%
		Phx	6	15	6	25	1,508	1.66%
		Ral	7	14	2	16	1,316	1.22%
	Total		18	40	9	46	3,810	1.21%
Back to Black (EA)	T-2	Jax	2	2	3	13	395	3.29%
		Phx	1	1	1	11	208	5.29%
		Ral	1	1	0	0	0	0.00%
	Total		4	4	4	24	603	3.98%
IF	T-3	Jax	5	22	11	105	3,641	2.88%
		Phx	7	27	19	80	4,077	1.96%
		Ral	8	33	6	51	4,751	1.07%
	Total		20	82	36	236	12,469	1.89%
The Strangers	T-3	Jax	5	11	11	34	1,110	3.06%
		Phx	6	13	19	50	1,530	3.27%
		Ral	7	14	5	38	1,368	2.78%
	Total		18	38	35	122	4,008	3.04%

*New sales since Saturday

 

IF T-3 adjusted comps (comps with EA)

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - .198x (1.27m)

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - .311x (963k)

 - TMNT (Total) - .158x (777k)

 - Fall Guy (Total) - .652x (1.68m)

 - Lightyear (Total) - .285x (1.28m)

 

IF T-3 adjusted comps (no EA)

 - Sonic 2 (Thu) - .267x (1.36m)

 - Haunted Mansion (Thu) - .475x (1.38m)

 - TMNT (Thu) - .439x (1.49m)

 - Kung Fu Panda 4 - .481x (1.61m)

 - Fall Guy (Thu) - 1.1x (2.12m)

 - Lightyear (Thu) - .325x (1.3m)

 - Elemental - .811x (1.71m)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - 2.713x (2.59m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.91m

 

Strangers T-3 adjusted comps

 - Insidious 5 - .377x (1.88m)

 - Talk to Me - 1.2x (1.49m)

 - Abigail - 1.65x (1.65m)

 - Evil Dead Rise - missed

 - Candyman - .772x (1.56m)

 - Black Phone (Thu) - missed

 - Beast - 1.54x (1.46m)

 - Nun II - .488x (1.24m)

 - Smile (Thu) - missed

 

Size adjusted comps - 1.53m

 

Back to Black (Total) T-3 adjusted comps

 - Respect - 1.094x (753k)

 - I Wanna Dance - .35x (262k)

 - House of Gucci - .318x (438k)

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 5/10/2024 at 7:59 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Furiosa	T-13	Jax	6	53	6	42	8,801	0.48%
		Phx	6	27	18	58	5,173	1.12%
		Ral	8	50	10	64	6,718	0.95%
	Total		20	130	34	164	20,692	0.79%

 

Day 2 comps

 - Ghostbusters Afterlife (Total) - .564x (2.48m)

 - Ghostbusters FE - .713x (3.14m)

 - F9 - .485x (3.63m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .377x (3.4m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Total) - 1.577x

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .453x (3.99m)

 

On 5/2/2024 at 9:08 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Garfield	T-21	Jax	5	30	0	1	3,091	0.03%
		Phx	6	34	0	13	5,918	0.22%
		Ral	7	34	4	25	4,734	0.53%
	Total		18	98	4	39	13,743	0.28%
Garfield (EA)	T-17	Jax	2	2	4	36	173	20.81%
		Phx	1	1	0	32	49	65.31%
		Ral	1	1	0	6	73	8.22%
	Total		4	4	4	74	295	25.08%

 

Garfield (Total) T-21adjusted comps

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - .409x (2.93m)

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - .649x (2.25m)

 

Not really great comps here either, but that'll have to do for now.  

 

 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Furiosa	T-10	Jax	6	53	12	76	8,801	0.86%
		Phx	6	27	13	72	5,173	1.39%
		Ral	8	50	19	84	6,718	1.25%
	Total		20	130	44	232	20,692	1.12%
Garfield	T-10	Jax	5	30	4	14	3,091	0.45%
		Phx	6	34	4	26	5,918	0.44%
		Ral	7	36	3	33	4,949	0.67%
	Total		18	100	11	73	13,958	0.52%
Garfield (EA)	T-6	Jax	2	2	13	58	173	33.53%
		Phx	1	1	3	43	49	87.76%
		Ral	1	1	18	31	73	42.47%
	Total		4	4	34	132	295	44.75%

*New sales since Saturday

 

Garfield (Total) T-10 adjusted comps

 - Sonic 2 (Total) - .365x (2.62m)

 - Haunted Mansion (Total) - .614x (2.13m)

 - TMNT (Total) - .343x (1.92m)

 - Elemental - missed

 - Kung Fu Panda 2 - .762x (2.9m)

 - IF - 1.475x

 

Furiosa T-10 adjusted comps

 - Bullet Train (Total) - .882x (4.15m)

 - Suicide Squad - .768x (3.34m)

 - Cocaine Bear - 1.61x (3.8m)

 - John Wick 4 - .236x (2.1m)

 - Equalizer 3 - 1.693x (6.44m)

 - F9 - .287x (2.16m)

 - No Time to Die (Total) - .38x (2.48m)

[jeffthehat]

Indiana

IF T-3

Sales	Seats	Shows
333	12859	77

Comps (Thu only)

0.24x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $1.1m

0.21x Godzilla x Kong NE T-3 = $2.1m

0.57x Kung Fu Panda 4 T-3 = $2.2m

3.40x Lisa Frankenstein T-3 = $2.4m

 

AVG = $1.95m

 

Edited May 13 by jeffthehat

[misterpepp]

Ezra on sale May 17

[Krissykins]

6 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Size adjusted comps - 1.53m

Ooh that would be decent for The Strangers. That could suggest mid teens rather than 8-10m. 

[filmlover]

I got the trailer for Strangers before my Planet of the Apes showing over the weekend. Seems like Lionsgate is giving it a solid last minute marketing push.

[AniNate]

I'm gonna guess that Nick IP spot for IF this morning ratcheted up interest, Fri-Sun sales at Canton now close to 200

[AniNate]

Also of those 200 about 50 were for XD. Not the usual overwhelming presale split but not insignificant for a kids movie also playing on two standard screens

 

 

Edited May 13 by AniNate

[Tinalera]

IF

Thurs may 16 Fri May 17 (T-4)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Thurs	2	7	4	1344	1348	0.0029
	Fri	2	10	120	2112	2232	0.0537
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	8	40	1436	1476	0.0271
	Fri	4	17	82	2172	2254	0.0363

 

 

Pretty quiet Vancouver and Calgary area.

[el sid]

IF, counted today for Thursday had 274 sold tickets. 

Up 92% since last Monday. I hoped for a bit better jump till today but it's also not too bad.

 

The very uneven and therefore not very trustworthy comps (all counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday) Migration (1.5M from previews) had 111 sold tickets = 3.7M.

Lyle (575k) had 49 = 3.2M.

Dolittle (925k) had 156 = 1.6M.

And Wonka (3.5M) had 857 sold tickets = 1.1M (this comp went slightly up - last Monday it were 0.9M for IF).

Average: 2.4M.

 

[katnisscinnaplex]

18 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

IF

Thurs may 16 Fri May 17 (T-4)

Vancouver and Calgary Canada

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Vancouver	Thurs	2	7	4	1344	1348	0.0029
	Fri	2	10	120	2112	2232	0.0537
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Calgary	Thurs	4	8	40	1436	1476	0.0271
	Fri	4	17	82	2172	2254	0.0363

 

 

Pretty quiet Vancouver and Calgary area.

Wanted to make a suggestion on your formatting - if you're copying from excel/google sheets you can add borders on your table and it'll be a little easier to read when you paste in here.  

 

Crazy how different the two areas are in T/F ratio

[el sid]

IF, counted today for Friday, had 201 sold tickets.

Up so-so 116% since last Monday.

 

I chose Jungle Cruise, Dolittle, Elemental, Minions 2 and Sonic 2 as comps (always counted on Monday of the release week for Friday) and the true Friday number for IF would be 6.6M at the moment. In this case the comparison numbers were very similar, around 6-7M.

 

Overall it was a boring counting today which lasted too long for so few action. And judging from some random samples Garfield also saw no significant jumps (I also didn't expect much, it's still too early IMO). 

[Tinalera]

5 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Wanted to make a suggestion on your formatting - if you're copying from excel/google sheets you can add borders on your table and it'll be a little easier to read when you paste in here.  

 

Crazy how different the two areas are in T/F ratio

Thanks Ill play around with that, thanks for the feedback

 

Yea....thats Canada land for you, All I can think of is its a family film, so maybe thats why Friday is a little better kids dont have school next day, but even other films can get nutty with the T/F ratio.

[el sid]

Details tomorrow but the most interesting counting today was indeed that for The Strangers: Chapter 1 which had 215 sold tickets for Thursday (in 6 theaters).

 

I saw that this movie is also called The Strangers 3 so probably it has a fan base which could explain the quite good presales but the comparison number from several other horror films was 1.6M today. 

So pretty close to the number of @katnisscinnaplex.

[Relevation]

Since IO2 and Bad Boys both start ticket sales this week, I’m gonna call my shot on where Thurs comps for all the June movies start off (not outright predictions, just where I think comps start off based on my overall expectations)

 

Bad Boys: Ride or Die - $5-6M Thu

The Watchers - $1.0-1.5M Thu

Inside Out 2 - $14-17M Thu

Horizon: An American Saga - Part 1 - $2-3M Thu

A Quiet Place: Day One - $4-5M Thu 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 5/12/2024 at 5:19 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

FURIOSA

 

Thursday 

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
497	2000	94881	2.1%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

92

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-11

(1.582x) of Civil War $4.59M

(0.353x) of Dune 2 $3.28M
(0.999x) of Planet Apes $4.99M

Comps average: $4.29M

FLORIDA 

 

FURIOSA

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
497	2197	94881	2.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

197

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-10

(1.663x) of Civil War $4.82M

(0.377x) of Dune 2 $3.51M
(1.075x) of Planet Apes $5.37M

Comps average: $4.57M

[AniNate]

Furiosa comps definitely shooting down that Quorum anxiety

[ThomasNicole]

Furiosa seems good indeed, reviews this WED, they’re likely to be good, we can see some bump
 

With ~5M previews i think 50M 4-Day maybe is in play afterall

[TheFlatLannister]

On 5/10/2024 at 9:44 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

IF

 

Thursday 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
407	1524	80159	1.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

87

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

COMPS

T-6

(0.826x) of Civil War $2.40M

(1.008x) of Fall Guy $2.32M

Comps AVG: $2.36M 

not much growth 

FLORIDA 

IF

 

Thursday 

 

T-3

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
433	1872	85117	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

161

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

26

 

COMPS

T-3

(0.842x) of Civil War $2.44M

(1.017x) of Fall Guy $2.34M

Comps AVG: $2.39M 

Really not much going on. Don't think walkups will be super strong either 

[HummingLemon496]

1 hour ago, Relevation said:

Since IO2 and Bad Boys both start ticket sales this week, I’m gonna call my shot on where Thurs comps for all the June movies start off (not outright predictions, just where I think comps start off based on my overall expectations)

 

Bad Boys: Ride or Die - $5-6M Thu

The Watchers - $1.0-1.5M Thu

Inside Out 2 - $14-17M Thu

Horizon: An American Saga - Part 1 - $2-3M Thu

A Quiet Place: Day One - $4-5M Thu 

Hmm, if this ends up being the actual Thursday previews (I know that's not what you meant), that would mean a $139-172M OW