The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Inceptionzq]

17 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-1 Saturday

203 Showings

10422

+2658

26523

2.665	Indiana Jones T-1	49.51M
1.279	AtSV T-1	47.83M

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-0 Saturday

206 Showings

12879

+2457

26557

2.033	Indiana Jones T-0	37.77M
1.004	AtSV T-0	37.54M

 

17 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-1 Saturday

256 Showings

21810

+2655

30652

ATP:

15.02

1.677	Indiana Jones T-1	31.16M
1.016	Avatar 2 T-1	45.04M
0.741	Thor L&T T-1	31.19M

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-0 Saturday

256 Showings

24303

+2493

30651

ATP:

14.89

1.521	Indiana Jones T-0	28.26M
0.955	Avatar 2 T-0	42.33M
0.705	Thor L&T T-0	29.67M

[filmlover]

On 7/20/2023 at 12:25 PM, filmlover said:

Saw just moved up almost a month to September 29 (makes sense since it would've been overshadowed in October by The Exorcist and Five Nights at Freddy's). This is what the month looks like now in terms of wide releases:

 

9/1: Equalizer 3

9/8: The Nun 2, My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3

9/15: A Haunting in Venice, Challengers

9/22: Expendables 4, Dumb Money, Drive-Away Dolls

9/29: The Creator, PAW Patrol 2, Saw

 

Some of these are already rumored to potentially being on the move due to the strike impacting promo (Challengers, in particular) but overall this is going to be quite a busy (and sequel-heavy) September.

Now that Challengers did in fact move, this is what September looks like.

 

9/1: Equalizer 3

9/8: The Nun 2, My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3

9/15: A Haunting in Venice

9/22: Expendables 4, Dumb Money, Drive-Away Dolls

9/29: The Creator, PAW Patrol 2, Saw

 

Not convinced one (or both) of Dumb Money or Drive-Away Dolls will stay where they are, but even if they left, the month would be fine despite being entirely made up of a franchises (with the exception of The Creator).

[ZackM]

Oppenheimer has surpassed Friday's ticket sales already today at Alpha.

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Oppenheimer has surpassed Friday's ticket sales already today at Alpha.

Question is how much it can grow. I hope its at least 20% from here. But its mostly sold out at big plexes entire day by morning. We need cities outside metros and smaller plexes to pull the weight. But the ratio will also drop a bit today. That will help with Saturday growth. 

 

[ZackM]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

Question is how much it can grow. I hope its at least 20% from here. But its mostly sold out at big plexes entire day by morning. We need cities outside metros and smaller plexes to pull the weight. But the ratio will also drop a bit today. That will help with Saturday growth. 

 

 

I'm targeting 15-20% growth based on what I'm seeing so far.

 

Barbie, on the other hand, is pretty much at the exact same ticket count at the same time yesterday.  So I'm not sure we'll see any improvement over true Friday.

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, ZackM said:

 

I'm targeting 15-20% growth based on what I'm seeing so far.

 

Barbie, on the other hand, is pretty much at the exact same ticket count at the same time yesterday.  So I'm not sure we'll see any improvement over true Friday.

20% growth here would be mean 25% national increase. Slight over performance in canada could get it close to 29-30m range 🙂

[redfirebird2008]

17 minutes ago, ZackM said:

 

I'm targeting 15-20% growth based on what I'm seeing so far.

 

Barbie, on the other hand, is pretty much at the exact same ticket count at the same time yesterday.  So I'm not sure we'll see any improvement over true Friday.

Woah, y’all think it can jump that much? Nolan’s previous July movies did not do that. Of course they were not 3 hours long with pretty bad screen count restrictions on Thursday & Friday. 

 

EDIT: Actually looks like Inception & Dunkirk did have pretty good jumps on Saturday, excluding preview grosses for Friday. Nice...

Edited July 22, 2023 by redfirebird2008

[Tinalera]

10 hours ago, vafrow said:

Gran Turismo, Thursday previews, T-20 Southern Ontario

 

Gran Turismo went on advance sale here yesterday. Did a manual count for broader Southern Ontario radius.

 

Sales at 18 tickets sold covering 48 theatres and 132 showtimes.

 

This compares to 20 tickets sold at T-20 for Haunted Mansion.

 

Notable for GT, it has most of the PLFs. It has the digital IMAX, but not the 70mm screens, which I'm guessing will continue to hold Oppenheimer.

I was under impression that GT was going to do the Last of Us thing and be a streaming series, didn't realize they made a full length movie.

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/21/2023 at 3:18 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Barbie Alamo Drafthouse

T-2 Sunday

471 Showings

32550

+4129

52827

ATP:

14.38

1.322	Doctor Strange 2 T-2	51.42M
1.097	No Way Home T-2	70.46M

Barbie Alamo Drafthouse

T-1 Sunday

472 Showings

37197

+4647

52884

ATP:

14.28

0.913

Barbie Sat T-1

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/21/2023 at 3:20 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Barbie Emagine Entertainment

T-2 Sunday

392 Showings

11075

+3414

44188

3.341	AtSV T-2	104.40M
2.446	TLM T-2	66.80M

Barbie Emagine Entertainment

T-1 Sunday

413 Showings

17065

+5990

45812

2.613	AtSV T-1	81.67M
2.533	TLM T-1	69.17M
0.947	Barbie Sat T-1

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/21/2023 at 3:21 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-2 Sunday

247 Showings

16957

+2430

29898

ATP:

15.12

1.963	Indiana Jones T-2	35.52M
1.279	Avatar 2 T-2	46.76M
0.950	Thor L&T T-2	30.89M

Oppenheimer Alamo Drafthouse

T-1 Sunday

247 Showings

20211

+3254

29898

ATP:

14.91

1.699

Indiana Jones T-1

30.76M

0.927

Oppenheimer Sat T-1

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/21/2023 at 3:23 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-2 Sunday

185 Showings

6812

+1694

24920

3.506	Indiana Jones T-2	63.46M
2.055	AtSV T-2	64.22M

Oppenheimer Emagine Entertainment

T-1 Sunday

185 Showings

9774

+2962

24920

2.386	Indiana Jones T-1	43.19M
1.497	AtSV T-1	46.77M

0.938

Oppenheimer Sat T-1

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

TMNT 

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	650	27662	2.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

189

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

EA

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
10	456	1756	25.9%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

N/A

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-11

*Without EA

 

(1.236x) of Elemental

~$2.97M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

(4.333x) of Ruby Gillman

~$3.25M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

AVG: $3.11M TUE only + $1Mish EA = $4.11M+

 

Seats sold today is going to be deceptive because AmStar cinema finally opened a listed showing. 

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

TMNT 

 

Tuesday Previews 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
150	672	27662	2.4%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

22

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

EA

T-9

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
10	477	1756	27.2%

 

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

19

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-10

*Without EA

 

(1.249x) of Elemental

~$3.00M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

(4.510x) of Ruby Gillman

~$3.38M TUE Previews  W/O EA

 

AVG: $3.19M TUE only + $1Mish EA = $4.19M+

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	1870	19452	9.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

160

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-6

 

(0.553x) of TLM

~$5.70M THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

HAUNTED MANSION

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
111	2001	19452	10.3%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

131

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-5

 

(0.551x) of TLM

~$5.67M THUR Previews

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Talk To Me

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
32	155	5408	2.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

22

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-6

 

(1.006x) of Boogeyman

~$1.1M THUR Previews

 

(1.157x) of The Blackening 

~$860k THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

Talk To Me

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-5

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
32	188	5408	3.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

33

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-5

 

(0.913x) of Boogeyman

~$1.00M THUR Previews

 

(1.315x) of The Blackening 

~$986k THUR Previews

 

COMPS AVG: $1M

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

GRAN TURISMO

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-20

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
96	93	16828	0.55%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

60

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-20

 

Disney springs showings are up

 

EA Wednesday = 95 sold 

~$500k EA

 

(0.070x) of Fast X

~$528k THUR Previews

GREATER ORLANDO REGION

 

GRAN TURISMO

 

THURSDAY Previews 

 

T-19

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
96	110	16828	0.65%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00pm EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

17

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

 

COMPS

T-19

EA Wednesday = 131 sold 

~$900k EA 

 

(0.081x) of Fast X

~$610k THUR Previews

 

~$1.6M total previews 

[ZackM]

7 hours ago, ZackM said:

Oppenheimer has surpassed Friday's ticket sales already today at Alpha.

 

Barbie has now surpassed Friday's ticket sales at Alpha.

[ZackM]

7 hours ago, ZackM said:

 

I'm targeting 15-20% growth based on what I'm seeing so far.

 

Barbie, on the other hand, is pretty much at the exact same ticket count at the same time yesterday.  So I'm not sure we'll see any improvement over true Friday.

 

[PrinceRico]

Looking like The Hunted Mansion could break out with 35-40 weekend.

[vafrow]

On 7/21/2023 at 5:33 AM, vafrow said:

 

Haunted Mansion, southern Ontario, T-7 

 

More showtimes were added once they updated showtimes to next week, which basically added 10 additional theatres in my radius at 3 showtimes a piece. Unsurprisingly, no theatre has this on more than one screen.

 

Ticket sales went from 53 to 89. Still ridiculously low for a region that covers about 20-25% of the Canadian population.

 

It's a bit of a pain to count this manually, so not sure if I'll get in another update. I'm tracking it at my local, but it's still at zero, so not much to track.

 

Haunted Mansion, southern Ontario, T-5 

 

I lied about not doing further updates. I need to put the Barbieheimer energy somewhere.

 

Sales up to 107 for southern Ontario. Almost one for the 123 showtimes.

 

As a general rule, I usually look at the major chain here, that has about 80% of the market, but being so low I took a peak at the secondary chain. It actually has a decent sales pace, better than what I'm seeing out of the primary chain. Not huge, but better.

 

It makes the low sales out of the primary chain puzzling.