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Shawn Robbins

The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

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Looks like National Cinema Day is no longer happening?

 

I guess IO2 and D&W made theaters so much money this summer, theaters feel like don't have to deal with all the craziness of NCD anymore.

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9 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Looks like National Cinema Day is no longer happening?

 

I guess IO2 and D&W made theaters so much money this summer, theaters feel like don't have to deal with all the craziness of NCD anymore.

It'll probably come back at some point, but during another slow season. Still think it would be a good boost for theaters in January or February when there typically isn't much out (January would be more likely this year since February has Captain America).

Edited by filmlover
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3 hours ago, JonathanMB said:

So I was looking ahead past Beetlejuice Beetlejuice to see if anything else was selling tickets in my area, and uh...in my area at least Am I Racist? (a new movie from the What is a Woman? weirdos) seems to be selling disturbingly well in my area on September 12 and 13. Has anyone else looked into sales in their area? Seems like it could break out with conservative audiences the way those early D'Souza movies did. 

It’s nearly sold out all of its 3 showings at one of my theaters over 3 weeks out :whosad:

 

 

If this blows up then I’m convinced conservative targeting movies can only ever break out huge when they’re explicitly doing culture war shit

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Quote

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice MiniTC2 T-13 days

EA -  1277/4504 (14 showings)
Previews - 2407/61302 (215 showings)

 

Comps

Indy 5 - $16.8M

It Ends with Us - $21M
Barbie - $16.8M

Scream VI - $20.2M

 

Friday - 3607/101073 (350 showings)

 

Comps

Indy 5 - $43M

It Ends with Us - $32M
Barbie - $53M

Scream VI - $75M

 

Could somebody explain please, does it mean that if Beetlejuice performs exactly in line with Indy 5 based on the pre-sales, it would make 16.8M in previews and 43m on the pure Friday? Or 43m combined for Friday + all previous showings?

Edited by Dephira
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On 8/22/2024 at 9:31 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Beetlejuice 2 MTC1

Early Shows(9/4) - 20592/92255 437916.26 385 shows +2236

Previews(T-14) -  43087/705912 795237.70 3582 shows +3167

Friday - 36097/1068691 651990.24 5347 shows +3941

 

+2 days of pace. 

Beetlejuice 2 MTC1

Early Shows(9/4) - 23376/93317 494931.70 391 shows +2784

Previews(T-11) - 48456/707020 890067.99 3589 shows +5369

Friday - 43358/1070339 778918.51 5362 shows +7261

 

As of yesterday night. +3 days of pace. I think it will accelerate this week. Expecting previews to be at 60K ish by T-7 and then the final surge should take it what I expected earlier(12m+ true thursday). 

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4 hours ago, JonathanMB said:

So I was looking ahead past Beetlejuice Beetlejuice to see if anything else was selling tickets in my area, and uh...in my area at least Am I Racist? (a new movie from the What is a Woman? weirdos) seems to be selling disturbingly well in my area on September 12 and 13. Has anyone else looked into sales in their area? Seems like it could break out with conservative audiences the way those early D'Souza movies did. 

 

Well, at least if it's only that big it shouldn't get much media cycle exposure. I looked at Canton and sales still looking rather mediocre

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Hey all letting you know Im still alive lol. Just got life background stuff going on (nothing bad), and just been really busy. Hopefully can get back to posting again soon :)

 

Keep meaning to get a count done and something comes up lol. 

 

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AMC "Fan Fave" re-releases:

 

For Hispanic Heritage Month:
Encanto - Sep 13
Blue Beetle - Sep 20
Pacific Rim - Sep 27
Furious 7 - Oct 4
Coco - Oct 11

For the weekend of Batman Day (All open Sep 20):

Batman '89
Batman Forever
Batman: Mask of the Phantasm

 

Also, if you miss Shaun of the Dead in Dolby for its 20th anniversary on the weekend of Aug 30, you can still see it in standard auditoriums for the "Fan Fave" pricing starting Sep 6.

Edited by misterpepp
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5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Beetlejuice 2 MTC1

Early Shows(9/4) - 23376/93317 494931.70 391 shows +2784

Previews(T-11) - 48456/707020 890067.99 3589 shows +5369

Friday - 43358/1070339 778918.51 5362 shows +7261

 

As of yesterday night. +3 days of pace. I think it will accelerate this week. Expecting previews to be at 60K ish by T-7 and then the final surge should take it what I expected earlier(12m+ true thursday). 

The Friday will surpass Previews number probably next weekend before the final week.

 

Comparaison :

Dune 2 MTC1

Early Shows(2/25) - 30193/55706 599040.77 182 shows +1227

Previews(T-11) - 61407/517510 1207383.05 2591 shows +1856

Friday - 60023/796075 1176442.71 4011 shows +2729

 

 

G&K MTC1 :

Previews(T-11) -  27724/557136 544201.30 2913 shows +1619

Friday - 23866/836336 447822.34 4387 shows +2109

 

 

Early Shows probably around 2,5M , Previews around 11-12M for me at this point so around 13,5-14M if I take the average of Dune and Godzilla . For the True Friday, i think 30-32M at this point if reviews and WOM are good . I think 105-115M OW . It's the biggest movie since D&W and with Joker 2 the biggest movie between the end of July and mid November. The communication around Jenna Ortega is on fire the last few days with the objective to attract younger people and Latino demo and we know if the demo come to theaters , the movie , in general overperform.

 

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California Cinemarks with open captions, second weekend. Tracked only if at least 2 theaters had the same movie. Results closely paralleled the overall box office results for the weekend.

 

Summary tables:

Alien      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 116 10 11.60
# of tickets/#of theaters 116 10 11.60
#of tickets/#of screen times 116 10 11.60
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 10 0.00
It Ends with Us      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 100 8 12.50
# of tickets/#of theaters 100 8 12.50
#of tickets/#of screen times 100 8 12.50
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 8 0.00
Deadpool      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 218 8 27.25
# of tickets/#of theaters 218 8 27.25
#of tickets/#of screen times 218 8 27.25
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 8 0.00
Twisters      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 127 8 15.88
# of tickets/#of theaters 127 8 15.88
#of tickets/#of screen times 127 8 15.88
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 8 0.00
Coraline      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 114 8 14.25
# of tickets/#of theaters 114 8 14.25
#of tickets/#of screen times 114 8 14.25
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 8 0.00
DM 4      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 43 4 10.75
# of tickets/#of theaters 43 4 10.75
#of tickets/#of screen times 43 4 10.75
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 4 0.00
Crow      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 62 10 6.20
# of tickets/#of theaters 62 10 6.20
#of tickets/#of screen times 62 10 6.20
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 10 0.00
Blink      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 68 9 7.56
# of tickets/#of theaters 68 9 7.56
#of tickets/#of screen times 68 9 7.56
# of zero sold/#of screen times 1 9 0.11
Trap      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 7 2 3.50
# of tickets/#of theaters 7 2 3.50
#of tickets/#of screen times 7 2 3.50
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 2 0.00
The Forge      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 141 7 20.14
# of tickets/#of theaters 141 7 20.14
#of tickets/#of screen times 141 7 20.14
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 7 0.00
Didi      
# of Tickets/# of Markets 45 3 15.00
# of tickets/#of theaters 45 3 15.00
#of tickets/#of screen times 45 3 15.00
# of zero sold/#of screen times 0 3 0.00

 

 

Actual results, with # of non-captioned screenings for comparison:

 

Movie Market Theater Time # of OC seats sold # of non-OC screenings
Alien Folsom Cinemark Century Folsom 8/25, 7:10 pm 1 8
D&W     8/25, 3:45 pm 15 8
Crow     8/25, 3:40 pm 2 4
Blink     8/25, 3:05 pm 2 4
It Ends with Us     8/25, 3:30 pm 13 3
Coraline     8/25, 3:50 pm 4 4
Twisters     8/25, 3:55 pm 8 2
Forge     8/25, 7:30 pm 5 4
           
Alien Fremont Cinemark Century Pacific Commons 8/25, 4:35 pm 13 8
D&W     8/25, 3:55 pm 34 5
Crow     8/25, 1:50 pm 2 4
Blink     8/25, 4:10 pm 18 4
It Ends with Us     8/25, 5:55 pm 13 4
Coraline     8/25, 4:20 pm 21 4
Twisters     8/25, 4:50 pm 20 4
Forge     8/25, 1:10 pm 8 4
Didi     8/25, 4:30 pm 13 5
           
Alien Los Angeles Cinemark Howard Hughes 8/24, 12:45 pm 5 14
Alien   8/25, 5:25 pm 11 14
           
Alien Mountain View Cinemark Mountain View 8/25, 3:30 pm 18 12
D&W     8/25, 5:30 pm 24 8
Crow     8/25, 2:30 pm 12 5
Blink     8/25, 5:20 pm 10 5
It Ends with Us     8/25, 6:00 pm 12 7
Coraline     8/25, 4:55 pm 8 5
Twisters     8/25, 3:55 pm 23 4
DM 4     8/25, 2:00 pm 18 5
Didi     8/25, 2:05 pm 21 5
           
Alien Napa Cinemark Century Napa Valley 8/25, 4:05 pm 3 7
D&W   8/25, 5:35 pm 28 4
It Ends with Us     8/25, 4:20 pm 5 7
Twisters     8/25, 4:25 pm 10 4
Crow     8/25, 4:10 pm 2 5
Blink     8/25, 4:40 pm 6 4
Coraline     8/25, 4:05 pm 23 3
DM 4     8/25, 5:20 pm 4 4
           
Alien Oxnard Cinemark Century Riverpark 8/25, 5:40 pm 22 13
D&W     8/25, 3:30 pm 29 9
Crow     8/25, 4:30 pm 20 6
Blink     8/25, 5:10 pm 10 5
It Ends with Us     8/25, 4:05 pm 43 6
Coraline     8/25, 2:20 pm 20 5
Twisters     8/25, 3:30 pm 29 4
DM 4     8/25, 5:25 pm 13 5
Forge     8/25, 4:15 pm 69 4
           
Alien Rancho Mirage Cinemark Century at the River 8/24, 5:00 pm 27 9
D&W     8/24, 4:35 pm 52 8
It Ends with Us     8/24, 3:25 pm 4 9
Coraline     8/24, 5:20 pm 21 5
Twisters     8/24, 3:40 pm 13 4
Trap     8/24, 5:45 pm 2 4
Crow     8/24, 4:35 pm 0 4
Blink     8/24, 2:00 pm 18 4
           
Crow Redding Cinemark Redding 8/24, 4:05 pm 10 4
Forge     8/24, 10:00 am 29 4
Crow     8/25, 7:00 pm 5 4
Forge     8/25, 7:15 pm 20 5
           
Coraline Rocklin Cinemark Century Blue Oaks 8/24, 4:35 pm 4 6
Blink     8/25, 8:05 pm 0 6
           
Alien San Bruno Cinemark Century Tanforan 8/24, 3:45 pm 10 13
D&W     8/24, 2:30 pm 27 8
Crow     8/24, 2:05 pm 5 4
Blink     8/24, 5:00 pm 2 4
It Ends with Us     8/24, 5:55 pm 7 7
Twisters     8/24, 3:50 pm 10 4
DM 4     8/24, 5:05 pm 8 5
Strange Darling     8/24, 5:20 pm 7 4
Trap     8/24, 3:00 pm 5 4
Inside Out 2     8/24, 3:00 pm 7 5
Forge     8/24, 4:30 pm 4 4
My Penguin Friend     8/24, 3:05 pm 3 5
Didi     8/24, 5:45 pm 11 5
           
Alien Yuba City Cinemark Yuba City 8/24, 4:40 pm 6 9
D&W     8/24, 6:00 pm 9 9
Crow     8/24, 2:10 pm 4 5
Blink     8/24, 4:50 pm 2 5
It Ends with Us     8/24, 3:25 pm 3 4
Coraline     8/24, 4:45 pm 13 5
Twisters     8/24, 3:55 pm 14 4
Forge     8/24, 3:10 pm 6 4

 

 

 

 

 

         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         

 

 

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On 8/22/2024 at 8:58 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 


BEETLEJUICE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-14

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

620

5913

129443

4.6%

*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

191

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

15

 

COMPS

T-14

(3.139x) of Apes $15.69M

(2.104x) of Alien $13.68M

Comps AVG: $14.69M

 

Really strong numbers. Don't really see it missing $10M previews at this point. 

FLORIDA 


BEETLEJUICE 2

 

Thursday 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS

SEATS SOLD

TOTAL SEATS

PERCENT SOLD

688

7681

143109

5.4%

*numbers taken as of 7:00PM EST

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

680

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-10

(1.320x) of Dune 2 $12.27M

(0.304x) of Deadpool x Wolverine $11.70M

Comps AVG: $11.99M

 

Bringing out the big guns since this is performing like a big blockbuster 

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Indiana

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-10

  Sales      Seats      Shows   
  1896      38470   208       

TC=28, pulled 12PM EST

Comps

2.19x Ghostbusters FE = $10.3m

1.41x Dune 2 = $14.1m

2.18x Godzilla x Kong = $21.8m

 

AVG = $15.4m

 

Doin really good here too

 

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36 minutes ago, AnthonyJPHer said:

Looking at these presales it seems to be preforming more like a 100m opener than an 80m opener. Is this Inside Out 2 all over again?

Yeah, I'm starting to buy the guy that said this could open to like 140M now. Just seems like the momentum is really going into full swing judging by the thread's sales thus far.

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