The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[HummingLemon496]

November record or bust

[AniNate]

Theater Counts for October 11

Movie	Distributor	Theaters	Previous Theaters	Change
Joker: Folie á Deux	Warner Bros.	4,102	4,102
The Wild Robot	Universal Pictures	3,848	3,997	-149
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice	Warner Bros	3,408	3,576	-168
Transformers One	Paramount Pictures	2,758	3,106	-348
Terrifier 3	Cineverse	2,514		New
Saturday Night	Sony Pictures	2,309	21	+2,288
Piece by Piece	Focus Features	1,863		New
The Apprentice	Briarcliff Entertainment	1,740		New
Speak No Evil	Universal Pictures	1,592	2,279	-687
White Bird: A Wonder Story	Lionsgate	1,038	1,018	+20
Deadpool & Wolverine	Walt Disney	990	1,605	-615
My Old Ass	Amazon MGM Studios	510	1,205	-695
The Forge	Sony Pictures	303	510	-207
Reagan	Showbiz Direct	285	625	-340
Blink	Walt Disney	255	148	+107
Never Let Go	Lionsgate	247	981	-734
Megalopolis	Lionsgate	227	1,854	-1,627

       RIP Megalopolis

[Flip]

2 hours ago, Ryan C said:

I know this will probably age poorly in about a month, but it would genuinely be shocking if the highest opening for a movie this decade that's not a comic-book movie is Wicked. 

 

 

 

Highest non comic book opening is almost surely going to be these guys: 

[Flip]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Think Fandango missed one film with PG rating that was higher than Wicked, Super Mario Bros.

 

Previews vs. Full day comparison so they probably omitted it.
Plus Mario had 1/4 the sales window of Wicked

[Flip]

22 hours ago, Flip said:

Gladiator 2 Day Two (T-43)

 

14 showtimes/71 tix sold (+15)

 

.69x Venom 3 Second Day [???]
.86x AQP Day One Second Day [5.51m]

 

Decent day, I’m going to introduce twisters as a comp (for pace purposes, the raw number will be high) since it’s the only one I have with a similar sales window.

Gladiator 2 Day Three (T-42)

 

14 showtimes/74 tix sold (+3)

1.07x AQP Day One (T-28) [7.28m]
2.06x Twisters First Day (T-42) [15.45m]
 

Twisters underindexed like crazy so that comp is just there to compare pace. Other than that, I expect to see really small growth for the next few weeks (Twisters grew just 29.7% from its first day to two weeks later)

 

Most of the better comps (Venom 3, BB4) won’t kick in until later

 

* just for fun, the Deadpool 3 comp on this day spits out 2.65m, I’m interested to see if at the next time I took Deadpool (T-30) Gladiator can surpass it. It should be able to considering it would only need to grow 12.1% which is just another 9 tickets

[Shawn Robbins]

1 hour ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Think Fandango missed one film with PG rating that was higher than Wicked, Super Mario Bros.

 

 

19 minutes ago, Flip said:

Previews vs. Full day comparison so they probably omitted it.
Plus Mario had 1/4 the sales window of Wicked

Was watching the Mario threshold actively yesterday and can confirm Wicked outsold it on the Fandango side of things. (Doesn't necessarily mean it'll do Mario numbers, just that Fandango specifically sold more tickets on the first day of sales for one film versus the other.)

[Shawn Robbins]

25 minutes ago, Flip said:

Highest non comic book opening is almost surely going to be these guys: 

Yep.

[Relevation]

26 minutes ago, Flip said:

Highest non comic book opening is almost surely going to be these guys: 

Well yeah but maybe Wicked can own the mantle for a year and a half

[Flip]

22 hours ago, Flip said:

Wicked 2 Day One (T-43)

 

15 showtimes/458 tix sold

 

.626x Deadpool 3 First Day [24.10m]

2.245x Joker 2 First Day [14.14m]
 

Joker is a better comp: that overindexed a fair amount just as I expect Wicked too (considering I track NYC where the play was put on + NJ which is close)

 

Wicked 2 Day Two (T-42)

 

15 showtimes/519 tix sold (+61)

 

.482x Deadpool 3 (T-42) [18.56m]

2.20x Joker 2 Day Two [13.86m]
7.01x Gladiator 2 (T-42) [???]
 

I’ve got Gladiator in there mainly for pace purposes. Besides that it was a standard day two, a little above expectations considering there’s a bit of an allocation problem

 

 

[Unfitclock]

My theater still isn’t open from the hurricane although the area it was in didn’t really get affected from it it should be open tomorrow though 

[Boxofficerules]

 

[WebSurfer]

28 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

 

Eh, these predictions should be close, but probably not what he says here. He got some things off the mark last weekend.