The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[vafrow]

12 hours ago, vafrow said:

 

Twisters, T-1 Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 229

New Sales : 106

Growth: 89%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 21

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 10.9

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

EA final sales: 422 (97% jump)

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 24/7

Early Evening: 171/7

Late Evening: 34/7

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 0/3

Dolby: 116/8

IMAX: 68/6

4DX: 41/3

 

Previews Comps

2.899x Fall Guy for $6.8M

0.996x KOTPOTA for $5.0M

1.032x Bad Boys Ride or Die for $6.1M

0.544x HG: BoSS for $3.1M

0.966x Furiosa for $3.4M

 

This was a fantastic day, and one that I don't have anything that really compares to it in my data.

 

Bad Boys was considered something that finished strong, and that had a final day of 47%.

 

Sales have gone up 5.5 times since Sunday. A week ago, this was still on pace with Fall Guy. It's now triple that.

 

And all signs point to strong walk ups. Yesterday doubled, and thats a reasonable target here.

 

This is a film that seems subject to regional fluctuations, but still, there's little reason for this to outperform the rest of North America. I'm a demographically diverse suburb area of the GTA. This is middle America focused.

 

We did have horrendous flooding this week in the area, so maybe that triggered people to seek out a weather based disaster movie? That's the best explanation I have.

 

I think realistically though, this is just doing really well down the stretch, and there's reason for optimism for this to hit upward end of the ranges.

 

Twisters, T-0 (7:00pm) Thursday previews and Wednesday EA, western GTA (southern Ontario)

 

Total Sales: 531

New Sales : 302

Growth: 132%

Theatres tracked: MTC4

Total theatres: 5

Showtimes: 21

Radius: 19 km

Tickets per showtime: 25.3

Ticket premium in effect: Y

 

Tickets by Showtime

Late Afternoon: 85/7

Early Evening: 383/7

Late Evening: 63/7

 

Tickets by Format

Regular: 18/3

Dolby: 261/8

IMAX: 175/6

4DX: 77/3

 

Previews Comps

2.688x Fall Guy for $6.3M

1.308x KOTPOTA for $6.5M (3pm pull)

 

Day of comps always inconsistent.

 

Growth has been incredible. Sales were at 56 on Monday morning. This went up 10x this week.

 

It feels like none of us have the full picture on this one, but we all have enough to know it's been good.

 

I don't like to proclaim that much from my little Canadian corner, but, especially when @Inceptionzqhas numbers suggesting I'm underindexing in Canada, I feel $6.5-7M is what we're looking at here.

[AniNate]

At this point I'm just hoping the naysayers are proven wrong with next week's hold as well. 

 

Sadly really doesn't look like it's going to be getting much help beyond north America 

[LonePirate]

22 minutes ago, AniNate said:

At this point I'm just hoping the naysayers are proven wrong with next week's hold as well. 

It will be the clear second choice for casual moviegoers who cannot get tickets for D&W. The more sellouts there are for D&W, the more it will collect from the overflow.

[VanillaSkies]

2 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

It will be the clear second choice for casual moviegoers who cannot get tickets for D&W. The more sellouts there are for D&W, the more it will collect from the overflow.

I sure hope so, I’d like to see both films thrive next weekend, while IO2 and DM4 continue to pull in family crowds.

[Caption Action 3]

It took awhile, but with one week left to go, the ticket to screentime ratio for open caption (on-screen subtitles) presales for Deadpool & Wolverine finally passed the 5.00 threshold to be considered a hit. This is where the numbers stand as of right now. Next post will be if and when the ticket to screentime ratio reaches 10.00. Currently 110 theaters but plan to add more.

 

Deadpool and Wolverine – Nationwide OC
# of Tickets/# of Markets	550	85	6.47
# of tickets/#of theaters	550	110	5.00
#of tickets/#of screen times	550	109	5.05
# of Zero solds/# of screen times	33	109	0.30

 

[rehpyc]

Fwiw, right now seeing at least 7-7.25M for true Thurs

[Flip]

21 hours ago, Flip said:

Twisters Previews (T-1)

 

24 showtimes/321 tix sold (+74)

 

 

.63x Bad Boys 4 (T-1) [3.72m]

.475x Inside Out 2 (T-1) [6.18m]

.63x AQP Day One (T-1) [4.29m]

 

Didn’t reach my goal. I’m mainly using Inside Out 2 because it underindexed a fair amount here and I think Twisters will do the same. If Twisters plays like IO2 it will sell 144 tickets tomorrow. Even though IO2 underindexed, it had the best jump of any film on T-0, so I don’t expect Twisters to do the same. Expecting that some people likely chose EA over buying tickets for tomorrow I’m going to set the goal at 125-130 tickets.

Twisters Previews (T-0)

 

24 showtimes/528* tix sold (+207)

 

.54x Inside Out 2 (T-0) [7.02m]

.75x AQP Day One (T-0) [5.1m]

good walkups

 

*one show was sold out (which almost never happens) probably due to a large group buying tickets, but since I don’t remember how many seats there were in that show I had to guesstimate. Also, that group buying is probably artificially inflating the total by a decent amount.  
 

I’ll predict 6.0-6.1m for pure Thursday 

[AniNate]

Canton's up to 739 for true Friday

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine [+9 days of sales]

T-8 Thursday: 42015/364483

T-9 Friday: 32831/272260

T-10 Saturday: 24628/284575

T-11 Sunday: 10777/283162

MTC4 Deadpool & Wolverine

T-7 Thursday: 44541/364483

T-8 Friday: 34907/272260

T-9 Saturday: 26197/284575

T-10 Sunday: 11645/283162 

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/17/2024 at 7:42 PM, Inceptionzq said:

MTC4 Twisters

T-2 Friday: 9550/356155

T-3 Saturday: 5332/357987

T-4 Sunday: 2042/355395

T-5 Monday: 566/352077

MTC4 Twisters

T-1 Friday: 11723/356155

T-2 Saturday: 7492/357987

T-3 Sunday: 3028/355395

T-4 Monday: 788/352077

Edited July 20 by Inceptionzq

[dallas]

 

 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 7/16/2024 at 8:07 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

ORLANDO

 

Deadpool x Wolverine 

 

Thursday 

 

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
244	10675	46659	22.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

309

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

*2 sellouts

COMPS

T-9

(1.717x) of GOTG 3 $30.05M

Pretty good rebound today. Back on the upward trend 

ORLANDO

 

Deadpool x Wolverine 

 

Thursday 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
244	11407	46659	24.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

346

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

*2 sellouts

COMPS

T-7

(1.738x) of GOTG 3 $30.42M

(1.536x) of Barbenheimer $48.53M

It's outpacing GOTG which is pretty impressive considering 60+ presales window and more fanboy rush. Barbenheimer comp is coming back down to earth and should be ~$33M by T-0

Edited July 19 by TheFlatLannister

[TheFlatLannister]

I have Deadpool numbers for Florida as well, but it's just so massive no comp will be good. It's doubled Dune 2 and nearly doubled Inside out 2 T-0 final count as of right now. 

[Ryan C]

11 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

I have Deadpool numbers for Florida as well, but it's just so massive no comp will be good. It's doubled Dune 2 and nearly doubled Inside out 2 T-0 final count as of right now. 

 

Apologies if I sound dumb, but we're talking around $24M as of right now since both Dune: Part Two and Inside Out 2 did $12M in previews?

[Menor the Destroyer]

3 minutes ago, Ryan C said:

 

Apologies if I sound dumb, but we're talking around $24M as of right now since both Dune: Part Two and Inside Out 2 did $12M in previews?

Nah. Those T-0 numbers are not final sales.

[rehpyc]

7.5 true Thursday the floor

[John Marston]

4 minutes ago, rehpyc said:

7.5 true Thursday the floor

 

based on?

[keysersoze123]

Over indexing at your end @rehpyc or under indexing at my end 🙂

 

At least Excel would be happy. Almost 10m with early shows. 

[John Marston]

6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Over indexing at your end @rehpyc or under indexing at my end 🙂

 

At least Excel would be happy. Almost 10m with early shows. 

 

what do you think it is making?

[crazymoviekid]

On 7/17/2024 at 11:21 PM, crazymoviekid said:

Twisters:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 10 Tickets 

Theater 2: 60 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $6.03M

TFG: $9.88M

T:RotB: $5.85M

Fast X: $3.55M

Bullet Train: $5.11M

Nope: $3.22M

 

Comps continue to grow. $5M-$6M

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 21 Tickets 

Theater 2: 55 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $11.60M

TFG: $16.88M

T:RotB: $9.08M

Fast X: $8.21M

Bullet Train: $24.09M

Nope: $6.84M

 

Most comps went up. Still feeling strong about $11M+

Twisters: 

 

Final Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 20 Tickets 

Theater 2: 84 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $5.15M

TFG: $8.91M

T:RotB: $4.60M

Fast X: $3.50M

Bullet Train: $4.74M

Nope: $2.43M

 

Walk-ups were rather weak. Comps dropped. Final raw $4.5M-$5.25M.

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 39 Tickets 

Theater 2: 85 Tickets

 

KotPotA: $10.85M

TFG: $13.17M

T:RotB: $9.37M

Fast X: $7.92M

Bullet Train: $24.33M

Nope: $5.95M

 

Some ups, some downs. Still going for $11M+.

 

With $2M of EA, I see...

2+5+11+14+10 = $42M