The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC1

Previews(T-1) - 97059/767811 1697677.62 4264 shows +27334

Friday - 147848/1402980 2452822.83 7982 shows +38369

 

I flipped the order of runs and so friday is 22ish hours of data while previews is 26hrs of data. Still very impressive growth for T-1 and guarantees double digit previews. In fact I expect it to cross 11m in previews. ~125m OW is what I am seeing for now. Let us see how walkups go tomorrow to further hone it. Friday will be a monster day for sure. 

Inside Out 2 MTC1 Previews final - 206389/770073 3485892.23 4283 shows +109330

 

Good day but it did not go as much as what I expected this afternoon. Still should be good enough for 11m even with discounted ratio. I will update Friday later. MTC2 has started slow run and is looking promising. I am expecting it to hit what Charlie had predicted earlier. 

[charlie Jatinder]

13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC1 Previews final - 206389/770073 3485892.23 4283 shows +109330

 

Good day but it did not go as much as what I expected this afternoon. Still should be good enough for 11m even with discounted ratio. I will update Friday later. MTC2 has started slow run and is looking promising. I am expecting it to hit what Charlie had predicted earlier. 

Great finish. The actual gross probably $3.25M. Think should be enough to hit $12M even with Canada underindexing.

 

MTC2 should hit $2.5M+ I feel.

[ChipDerby]

4 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

Anyone have the supposedly expanded theater count for Tuesday?  It's listed in the Derby but no theater count on The Numbers

 

I had no other option! I'm sorry!

[crazymoviekid]

On 6/12/2024 at 11:27 PM, crazymoviekid said:

Inside Out 2:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 60 Tickets

Theater 2: 137 Tickets

 

KFP4: $18.72M

Barbie: $3.18M

Elemental: $11.26M

TLM: $8.31M

Minions 2: $5.62M

Lightyear: $8.44M

The Bad Guys: $10.30M

 

Comps dropped just a bit. Gentleminions is hitting that comp. Still feeling $8M-$9M.

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 225 Tickets

Theater 2: 491 Tickets

 

KFP4: $76.22M

Barbie: $15.74M

Elemental: $60.56M

TLM: $23.21M

Minions 2: $44.58M

Lightyear: $68.91M

The Bad Guys: $36.17M

 

Comps still very wide. Let's limit down to $25M-$35M for now.

Inside Out 2:

 

Final Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 139 Tickets

Theater 2: 226 Tickets

 

KFP4: $18.74M

Barbie: $4.75M

Elemental: $11.09M

TLM: $10.17M

Minions 2: $6.24M

Lightyear: $11.33M

The Bad Guys: $6.56M

 

Great last day of sales. Comps bumping up to $10M-$11M.

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 475 Tickets

Theater 2: 720 Tickets

 

KFP4: $78.24M

Barbie: $19.98M

Elemental: $34.77M

TLM: $25.21M

Minions 2: $36.54M

Lightyear: $70.16M

The Bad Guys: $28.91M

 

Still very much anywhere between $25M-$35M. Would say closer to $30M

[Rorschach]

22 hours ago, Rorschach said:

Friday: 786/6,020 (13.1% sold) [+274]

5 IMAX showings: 94/1,940

4 XD showings: 39/952

4 3D showings: 29/390

27 2D showings: 624/2,738

 

Comps:

IF: $58.27 mil

Garfield: $101.88 mil

Apes: $72.4 mil

Minions 2: $78.78 mil

Lightyear: $79.68 mil

Sonic 2: $35.08 mil

Inside Out 2 (Thursday Night Outlook)

Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX

Friday: 1,445/6,020 (24% sold) [+659]

5 IMAX showings: 197/1,940

4 XD showings: 145/952

4 3D showings: 53/390

27 2D showings: 1,050/2,738

 

Comps:

IF: $66.31 mil

Garfield: $88.34 mil

Apes: $83.93 mil

 

...ab-so-lute monster. 

[keysersoze123]

Amazing part was it did 4.2K on T-5 finishing under 39K. From that point it did > 5x. Only Minions 2 and Mario had similar strong finishes. Mario did not even have early previews(just midnights). So it was all OD BO.

 

On 6/12/2024 at 9:43 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC1 Friday - 147848/1402980 2452822.83 7982 shows +38369

 

I flipped the order of runs and so friday is 22ish hours of data while previews is 26hrs of data. Still very impressive growth for T-1 and guarantees double digit previews. In fact I expect it to cross 11m in previews. ~125m OW is what I am seeing for now. Let us see how walkups go tomorrow to further hone it. Friday will be a monster day for sure. 

Inside Out 2 MTC1 Friday - 259718/1408619 4186775.56 8038 shows +111870

 

Really strong T-1 sales for Friday. I think it can go for 600K finish tomorrow. That should get it to high 30s True friday. Let us see how the day goes. 

[todos]

FSS - 38M x 3 (114M) + 11M = $125M

[Porthos]

On 6/13/2024 at 12:46 AM, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-43 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28680	33627	4947	14.71%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

35

 

Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps)

		Final Sold	% of Final		$ So Far
MoM		21117	23.43%		8.43m
L&T		16962	29.17%		8.46m
BP2		16800	29.45%		8.25m
AM3		10475	47.23%		8.26m
GOTG3		10750	46.02%		8.05m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1093/12927  [8.46% sold]
Matinee:    278/4470  [6.22% | 5.62% of all tickets sold]
3D:             473/6801  [6.95% | 9.56% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2630/11535  [22.80% | 53.16% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        30 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    34 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-42 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	240	28622	33627	5005	14.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

58

 

Approx Earned So Far (Sacto Market Based Comps)

		Final Sold	% of Final		$ So Far
MoM		21117	23.70%		8.53m
L&T		16962	29.51%		8.56m
BP2		16800	29.79%		8.34m
AM3		10475	47.78%		8.36m
GOTG3		10750	46.56%		8.15m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1102/12927  [8.52% sold]
Matinee:    279/4470  [6.24% | 5.57% of all tickets sold]
3D:            482/6801  [7.09% | 9.63% of all tickets sold]
PLF:       2664/11535  [23.09% | 53.23% of all tickets sold]
———    
CM EQUIV        46 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking
TROS EQUIV    46 seats sold today at equivalent sources of tracking

[charlie Jatinder]

6 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

At 7PM,  22306/76078 (322 showings) $270K.

 

Will probably end the day at 26K+. 

That would normally we good for $16M for a MCU film, in case of IO2 probably $12M.

Inside Out 2 MiniTC2 Final

 

Previews - 25877/75716 (319 showings) $320K

Comps

Kung Fu Panda 4 - $15.1M

 

Wonka - $18.2M

Haunted Mansion - $15.5M

These are pretty useless comps but shows the sort of performance was here.

 

Minions - $12.1M (gross comp $13.5M)

Somewhat better.

Lightyear - $10.5M

Elemental - $12M

[charlie Jatinder]

Actuals $12.5M

MTC2 - $2.7M
MTC3 - $2.1M

[jeffthehat]

18 hours ago, jeffthehat said:

Indiana

Inside Out 2 T-0

Sales	Seats	Shows
4516	43594	280

TC = 27

Comp

7.10x IF T-0 = $12.8m

Indiana Lite

Inside Out 2 Fri T-0

Sales	Seats	Shows
6688	37524	212

TC = 10

Comps (Don't take too seriously)

6.62x Furiosa Fri T-0 = $45.6m

3.29x Bad Boys 4 Fri T-0 = $51.4m

3.92x IF Sat T-0 = $54.9m

6.31x IF Sun T-0 = $58.7m

3.78x Kingdom Apes Fri T-0 = $59.3m

---

Just throwing what I have at the wall here. Keep in mind ATP will be lower than most of these. Still, looking like $40m+ true Friday to me. 

 

 

Edited June 14 by jeffthehat

[RamblinRed]

https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-inside-out-2-1235973432/

 

$13M for IO2

[todos]

.

Edited June 14 by todos

[keysersoze123]

18 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Inside Out 2 MTC2 Previews (T-1) - 75212/628044 1026211.69 5087 shows

 

I had let it run overnight. Thinking around 175K finish and 2.3m ish at MTC2. Super strong over here as well. 

 

16 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

If MTC 1 hit 200K, MTC2 will likely be 190K type.

Inside Out2 MTC2 Previews final - 190161/655691 2516435.13 5335 shows

 

[HummingLemon496]

Could $13M for IO2 put $150M OW on the table? 

Edited June 14 by HummingLemon496

[CJohn]

Previews are bigger than ever nowadays. I think anything above 120M is a huge win.

[Joyous Legion]

IM should be in 10s, I will trust rest of math as exercise for reader 😛 

[AniNate]

Just to briefly shift gears

 

'Deadpool & Wolverine' Heading to $200M Opening U.S. Box Office (deadline.com)

[todos]

On 6/9/2024 at 11:20 AM, todos said:

136 DOM OW

A prediction from last Sunday 

[KnightofNight237]

8 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Just to briefly shift gears

 

'Deadpool & Wolverine' Heading to $200M Opening U.S. Box Office (deadline.com)

"is reporting a projection of $200M-$239M, which the service actually believes is conservative." "The tracking numbers for men we are told are actually higher than that of Spider-Man: No Way Home six weeks from release; that movie ranks as the second best domestic opening of all-time at $260.1M. Note the projections for Deadpool & Wolverine could actually climb."

WOAH That would be truly amazing, barring good reception, this is definitely in play